Businessday Research Construction Survey Outlook Report 2017

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The Nigerian Construction Industry OUTLOOK A Report by BusinessDay Research & Intelligence Unit (BRIU)

Content Executive Summary........................................4 Industry Synopsis............................................5 Survey Insights & Analysis............................8 Latest News & Developments......................12 Case Studies...................................................14 Conclusion & Recommendations..................17 Appendices.....................................................24

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Executive Summary BusinessDay Research & Intelligence Unit (BRIU) is delighted to present the results of our Construction Survey which reects the views of 114 professionals from segments of the Construction Industry, as well as Finance and the Public Sector. Our report provides in-depth analysis of the construction industry including trends and challenges being experienced on the ground.

Sentiment for the construction industry is somewhat optimistic and the outlook for 2018 is relatively positive, with further increases in activity expected across a few strategic sectors. However, there are a number of challenges currently facing the industry, and of these, the country's currency value and access to nance/funding for activities is causing the greatest concern.

With the exception of Real Estate Development Sector, which is shared equally between private and public sector nancing, other signicant aspects of the Construction Industry is still largely inuenced by public sector nancing (Federal and State government) for infrastructural developmental activities.

In the 2016 Federal Government Budget, a total of N422.9 billion was budgeted, comprising N260.082 billion for Works, N91.257 billion for Power and N71.559 billion for housing. According to the Federal Minister of Power, Works & Housing, during the implementation of the 2016 budget, 103 construction companies executing 192 projects were paid who employed 17,749 people directly and 52,000 people indirectly in works, adding that there was provision of funding under the 2017 budget in the sum of N90 billion out of which N47.169 billion has been paid to 62 contractors working on 149 projects to continue work on roads and bridges and keep people at work and sustain production.

But, in spite of this commitment to funding infrastructure by the governments, industry stakeholders posit that the government cannot do it alone because of the huge capital requirement, hence the need for private public partnership (PPP) initiatives. According to the Managing Director of the Infrastructure Bank, contractors working for the federal and state governments are owed about N1.7 trillion and some of these debts are as old as 5 to 10 years.

Analysis of data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for 2016 reected that Nigeria's construction to GDP was 4 percent. The recommendation of the Asian Development Bank is that in order for a developing country to sustain growth and development, not less than 6 percent of GDP should be invested on infrastructure.

Nigeria's infrastructure stock currently accounts for about 20 to 25 percent of GDP, which is signicantly lower than the global average of 70 percent. Hence, the need for accelerated and increased Private Sector involvement and investment in the Sector, as the country requires at least $100 billion annually for the next 30 years to meet our infrastructure needs, as forecasted by the NIIMP.

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Section

INDUSTRY SYNOPSIS

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Industry Synopsis Nigeria's Construction Industry grew by 8 percent from the previous quarter, according to the latest Q2 GDP gures released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The Sector's GDP has been improving steadily in the last four quarters (Q3 2016 to Q2 2017). From a drop in GDP of 21 percent in Q3 2016 from the prior quarter, the sector bounced back in Q4 2016 recording growth in nominal GDP of 19 percent over the previous period and increase of 15 percent in Q1 2017.

Subsequently, Construction GDP in Q2 2017 of N1.17 trillion represented nominal growth of 8 percent from Q1 2017. In real terms, growth was 5 percent (quarter on quarter).

Comparative analysis of Q2 2017 to the same quarter in 2016 revealed that the Sector grew by 18 percent in nominal terms (year on year). The Industry accounted for 4 percent of Country's total GDP of N27.22 trillion Naira in Q2 2017.

The Nigerian Construction Sector is principally involved in the development and maintenance of civil engineering works and infrastructural provision comprising roads, bridges, railways, etc., as well as residential and commercial real estate.

Opportunities for investment and expansion abound in the Industry for infrastructural and real estate development activities if the right policy, regulations and framework are adopted and instituted. With respect to housing development, back in 2006, the United Nations agency for Human Settlement, UN-HABITAT, estimated the country's housing decit at 17 million units. That was 11 years ago, meaning that the decit could be more. The market value of this decit has been estimated at $363 billion.

The UN report states that for the country to bridge this gap, it needs to b u i l d b e t we e n 1 7 2 , 0 0 0 a n d 200,000 housing units annually for the next 20 years. But a recent report on the real estate market reveals that

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despite efforts at various levels of development, not more than 50,000 units are built every year.

I n t h e a r e a o f i n f ra s t r u c t u r e development, a 30-year roadmap infrastructure development plan, known as the Integrated Infrastructure Master Plan (NIIMP) projects that Nigeria required at least $3.05 trillion for infrastructure development over the next three decades. The NIIMP captures the Energy, Transport, Information Communication Technology (ICT), Agriculture, Water, Mining, Housing, Social Infrastructure, Security and Vital Registration sectors in Nigeria.

In its 2017 Budget, the Federal Government made provision of N246.74 billion for the Construction and provision of xed assets.

Allocation to the construction/provision of roads account of N107.39 billion represented the bulk of total capex followed by construction/provision of electricity with N89.23 billion. The total 2017 capital budget of the Federal Ministry of Works, Housing and Power accounted for 55 percent of its total budgetary allocation and 29.3% of the total Federal Government budget.

region's middle-income countries could boost annual real GDP growth by around four percentage points.

Infrastructure spend drives the real economy, stimulates production and industrial activity, which in turn, leads to employment generation and enhanced household spending.

The Ministry's budgetary allocation for the rehabilitation/repairs of infrastructure amounted to N91.69 billion, of which 82 percent is targeted toward the road rehabilitation and repairs.

The Government cannot do it alone b e c a u s e o f t h e h u ge c a p i t a l requirement. According to the President, Commonwealth Association of Surveying and Land Economy, cost of construction in Nigeria ranks among the highest in the world on account of high interest rates, inaccessibility to cheap affordable funds, lack of skilled manpower, signicant dependence on imported construction materials; and also of great concer n is the endemic corruption in the industry.

Compared to many of its African peers, Nigeria has relatively advanced infrastructure networks that cover extensive areas of the nation's territory. Transport infrastructure is inadequate though and has been described as one of the leading impediments to the country's growth. It is estimated that raising the country's infrastructure level to that of the

There is therefore need to explore private participation in infrastructure development in Nigeria. Globally, contractual models and case studies abound on successful Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) in construction. It is critically important to explore opportunities with regard to best practices, learn lessons from case studies, and provide guidance on

Nigeria infrastructure spend (2008-2016)

pri vate s ector i nvo l ve m e n t i n infrastructure nancing, provision and management relevant to African countries.

According to the Sub-Saharan Africa Transport Policy Program (SSATP), there is renewed interest in publicprivate partnerships (PPP) for infrastructure and service delivery in developing countries. These partnerships enable the public sector to har ness the exper tise and efciencies that the private sector can bring to the delivery and management of infrastructure and related ser vices. Over 100 developing countries have implemented a PPP in infrastructure since 2005 of which 50 in transport.

The average total annual private investment in transport projects in Africa during the 2007-2011 period was $750 million, with an average of three projects per year reaching nancial closure. In 2012, 83 new transport projects reached nancial closure in 12 developing countries.

BREAKDOWN OF CAPITAL BUDGET EXPENDITURE BY SEGMENTS

Source: Budget Office of the Federation, Media

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Section

SURVEY INSIGHTS

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Survey Insights A. INDUSTRY OUTLOOK 1. Outlook for the Construction Industry over the next 12 months

42 percent of Industry players surveyed are of the view that industry activities will increase signiď€ cantly over the next 12 months. 39 percent have adopted a more moderate view and believe that construction industry projects will increase somewhat. Some industry professionals are of the opinion that the industry will not experience any increase (10 percent) while another 10 percent of industry players, on the other hand, opined that construction activities will somewhat decline.

2. Projection on Construction Activities in 2018 compared to the Current Year

Respondents expect the most growth over the next year to occur in Aggregates Production & Mining (84 percent); Highways, Bridges & Roads (78 percent); Concrete & Asphalt (78 percent) and Utility Contracting (70 percent).

The abovementioned segments are the top four expected to increase in output and activities. Others are Industrial Construction (68 percent) and Telecommunications (60 percent).

On the other hand, industry insiders posited that the Nonresidential; Residential; Oil & gas and Telecommunications markets will experience minimal or negligible growth over the same time frame in terms of construction/engineering projects and activities.

3. Most Attractive Segments of the Construction Industry in the next 2 years

According to 27 percent of Construction professionals surveyed, Highways, Bridges & Road projects will be the most attractive market in the next 2 years, while 15 percent of survey respondents are of the perspective that the Railroad Construction market will be the most attractive in the near-term.

Concrete & Asphalt and the Utility Contracting markets were posited by 10 percent of Industry operators equally to be the most viable markets respectively in the same time-frame.

4. Factors posing the Most Concern to the Construction Industry in the Next 12 Months

The value of Nigeria's currency is of the most concern to the Construction Industry. This is followed by the Economy, Input Costs 0f Raw materials and the threat of Competition. Other major areas of concern include the Labour Supply/Skilled Employment; Technological Changes; Cost of Operations, among others.

5. Sale/Rental (or Purchase) of Construction Equipment

66 percent are of the opinion that rental for new equipment will increase; 62 percent posit that the sale (or purchase) of new equipment will also increase. In terms of used equipment, 59 percent and 55 percent of respondents estimate the increase in the rent of used equipment and rise in the sale (or purchase) of used equipment respectively.

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B. BUSINESS PROSPECTS 1. Expectations on Business prospects for your Organisation in 2018

On the back of the Q2 GDP gures reecting the country in economic recovery, business condence is high among players and experts in the Construction Industry with 88 percent of survey respondents optimistic with respect to their expectations of sustained improvements and continued growth regarding industry activities and outlook. The remaining 12 percent are pessimistic reecting lack of condence concerning their business prospects and opportunities.

Subsequently, of the 88 percent optimistic of business prospects, 87 percent anticipate increase in business productivity/protability. In addition, 62 percent forestall growth of their business' assets, while 52 percent further predict expansion of their workforce in 2018.

2. Expectations on Equity for Renancing or New Investment in 2018

With regards to funding, 60 percent of respondents plan to increase their equity for renancing or new investments, while 30 percent of industry professionals expect their capital base to remain the same, 10 percent, on the other hand, anticipate decline in fresh equity injections.

With respect to securing debt for renancing or new investments, 46 percent believe that this will increase, 50 percent anticipate no growth in their respective debt portfolio. The balance of 4 percent expect opportunities for new debt for renancing to decline.

In the area of securing debt for development projects, 64 percent expect an expansion of this category of funding, on the other hand, 28 percent expect minimal increase, while the remaining 8 percent anticipate a reversal in terms of decline in development-related debt.

3. Expectations on Sources of Debt for Business Activities in the Next Year

Further break-down on the sources of debt expected to increase in 2018, 77 percent of professionals are optimistic that debt funding from alternative lending platforms will account for the most nancing for their business activities. This is followed by debt funding from non-bank institutions of 57 percent, while banks and other non-bank lenders and other institutions account for 42 percent and 39 percent respectively.

4. Finding Qualied Workers to ll Open Positions for Work

In terms of recruitment and quality of on-site employees i.e. ofce workforce, 55 percent of respondents revealed that it was not difcult to recruit; 35 percent of those surveyed found it somewhat difcult, while the remaining 10 percent encountered difculty in sourcing for on-site labour locally.

With respect to off-site employees i.e. for technical (engineering or construction) roles, 52 percent had no difculty, 45 percent experienced some level of difculty, while 3 percent encountered difculty.

Sixty-one percent had no difculty in sourcing for sub-contract labour, 32 percent found it somewhat difcult, while 6 percent experienced signicant difculty.

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C. INDUSTRY INFORMATION OF SURVEY PARTICIPANTS 1. Description of Company Activity

5. Description of Company's Annual Revenues

Respondents for the Survey comprised C-Suite Executives and Industry professionals operating in various areas of the Construction Sector. Breakdown of participants that undertook the survey exercise reected that 21 percent are from Civil Engineering rms; 17 percent represent the Building Materials & Aggregate producers; 15 percent comprise the Construction Companies & Contractors; 13 percent are in Real Estate Development; 10 percent operate in the Banking & Finance Sector.

Breakdown of Company's annual revenues reect the following – 40 percent generate annual turnover of less than $5 Million; 28 percent generate income of $100 Million or more; 24 percent reveal yearly revenues of $25 Million to less than $100 Million while the remaining 5 percent generate $5 Million to less than $ 25 Million.

Respondents from the Mor tgage Industry and Government/Regulators each accounted for 8 percent of the survey participants. The balance of 6 percent and 2 percent were shared equally between the Construction Equipment Manufacturers (6 percent) and Construction Equipment Distributors (2%) respectively.

2. Sub-Sectors where Respondents do the most work

When asked on the segments of the Industry where the respondents and the Organisations they represented did the most work, 22 percent revealed that Highways, Bridges & Roads construction projects accounted for most of their Company's activities. Residential building projects was responsible for 15 percent of respondents' company engagement.

Railroad construction, Oil & gas projects and Concrete & asphalt each accounted for 9 percent of Industry rms' work respectively, while Industrial Construction work represented 8 10 percent of respondents' projects. Seven percent of respondents conducted their most work in Site preparation & excavation work, while 6 percent carried out the bulk of Company activities on Non-residential building projects. Utility contracting works was the major work done by 5 percent of survey respondents.

The remaining respondents do their most work on Telecommunications construction projects and in Aggregates production and mining.

3. Net Prot for 2017 compared to the previous year.

Thirty–eight (38) percent of those surveyed expect net prot for 2017 to increase signicantly (15 percent or more); 50 percent of respondents anticipate moderate growth in net prot of 5 percent to less than 15 percent. On the other hand, 13 percent of respondents reveal that their net prot will decrease signicantly by year-end.

4. Firm's Construction-related activity by year-end 2017 compared to 2016

When asked to provide information on aspect of each respondent's respective rm's activities, 74 percent of those surveyed believe that productive infrastructure services will increase for their businesses; 63 percent are of the view that their output product and service prices or fees as well as input costs will increase by year-end 2017.

Private non-residential construction activities are also anticipated to increase somewhat by year-end estimation.

Despite this, respondents are will maintain their current employment levels and not recruit any new employees between now and the end of the current year under review.

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6. Total Number of Employees

41 percent have a workforce over 1,000 employees; 31 percent employ 11 to 50 personnel; 14 percent currently engage 201 to 1,000 members of staff; while 10 percent have workforce of 51 to 200 and the remaining 3 percent surveyed have 10 or fewer employees.

Section

LATEST NEWS & DEVELOPMENTS

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Latest News & Developments

FG eyes private capital to fund $300bn infrastructure gap http://www.businessdayonline.com/fg-eyes-private-capital-fund-300bn-infrastructure-gap/ Private capital seen as solution to infrastructure nancing http://www.businessdayonline.com/private-capital-seen-solution-infrastructure-nancing/ AFC says Nigeria needs US$3trn for economic infrastructure http://www.businessdayonline.com/afc-says-nigeria-needs-us3trn-economic-infrastructure/ Buhari, Museveni discuss transport infrastructure to link two countries http://www.businessdayonline.com/buhari-museveni-discuss-transport-infrastructure-link-two-countries/ Infrastructure fund will transform African economies, says Adesina http://www.businessdayonline.com/infrastructure-fund-will-transform-african-economies-says-adesina/ FG fresh privatisation of key infrastructure assets opens new opportunity for investors http://www.businessdayonline.com/fg-fresh-privatisation-key-infrastructure-assets-opens-newopportunity-investors/ Infrastructure decay, insecurity, hinders Foreign Direct Investment inow to Nigeria, Study reveals http://www.businessdayonline.com/infrastructure-decay-insecurity-hinders-foreign-direct-investmentinow-nigeria-study-reveals/ Unresolved Infrastructure challenges stiing gas sector growth http://www.businessdayonline.com/unresolved-infrastructure-challenges-stiing-gas-sector-growth/ Imperial City: An island urban community with ambitious infrastructure master-plan http://www.businessdayonline.com/imperial-city-island-urban-community-ambitious-infrastructuremaster-plan/ Aligning new investments trend to solve West Africa's power Infrastructure lapses http://www.businessdayonline.com/aligning-new-investments-trend-solve-west-africas-powerinfrastructure-lapses/

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Section

CASE STUDIES

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Case Studies The Dakar-Diamniadio Toll Highway in Senegal The Public-Private Infrastructure Advisory Facility (PPIAF)'s support to the Government of Senegal led to the construction of the Dakar–Diamniadio Toll Road, one of the rst toll roads to be built in Sub-Saharan Africa (excluding South Africa) through a public-private partnership. The highway will provide substantial socioeconomic benets for the 2 million Senegalese living in Dakar and surrounding cities. The highway is essential to Dakar's development as a subregional economic center. It will reduce congestion in Dakar and improve the ease of travel to and from the Dakar metropolitan area, which includes the emerging business center of Diamniadio.

The Dakar–Diamniadio Toll road project exemplies PPIAF's strategy to encourage public-private partnerships for developing priority infrastructure projects in Sub-Saharan Africa. The Dakar Diamniadio Toll Highway, inaugurated on August 1, 2013 is the rst section (32 km or 20 miles) of a broader project to connect the capital, Dakar, through a double three-lane highway to a new airport (Aeropor t Inter national Blaise Diagne, AIBD) and a special economic zone, the Dakar Integrated Special Economic Zone (DISEZ) and the rest of the country. The cost of this large project is estimated to be about $696 million (FCFA 380.2 billion, excluding grants).

2013. This gure is expected to rise to 44,797 VPD by 2036.

This brand new highway is also one of the rst examples of a road infrastructure project in Sub-Saharan Africa to be completed under a Public-Private Partnership (PPP). To date, the highway project has created 930 jobs (800 during the construction phase and 130 during the launch phase). The new highway has also improved urban mobility, opened up a c c e s s t o s e c u r i t y, t ra n s p o r t , administrative, health and education services, and made it easier to access key tourist attractions in the city.

The toll highway is just one part of a m uc h broader infrastr ucture development program in Senegal, which includes an extension to the Port of Dakar, the construction of the new international airport, and several other transport projects. These new infrastructure projects will help to stimulate economic growth in the manufacturing and industry sectors, as

The rst privately-operated toll highway in the WAEMU region Senac, the Senegalese subsidiary of Eiffage that specializes in public infrastructure projects, was awarded a 30-year contract to operate the highway in 2009. According to Eiffage's estimates, an average of 26,671 vehicles per day (VPD) used the busiest section of the highway in

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well as boosting tourism, making Senegal more competitive on the world stage.

Boosting regional integration The toll highway between Dakar and Diamniadio is a vast project, with its inuence stretching far beyond the local area, and even beyond the borders of Senegal. It is just one part of a much broader regional project, as the rst section of the future TransAfrican Highway between Dakar and Lagos, a vast 4,010-km (2,490-mile) road passing through the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), i.e. through Mali, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau and Gambia. This future Trans-African Highway is a key element of many of the priorities of the Programme for Infrastructure Development in Africa (PIDA), and will help to boost long-distance trade in the region.

N4 Toll Road from South Africa to Mozambique South Africa's PPP environment is strong, with a solid track record in delivering major projects. The 2015 EIU Africa Infrascope ranked South Africa highest within the continent. The country has a stable business infrastr ucture, a sophisticated nancial sector, and high standards in accounting, regulatory structures and law. South Africa has an important experience in PPP projects, involving about 300 such projects on the national and provincial levels since 1994.

The rehabilitation of the N4 toll road forms part of the Maputo Development Corridor (MDC) project, between Johannesburg and Maputo, which also includes other modes of transport. The N4 project is the rst major PPP project implemented, although other PPP road projects followed, such as the N3 between Johannesburg and Durban.

The concession was awarded to the Trans African Concessions (TRAC) consortium. TRAC is responsible for the nancing, design, construction, rehabilitation, operation and maintenance of the toll road.

Financing for the project was split between 20% equity and 80% debt.

The governments of South Africa and Mozambique jointly guaranteed the debt of TRAC and to a certain extent the equity. The concession contract was signed with South African National Roads Agency (SANRAL) and the Mozambique Roads Agency (ANE) and ends in 2027, after which the road rever ts bac k to the governments.

entire toll road.

The concession was initially based on 0.20 Rand per km for a light vehicle and 0.50 Rand/km for heavy vehicles.

Nonetheless, a discount system was introduced for commuters and local users. Since then toll rates have increased but the agreement stipulates that toll tariffs can only be increased annually in line with consumer prices. In practice, increases varied between South Africa and Mozambique, due to the exchange rate uctuation between the South African Rand and the Mozambique Metical.

The original agreement stipulated a 30 year concession period beginning in 1997. This period is maintained although in 2004, the contract was amended to include the concessionaire's responsibility over the N4 road section between Witbank and Pretoria. The concessionaire now manages 630km of toll road, the majority of which is in South Africa and only about 50km in Mozambique. The cost of the initial contract was about 3 billion ZAR (South African Rand) - about 660 million USD (in 1996 value over 30 years of which 1.5 billion Rand to be allocated in the rst three and a half years.

For toll pricing purposes, four types of vehicles were considered (light, medium heavy, large heavy and extra heavy). Tolls are collected at six main line toll plazas and at two ramp plazas. However, only two toll plazas are located in Mozambique, implying that the project is by and large supported by toll revenues collected along the South African road stretches and that South African road users subsidise Mozambican users of the

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Section

CONCLUSION

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CONCLUSION With an estimated population of 182 million and GDP of US$405.1 billion in 2016, Nigeria is Africa's most populous country and largest economy, yet still faces infrastructure c hallenges, having committed US$38.96 billion in infrastructure investments since 2000, with 37 active PPP projects under construction or in operation as of December 2015, according to the PPIAF. The World Economic Forum's Global Competitiveness Report 2016-2017 ranked Nigeria's infrastructure score (2.10 out of 7) 132nd out of 138 countries. Nigeria's PPP readiness shows a mixed performance, as scored by the World Bank Group's Benc hmarking PPP Procurement 2017. Though performing better than other Sub-Saharan African countries, Nigeria scored worse than other lowto-middle-income economies in two dimensions of the benchmarking analysis: PPP preparation and contract management.

The PPIAF commissioned an independent impact assessment in February 2016 to review past technical assistance; identify and validate legal, institutional, and policy reform outcomes encouraging private participation in infrastructure; and assess impacts of public-private partnership (PPP) projects. According to the results from report, the port sector showed measurable satisfactory results for efciency and income gains. The water and energy sectors, however, fell short at the regulatory level, with success and failure tied to stakeholder engagement and a functioning institutional framework having wellidentied and coordinated public and private stakeholders.

In 2008, the Federal Government of Nigeria established the Infrastructure Concession Regulatory Commission (ICRC) under the Infrastructure Concession Regulatory Commission (establishment, etc.) Act, 2005. The

ICRC was established to regulate Public Private Partnership (PPP) endeavours of the Federal government aimed at addressing Nigeria's physical infrastructure decit which hampers economic development.

The Commission published all Federal government projects eligible for Public Private Partnership (PPP) contracts for the 2016/17 period.

T h e r e a r e o ve r 1 4 4 p ro j e c t s e a r m a r ke d f ro m t h e F e d e ra l Ministries of Power, Works & Housing; Transportation; Water Resources; Interior; Trade & Investment; Health; Communication Technology, etc. Total estimated costs of the projects are over N2.13 trillion. This publication is meant to notify interested investors to prepare to participate in the process when procurement commences.

This month, the Federal Government launched the ICRC PPP Contracts Disclosure Web Portal to foster transparency and accountability in PPPs in order to attract the muchneeded foreign capital and expertise

to scale up Nigeria’s infrastructure through PPPs and promote sustainable growth and development.

Currently, there are 69 projects at various stages of development and procurement, with 35 under implementation. These projects cover key sectors such as transport, energy, social & health and telecoms.

Nigeria's annual infrastructure needs are estimated at $3.05 trillion – approximately 7 times Nigeria's GDP – with $66 million of the current bill unfunded. Nigerian governments have historically nanced a substantial share of the country's infrastructure on balance sheet, with local banks unable to supply the amount and tenor necessary for loans, consequently leaving many projects unfunded.The lack of well-structured PPP projects is the biggest constraint.

Nigeria has to have a more extended use of the PPP model to ll the US$67 billion per year infrastructure gap.

Although, the Country has continued on the direction of structuring a solid PPP project pipeline to attract investors with the work of the ICRC.

PROJECT PHASE OF INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT PLANS

Source: ICRC

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Recommendations Political commitment: The Government of Nigeria must set PPP in planned or sc heduled infrastructure projects as a priority.

The rst driver must the President. But commitment alone isn't enough; it needs to be turned into action by government agencies. An intraagency coordinating committee can be set up in cases of projects that impact several agencies with clearly dened roles and time-lines for deliverables.

Consensus-building and stakeholder engagement: Seminars with stakeholder groups to discuss str ucturing options for infrastructure projects and socioeconomic drivers of the willingness to pay for services via PPPs. The combination of careful outreach to stakeholders, a reasonable pricing of services, signicant time savings and a well-maintained infrastructure means that PPP-related projects in the country will be accepted by the population.

Experienced concessionaire with strong commitment to Nigeria: The concessionaire should have a long history of involvement in, and commitment to, Africa to ensure that the project is constructed and is being operated to a high standard, on time and within budget.

Strong involvement of development institutions in both public and private nancing: Involvement of public and private development institutions. Development institutions can provide long term debt-funding and guarantees, as well as act as arrangers and global coordinators bringing together several investors for PPPs. Clear, visible benets: Being able to provide measurable benets to stakeholders for these projects is key from the investor side to the population impacted.

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Reference NBS GDP Reports CBN Statistical Bulletin WEF Global Competitiveness Report SAATP PPP Road Construction Document PPIAF Impact Stories The Budget Ofď€ ce of the Federation Approved Budgets InfraPPP Global Outlook Reports World Bank Group PPP in Infrastructure Resource Centre South Africa PPP Knowledge Lab PPIAF Toolkit for Public-Private Partnerships in Roads & Highways National Integrated Infrastructure Master Plan (NIIMP) Nigeria ICRC Published PPP Projects Pipeline The Brookings Institution Africa in Focus AFDB Group Selected Projects BusinessDay Newspaper Nigeria

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Selected Infrastructure Organisations Federal Ministry of Power, Works & Housing http://www.pwh.gov.ng/ Infrastructure Concession Regulatory Commission (ICRC) http://www.icrc.gov.ng/ Nigeria Sovereign Investment Authority – Nigeria Infrastructure Fund http://nsia.com.ng/nigeria-infrastructure-fund/ The Infrastructure Bank Plc http://www.infrastructurebankplc.com/

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About the Research This report has been informed and guided by the views, percep ons and opinions of 114 construc on professionals. These professionals work at the core of the property and construc on markets in large corporate ďŹ rms, construc on agencies, government bodies and ďŹ nancial ins tu ons.

In September 2017, a survey was conducted to determine the outlook for the industry and to drill down into the challenges currently being faced by industry.

BusinessDay would like to thank all those that contributed to this report.

For advert placement and sponsorship, please contact the Author of this Report: Omosomi Omomia Senior Research Analyst BusinessDay Research & Intelligence Unit (BRIU) omosomi.omomia@businessdayonline.com omosomi.omomia@gmail.com twi er.com/BusinessDay_RIU www.facebook.com/businessdayintelligence BusinessDay Media Limited Web: www.businessdayonline.com BusinessDay Nigeria @businessdayng

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Section

APPENDICES

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Disclaimer This publication contains general information only. This publication is not a substitute for such professional advice or services, nor should it be used as a basis for any decision or action that may affect your nances or your business.

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