CDS Presentation for BAHEP 2018 Update

Bay Area Houston Economic Partnership

Presented at Business Development Reception November 7, 2018

BAHEP Region ď Ż Represented by 17 Zip Codes

Population Trend – 1990 to 2018 477,733

526,685

544,274

406,765 329,091

Yearly average of 7,685 new residents each year from 1990 to 2018.

3.0% average annual growth 7,097 average each year in the 2000’s.

8,318 average each year in the 2010’s

1990

2000

2010

2016

2018

Households by Income – Bay Area 2000 Census Count Share 146,519

2018 Estimate Count Share 192,816

Change Count % Change 46,297 31.6%

Less than $15,000

15,982

10.9%

13,520

7.0%

-2,462

-15.4%

$15,000 to $24,999

14,557

9.9%

15,362

8.0%

805

5.5%

$25,000 to $34,999

17,843

12.2%

15,412

8.0%

-2,431

-13.6%

$35,000 to $49,999

23,774

16.2%

22,922

11.9%

-852

-3.6%

$50,000 to $74,999

31,526

21.5%

31,480

16.3%

-46

-0.1%

$75,000 to $99,999

19,653

13.4%

24,024

12.5%

4,371

22.2%

$100,000 to $149,999

16,029

10.9%

33,637

17.5%

17,608

109.9%

$150,000 to $249,999

5,692

3.9%

25,210

13.1%

19,518

342.9%

$250,000 to $499,999

1,189

0.8%

7,992

4.1%

6,803

572.2%

$500,000 or more Average Household Income

273 $62,479

0.2%

Household Income Groups - Total Households

3,258 1.7% $100,909

2,985 1,093.4% $38,430 61.5%

Source: US Bureau of the Census 2000, Nielsen/Claritas 2018 estimates – PCensus for Arcview

Labor Force & Occupations – Bay Area 2000 Census Count Share Occupation

Employed Population Age 16+

Architect/Engineer Arts/Entertainment/Sports Building Grounds Maintenance Business/Financial Operations Community/Social Services Computer/Mathematical Construction/Extraction Education/Training/Library Farm/Fish/Forestry Food Preparation/Serving Health Practitioner/Technician Healthcare Support Maintenance and Repair Legal Life/Physical/Social Science Management (including farmers/farm managers) Office/Administration Support Production Protective Services Sales/Related Personal Care/Services Transportation/Moving

193,722 10,346 2,832 4,626 8,596 2,019 6,218 13,917 11,534 381 8,106 8,500 2,227 9,295 1,657 2,750 18,477 28,561 14,258 3,188 22,400 4,193 9,640

2018 Estimate Count Share

267,804 5.3% 1.5% 2.4% 4.4% 1.0% 3.2% 7.2% 6.0% 0.2% 4.2% 4.4% 1.2% 4.8% 0.9% 1.4% 9.5% 14.7% 7.4% 1.7% 11.6% 2.2% 5.0%

9,428 3,482 8,840 13,082 2,589 7,310 20,497 17,105 457 15,417 15,785 4,477 9,760 2,289 2,474 28,188 31,380 17,931 5,842 29,107 6,866 15,499

3.5% 1.3% 3.3% 4.9% 1.0% 2.7% 7.7% 6.4% 0.2% 5.8% 5.9% 1.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.9% 10.5% 11.7% 6.7% 2.2% 10.9% 2.6% 5.8%

Change Count % Change

74,082

38.2%

-918 650 4,214 4,486 570 1092 6,580 5,571 76 7,311 7,285 2,250 465 632 -276 9,711 2819 3,673 2,654 6,707 2,673 5,859

-8.9% 23.0% 91.1% 52.2% 28.2% 17.6% 47.3% 48.3% 19.9% 90.2% 85.7% 101.0% 5.0% 38.1% -10.0% 52.6% 9.9% 25.8% 83.2% 29.9% 63.7% 60.8%

Source: US Bureau of the Census 2000, Nielsen/Claritas 2018 estimates – PCensus for Arcview

Engineers & Architects Roughly one out of ten Houston Area Engineers & Architects live in the Bay Area Bay Area Engineers and Architects = 9,428 3.5% of the labor force Houston MSA Engineers and Architects = 100,416 3.0% of the labor force Source: Nielsen/Claritas 2018 estimates – PCensus for Arcview

Census Employment Trend– 2004 to 2016 164,617 158,235 148,140 150,181

184,304 175,183177,694 172,322 169,093 169,069

193,015 191,475 184,618

3,611 new jobs each year from 2004 to 2016.

2.4% average annual growth

Source: US Bureau of the Census, County Business Patterns, 2016, Does not include government.

Single-Family Housing Market Existing S.F. Home Sales

Total S.F. Homes 2018 = 139,264 units

6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Total S.F Homes before 1990 = 75,347 units

Median Price Trend

Average Price Trend

Houston MSA

BAHEP

Source: Houston Association of Realtors, Nielsen/Claritas 2018 estimates – PCensus for Arcview

2018

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2006

2004

2002

Compared to Houston Overall

$240,000 $220,000 $200,000 $180,000 $160,000 $140,000 $120,000 $100,000 2000

2018

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2006

2004

2002

2000

$275,000 $250,000 $225,000 $200,000 $175,000 $150,000 $125,000 $100,000

New Single-Family Housing New S.F. Home Starts and Closings Total New S.F. Homes built 2008 to 2017 = 15,759 Total New S.F. Homes sold 2008 to 2017 = 16,188

3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500

Starts

Closings

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

0 2006

Average 1,575 built annually from 2008-2017

Apartment Market Annual Apartment Construction, Units

Apartment Occupancy Trend

2017

2015

2013

2011

2009

2007

2005

2003

2001

1999

1997

1995

1993

Total Apartments before 1990 = 39,556 units in 201 properties

2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 1991

Total Apartments 2016 = 55,705 units in 272 Properties

Apartment Rent Trend, $/SF per month

All Source: Enriched Data, Apartment Database

Class A

2014

2015

2013

2011

2009

2007

2005

2003

2001

1999

2017

2015

2013

2011

2009

2007

2005

2003

2001

$1.30 $1.20 $1.10 $1.00 $0.90 $0.80 $0.70 $0.60 $0.50 1999

94% 92% 90% 88% 86% 84% 82% 80%

Office Market

Office Occupancy Trend

2017

2015

2013

2011

2009

2007

2005

2003

2001

1999

1997

1995

1993

Office space before 1990 = 13.21 million square feet

500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 1991

Total Office Space, 2018 = 16.35 million square feet

Annual Office Construction, Square Feet

Office Rent Trend

90%

$19.00

85%

$18.00

80%

$17.00

75%

$16.00

70%

$15.00

Source: Enriched Data, Office Database

3Q 2005 3Q 2006 3Q 2007 3Q 2008 3Q 2009 3Q 2010 3Q 2011 3Q 2012 3Q 2013 3Q 2014 3Q 2015 3Q 2016 3Q 2017 3Q 2018

$20.00

2Q 2005 2Q 2006 2Q 2007 2Q 2008 2Q 2009 2Q 2010 2Q 2011 2Q 2012 2Q 2013 2Q 2014 2Q 2015 2Q 2016 2Q 2017 2Q 2018

95%

Retail Market Total Retail Space, 2018 = 23.57 million square feet Retail space before 1990 = 11.69 million square feet

Annual Retail Construction, Square Feet 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0

Retail Occupancy Trend

Retail Rent Trend

96% 94% 92% 90% 88% 86% 84% 82%

$2.00 $1.80 $1.60 $1.40 $1.20 3Q 2005 3Q 2006 3Q 2007 3Q 2008 3Q 2009 3Q 2010 3Q 2011 3Q 2012 3Q 2013 3Q 2014 3Q 2015 3Q 2016 3Q 2017 3Q 2018

2Q 2005 2Q 2006 2Q 2007 2Q 2008 2Q 2009 2Q 2010 2Q 2011 2Q 2012 2Q 2013 2Q 2014 2Q 2015 2Q 2016 2Q 2017 2Q 2018

$1.00

Source: Enriched Data, Shopping Centers Database, includes only centers with more than 10,000 square feet

Retail Sales – BAHEP Cities Total Retail Sales, Millions $ $5,000 $4,500 $4,000

Drop in Total Sales 2008 to 2010 = -8.9% Increase in Total Sales 2010 to 2013 = 35.3%

$3,500

Increase in Total Sales 2002 to 2017 = 95.1% Taxable Sales steady as a share of Total – 50%-55%

$3,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500

$1,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Total Retail Sales Source: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts

Taxable Retail Sales

Population Projection – 1990-2060 Population in thousands

478 409 329

513 528

559

595

631

688 663 673

706 716

8,010 new residents each year from 1990 to 2010.

6,946 average each year in the 00’s 6,128 average each year 2010 to 2040 2,690 average each year 2040 to 2060

Jobs Projection – 1990-2060 345 325

Jobs in thousands

305 265

174 140

194 200

213

229

247

276

3,360 new jobs each year from 2000 to 2010.

3,035 average each year 2010 to 2040 4,024 average each year 2040 to 2060

Questions/Comments

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1001 South Dairy Ashford Street Suite 450 Charlie Savino Houston, TX 77077 www.cdsmr.com Steve Spillette 281-582-0847 sspillette@cdsmr.com Ty Jacobsen 281-582-0864 tjacobsen@cdsmr.com