AUSTIN MARKET REPORT 1Q 2016
2
AQUILA KNOWS AUSTIN
KEEPING YOU INFORMED AQUILA Commercial is dedicated to
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VIEW FROM THE
EAGLE'S NEST The city of Austin is a funny place. In the thirty minutes it takes to drive the two miles through downtown, it is not out of the question to find cowboy boots walking alongside a pair of flip flops, a suit and tie talking politics with a tie-dye t-shirt, and a street guitarist singing a Willie Nelson song between bites of his street taco—all on the same avenue that lies in the shadows of the dozens of cranes dotting our city’s skyline these days. The most impressive part of such a street is that everyone there is
Clayton Schleimer
more than likely employed—hell, they might
Market Research Analyst
one hundred people moving to the city every
AQUILA Commercial
day, will Austin run out of jobs for all these
schleimer@aquilacommercial.com
even work at the same company. With over
newcomers? Over the last two decades, Austin has maintained one of the lowest unemployment
rates in the country and the lowest among the largest metropolitan areas in Texas, consistently outperforming Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio. Austin's widespread appeal has drawn a diverse pool of talent to the city’s job market, and our commercial real estate industry has undoubtedly been a great beneficiary. When looking at citywide performance over the past twenty years, the current cycle sees overall office vacancy rates at their lowest levels in fifteen years and rental rates at all-time highs, with new records being broken nearly every quarter. The recent strength of the market has begged the question of when the Austin market will peak.
4
VIEW FROM THE EAGLE'S NEST
Unemployment Rates - Seasonally Adjusted Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Austin-Round Rock
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land
San Antonio-New Braunfels
U.S.
Two early indications that a market may be facing a
large, long-term leases, anticipating rapid growth and
downturn are the overall vacancy rate and sublease
taking space defensively, but most of these spaces
activity. While both of these metrics increased this
were not filled with employees. After the tech bubble
quarter, they are not necessarily cause for concern
burst, giant blocks of space were left vacant and rental
upon further examination. While the overall vacancy
rates dropped by more than seven dollars per square
rate increased this quarter, absorption was still positive,
foot (27%). Less than a decade later, the credit crisis
signaling that the increased vacancy rate is largely
hit and unemployment rates rose. Landlords were
due to the delivery of new product. Furthermore,
building new product in a high vacancy market and in a period of low demand.
activity is strong among the newly
delivered
buildings,
indicating that demand is still healthy and
for
well-conceived
well-located
projects.
For a deep-dive into Austin's sublease activity, please refer to this quarter’s special report located on page 7.
“While we’ve seen a slight uptick in sublease space and direct vacancy, activity across all sectors appears to be healthy, and we don’t foresee any major, long-term spikes in vacancy, although we will remain vigilant as the current cycle has seen sustained, robust growth for a very long time.” – Bart Matheney, AQUILA Principal
The current cycle stands apart
5
Texas
This time around, it seems as though tenants, landlords and lenders have taken some lessons away from previous cycles. Unemployment rates are low, leasing activity and rental rates are up, and new office product in the pipeline is mostly well-justified. All signs point to a much more mature
from those in recent history. Although rental rates are
and healthy Austin office market – one where the
continuously reaching new heights, they are rising at
hippies and cowboys alike can carry on in harmony,
a much more deliberate rate than the previous two
knowing that the cranes overhead will continue to
cycles, and they are rising for much healthier reasons.
provide them a desirable place to live, work and eat
In the early 2000’s, tech companies were signing
tacos. At least for now.
VIEW FROM THE EAGLE'S NEST
20 Year Citywide Performance
$45
27%
$40
24%
$35
21%
$30
18%
$25
15%
$20
12%
$15
9%
$10
6%
$5
3%
$0
0%
Class A Full Service Rental Rate
Vacancy Rate
30%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Citywide Construction vs Vacancy Rate 5,000,000
30%
4,500,000
27%
4,000,000
24%
3,500,000
21%
3,000,000
18%
2,500,000
15%
2,000,000
12%
1,500,000
9%
1,000,000
6%
500,000
3%
0
0%
SF Under Construction Pre-Leased
SF Under Construction Available
Vacancy Rate
Source: CBRE Statistics
SF Under Construction
Rental Rate
Source: CBRE Statistics
$50
Overall Vacancy Rate
6
Research Park Plaza IV
SUBLEASE SURGE: INSIDE AUSTIN'S GROWING SUBLEASE MARKET A hot topic in the commercial real estate world recently has been the topic of sublease space. As the U.S. market comes off a historic year in 2015, analysts around the country are pointing to subleases as a leading indicator of what might be expected in the future. Often, an increase in sublease availability can be indicative of some other macro-level factor1. For example, in 2015, plummeting oil prices caused Houston’s sublease availability to grow to nearly 15% of its total available office space2, and San Francisco is seeing its highest sublease availabilities since 2010, due to slowing venture capital investments and overall hiring3. Given recent interest in the topic, AQUILA decided to take a deeper dive into the data to understand the composition of Austin’s subleases and what effect these subleases may have on our overall market. In examining a set of 200+ class A & B office buildings totaling 29,666,500 sf of rentable area in Austin’s three major submarkets (AQUILA’s “competitive set”), there is 728,849 square feet available for sublease this quarter— the highest amount since 2010. This accounts for 22.81% of total available space, but only 2.34% of total rentable area. Absorption in these buildings is consistently high, indicating that, while some tenants are putting sublease space on the market, there are more tenants ready to take those availabilities off the market.
7
SPECIAL REPORT Figure 1: Competitive Set Sublease Availability as % of NRA vs Net Absorption Figure 1: Competitive Set Sublease Availability as % of NRA vs Net Absorption Source: AQUILA Market Research
1,500,000
12.5%
1,250,000
10.0%
1,000,000
Net Absorption
Sublease Availability as % of Net Rentable Area
2016 Q1
2015 Q4
2015 Q3
2015 Q2
2015 Q1
2014 Q4
2014 Q3
2014 Q2
2014 Q1
2013 Q4
2013 Q3
2013 Q2
2013 Q1
2012 Q4
2012 Q3
2012 Q2
2012 Q1
2011 Q4
2011 Q3
2011 Q2
2011 Q1
2010 Q4
2010 Q3
2010 Q2
2010 Q1
2009 Q4
2009 Q3
2009 Q2
2009 Q1
2008 Q4
-500,000 2008 Q3
-5.0% 2008 Q2
-250,000
2008 Q1
-2.5%
2007 Q4
0
2007 Q3
0.0%
2007 Q2
250,000
2007 Q1
2.5%
2006 Q4
500,000
2006 Q3
5.0%
2006 Q2
750,000
2006 Q1
7.5%
Net Absorption (SF)
Source: AQUILA Market Research
15.0%
Average Sublease Availability as % of Net Rentable Area
Figure 2: Competitive Set Market Size and Availability Source: AQUILA Market Figure 2: Competitive Set Market SizeResearch and Availability Source: AQUILA Market Research
35,000,000
30,000,000
20,000,000
15,000,000
10,000,000
5,000,000
Sublease Available SF
Direct Available SF
2016 Q1
2015 Q4
2015 Q3
2015 Q2
2015 Q1
2014 Q4
2014 Q3
2014 Q2
2014 Q1
2013 Q4
2013 Q3
2013 Q2
2013 Q1
2012 Q4
2012 Q3
2012 Q2
2012 Q1
2011 Q4
2011 Q3
2011 Q2
2011 Q1
2010 Q4
2010 Q3
2010 Q2
2010 Q1
2009 Q4
2009 Q3
2009 Q2
2009 Q1
2008 Q4
2008 Q3
2008 Q2
2008 Q1
2007 Q4
2007 Q3
2007 Q2
2007 Q1
2006 Q4
2006 Q3
2006 Q2
0 2006 Q1
Square Feet
25,000,000
Occupied SF
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SPECIAL REPORT
THE NITTY-GRITTY: AQUILA analyzed over one hundred individual subleases active as of January 2016 to get a better idea of what is happening on a more granular level with each availability. We sought to understand if there is a specific industry unloading the majority of space on the market (i.e. Houston or San Francisco) as well as determine how increased sublease availability competes with directly available space. When analyzing the individual subleases, we first narrowed our focus to availabilities in competitive set buildings. Next, we broke them down by size ranges, determining that subleases greater than ten thousand square feet would have the most impact on the market, and then proceeded to break those down by years remaining on their term and the industry of the sublessor. Out of the 115 subleases analyzed, 77 were in the competitive set buildings, 23 of those 77 were larger than ten thousand square feet (78% of total sf), and only nine of those 23 had more than three years remaining on their term, totaling 275,577 sf. A visual breakdown of these subleases by total square feet can be seen in Figure 3.
Subleases by Size
All Subleases
(Competitive SubleasesSet byBuildings) Size
All Subleases
Non-Competitive Set Building
Non-Competitive Set Building
Competitive Set Building
Competitive Set Building
Sublessors by Industry (Greater than 3 years) Sublessors by Industry
Technology
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Financial Services
Other
Business Services
Technology
Financial Services
Other
Business Services
Less than 10,000 SF Less than 10,000 SF
Greater than 10,000 SF
Greater than 10,000 SF
Subleases by Term Remaining (Greater 10,000 SF) Subleases bythan Term Remaining
Less than 3 Years
Less than 3 years
Greater than 3 Years
Greater than 3 years
SPECIAL REPORT
NOT ALL SUBLEASES ARE CREATED EQUAL Even though there has been an increase in the supply of available space for sublease, this does not mean that the universe of Austin sublessors are all putting their space on the market for negative reasons: downsizing; bankruptcy; moving to a different market; etc. Many of the smaller, shorter-term subleases (those with less than three years of remaining term) are available simply due to tenants signing new leases elsewhere near the end of their current leases. In fact, several of the larger, longer-term subleases are available due to a positive event within the company, such as outgrowing their current space. Some of the notable larger subleases are explained below:
•
Charles Schwab (SCHW) has the largest competitive long-term sublease available: 96,334 sf at Research Park Plaza IV with a term through the end of March 2022. This large block of two full floors is not enough space for the financial services company’s expanding IT division, so it will be moving within the northwest submarket to its new campus near the Domain.
•
Apple (AAPL) is listing its old 24,478 sf space at CityView Centre as the technology giant continues to grow and consolidate its presence in Austin to accommodate up to 7,000 employees. Apple currently occupies space in the northwest submarket at Riata Crossing and are waiting tenant finishouts at Capital Ridge in the Southwest submarket, where it signed a 215,000 sf lease last spring.
•
Main Street Hub took 47,000 sf at One Congress Plaza in October 2015, leading the company to sublease its four floors at Perry Brooks Tower with a term through February 2019. Two floors are already taken, with two remaining available, totaling 11,200 sf. The social media marketing company’s explosive growth resulted in it becoming one of the largest tech tenants in downtown Austin.
•
Outbound Engine—another email and social media marketing company—is experiencing similar growth. It is currently marketing 11,199 sf for sublease at Lavaca Plaza after its recent expansion into 40,000 sf at San Jacinto Center. Its Lavaca space is available through April 2020.
•
EZ Corp (EZPW) currently has the longest available term remaining on its sublease offering. The pawn shop chain eliminated its payday-lending service in August of 20154, less than a year after it signed a 140,000 sf lease in Rollingwood Center, unloading 2 full floors totaling about 65,000 sf on to the market with a term through August 2028. These large blocks of space are quickly getting absorbed, however, as Data Foundry signed for the second floor in February 2016, and another transaction is in the works to take part of the third floor as of March 2016.
•
Dropbox is marketing the third floor at 501 Congress: 20,396 sf through August 2019. The San Francisco tech startup recently had its valuation cut from $10 billion to $2 billion as investors are skeptical about its growth potential in a competitive market5.
•
Parsley Energy (PE) will be listing the 21st floor in Colorado Tower for sublease as it feels the effects of the recent drop in oil prices, less than a year after they relocated their headquarters from Midland, Texas to Austin. This 24,148 sf sublease—the largest downtown—accounts for less than twenty percent of their 135,000 sf footprint in the building and is only marketed as an 18-month term with a target commencement date of July 2016.
10
Capital Ridge by Miguel Segura, courtesy of Riverside Resources
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR YOU? Landlords: With an increased supply of product on the market, keep in mind that you might have more competition for your space. Because underlying rental rates for subleases could have been locked in years ago, their rates could be significantly lower than the direct market rates in comparable buildings. Also, with higher direct rental rates, tenants could be looking for shorter-term deals in hope of a slow-down in the market. It is also important to note that, despite the increasing supply of sublease availabilities, overall absorption is still healthy, signifying that, while tenants might be moving out of their spaces early, there are still plenty more looking for new office space. The sublease market should not be ignored, and we will certainly be keeping an eye on it to see how it affects the overall market in coming quarters.
Tenants: If you are looking for a smaller space that is less than 10,000 sf, you would be well-served to check out the sublease market – particularly if you are looking for lower rental rates. Also, because it is currently a landlord’s market, owners are pushing longer terms on new deals, so a sublease would allow for extra flexibility. However, proceed with caution, because after the sublease term is up, you will be brought up to market rate, likely with no options or rights to extend your lease.
11
1
Weber, J. (2016, February 12). Availability of Sublease Space as an Economic Indicator. Retrieved from https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/availability-sublease-space-economicindicator-jesse-weber
2
Henry, M. (2016, March 11). Just how bad is Houston's sublease market? Retrieved from http://www.bizjournals.com/houston/news/2016/03/11/just-how-bad-is-houstonssublease-market.html
3
Vekshin, A. (2016, March 24). Tech Slowdown Seen in San Francisco's Commercial-Property Market. Retrieved from http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-03-24/ tech-slowdown-seen-in-san-francisco-s-commercial-property-market
4
Theis, M. (2015, August 10). After layoffs, EZCorp cuts back on HQ space; Rollingwood subleases available. Retrieved from http://www.bizjournals.com/austin/blog/realestate/2015/08/after-layoffs-ezcorp-cuts-back-on-hq-space.html
5
Manjoo, F. (2016, February 03). Dropbox May Not Be LeBron James, but It Is Still in the Game. Retrieved from http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/04/technology/dropboxmay-not-be-lebron-james-but-it-is-still-in-the-game.html?em_pos=large
AUSTIN CITYWIDE 1Q UPDATE 225,653 SF Net Absorption
10.14%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
$37.08
Avg. Class A Full Service Rental Rate
Conference room in University Park; By Third Eye Photography
12
SNAPSHOT:
CAPITAL MARKETS MAJOR SALES TRANSACTIONS 900
SOLD CONGRESS Market
BRIARCROFT
SOLD BUILDING Market
CBD
NW
Market
North B
Class
B
Class
B
Class
Size (SF)
64,644
Size (SF)
63,825
Size (SF)
60,485
Buyer
Cielo
Buyer
Valor Capital
Buyer
Valor Capital
Seller
900 Congress I, Ltd.
Seller
Oak Point
Seller
Oak Point
Price
N/A
Price
$10,200,000
Price
$9,700,000
Price/SF
N/A
Price/SF
$160
Price/SF
$160
PARMER BUSINESS
SOLD PARK
900 Congress
13
THE CONTINENTAL
SOLD BUILDING
UNIVERSITY
SOLD PARK
Market
NW
Market
Central
Class
B
Class
A
Size (SF)
257,468
Size (SF)
206,657
Buyer
US Real Estate Investment Fund, LLC
Buyer
Lionstone
Seller
Parmer Business Park, LLC; RREEF America, LLC
Seller
Spear Street Capital
Price
$55,550,000
Price
N/A
Price/SF
$215.75
Price/SF
N/A
MAJOR LEASES SIGNED Leases signed this quarter over 20,000 sf:
NORTHWEST • Navitus Health Solutions signed a 25,937 sf lease at the recently delivered Research Park Plaza V building. • CalAtlantic Homes took 22,285 sf at Paloma Ridge Bldg B. They are the first tenant to sign a deal at Paloma Ridge, a project that delivered in 2015.
• Oracle renewed its 44,712 sf lease at Stonebridge Plaza II while its new campus is being built just southeast of downtown.
• TriNet signed a new lease at Riata Corporate Park Bldg 4 for 33,557 sf. • Accruent is relocating and consolidating its Austin headquarters into 104,448 sf at Domain 4. The real estate software firm will be moving from its offices at Braker Pointe II and Quarry Oaks II.
SOUTHWEST
• Data Foundry signed a sublease for 37,883 sf of EZ Corp’s space at Rollingwood Center. • BPL Plasma signed a new lease for 25,216 sf at The Terrace 7.
• Q2ebanking, who is located at Aspen Lake Two, signed for 21,262 sf at The Park on Barton Creek Bldg 2, which will be their first office in Southwest Austin.
OFFICE SUBMARKET MAP:MAP: OFFICE SUBMARKET
Round Round Rock Rock Cedar Park
Cedar Park
CBD
CBD
Pflugerville Pflugerville
Lake Travis
North
McNeil
Arboretum Arboretum
Central
North
McNeil
Lake Travis
Central
Northwest
Northwest
Domain
Southwest
Domain
Southwest
South/Southeast
South/Southeast
East/Northeast
East/Northeast Round Rock Round Rock
Tarrytown West Lake Hills West Lake Hills
Tarrytown
Austin Austin
Sunset Valley
Sunset Valley
ABIA
ABIA
Buda
Buda
14
AUSTIN OFFICE
DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE This timeline shows office projects over 30,000 SF that have either broken ground or will be breaking ground soon.
2016
2017
2Q
1Q
Eastside Village
94,500 SF
East
5th + Colorado
179,000 SF
CBD
La Frontera Plaza
97,941 SF
Round Rock
Braker Pointe III*
195,230 SF
Northwest
Pioneer Bank Building
46,000 SF
Central
The Diamond Building at Mueller
35,015 SF
East
*Already existing-coming to market 2Q 2016
4Q
15
290,983
Northwest
489,404 SF
CBD
2Q
801 Barton Springs
3Q
Domain 8
500 W 2nd
90,500
South
3Q
Shoal Creek Walk
218,432 SF
CBD
îƒĄ PLANNED Future Developments
Future Developments
405 Colorado
TBD SF
CBD
Riata Crossing Bldg 6
49,716 SF
Northwest
604 W 6th Street
31,035 SF
CBD
Frontera Ridge
400,000 SF
Round Rock
Austin American Statesman
TBD SF
CBD
St. Elmo
225,000 SF
South
Novare/Post Office
TBD SF
CBD
Galleria Oaks I & II
147,928 SF
Southwest
Rainey Gateway
355,000 SF
CBD
Lantana Ridge I & II
175,000 SF
Southwest
Third + Shoal
338,279 SF
CBD
Overwatch Campus Phase II
123,525 SF
Southwest
Waller Creek Center
325,000 SF
CBD
Regency Park
90,000 SF
Southwest
310 Comal
37,500 SF
East
Rollingwood Center III
107,000 SF
Southwest
Cityline at MLK
150,000 SF
East
Southwest
2,000,000 SF
East
The Backyard Buildings B, J, & H
171,450 SF
Mueller Market District Plaza Saltillo
125,000 SF
East
The Lakes at TechRidge Buildings A & B
97,600 SF
East
The Park @ Mueller
116,000 SF
East
10721 Domain Dr.
308,000 SF
Northwest
Amber Oaks Phase I
90,300 SF
Northwest
Amber Oaks Phase II
90,300 SF
Northwest
Amber Oaks Phase III
45,000 SF
Northwest
Aspen Lake Three
128,700 SF
Northwest
Four Points Centre Building 3
250,000 SF
Northwest
Four Points Centre Building 4
80,000 SF
Northwest
Paloma Ridge C
112,500 SF
Northwest
Research Park Bldg 6
117,314 SF
Northwest
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 1
65,000 SF
Northwest
The Terrace 3
203,130 SF
Southwest
The Terrace 4
285,663 SF
Southwest
The Terrace 5
218,809 SF
Southwest
16
CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT 1Q UPDATE The streets of downtown Austin are more crowded than ever as CBD vacancy rates fell even further this quarter to a staggeringly low 5.94%, down from an already-low 7.07% last quarter. The CBD also accounted for nearly half of the office space absorbed this quarter: 109,480 sf out of 225,653 sf citywide, indicating that the CBD is the best performing of the three primary submarkets in Austin.
109,480 SF Net Absorption
5.94%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
$47.52
Avg. Class A Full Service Rental Rate
View from 4th Floor of 900 Congress; Photo by: Scott Mason Photography
18
CBD UPDATE This increased occupancy comes in the
$43.83. The last time the CBD experienced
wake of significantly higher full service
a year-over-year increase in rental rates this large was in early 2008, when rates were
asking rates as 2016 property valuations are now accounted for in all of the buildings’ operating expenses. The high demand for quality office space downtown, coupled
19
$4.13 higher than their 2007 Q1 value of $31.53. Today’s record high asking rates led to three downtown office properties
with significantly higher operating expenses,
breaking the $600.00/sf1 valuation mark:
brought the average Class A full service asking rate to $47.52–up nearly four dollars from last year’s first quarter value of
501 Congress ($651.86/sf); Perry Brooks Tower ($646.14/sf); and Frost Bank Tower ($626.36/sf).
When focusing in on AQUILA’s CBD competitive set (this list of Class A buildings
the delivery date, however, was delayed to Q2 2016. The building is now 82% pre-
located in, or near, the core of downtown can be found on page 49), existing vacancy
leased after two major leases were signed
dropped to 5.26%. It’s worth noting that a
this quarter by co-working space Industrious and local fashion designer Sherri Hill. The
significant portion of this available space comes from sublease availabilities, which
other two major CBD office projects under development and set to deliver in 2017,
account for over 100,000 sf of the 239,406
500 West 2nd Street and Shoal Creek Walk,
sf available. (For a more in-depth analysis of Austin’s recent sublease activity, refer to this
reached preleasing rates of 43% and 61% respectively. With this strong preleasing
quarter’s special report on page 7.)
activity and controlled development pipeline, downtown Austin appears to be bursting at the seams—which is undoubtedly impacting the rest of the market.
Lincoln Property Group’s downtown project, 5th + Colorado, was set to deliver this quarter and add 179,000 sf to our competitive set;
Property values based upon Travis County Appraisal District’s 2016 assessed values. Image: Bicycles at Park Plaza; By: Scott Mason Photography 1
20
CBD
BY THE NUMBERS CBD SUBMARKET Quarter
Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Net Absorption*
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2014 Q2
9,084,414
1,021,461
(13,728)
11.96%
$40.88
2014 Q3
9,252,285
1,041,014
153,098
11.90%
$41.39
2014 Q4
9,252,285
802,517
227,661
9.44%
$43.13
2015 Q1
9,768,770
1,135,835
139,236
12.81%
$43.83
2015 Q2
9,809,755
870,240
291,638
10.20%
$41.90
2015 Q3
9,809,755
672,222
232,375
7.83%
$44.17
2015 Q4
9,732,884
631,228
3,066
7.07%
$43.64
2016 Q1
9,732,884
565,112
109,480
5.94%
*Absorption includes sublease space
NET ABSORPTION 15%
12%
900
9%
600
6%
300
3%
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Direct Available SF
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
Sublease Available SF
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Absorption (Thousands of SF)
1,200
Vacancy Rate
Availability (Thousands of SF)
1,500
0%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
24%
$47
21%
$46
18%
$45
15%
$44
12%
$43
9%
$42
6%
$41
3%
2014 Q3
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
21
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Vacancy Rate
Rental Rate
$48
2014 Q2
95%
250
93%
200
91%
150
89%
100
87%
50
85%
0
83%
(50)
VACANCY RATES VS. RENTAL RATES
$40
300
0%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Net Absorption*
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
81%
Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate
Occupancy Rate
AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
0
$47.52 Numbers based on CBRE statistics.
AUSTIN CBD OFFICE RENTAL RATE PROJECTIONS $60 $55
3% Job Growth
$50
Full Service Rental Rates
1% Job Growth $45 $40 $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Historic Rental Rate
2010
2011
AQUILA Model
2012
2013
3% Job Growth
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
1% Job Growth
AUSTIN CBD OFFICE VACANCY RATE PROJECTIONS Shoal Creek Walk
35%
11.0
500 W. 2nd
25%
Total Vacancy Rate
10.5
5th + Colorado Northshore
10.0
20%
9.5
15%
9.0
10%
8.5
5%
8.0
0% 2004
2005
2006
2007 Market Size
2008
2009
2010
Historic Vacancy Rate
2011
2012
AQUILA Model
2013
2014
3% Job Growth
2015
2016
2017
Market Size (Millions of SF)
30%
7.5
1% Job Growth
22
CBD DEVELOPMENT & LARGE AVAILABILITY
23
LARGE BLOCKS OF CONTIGUOUS AVAILABILITY Building
One Congress Plaza Perry Brooks Tower
Available SF
Max. Contiguous
44,055 SF
31,037 SF
1,409 (direct) + 28,000 SF (sublease)
22,400 SF (sublease)
20,000 SF + of available space
OFFICE PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION Building
Est. Delivery
% Preleased
Total SF
500 W 2nd
43%
489,404 SF
1Q 2017
5th + Colorado
28%
179,000 SF
1Q 2016
NorthShore 801 Barton Springs Shoal Creek Walk
100%
23,592 SF
1Q 2016
0%
90,500 SF
2Q 2017
61%
218,432 SF
3Q 2017
HOTEL/RESIDENTIAL UNDER CONSTRUCTION Units/Rooms
5th & West
Units/Rooms
Est. Delivery
154 Units
4Q 2017
422 Rooms
3Q 2017
1,066 Rooms
3Q 2017
Hotel Indigo/Holiday Inn Express
300 Rooms
2Q 2016
Hyatt House Hotel
190 Rooms
4Q 2016
436 Units
1Q 2017
The Austin Proper
250 Rooms, 120 Units
2Q 2017
The Independent
370 Units
3Q 2018
Aloft & Element Fairmont
NorthShore
FUTURE/PLANNED DEVELOPMENTS Units/Rooms
405 Colorado 604 W 6th Street
Size/Units
Use
TBD
Office
31,035 SF
Office
Austin American Statesman
TBD
Office
Novare/Post Office
TBD
Office
Rainey Gateway
355,000 SF
Office
Third + Shoal
338,279 SF
Office
Waller Creek Center
325,000 SF
Office
70 Rainey
164 Units
Multifamily
TBD
Multifamily
Rise - 8th & Nueces
196 Units
Multifamily
Hotel Zaza/Gables
226 Units, 160 Rooms
Hotel/Multifamily
Green Water Residential Tower
24
AVAILABILITY SUMMARY
CBD CLASS A SUBLEASE SPACE AVAILABLE SPACE
32 31 30
23
29
29
28
28
27
27
26
26
26
25
25
25
24
24
24
23
23
23
22
22
21
21
20
20
22
22
22
31,051 SF
22
21
21
21
32,603 SF
21
1,414 SF
20
32,603 SF
20
19
19
33,931 SF
19
18
18
18
33,931 SF
18
18
18
17
17
17
17
31,822 SF
17
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
31,822 SF
16
2,960 SF
16
16
16
15
15
15
31,530 SF
15
2,018 SF
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
23,798 SF
14
6,914 SF
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
4,965 SF
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
12
5,487 SF
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
4,118 SF5,651 SF
3
3
3
3
3
3
6,593 SF
2
2
4,669 SF
2
6,432 SF2,358 SF
2
2
2
2
2
3,545 SF
2
7,887 SF
1
1
1
2,195 SF
1
1
1
1
1
8,860 SF
1
20 19
15 5,855 SF
2,809 SF
2,893 SF
20 1,421 SF
942 SF
1,889 SF
7,254 SF3,722 SF
1,648 SF
17,436 SF
4,214 SF
20,396 SF
18,927 SF
19
19
19,087 SF
2,985 SF
782 SF
3
100 Congress 100 Congress Ave.
300 W 6th 300 W 6th St.
301 Congress 301 Congress Ave.
400 W 15th 400 W 15th St.
500 W 2nd 500 W 2nd St.
501 Congress 501 Congress Ave.
515 Congress 515 Congress Ave.
5th + Colorado 201 W 5th St.
600 Congress 600 Congress Ave.
411,536 SF 22 Floors 95% Leased $36.50 - $37.00 NNN $20.84 Op/Ex $57.34 - $57.84 Gross
454,225 SF 23 Floors 99% Leased $36.00 NNN $21.75 Op/Ex $57.75 Gross
428,419 SF 22 Floors 96% Leased $34.00 - $35.00 NNN $19.55 Op/Ex $53.55 - $54.55 Gross
281,196 SF 17 Floors 97% Leased $26.00 NNN $15.92 Op/Ex $41.92 Gross
500,436 SF 29 Floors 43% Pre-Leased $36.50 NNN $15.50 Op/Ex $52.00 Gross
122,551 SF 5 Floors 85% Leased $20.00 - $35.00 NNN 20.93 Op/Ex $40.93 - $55.93 Gross
258,176 SF 26 Floors 98% Leased $33.00 NNN $18.05 Op/Ex $51.05 Gross
179,000 SF 18 Floors 82% Pre-Leased $33.00 - $40.00 NNN $15.20 Op/Ex $48.20 - $55.20 Gross
503,951 SF 32 Floors 97% Leased $34.00 NNN $18.75 Op/Ex $52.75 Gross
25
Availability Summary
18
33 32 31 30
30
30
29
29
29
28
28
28
27
27
27
26
26
25
25
24
24
24
23
23
23
22
22
22
21
21
21
21
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
19
19
19
19
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
17
17
17
17
17
16,711 SF
18 17
25
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
21,218 SF
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
21,218 SF
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
21,218 SF
10
10
10
10
1,761 SF
10
10
21,218 SF
9
9
9
9
23,142 SF
9
9
11
7,322 SF
10
10 9
2,110 SF
7 6
12,648 SF 2,522 SF
5
5,418 SF
9 1,993 SF
8
8
8
8
7,895 SF
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
2,118 SF
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
8
8
11,216 SF
4
963 SF 3,520 SF
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
1,716 SF
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2 10,821 SF
26 4,471
1
4,428 SF
6,072 SF
816 Congress 816 Congress Ave.
Austin Centre 701 Brazos St.
Chase Tower 221 W 6th St.
Colorado Tower 303 Colorado St.
Frost Bank Tower 401 Congress Ave.
IBC Bank Plaza 500 W 5th St.
One Congress Plaza 111 Congress Ave.
San Jacinto Center 98 San Jacinto Blvd.
Shoal Creek Walk 835 W 6th St.
434,081 SF 20 Floors 97% Leased $27.00 - $32.00 NNN $17.59 Op/Ex $44.59 - $49.59 Gross
326,335 SF 16 Floors 93% Leased $28.00 NNN $17.65 Op/Ex $45.65 Gross
389,503 SF 21 Floors 95% Leased $32.00 NNN $19.84 Op/Ex $51.84 Gross
373,334 SF 30 Floors 100% Leased $34.00 NNN $16.83 Op/Ex $50.83 Gross
535,078 SF 33 Floors 100% Leased $38.00 - $40.00 NNN $21.75 Op/Ex $59.75 - $61.75 Gross
194,749 SF 13 Floors 100% Leased $33.00 NNN $21.0 Op/Ex $54.00 Gross
518,385 SF 30 Floors 89% Leased $32.00 - $40.00 NNN $17.77 Op/Ex $49.77 - $57.77 Gross
406,279 SF 21 Floors 100% Leased $36.00 NNN $18.75 Op/Ex $54.75 Gross
218,432 SF 14 Floors 61% Pre-Leased $31.00 - $35.00 NNN $16.50 Op/Ex $47.50 - $51.50 Gross
26
Park Forest Building B; Photo by Scott Mason Photography
NORTHWEST SUBMARKET 1Q UPDATE The Northwest submarket was the only submarket to see increased vacancy rates and decreased asking rental rates; however, the Northwest submarket still holds great opportunity for both landlords and tenants alike depending on where within the market you look. New product has been delivered in five of the last eight quarters, making it appear as though supply is catching up with demand in this area.
64,911 SF Net Absorption
11.17%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
$33.77
Avg. Class A Full Service Rental Rate
28
NORTHWEST
SUBMARKET UPDATE This quarter AQUILA’s dataset grew by over 1.3
to fill the remainder of the building. Domain 5 is
million square feet in the Northwest submarket. The
completely leased by Trend Micro, keeping in line with the tech-heavy tenant mix in northwest Aus-
bulk of this space comes from IBM’s Broadmoor Campus. Late last year, IBM sold its 50% interest in the 1.1 million sf site to Brandywine Realty Trust, who is now leasing the available space. The majority of the campus is still occupied by IBM, with only 13% (144,818 sf) available for lease now. Two other projects also delivered this quarter: Domain 1 (124,571 sf) and Domain 5 (78,987 sf). Domain 1 is currently vacant, but has one lease signed and several other active deals in the works
29
tin. All three of these buildings are within the Domain/Arboretum Micromarket, bringing its overall vacancy rate to its highest level since Q4 2014. However, with several deals in negotiations in The Domain and surrounding area, we project that this vacancy rate jump is not indicative of future micromarket performance. The newly available Broadmoor campus and Domain buildings paint an interesting picture for the future of Northwest Austin. As demand and rental rates downtown continue to grow, employers are
Northwest Micromarkets Round Rock Cedar Park
FAR NORTHWEST/ ROUND ROCK Pugerville
Lake Travis
McNeil
Arboretum
Domain
ARBORETUM
SHEPHERD MOUNTAIN
West Lake Hills
Tarrytown
Austin
looking for areas with comparable amenities and several dollars cheaper per square foot than the Dolower rental rates. Brandywine plans to redevelop main. This is even evident on an individual campus the IBM campus into a mixed-use development, level, as projects like 7700 Parmer continuously hoping to ride the momentum at the Domain. outperform those closer to the core of Austin due to Charles Schwab will its plethora of builtalso be moving closer in amenities. As to the action in the Austin’s population Domain as the comcontinues to grow, AS DEMAND AND RENTAL RATES pany puts its current relying on traditionDOWNTOWN CONTINUE TO GROW, space at Research al modes of transEMPLOYERS ARE LOOKING FOR AREAS Park Plaza IV on the portation to move WITH COMPARABLE AMENITIES AND sublease market this around our city will LOWER RENTAL RATES. quarter and begins only become more its transition to its new challenging. Accampus. Other projcordingly, we exects in the Northwest, such as Paloma Ridge and pect to see tenants continue to demonstrate a prefResearch Park Plaza, are experiencing more diffi- erential bias toward sites and buildings that afford culty filling their space, despite offering rental rates the live/work/play lifestyle for their employees. Left page photo: 7700 Parmer has many on-site amenities, including a state-of-the-art fitness center. Photo by Third Eye Photography
30
NORTHWEST
BY THE NUMBERS NORTHWEST OVERALL SUBMARKET PERFORMANCE Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Net Absorption*
2014 Q2
16,697,337
1,493,813
(12,658)
10.02%
$29.89
2014 Q3
16,697,337
1,566,544
(103,939)
10.64%
$30.65
2014 Q4
16,817,337
1,540,054
137,486
10.46%
$30.83
2015 Q1
17,154,310
1,879,975
98,887
11.65%
$32.06
2015 Q2
17,269,310
1,819,734
116,457
11.56%
$32.74
2015 Q3
17,269,310
1,665,124
276,295
9.96%
$33.26
2015 Q4
17,535,625
1,283,335
410,012
8.99%
$34.14
2016 Q1
18,039,828
1,868,483
64,911
11.17%
$33.77
*Absorption includes sublease space
Numbers based on CBRE statistics.
2,500
15%
2,000
12%
1,500
9%
1,000
6%
500
3%
0
0%
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Direct Available SF
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
Sublease Available SF
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
16%
$34
13%
$32
10%
$30
7%
2014 Q3
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
95%
450
93%
300
91%
150
89%
0
87%
4%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Net Absorption*
Vacancy Rate
Rental Rate
$36
2014 Q2
600
(150)
VACANCY RATES VS. RENTAL RATES
$28
Absorption (Thousands of SF)
NET ABSORPTION
Vacancy Rate
Availability (Thousands of SF)
AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
31
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
85%
Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate
Occupancy Rate
Quarter
NORTHWEST SUBMARKET OFFICE RENTAL RATE PROJECTIONS $40
3% Job Growth
Full Service Rental Rates
$35
1% Job Growth $30
$25
$20
$15 2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Historic Rental Rate
2010
2011
AQUILA Model
2012
2013
3% Job Growth
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
1% Job Growth
NORTHWEST SUBMARKET OFFICE VACANCY RATE PROJECTIONS 30%
Braker Pointe III
Domain 8
20
Total Vacancy Rate
20%
16
1% Job Growth 14
15%
3% Job Growth
10%
5%
0% 2004
12
Market Size (Millions of SF)
18
25%
10
2005
2006
2007 Market Size
2008
2009
2010
Historic Vacancy Rate
2011
2012
AQUILA Model
2013
2014
3% Job Growth
2015
2016
2017
8
1% Job Growth
32
NORTHWEST AUSTIN LARGE OFFICE AVAILABILITY 20,000 SF + of available space
Building
1
7700 Parmer - Bldg B
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Total Available SF
31,500
-
31,500
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Total Available SF
Research Park Number Five
43,172
-
43,172
Building
16
2
7700 Parmer - Bldg C
23,693
-
23,693
17
Research Park Place 8
33,518
-
33,518
3
Amber Oaks F
79,732
-
79,732
18
Research Park Plaza IV
3,355
96,334
99,689
4
Amber Oaks J
6,245
33,147
39,392
19
Research Park Plaza V
95,292
95,292
5
Atrium Office Centre
23,732
-
23,732
20
Research Tech Center Bldg 2
22,295
22,295
6
Austin Oaks
43,080
2,659
45,739
21
Reserve at Bull Creek B
43,713
43,713
7
Domain 1
86,271
86,271
22
Reserve at Bull Creek C
43,695
43,695
8
Domain 3
9
IBM Broadmoor Campus
10
Lakewood Center I
-
20,041
20,041
23
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 4
57,118
-
57,118
144,818
24
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 5
22,867
-
22,867
45,020
45,020
25
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 7
21,477
21,477
144,818 -
11
Paloma Ridge A
106,200
-
106,200
26
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 8
45,457
45,457
12
Paloma Ridge B
83,915
-
83,915
27
River Place Corp Park Bldg VII
-
21,477
21,477
13
Park Central I
15,375
23,326
38,701
28
The Park at 8300 N. MoPac
6,911
31,958
38,869
14
Park Centre Bldg. 3
49,828
5,397
55,225
29
Travesia Corporate Park 1-3
34,226
33,945
68,171
15
Prominent Pointe I
37,597
-
37,597
30
UFCU Plaza
32,797
-
32,797
33
NORTHWEST AUSTIN OFFICE DEVELOPMENT Building
Total SF
Percent Preleased
Estimated Delivery
Status
1
Braker Point III*
195,230
0%
3Q 2016
Coming to Market
2
Domain 8
290,983
0%
3Q 2017
Under Construction
3
La Frontera Plaza
97,941
89%
2Q 2016
Under Construction
4
10721 Domain Dr.
308,000
0%
Planned
Planned
5
Amber Oaks Phase I
90,300
0%
Planned
Planned
6
Amber Oaks Phase II
90,300
0%
Planned
Planned
7
Amber Oaks Phase III
45,000
0%
Planned
Planned
8
Aspen Lake Three
128,700
0%
Planned
Planned
9
Frontera Ridge
400,000
0%
Planned
Planned
10
Four Points Centre Bldg 3
250,000
0%
Planned
Planned
11
Four Points Centre Bldg 4
80,000
0%
Planned
Planned
12
Paloma Ridge C
112,500
0%
Planned
Planned
13
Research Park Bldg 6
117,314
0%
Planned
Planned
14
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 1
65,000
0%
Planned
Planned
15
Riata Crossing Bldg 6
49,716
0%
Planned
Planned
*Already existing - Coming to market 3Q 2016
Planned
Under Construction
34
SOUTHWEST SUBMARKET 1Q UPDATE The first three months of 2016 witnessed increased growth in the Southwest submarket. Last quarter, the asking full service rental rates for all Class A buildings in the Southwest submarket climbed to a record high $35.85/sf. This quarter topped the previous record at $36.65/sf. That is almost a 9% growth rate if annualized. The competitive set mimicked this trend, jumping to a new record at $38.67/sf.
View from Latinworks in Rollingwood Center
57,396 SF Net Absorption
9.25%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
$36.65
Avg. Class A Full Service Rental Rate
SOUTHWEST
SUBMARKET UPDATE Lake Travis
The vacancy rate remained low at 9.25%— over three hundred basis points lower than the 3Q 2015 vacancy rate of 12.29%. The steady rise in rental rates and the decline in the vacancy rate point to the continued popularity of the Southwest submarket.
McNeil
Arboretum
Domain
FAR SW West Lake Hills
Barton Creek
Tarrytown
Austin
Lost Creek
NEAR SW
Sunset Valley
ABIA
Southwest Micromarkets
37
Notable activity this quarter comes from EZ Corp and Yeti – two significant leaseholders in this submarket. EZ Corp is offering significant space for sublease—originally over 65,000 sf, but now around 44,000 sf—within Rollingwood Center due to internal restructuring. Also, in anticipation of its relocation to its new headquarters in the Southwest submarket next year, Yeti offered 45,000 sf of sublease space in its current office at 5301 Southwest Parkway—but now only 20,000 sf of sublease space is available. The rapid backfilling of this space suggests that there is still healthy demand for space within the Southwest submarket.
There were no major deliveries this quarter in the Southwest submarket. The vacancy rate has decreased more than three whole percentage points since 3Q 2015, following the delivery of 680,968 sf to the submarket in 2Q 2015. If vacancy rates continue to fall, several of the projects in the planning stages could break ground in the next several quarters. The Near Southwest micromarket witnessed a fairly significant drop in the vacancy rate from 10.76% to 8.57% as both direct and sublease availability decreased from 4Q 2015. Asking rental rates increased for the twentieth consecutive quarter, reaching a record $41.09. The 1Q 2016 full service asking rental rate is almost two dollars higher than the 1Q 2015 asking rental rate, indicating a healthy, growing market. The vacancy rate in the Far Southwest submarket continued to rise. From 6.71%
two quarters ago, the 2016 Q1 vacancy rate is over five hundred basis points higher at 11.94%, resulting from a dramatic increase in direct availability since 2015 Q3. This underscores the thesis that buildings proximate to amenities are outperforming those that are somewhat isolated. While the vacancy rate is uncharacteristically high for this less convenient micromarket relative to the last two years, the vacancy rate and direct availability remained level over last quarter, which witnessed the departure of Bazaarvoice and the delivery of Encino Trace II. The effects of these two events on vacancy and direct availability may continue to be seen in the Far Southwest micromarket into the second quarter of 2016. However, the continued increase in full service asking rental rates points to an otherwise robust market. Photo: View of Downtown Austin from Rollingwood Center
38
SOUTHWEST
BY THE NUMBERS SOUTHWEST OVERALL SUBMARKET PERFORMANCE Quarter
Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Net Absorption*
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2014 Q2
9,382,293
853,812
(150,296)
10.26%
$30.72
2014 Q3
9,458,793
653,880
164,619
9.24%
$31.38
2014 Q4
9,418,793
640,998
42,081
8.41%
$34.87
2015 Q1
9,446,430
589,875
66,172
7.98%
$34.35
2015 Q2
10,109,725
1,070,609
182,561
12.21%
$33.76
2015 Q3
10,257,625
1,192,565
121,673
12.29%
$35.03
2015 Q4
10,484,922
769,552
460,460
9.80%
$35.85
2016 Q1
10,484,886
777,581
57,396
9.25%
*Absorption includes sublease space
15%
1,200
12%
900
9%
600
6%
300
3%
0
0%
2014 Q3
Direct Available SF
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
Sublease Available SF
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
600
94%
400
92%
200
90%
0
88%
(200)
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
$38
16%
$36
12%
$34
8%
$32
4%
2014 Q3
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
39
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
0%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Vacancy Rate
Rental Rate
VACANCY RATES VS. RENTAL RATES
2014 Q2
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
86%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Net Absorption*
$30
2014 Q4
Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate
Occupancy Rate
1,500
Absorption (Thousands of SF)
NET ABSORPTION
Vacancy Rate
Availability (Thousands of SF)
AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
2014 Q2
$36.65 Numbers based on CBRE statistics.
SOUTHWEST SUBMARKET OFFICE RENTAL RATE PROJECTIONS $40
3% Job Growth
Full Service Rental Rates
$35
1% Job Growth
$30
$25
$20
$15 2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Historic Rental Rate
2010
2011
AQUILA Model
2012
2013
3% Job Growth
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
1% Job Growth
25%
12
20%
10
15%
1% Job Growth
10%
8
6
3% Job Growth 5%
0% 2004
Market Size (Millions of SF)
Total Vacancy Rate
SOUTHWEST SUBMARKET OFFICE VACANCY RATE PROJECTIONS
4
2005
2006
2007 Market Size
2008
2009
2010
Historic Vacancy Rate
2011
2012
AQUILA Model
2013
2014
3% Job Growth
2015
2016
2017
2
1% Job Growth
40
SOUTHWEST AUSTIN LARGE OFFICE AVAILABILITY 20,000 SF + of available space Building
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Total Available SF
3700 San Clemente
85,436
-
85,436
2
3900 San Clemente
135,366
-
135,366
3
Barton Skyway II
15,796
24,275
40,071
1
41
4
CityView Center
5
Encino Trace II
6
Parkway at Oak Hill I & II
-
24,478
24,478
135,036
-
135,036
23,644
-
23,644
7
Rialto II
-
36,421
36,421
8
Rollingwood Center I & II
-
65,169
65,169
9
The Park on Barton Creek 1
23,465
2,203
25,668
10
The Park on Barton Creek 2
38,900
-
38,900
11
The Summit 1-5
52,934
-
52,934
12
The Terrace 6
22,771
8,258
31,029
SOUTHWEST AUSTIN OFFICE DEVELOPMENT Building
Total SF
Percent Preleased
Estimated Delivery
Status
1
The Backyard - Buildings B, J, & H
171,450
0%
Planned
Planned
2
Galleria Oaks I & II
147,928
0%
Planned
Planned
3
Lantana Ridge I & II
175,000
0%
Planned
Planned
123,525
0%
Planned
Planned
90,000
0%
Planned
Planned
107,000
0%
Planned
Planned
4
Overwatch Campus Phase II
5
Regency Park
6
Rollingwood Center III
7
The Terrace 3
203,130
0%
Planned
Planned
8
The Terrace 4
285,663
0%
Planned
Planned
9
The Terrace 5
218,809
0%
Planned
Planned
Planned
42
AVAILABILITY SUMMARY SOUTHWEST CLASS A 4,901 SF
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
NSW
11,073 SF
NSW
5,438 SF
NSW
NSW
3,647 SF
4 3,240 SF
2
1
1
NSW
NSW
Barton Oaks Plaza I 901 S Mopac Expy
Barton Oaks Plaza II 901 S Mopac Expy
Barton Oaks Plaza III 901 S Mopac Expy
Barton Oaks Plaza IV 901 S Mopac Expy
Barton Oaks Plaza V 901 S Mopac Expy
One Barton Skyway 1501 S Mopac Expy
5 Floors 99,404 SF 95% Leased $27.00 NNN $15.98 Op/Ex $42.98 Gross
5 Floors 116,368 SF 90% Leased $26.50 NNN $15.56 Op/Ex $42.06 Gross
5 Floors 121,467 SF 96% Leased $26.50 NNN $14.59 Op/Ex $41.09 Gross
5 Floors 104,324 SF 100% Leased $14.73 NNN $14.473 Op/Ex $41.00 Gross
5 Floors 119,549 SF 97% Leased $27.00 NNN $14.47 Op/Ex $41.47 Gross
4 Floors 195,324 SF 98% Leased $25.50 - $26.50 NNN $14.95 Op/Ex $40.45 - $41.45 Gross
5 4
42,671 SF
4
3
42,369 SF
3
2
16,782 SF
2
1
33,214 SF
1
FSW
FSW
7,048 SF 3
6,726 SF
3
3
3
2
1
2
19,402 SF
2
1
3,694 SF
1
1
FSW
FSW
FSW
Encino Trace I 5707 Southwest Pkwy
Encino Trace II 5707 Southwest Pkwy
Las Cimas I 804 Las Cimas Pkwy
Las Cimas II 807 Las Cimas Pkwy
Las Cimas III 805 Las Cimas Pkwy
Las Cimas IV 900 S Capital of Tx Hwy
4 floors 161,606 SF 100% Leased $23.50 NNN $13.15 Op/Ex $36.65 Gross
4 floors 158,137 SF 15% Leased $23.50 NNN $13.15 Op/Ex $36.65 Gross
3 Floors 82,853 SF 92% Leased $24.50 NNN $14.29 Op/Ex $38.79 Gross
4 Floors 156,682 SF 88% Leased $26.50 NNN $14.92 Op/Ex $41.42 Gross
4 Floors 156,682 SF 96% Leased $26.50 NNN $14.73 Op/Ex $41.23 Gross
5 Floors 142,000 SF 100% Leased $27.00 NNN $14.58 Op/Ex $41.58 Gross
33,902 SF 4 37,883 SF
27,276 SF
NSW
5
5
4
11,874 SF
4
3
50,798 SF
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
50,798 SF
2
1
1
1
1
15,528 SF
1
NSW
Rollingwood Center I 2500 Bee Caves Rd
Rollingwood Center II 2500 Bee Caves Rd
4 Floors 145,437 SF 100% Leased $29.00 NNN $12.00 Op/Ex $41.00 Gross
2 Floors 69,150 SF 100% Leased $29.00 NNN $12.00 Op/Ex $41.00 Gross
FSW
3600 San Clemente B 3600 N Capital of Tx Hwy 3 Floors 90,267 Sf 100% Leased $26.50 NNN $15.63 Op/Ex $42.13 Gross
51,534 SF
FSW
3700 San Clemente 3700 N Capital of Tx Hwy 5 Floors 249,870 SF 66% Leased $29.50 NNN $13.27 Op/Ex $42.77 Gross
FSW
3900 San Clemente 3900 N Capital of Tx Hwy 5 Floors 251,146 SF 49% Leased $24.50 NNN $13.81 Op/Ex $38.31 Gross
Availability Summary 43
1,590 SF
4
2
FSW
3
2
Southwest Submarket
4
3 52,934 SF
2
1
FSW
The Summit at Lantana Bldg 300 7171 Southwest Pkwy 4 Floors 217,077 SF 76% Leased $25.00 NNN $13.06 Op/Ex $38.06 Gross
7 6
4
3
15,796 SF
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
NSW
4,901 SF
NSW
5
NSW
FSW
FSW
FSW
Two Barton Skyway 1601 S Mopac Expy
Three Barton Skyway 1221 S Mopac Expy
Four Barton Skyway 1301 S Mopac Expy
Capital Ridge 320 Capital of Tx Hwy
Dimensional Place 1 6304 Bee Caves Rd
Dimensional Place 2 6300 Bee Caves Rd
4 Floors 195,639 SF 92% Leased $25.50 - $26.50 NNN $14.61 Op/Ex $40.11 - $41.11 Gross
4 Floors 173,302 SF 97% Leased $25.50 - $26.50 NNN $14.52 Op/Ex $40.02 - $41.02 Gross
5 Floors 222,580 SF 100% Leased $25.50 - $26.00 NNN $13.86 Op/Ex $39.36 - $39.86 Gross
7 floors 238,000 SF 100% Leased $27.00 - $30.00 NNN $10.56 Op/Ex $37.56 - $40.56 Gross
7 Floors 220,000 SF 100% Leased $24.00 NNN $12.42 Op/Ex $36.42 Gross
5 Floors 156,000 SF 100% Leased $22.50 NNN $15.00 Op/Ex $37.50 Gross
5 4
3
3
2
2
1
1
NSW
5 21,262 SF
2,203 SF
4 3
3
2
2
1
1
NSW
Mira Vista 2705 Bee Caves Rd
NSW
The Park on Barton Creek One 3711 S Mopac Expy 5 floors 102,608 SF 79% Leased $25.00 NNN $14.02 Op/Ex $39.02 Gross
3 Floors 121,147 SF 100% Leased $27.50 NNN $14.02 Op/Ex $41.52 Gross
5
2 3,270 SF
5,725 SF
6
9,716 SF
5
2,974 SF
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2,559 SF
2
2
1
1
2,042 SF
1
3,447 SF
NSW
1
FSW
Plaza on the Lake II 4801 Plaza on the Lake Dr. 3 Floors 114,261 SF 100% Leased $26.50 NNN $14.96 Op/Ex $41.46 Gross
2,052 SF
3 2 4,356 SF
NSW
1
NSW
The Terrace I 2600 Via Fortuna
The Terrace II 2700 Via Fortuna
The Terrace VI 2901 Via Fortuna
The Terrace VII 2801 Via Fortuna
5 Floors 115,460 SF 91% Leased $25.00 NNN $15.99 Op/Ex $40.99 Gross
5 Floors 114,635 SF 97% Leased $25.00 NNN $15.65 Op/Ex $40.65 Gross
6 Floors 197,909 SF 88% Leased $28.00 NNN $15.92 Op/Ex $43.92 Gross
6 Floors 192,214 SF 99% Leased $28.00 NNN $15.99 Op/Ex $43.99 Gross
Austin, TX Q1 2016 Class A Office Space
2 1
FSW
5
6,354 SF
8,936 SF
Plaza on the Lake I 5001 Plaza on the Lake Dr. 3 Floors 122,530 SF 93% Leased $26.50 NNN $15.35 Op/Ex $41.85 Gross
6
3
3
1
5
4
NSW
3
5000 Plaza on the Lake 5000 Plaza on the Lake Dr. 3 Floors 119,463 SF 96% Leased $27.50 NNN $15.85 Op/Ex $43.35 Gross
3
FSW
9,980 SF
FSW
The Park on Barton Creek Two 3711 S Mopac Expy 5 floors 102,587 SF 100% Leased $25.00 NNN $14.47 Op/Ex $39.47 Gross
4
The Summit at Lantana Bldg 400 7171 Southwest Pkwy 4 Floors 220,218 SF 100% Leased $25.00 NNN $13.06 Op/Ex $38.06 Gross
1,806 SF
To find out more, visit:
SUBLEASE SPACE AVAILABLE SPACE
aquilacommercial.com/reports
44
TheAppendix Long Term Performance of Submarkets
47
Long Term Performance: CBD vs. Suburban
48
Central Business District Competitive Set Performance
49
Competitive Set Buildings
50
Northwest Submarket Competitive Set Performance
51
Micromarket Performance
52
Competitive Set Buildings by Micromarket
55
Southwest Submarket Competitive Set Performance
58
Micromarket Performance
59
Competitive Set Buildings by Micromarket
61
LONG TERM PERFORMANCE OF SUBMARKETS Numbers based on CBRE statistics.
8
20%
6
15%
4
10%
2
5%
0
0%
Citywide Direct Availability
Citywide Sublease Availability
40%
4
32%
3
24%
2
16%
1
8%
0
0%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Availability (Millions of SF)
5
1,500
18%
1,000
12%
500
6%
0
0%
CBD Direct Availability
CBD Sublease Availability
CBD Vacancy Rate
Citywide Vacancy Rate
SOUTHWEST AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE 2,500
30%
2,000
24%
1,500
18%
1,000
12%
500
6%
0
0%
Northwest Direct Availability
Northwest Sublease Availability
Southwest Direct Availability
Southwest Sublease Availability
Northwest Vacancy Rate
Citywide Vacancy Rate
Southwest Vacancy Rate
Citywide Vacancy Rate
CITYWIDE AVERAGE CLASS A ASKING RATES
ABSORPTION & OCCUPANCY RATE *Absorption includes sublease space. Year Over Year Direct & Sublease Absorption (Millions of SF)
$50 $45 Full Service Rental Rate
24%
Citywide Vacancy Rate
NORTHWEST AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
$40 $35 $30 $25 $20
CBD
47
2,000
Northwest
Southwest
Citywide
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
25%
30%
4
95%
3
90%
2
85%
1
80%
0
75%
-1
70%
-2
65%
CBD
Northwest
Southwest
Citywide Occupancy Rate
Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate
10
2,500
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
30% Availability (Thousands of SF)
12
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
CBD AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
Availability (Thousands of SF)
Availability (Millions of SF)
CITYWIDE AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
LONG TERM PERFORMANCE CBD VS. SUBURBAN Numbers based on CBRE statistics.
AVERAGE CLASS A ASKING RATES
DIRECT & SUBLEASE VACANCY RATES
$50
30% 25%
Vacancy Rate
$30
$20
15% 10% 5%
$0
0%
CBD
Suburban
CBD Vacancy Rate
Citywide
DIRECT & SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY 12
30%
10
25%
8
20%
6
15%
4
10%
2
5%
0
0%
CBD
Suburban
Citywide Vacancy Rate
Suburban Vacancy Rate
Citywide Vacancy Rate
SF UNDER CONSTRUCTION 4 Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Direct & Sublease Availability (Millions of SF)
20%
$10
Area Under Construction (Millions of SF)
Full Service Rental Rate
$40
3
2
1
0
CBD
Northwest
Southwest
48
CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT COMPETITIVE SET PERFORMANCE CBD COMPETITIVE SET Net Rentable Area
Quarter
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Net Absorption*
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2014 Q2
5,637,136
576,465
25,189
21,517
10.67%
$44.81
2014 Q3
5,827,916
483,868
81,356
227,210
9.70%
$45.13
2014 Q4
5,827,916
503,540
69,160
(7,476)
9.83%
$46.49
2015 Q1
6,344,401
421,858
55,200
612,127
7.52%
$47.28
2015 Q2
6,466,952
479,092
40,409
80,108
8.03%
$47.74
2015 Q3
6,466,952
370,193
38,822
110,486
6.32%
$48.70
2015 Q4
6,471,834
237,718
55,748
120,431
4.53%
$52.03
2016 Q1
6,471,834
239,406
101,083
(47,023)
5.26%
$52.80
*Absorption includes sublease space
NET ABSORPTION
600
12%
400
8%
200
0
4%
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Direct Available SF
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
Sublease Available SF
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
0%
VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES 14% 12%
$51
10%
$49 8%
$47
6%
$45 $43
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
49
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
4%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Vacancy Rate
Rental Rate
$53
700
96%
600
95%
500
94%
400
93%
300
92%
200
91%
100
90%
0
89%
(100)
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
$55
Absorption (Thousands of SF)
16%
Vacancy Rate
Availability (Thousands of SF)
800
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Net Absorption*
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate
88%
Occupancy Rate
AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
CBD COMPETITIVE SET BUILDINGS Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
100 Congress
411,536
20,182
5,855 ↑
$37.00
$20.84
300 West 6th
454,225
1,421
942 ↑
$36.00
$21.75
301 Congress
418,338
17,930 ↓
9,373 ↑
$35.00
$19.55 ↑
Building Name
Asking Rental Rate
Estimated OpEx
400 West 15th
281,196
8,627
21,442 ↑
$26.00 ↑
$15.92
501 Congress
122,551
18,927 ↑
20,396 ↑
$35.00 ↑
$20.93 ↓
515 Congress
263,058
3,432 ↓
7,174 ↑
$33.00 ↑
$18.05
600 Congress Ave.
503,951
13,187
0
$34.00 ↑
$18.75 ↑
816 Congress
434,081
10,821 ↓
0
$27.00 ↓
$17.59
Austin Centre
326,335
23,455 ↑
7,346 ↓
$28.00
$17.65
Capitol Center
164,044
7,852 ↓
8,205 ↑
$30.00 ↑
$19.70 ↑
Capitol Tower
172,837
10,208 ↑
0
$31.00 ↑
$16.52
Chase Tower
389,503
18,704 ↑
5,418 ↑
$32.00 ↑
$19.84
Colorado Tower
373,334
0
0
$34.00
$16.83
Frost Bank Tower
535,078
0
0
$40.00 ↑
$21.75
IBC Bank Plaza
194,749
0
0↓
$33.00 ↑
$21.00
Lavaca Plaza
118,635
1,070 ↑
11,199 ↑
$32.50
$21.74
Littlefield Building
109,779
15,614 ↓
0↓
$35.00 ↑
$18.08 ↑
One Congress Plaza
518,385
56,675 ↑
3,733 ↑
$40.00
$17.77
San Jacinto Center
406,279
0
0
$36.00 ↓
$18.75
Scarbrough Building
130,789
11,301 ↓
0
$32.00
$19.04 ↑
Seaholm
143,151
0
0
$28.00
$12.00
50
NORTHWEST SUBMARKET COMPETITIVE SET PERFORMANCE NORTHWEST COMPETITIVE SET Quarter
Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Net Absorption*
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2014 Q2
12,242,690
1,030,332
246,257
(141,246)
10.43%
$31.61
2014 Q3
12,389,252
911,833
321,739
189,579
9.96%
$32.12
2014 Q4
12,845,611
1,197,426
320,587
171,918
11.82%
$32.93
2015 Q1
12,931,909
992,203
292,334
319,774
9.93%
$33.39
2015 Q2
13,120,924
897,208
284,035
292,309
9.00%
$33.83
2015 Q3
13,310,232
1,129,335
287,248
(46,032)
10.64%
$33.55
2015 Q4
13,831,583
1,135,749
235,206
566,979
9.91%
$34.30
2016 Q1
15,142,863
1,422,335
395,496
864,404
12.00%
$35.14
*Absorption includes sublease space
1,600
12%
1,200
9%
800
6%
400
3%
0
0%
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Direct Available SF
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
Sublease Available SF
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
15% 13%
$34
11%
$33
9%
$32
7%
$31
5%
$30
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
51
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
3%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Vacancy Rate
Rental Rate
VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES $35
1,000
93%
800
92%
600
91%
400
90%
200
89%
0
88%
(200)
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
$36
Absorption (Thousands of SF)
15%
Vacancy Rate
Availability (Thousands of SF)
2,000
NET ABSORPTION
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Net Absorption*
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate
87%
Occupancy Rate
AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
ARBORETUM/DOMAIN MICROMARKET PERFORMANCE ARBORETUM/DOMAIN COMPETITIVE SET Quarter
Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Net Absorption*
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2014 Q2
6,106,452
476,360
109,332
(97,407)
9.59%
$33.04
2014 Q3
6,253,014
401,651
157,535
173,068
8.94%
$33.66
2014 Q4
6,474,987
445,544
121,157
214,458
8.75%
$34.38
2015 Q1
6,553,774
447,850
71,595
126,043
7.93%
$34.46
2015 Q2
6,742,789
389,248
63,891
255,321
6.72%
$34.77
2015 Q3
6,719,697
407,169
76,078
(53,200)
7.19%
$34.38
2015 Q4
6,938,611
322,314
93,200
286,647
5.99%
$34.82
2016 Q1
8,253,506
617,666
88,016
1,024,727
8.55%
$35.76
*Absorption includes sublease space
12%
600
9%
400
6%
200
3%
0
0%
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Direct Available SF
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
Sublease Available SF
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
1,100 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 (100)
97% 95% 93% 91% 89%
Occupancy Rate
800
Absorption (Thousands of SF)
NET ABSORPTION
Vacancy Rate
Availability (Thousands of SF)
AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
87%
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Net Absorption*
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
85%
Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate
$36
11%
$35
9%
$34
7%
$33
5%
$32
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Vacancy Rate
Rental Rate
VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES
3%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
52
SHEPHERD MOUNTAIN/2222 MICROMARKET PERFORMANCE SHEPHERD MOUNTAIN/2222 COMPETITIVE SET Net Rentable Area
Quarter
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Net Absorption*
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2014 Q2
2,453,857
241,923
46,956
17,127
11.77%
$31.95
2014 Q3
2,453,857
211,437
92,007
(14,565)
12.37%
$32.28
2014 Q4
2,688,442
389,788
127,233
21,008
19.23%
$33.10
2015 Q1
2,690,750
207,238
179,538
132,553
14.37%
$34.17
2015 Q2
2,690,750
181,807
152,245
52,724
12.41%
$34.45
2015 Q3
2,690,750
193,874
135,899
4,279
12.26%
$34.55
2015 Q4
2,690,835
173,907
79,703
76,248
9.42%
$35.16
2016 Q1
2,690,835
266,741
97,821
(110,952)
13.55%
$36.11
*Absorption includes sublease space
525
18%
350
12%
175
0
6%
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Direct Available SF
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
Sublease Available SF
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
$36
18%
$34
12%
$32
6%
$30
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
53
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
0%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Vacancy Rate
Rental Rate
VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES 24%
160
91%
120
89%
80
87%
40
85%
0
83%
(40)
81%
(80)
79%
(120)
77%
(160)
0%
$38
Absorption (Thousands of SF)
24%
Vacancy Rate
Availability (Thousands of SF)
700
NET ABSORPTION
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
2014 Q4
Net Absorption*
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate
75%
Occupancy Rate
AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
FAR NORTHWEST MICROMARKET PERFORMANCE FAR NORTHWEST COMPETITIVE SET Quarter
Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Net Absorption*
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2014 Q2
3,682,381
312,049
89,969
(60,966)
10.92%
$29.02
2014 Q3
3,682,381
298,745
72,197
31,076
10.07%
$29.40
2014 Q4
3,682,182
362,094
72,197
(63,548)
11.79%
$30.26
2015 Q1
3,687,385
337,115
41,201
61,178
10.26%
$30.93
2015 Q2
3,687,385
326,153
67,899
(15,736)
10.69%
$31.66
2015 Q3
3,899,785
528,292
75,271
2,889
15.48%
$31.42
2015 Q4
4,202,137
639,528
62,303
204,084
16.70%
$32.77
2016 Q1
4,198,522
537,928
209,659
(49,371)
17.81%
$33.30
*Absorption includes sublease space
24%
600
18%
400
12%
200
6%
0
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Direct Available SF
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
Sublease Available SF
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
300
96%
200
92%
100
88%
0
84%
(100)
0%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Net Absorption*
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Occupancy Rate
800
Absorption (Thousands of SF)
NET ABSORPTION
Vacancy Rate
Availability (Thousands of SF)
AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
80%
Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate
$34
24%
$32
18%
$30
12%
$28
6%
$26
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Vacancy Rate
Rental Rate
VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES
0%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
54
ARBORETUM/DOMAIN MICROMARKET COMPETITIVE SET BUILDINGS Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Asking Rental Rate
Estimated OpEx
3307 Northland
98,888
1,655 ↑
0
$17.50
$11.05
Building Name
9500 Arboretum
182,331
0
0↓
$22.00
$13.51 ↑
Arboretum Atrium
90,280
2,515
0
$21.00
$14.38
Arboretum Plaza One
146,347
2,189 ↑
0
$27.00
$15.53 ↓
Arboretum Plaza Two
98,828
0
0
$27.00
$15.53 ↓
Arboretum Point
150,033
0
0
$23.00
$13.44
Atrium Office Centre
199,858
23,732 ↑
0
$18.00 ↑
$8.05 ↑
Austin Oaks
445,240
43,080 ↑
2,659 ↓
$19.00 ↑
$11.60 ↑
Balcones Centre
74,876
0↓
0
$24.00
$9.86
Braker Pointe I
77,454
15,370
0
$22.50
$13.31 ↑
Braker Pointe II
103,114
1,953
5,162
$22.50
$13.07 ↑
Braker Pointe III
196,380
0
0
$25.00
$12.84
Colina West
69,299
203
1,150
$20.50 ↓
$11.73 ↑
Domain 1
124,571
86,271
0
$30.00
$11.00
Domain 2
143,331
0
0
$29.00
$11.00
Domain 3
179,006
0
20,041 ↓
$25.50
$10.34
Domain 4
152,012
0
0
$24.00
$11.16
Domain 5
78,987
0
0
$26.00
$11.00
Domain 7
221,973
13,348 ↑
0
$29.00 ↑
$12.00 ↑
Domain Gateway
173,962
0
0
$21.00
$14.95
Great Hills Corporate Center I
59,228
17,140 ↑
0
$18.50
$11.39 ↓
Great Hills Corporate Center II
60,429
3,593
0
$18.00 ↓
$11.39 ↓
Great Hills Corporate Center III
56,422
13,200 ↑
0
$18.50
$11.39 ↓
Great Hills Plaza
139,252
19,458
0
$20.00
$12.93
Greystone Plaza
78,248
8,095
0
$20.00 ↑
$13.04 ↑
Heritage Plaza
74,736
7,677 ↓
0
$28.00
$12.49 ↑
1,111,734
144,818
0
TBD
Neg.
IBM Broadmoor Campus
55
Kaleido I & II
73,149
2,588 ↓
0
$18.50 ↑
$9.93
Lakeview Plaza
120,559
6,266
0
$21.00 ↑
$12.22 ↓
Northpoint Centre I & II
151,126
1,527
0
$23.00 ↑
$12.33 ↑
Offices at the Domain Bldg 1
92,955
7,428
0
$27.50 ↑
$15.49
Offices at the Domain Bldg 2
75,509
0
0
$27.50 ↑
$14.75
One Far West Plaza
70,642
885 ↓
0
$18.00
$12.87
Park North I & II
133,568
1,337 ↓
0
$19.50 ↑
$11.83
Plaza 7000
155,076
17,395 ↓
2,653 ↑
$26.00
$13.82
Prominent Pointe I
150,376
37,597 ↑
0
$24.50
$14.72 ↑
Prominent Pointe II
102,567
18,419 ↑
12,579 ↑
$24.50
$15.67 ↑
Quarry Lake Business Center
117,512
5,048
0
$21.00 ↑
$13.75
Quarry Oaks I
165,435
0↓
0
$26.00 ↑
$11.82
Quarry Oaks II
126,000
2,044 ↑
0
$26.00 ↑
$11.48
Quarry Oaks III
137,615
0
11,814
$26.00 ↓
$12.25 ↓
Reunion Park
118,142
15,903
0
$19.00
$11.16
Stone Creek I
76,860
0
0
$24.00 ↑
$10.90 ↑
Stone Creek II
162,723
5,077
0
$24.00 ↑
$13.31 ↑
Stone Creek Park
77,185
0
0
$20.00
$13.45
Stonebridge Plaza I
193,200
3,794
0
$26.00
$14.97
Stonebridge Plaza II
192,864
10,898
0
$26.00
$15.04
Stratum Executive Center Bldg A
61,000
4,055
0
$21.00
$14.12
Building Name
Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Asking Rental Rate
Estimated OpEx
Stratum Executive Center Bldg B
61,000
0
0
$21.00
$14.12
Stratum Executive Center Bldg C
61,000
6,169 ↓
0
$21.00
$14.12
Stratum Executive Center Bldg D
61,000
0
0
$21.00
$14.12
The Campus at Arboretum 1
60,059
2,733
0
$23.50 ↑
$14.13
The Campus at Arboretum 2
33,135
0
0
$23.50 ↑
$13.60
The Campus at Arboretum 3
32,765
0
0
$23.50 ↑
$14.53
The Campus at Arboretum 4
85,916
12,572 ↑
0
$23.50 ↑
$14.17
The Campus at Arboretum 5
105,000
0
0
$23.50 ↑
$13.94
The Park at 8300 N. MoPac
93,317
6,911
31,958
$23.00
$14.01 ↑
UFCU Plaza
246,869
32,797 ↑
0
$20.50 ↑
$13.30 ↑
Westech 360 Bldgs 1-4
175,529
3,670 ↓
0
$20.00
$13.60
Westpark Office 1-4
97,034
8,256 ↑
0
$18.50
$10.89
SHEPHERD MOUNTAIN/2222 MICROMARKET COMPETITIVE SET BUILDINGS Building Name
Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Asking Rental Rate
Estimated OpEx
Bridgepoint Plaza I
105,333
0
0
$23.50
$12.81
Bridgepoint Plaza II
72,640
10,082
6,287 ↑
$23.50
$13.54
Bridgepoint Square 1
84,692
9,359 ↑
3,933 ↑
$24.50 ↑
$13.22 ↓
Bridgepoint Square 2
92,459
4,814 ↓
0
$24.50 ↑
$13.22 ↑
Bridgepoint Square 3
78,352
0
0
$24.50 ↑
$13.22 ↑
Bridgepoint Square 4
109,175
10,987 ↑
0
$24.50 ↑
$13.22 ↑
Bridgepoint Square 5
76,793
5,646 ↑
0
$24.50 ↑
$13.22 ↑
Champion Office Park I & II
230,000
0
0
$26.50
$11.00
Four Points Centre I & II
192,396
0
0
$23.50
$13.44 ↑
Ladera Bend 1
56,466
0
0
$22.00 ↑
$16.34
Ladera Bend 2
45,732
0
0
$22.00 ↑
$13.88
Ladera Bend 3
56,196
0
0
$22.00 ↑
$13.83
Lakewood Center I
47,389
0
45,020
$22.50 ↑
$13.49 ↑
Lakewood Center II
44,611
0
0↓
$22.50 ↑
$13.49 ↑
102,086
12,781 ↓
0
$21.50 ↑
$12.51 ↑
Lakewood on the Park C
78,596
12,808
0
$21.50 ↑
$12.51 ↑
Millennium Building
125,612
0
0
$24.00
$12.58
Lakewood on the Park B
Park Centre Bldg 1
89,822
760 ↓
0
$18.00
$12.60
Park Centre Bldg 2
35,095
18,730
0
$18.00
$12.60
Park Centre Bldg 3
78,270
49,828 ↓
5,397 ↑
$18.00
$12.60
Reserve at Bull Creek A
43,867
11,365 ↑
0
$20.00 ↑
$12.20 ↓
Reserve at Bull Creek B
43,713
43,713 ↑
0
$20.00
$12.20 ↑
Reserve at Bull Creek C
43,695
43,695 ↑
0
$20.00
$12.20 ↑
River Place Corporate Park I
76,529
0
0
$22.00
$14.50 ↑
River Place Corporate Park II
114,491
12,857 ↑
0
$22.00
$14.12 ↑
River Place Corporate Park III
113,465
0↓
15,707 ↑
$22.00
$13.82 ↑
River Place Corporate Park IV
87,639
8,601 ↓
0
$22.00
$14.07 ↑
River Place Corporate Park V
67,601
0
0
$22.00
$14.21 ↑
River Place Corporate Park VI
62,037
0
0
$22.00
$14.13 ↑
River Place Corporate Park VII
69,119
0
21,477
$22.00
$14.39 ↑
Shepherd Mountain Plaza
100,937
0
0
$33.00
$12.39 ↓
Stone Cliff
66,027
10,715 ↓
0
$18.00
$12.46 ↓
56
FAR NORTHWEST MICROMARKET COMPETITIVE SET BUILDINGS Building Name
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Asking Rental Rate
Estimated OpEx
Amber Oaks A
78,164
0
0
$19.50
$11.67 ↑
Amber Oaks B
44,184
0
0
$19.50
$8.30
Amber Oaks C
44,184
0
0
$19.50
$8.60
Amber Oaks D
28,733
0
0
$19.50
$10.45
Amber Oaks E
63,111
0
0
$19.50
$8.03
Amber Oaks F
79,732
79,732
0
$19.50
$11.64 ↑
Amber Oaks G
106,455
4,572
0
$19.50
$11.61 ↑
Amber Oaks H
101,045
0
0
$19.50
$10.93
Amber Oaks I
50,313
10,828
0
$19.50
$13.03 ↑
Amber Oaks J
57
Net Rentable Area
50,111
6,245
33,147
$19.50
$12.14 ↑
Aspen Lake One
204,940
0
0
$18.50
$13.26
Aspen Lake Two
129,000
0
0
$24.50
$10.00
Crossings at Lakeline I
114,726
0↓
10,445
$21.50
$12.67 ↑
Crossings at Lakeline II
118,046
6,874 ↓
0↓
$21.50
$12.03 ↑
Paloma Ridge A
106,200
106,200
0
$19.00 ↑
$9.50
Paloma Ridge B
106,200
83,915 ↓
0
$19.00 ↑
$9.50
Parmer Business Park 7, 8, 9
123,731
0
0
$18.50
$5.60
Parmer Business Park D, E, F
107,283
0
0
$18.50
$5.60
Pecan Park I
136,444
0
0
$21.50
$10.72
Pecan Park II
136,245
0
0
$19.50
$9.45
Research Park Place 7
125,701
3,790
2,799 ↑
$22.00
$13.00 ↑
Research Park Place 8
125,700
33,518
0
$22.00
$13.00 ↑
Research Park Plaza I
135,541
11,747
0
$23.00
$14.98
Research Park Plaza II
131,027
0
0
$23.00
$14.98
Research Park Plaza III
173,530
0
0
$24.00 ↑
$13.08
Research Park Plaza IV
184,114
3,355 ↓
96,334 ↑
$24.00 ↑
$14.93 ↑
Research Park Plaza V
172,854
95,292 ↓
0
$24.00
$11.06
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 2
63,372
7,054
0
$22.00
$13.30
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 3
63,849
0
0
$22.00
$13.30
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 4
93,737
57,118 ↓
0
$22.00
$13.30
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 5
93,828
22,867 ↓
0
$22.00
$13.30
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 6
93,835
0
0
$22.00
$13.30
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 7
92,719
0
21,477 ↑
$22.00
$13.30
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 8
93,718
0
45,457 ↑
$22.00
$13.30
Riata Corporate Park Bldg 9
92,973
0
0
$22.00
$13.30
Riata Crossing Bldg 1
81,775
0
0
N/A
N/A
Riata Crossing Bldg 2
114,906
0
0
N/A
N/A
Riata Crossing Bldg 3
81,229
0
0
N/A
N/A
Riata Crossing Bldg 4
79,465
0
0
N/A
N/A
Tower of the Hills/Tower Point
175,802
4,821
0
$25.00
$12.85
SOUTHWEST COMPETITIVE SET PERFORMANCE SOUTHWEST COMPETITIVE SET Quarter
Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Net Absorption*
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2014 Q2
7,102,874
387,913
208,978
85,381
8.40%
$35.06
2014 Q3
7,102,874
294,587
169,604
132,700
6.54%
$35.47
2014 Q4
7,102,547
386,333
182,477
(104,946)
8.01%
$36.07
2015 Q1
7,100,750
399,919
188,613
(21,519)
8.29%
$36.98
2015 Q2
7,782,464
428,605
213,812
627,829
8.25%
$37.55
2015 Q3
7,949,325
353,625
264,345
191,308
7.77%
$37.61
2015 Q4
8,158,872
634,326
246,492
(53,301)
10.80%
$38.15
2016 Q1
8,161,143
680,309
195,638
7,142
10.73%
$38.67
*Absorption includes sublease space
15%
800
12%
600
9%
400
6%
200
3%
0
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Direct Available SF
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
Sublease Available SF
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
800
95%
600
93%
400
91%
200
89%
0
87%
(200)
0%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Net Absorption*
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Occupancy Rate
1,000
Absorption (Thousands of SF)
NET ABSORPTION
Vacancy Rate
Availability (Thousands of SF)
AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
85%
Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate
$40
12%
$38
10%
$36
8%
$34
6%
$32
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Vacancy Rate
Rental Rate
VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES
4%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
58
NEAR SOUTHWEST MICROMARKET PERFORMANCE NEAR SOUTHWEST COMPETITIVE SET Quarter
Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Net Absorption*
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2014 Q2
2,712,851
191,624
165,931
(4,311)
13.18%
$37.40
2014 Q3
2,712,851
174,207
126,557
56,791
11.09%
$37.59
2014 Q4
2,713,137
158,703
124,248
18,099
10.43%
$38.03
2015 Q1
2,711,340
143,863
125,110
12,181
9.92%
$39.26
2015 Q2
2,925,937
110,815
101,710
271,045
7.26%
$39.49
2015 Q3
2,925,937
105,532
175,528
(68,535)
9.61%
$39.84
2015 Q4
2,925,937
149,170
165,733
(33,843)
10.76%
$40.59
2016 Q1
2,926,017
137,847
113,003
64,133
8.57%
$41.09
*Absorption includes sublease space
16%
300
12%
200
8%
100
4%
0
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Direct Available SF
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
Sublease Available SF
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
$41
15%
$39
12%
$37
9%
$35
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
59
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
6%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Vacancy Rate
Rental Rate
VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES 18%
100%
200
96%
100
92%
0
88%
(100)
0%
$43
300
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Net Absorption*
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate
84%
Occupancy Rate
400
Absorption (Thousands of SF)
NET ABSORPTION
Vacancy Rate
Availability (Thousands of SF)
AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
FAR SOUTHWEST MICROMARKET PERFORMANCE FAR SOUTHWEST COMPETITIVE SET Quarter
Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Net Absorption*
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2014 Q2
4,390,023
196,289
43,047
89,692
5.45%
$33.62
2014 Q3
4,390,023
120,380
43,047
75,909
3.72%
$34.16
2014 Q4
4,389,410
227,630
58,229
(123,045)
6.51%
$34.86
2015 Q1
4,389,410
256,056
63,503
(33,700)
7.28%
$35.57
2015 Q2
4,856,527
317,790
112,102
356,784
8.85%
$36.39
2015 Q3
5,023,388
248,093
88,817
259,843
6.71%
$36.31
2015 Q4
5,232,935
485,156
80,759
(19,458)
10.81%
$36.75
2016 Q1
5,235,126
542,462
82,635
(56,991)
11.94%
$37.28
*Absorption includes sublease space
12%
450
9% 300 6% 150 0
3%
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Direct Available SF
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
Sublease Available SF
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
0%
Absorption (Thousands of SF)
15%
Vacancy Rate
Availability (Thousands of SF)
600
NET ABSORPTION 450
100%
300
97%
150
94%
0
91%
(150)
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
Net Absorption*
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Occupancy Rate
AVAILABLE SF VS. VACANCY RATE
88%
Direct & Sublease Occupancy Rate
$38
16%
$36
12%
$34
8%
$32
4%
$30
2014 Q2
2014 Q3
2014 Q4
2015 Q1
Average Class A Full Service Rental Rate
2015 Q2
2015 Q3
2015 Q4
2016 Q1
Vacancy Rate
Rental Rate
VACANCY VS. RENTAL RATES
0%
Direct & Sublease Vacancy Rate
60
NEAR SOUTHWEST MICROMARKET COMPETITIVE SET BUILDINGS Building Name
61
Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Asking Rental Rate
Estimated OpEx
Barton Creek Plaza I
72,974
7,415 ↓
0
$23.50 ↑
$13.65
Barton Creek Plaza II
64,718
6,466 ↑
0
$24.00 ↑
$11.69
Barton Creek Plaza III
64,842
0
0
$24.00 ↑
$11.83
Barton Oaks Plaza I
99,404
4,901
0
$27.00
$15.98
Barton Oaks Plaza II
116,448
11,073
0
$26.50
$15.56
Barton Oaks Plaza III
121,467
5,438 ↓
0
$26.50
$14.59
Barton Oaks Plaza IV
112,000
0
0
$41.00
$14.73
Barton Oaks Plaza V
119,549
3,647 ↓
0
$27.00 ↑
$14.47
Barton Skyway I
195,324
3,240 ↓
3,596
$25.50 ↓
$14.95 ↑
Barton Skyway II
195,639
15,796 ↓
24,275 ↑
$26.00
$14.61 ↑
Barton Skyway III
173,302
4,901 ↓
4,901
$26.00
$14.52 ↑
Barton Skyway IV
222,580
0
0
$26.00
$13.86 ↑
Centre I
39,903
0
0
$21.00
$12.50
Centre II
54,610
14,443 ↑
0
$19.50
$12.47 ↑
Mira Vista
121,147
0
0
$27.50
$14.02
Overlook at Gaines Ranch
50,725
0
0
$26.50
$14.62 ↑
Rollingwood Center I & II
214,587
0↓
65,169 ↓
$29.00
$12.00
Spyglass Point
58,576
0
0
$22.00
$13.45
The Park on Barton Creek 1
102,608
21,262 ↑
2,203 ↓
$25.00 ↑
$14.02 ↑
The Park on Barton Creek 2
102,587
0↓
0
$25.00 ↑
$14.47 ↑
The Terrace 1
115,460
10,995 ↑
4,601
$25.00 ↑
$15.99
The Terrace 2
114,635
3,447 ↑
0
$25.00 ↑
$15.65
The Terrace 6
196,717
22,771
8,258 ↑
$28.00
$15.92
The Terrace 7
196,215
2,052
0
$28.00
$15.99
FAR SOUTHWEST MICROMARKET COMPETITIVE SET BUILDINGS Building Name
Net Rentable Area
Direct Available SF
Sublease Available SF
Asking Rental Rate
Estimated OpEx
3600 San Clemente Bldg B
90,267
0
0
$26.50
$15.63
3700 San Clemente
249,870
85,436 ↑
0
$29.50
$13.27
3900 San Clemente
251,146
128,998 ↓
0
$24.50 ↓
$13.81
5000 Plaza on the Lake
118,063
5,076 ↑
9,980 ↓
$27.50 ↑
$15.85 ↑
7000 West at Lantana 1 & 2
136,075
0
0
DND
DND ↑
Canyon at Wild Basin
74,580
10,234 ↑
0
$24.50 ↑
$11.60
Capital Ridge
216,511
0
0
$30.00
$10.56
Cielo Center
270,711
0
1,320
$19.50
$13.32 ↑
Cityview 1
46,702
0
0
$21.00
$13.55
Cityview 2
47,809
0↓
0
$21.00
$13.55
Cityview 3
48,044
0
2,015
$21.00
$13.55
Cityview Center
137,763
0
24,478
$26.00
$11.79
Crystal Mountain 1, 2 & 3
61,762
10,517 ↓
1,590 ↑
$26.00
$9.41
Dimensional Place I
220,000
0
0
$24.00
$12.42
Dimensional Place II
156,000
0
0
$24.00
$12.42
Encino Trace I
161,606
0
0
$23.50
$13.15 ↑
Encino Trace II
158,137
135,036 ↑
0
$23.50
$13.15 ↑
Escalade Bldg A
58,344
9,440
0
$19.50
$13.46
Escalade Bldg B
57,142
4,621 ↑
0
$19.50
$13.46
Lake Pointe II
42,933
5,489
0
$14.00 ↓
$10.09 ↑
Las Cimas I
85,000
6,726
0
$24.00 ↓
$14.29
Las Cimas II
156,069
19,402 ↑
3,694 ↑
$26.50 ↑
$14.92 ↑
Las Cimas III
157,418
7,048
0
$26.50 ↑
$14.73 ↑
Las Cimas IV
138,008
0
1,590
$27.00 ↑
$14.58
Lost Creek Point
73,026
4,132 ↓
0
$18.00
$12.29
Parkway at Oak Hill I & II
145,475
23,644
0
$24.00
$13.07
Plaza 290
63,163
1,633
0
$18.50
$12.50
Plaza on the Lake I
122,530
8,936
0
$26.50
$15.35
Plaza on the Lake II
111,166
0
0
$26.50
$14.96
Rialto I
77,755
2,213
0
$23.50 ↑
$13.64
Rialto II
77,732
0↓
36,421
$23.50 ↑
$13.64
The Enclave Bldgs 1-4
44,704
0
0
$19.00 ↑
$9.97 ↑
The Summit at Lantana Bldgs 1-5
865,832
52,934 ↓
0
$25.00 ↑
$13.06
Travis Oaks
123,434
3,425 ↓
0
$23.50
$13.30
Vista Ridge I
75,131
2,199
0
$19.00
$11.00 ↓
Westlake Place
61,184
5,608 ↓
1,547
$20.00
$13.39 ↑
Wild Basin Atrium Bldg A & B
118,910
6,859 ↑
0
$18.00 ↑
$13.54 ↑
Wild Basin I
60,498
2,856
0
$19.00
$11.81
Wild Basin II
74,626
0
0
$19.00
$10.87
62
YOUR
NOTES:
63
64
1717 W. Sixth Street, Suite 400 Austin, Texas 78703 512 684-3800 aquilacommercial.com 1
Texas State Capitol; Photo by Scott Mason Photography for Cielo