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Over The Air Testing Market: Trends and Outlook

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MARKET RESEARCH BRIEFING Semiconductor & Electronics · Report Code SE313

Over The Air Testing Market

Certifying every connected device: how 5G, IoT and smart cities are reshaping the global wireless-performance testing opportunity, 2020– 2030

$1.79 B

$4.67 B

9.1%

Market value, 2019

Forecast value, 2030

CAGR, 2020–2030

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ▸

Mandatory CTIA OTA certification makes testing a non-discretionary cost for every wireless device brought to market.

▸ North America holds the largest share; Asia-Pacific posts the highest CAGR. ▸

5G, advancing wireless technology and home automation open the next wave of demand.

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01 · MARKET LANDSCAPE

A $4.67 B market by 2030, compounding at compounding at 9.1% a year Global market size (USD billion)

4.67

9.1% CAGR over the 2020–2030 forecast period

2.6× MARKET SHARE LEADER

+$2.88 B

North America Highest share through 2030, on its

1.79

mature telecom base

FASTEST GROWTH

2019

2030

Asia-Pacific Highest CAGR, led by urbanization and smart cities

Industry ecosystem: from device to certified market entry

① Device OEMs

② Test systems

③ Test labs

Smartphones,

Chambers,

Antenna & receiver

CTIA standards

laptops, tablets,

emulators, test sets:

testing: UL, Intertek,

required by carriers;

wearables, medical

Keysight, Anritsu,

SGS, BV, Eurofins,

100+ CTIA

devices

R&S, MVG

Cetecom

authorized labs

④ Certification

worldwide

Market segmentation scope Technology

Application

Industry vertical

Geography

Cellular ·

Home automation · Mobile

A&D · Consumer

North America ·

Bluetooth · Wi-Fi

payment · Utilities mgmt ·

electronics · Automotive

Europe · APAC ·

Traffic control

· Logistics · Healthcare

RoW

Copyright © Next Move Strategy Consulting

Source: NMSC report; CTIA · 02


02 · GROWTH DRIVERS & OPPORTUNITIES

Regulation, IoT and 5G expand the testing workload Demand drivers Mandatory CTIA standards

Smart cities

OTA testing required for certification

IoT, AI, Bluetooth, Wi-Fi and cellular

01 of wireless devices

02 networks scale city-wide

Connected device boom

Vertical adoption

Smartphones, wearables, medical

Wireless use spreads in utilities,

03 devices and smart gadgets

04 logistics, transport, healthcare

High-growth opportunity segments 5G emergence

Wireless advances

Home automation

New FR1 and mmWave OTA

Cellular, Bluetooth and Wi-Fi

Innovation in connected-

test needs for 5G devices

(e.g. 802.11ax) upgrades

home devices and systems

Growth opportunity map 1 N o rth A m erica Largest share: established

3

2

telecom industry, high OTA

1

adoption

2 Asia-Pacific Highest CAGR: urbanization, smart gadgets, smart cities

4

3 Euro p e · 4 Ro W UK, Germany, France, Italy; UAE, Saudi Arabia, S. Africa, Brazil

● Navy = largest share · ● Green = highest CAGR

Copyright © Next Move Strategy Consulting

Source: NMSC OTA Testing Market report · 03


03 · COMPETITIVE SCENARIO

A highly competitive field racing to own 5G own 5G OTA Competitive positioning matrix: 10 profiled players C o m pany

Test system s

Test lab s

Rep o rt- cited strateg ic m o ve

Keysight Technologies

●

5G operator validation

Anritsu

●

Wi-Fi 6 partnership (EMITE)

Rohde & Schwarz

●

R&S PWC200 launch

Microwave Vision Group

●

StarWave 5G mmWave sale

UL LLC

●

Profiled key player

Intertek

●

Profiled key player

SGS SA

●

Profiled key player

Bureau Veritas

●

Profiled key player

Eurofins Scientific

●

Profiled key player

Cetecom

●

Profiled key player

Key strategies in action: 2020 moves JAN 2020 · CUSTOMER VALIDATION

APR 2020 · PARTNERSHIP

Keysight

Anritsu + EMITE

600+ validated test cases with all four U.S.

Joint TRP/TIS solution for IEEE 802.11ax

mobile operators

devices

MAY 2020 · PRODUCT LAUNCH

MAY 2020 · COMMERCIALIZATION

Rohde & Schwarz

Microwave Vision Group

R&S PWC200 plane wave converter for 5G NR

First sale of StarWave all-in-one 5G mmWave

FR1 OTA

OTA system

Takeaway: Players compete through new launches with up-to-date features and system vendors are converging on compact, 5G-ready OTA solutions.

Copyright © Next Move Strategy Consulting

Source: NMSC report; company sites, CTIA · 04


04 · STRATEGIC OUTLOOK

Where the value is and what could slow it slow it WHY IT MATTERS OTA testing assesses antenna

and receiver performance of smartphones, laptops, tablets and other gadgets. It confirms devices meet required industry standards before launch.

Implications by stakeholder Investors

Strategy teams

▸ $4.67 B by 2030 at a

▸ Defend North America, the

9.1% CAGR ▸ Certification mandates

share leader ▸ Build capacity in Asia-

support recurring, non-

Pacific, the fastest-growing

discretionary demand

region

B2B buyers

▸ Favour 5G FR1 + mmWave-ready, compact systems ▸ Plan Cellular, Bluetooth and Wi-Fi coverage together

Restraints vs. opportunities RESTRAINTS

OPPORTUNITIES

▸ Recurring errors & calibration

▸ Emergence of 5G technology

▸ Antenna array complexity

▸ Advancing wireless technologies

▸ Testing under extreme conditions

▸ Home-automation innovation

Vendors that simplify calibration and multi-

▸ Smart-city build-outs in Asia-Pacific

antenna (5G array) testing can turn these into differentiators.

Copyright © Next Move Strategy Consulting

Source: NMSC OTA Testing Market report · 05


OVER THE AIR TESTING MARKET $4.67 B by 2030 · 9.1% CAGR

Thank You Connect with us for in-depth insights, segment-level forecasts and strategic guidance on the OTA testing market.

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