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Electric Trucks: Charging the Future of Freight

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Market Intelligence Report · Q4 2026

Global Outlook

Electric Truck Market From $566.9M to $6.09B — how fleet electrification is rewiring global freight

Base Year · 2022

Forecast · 2030

CAGR · 2023 – 2030

$566.9M

$6,092.7M

34.8%

Global electric truck revenue, year-one baseline

Projected global market size by end of forecast period

Executive Summary

$5.5 B opportunity — the market will expand nearly 11× between 2022 and 2030. Asia-Pacific leads — China alone registered 52,000 electric M&HD trucks in 2022. Range is the lever — new platforms now deliver 440– 500 km per single charge. 10 OEMs profiled — expansion, M&A and new launches are reshaping the competitive set.

FLEET IN OPERATION

Last-mile delivery · Class 3-6 platform

Forecast Period

Countries Profiled

Companies Studied

Top Region

2023 – 2030

28markets

10OEMs

APAC

Eight-year outlook

Across four regions

Capture, share & strategy

Largest share · fastest scale

© Next Move Strategy Consulting · Global Electric Truck Market · 2026

01 / 05 · COVER


SECTION 02 · MARKET LANDSCAPE & SEGMENTATION

Mapping the four segmentation axes of a high-velocity freight transition The market is defined by propulsion, truck type, range & battery capacity — each segment evolving at a different pace as policy, technology and fleet demand converge. 1

By Propulsion

Battery Electric (BET) · Lead

Four powertrain families

Plug-in Hybrid (PHEV)

Fuel Cell (FCET)

Hybrid (HET)

2

By Type

Heavy Duty · Long-haul anchor

Heavy · Medium · Light Duty

Medium Duty · P&D

Light Duty · Last-mile

3

By Range

≤200 mi vs >200 mi

Regional Share

China's 52,000 e-MHD trucks in 2022 — 4 regions power the global footprint

≤ 200 miles · Urban / regional

62%

Asia-Pacific > 200 miles · Long-haul · 440–500 km on a single charge

4

By Battery Capacity

Dominant share · China mega-base

Wh-scale migration

21%

Europe Mature adoption, strict CO₂ rules

< 250 kWh · Light/Medium

250–500 kWh · Heavy / Long-haul

13%

N. America > 500 kWh · Heavy long-haul given 600 kWh eActros

5

By Automation Level

▲ Fastest growth · Washington 2030 EV mandate

4%

Rest of World LatAm, MEA — nascent pilot programs

Semi-autonomous · Today Autonomous (L4/L5) · R&D by Volvo, Mercedes-Benz

Key Market Insight

Asia-Pacific anchors today's revenue (62% share) while North America is positioned for the fastest growth as U.S. zero-emission mandates converge with private fleet demand (Daimler eM2, Orange EV, Rivian).

© Next Move Strategy Consulting · Global Electric Truck Market · 2026

02 / 05 · LANDSCAPE


SECTION 03 · GROWTH DRIVERS & OPPORTUNITIES

Three forces accelerating the $5.5 B freight electrification Policy, technology and operating-economics are converging to compress the total-cost-of-ownership gap on heavy-duty platforms.

DRIVER 01

DRIVER 02

DRIVER 03

Policy & Incentives

Range & Battery Tech

Stringent emissions norms and tax credits

Heavy-duty platforms now travel 300–500 km on

shorten the payback period for fleet operators.

a single charge, unlocking long-haul use cases.

EV: China NEV mandate extended (Jun 2023); Washington State EV-only sales by 2030.

EV: Volvo VNR Electric — 440 km (Jan 2022); Mercedes eActros LongHaul — 500 km / 600 kWh (Sep 2022).

Where capital is pooling

Fleet & Logistics Demand

EV: Orange EV e-TRIEVER (Jun 2022); Daimler eM2 P&D truck (May 2023).

High-growth segments to 2030

#01

#02

#03

#04

Battery Electric (BET)

Heavy-Duty long-haul

Autonomous (L4/L5)

Fuel Cell (FCET)

Lead powertrain · most OEM roadmaps converge here

>500 kWh batteries · >200 mi range platforms

Volvo & Mercedes in active pilot testing

Long-haul & heavy cargo zero-emission backup

Regional Opportunity Map · 2023 – 2030

DOMINANT

Asia-Pacific China · Japan · S. Korea

62% share · 52k units

STEADY

Europe

21% share · CO₂ mandated

DE · UK · FR · Scandinavia

North America USA · Canada · Mexico

FASTEST

▲ SURGE 13% → highest CAGR

Rest of World LatAm · MEA

© Next Move Strategy Consulting · Global Electric Truck Market · 2026

4% · pilot stage

03 / 05 · DRIVERS


SECTION 04 · COMPETITIVE SCENARIO

The 10 OEMs shaping tomorrow's electric freight market From Asia-Pacific incumbents to U.S. disruptors, the competitive set is repositioning with bold new product launches, geographic expansion and strategic capital deployments. 10 leading manufacturers across 4 regions

Companies Profiled

APAC

EU

EU

BYD Co.

AB Volvo

China · BEV pioneer

Sweden · VNR Electric

Largest e-M/H truck volume worldwide; integrated battery supply chain

440 km range (Jan 2022); pioneering L4 autonomous pilots

N.AM

Mercedes Benz

EU

EU→ US

N.AM

Volkswagen

PACCAR

Scout brand · US launch

USA · Kenworth/Peterbilt

All-electric pick-up truck; production starts 2026

Class-8 zero-emission platform momentum in fleet pilots

N.AM

N.AM

APAC

Ford Motor

Toyota

Nikola

Einride AB

Rivian

USA · BEV & FCEV

Sweden · Saga rollout

USA · EDV 700/900

Japan · FCEV pilot

Class-8 fuel-cell & battery tractors targeting long-haul

Expanded into UK (Apr 2023); endto-end road freight

Amazon-aligned parcel vans; major last-mile contract base

Heavy-duty fuel cell & hybrid platform investments

Active Competitive Strategies

STRATEGY 01

STRATEGY 02

Geographic Expansion

Range-Defining Product Launches

Players entering new geographies with product,

Step-change in single-charge range and battery capacity unlocks diesel-replacement use cases.

charging infrastructure and local assembly. Einride → United Kingdom Volkswagen → U.S. via Scout

STRATEGY 03

Partnerships & Fleet Anchors

Mercedes eActros LongHaul · 500 km

Rivian + Amazon

Daimler eM2 · P&D launches

Orange EV + U.S. yard operators

Volvo VNR Electric · 440 km

BYD + municipal fleets

Recent Strategic Moves · 2022 – 2023

APR 2023

Einride AB

Expanded end-to-end road freight into the UK with Einride Saga and advanced charging infrastructure

MAY 2023

Daimler Truck NA

Revealed eM2 medium-duty pick-up & delivery truck with advanced learning features

SEP 2022

Mercedes-Benz

Unveiled eActros LongHaul — longest-range e-truck at 500 km / 600 kWh

JUN 2022

Orange EV

Launched third-generation yard tractor e-TRIEVER for heavy-duty goods

© Next Move Strategy Consulting · Global Electric Truck Market · 2026

04 / 05 · COMPETITIVE


SECTION 05 · THANK YOU

Closing remarks · Industry Intelligence Series

Thank You.

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28

10

34.8%

2030

C ou n t ri es

O E Ms P r of i le d

CAGR

F or e c ast

© Next Move Strategy Consulting · Global Electric Truck Market · 2026

05 / 05 · CONTACT


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