THE MONTLEONE
SUBMITTED BY: LEAD AGENTS
Tim VanWingerden
Associate Louisville D. 513.878.7750 tim.vanwingerden@marcusmillichap.com
Jordan Dickman
First Vice President Investments Cincinnati Office D. 513.878.7735 jordan.dickman@marcusmillichap.com
Nicholas Andrews
First Vice President Investments Cincinnati Office D. 513.878.7741 nicholas.andrews@marcusmillichap.com
Austin Sum
Senior Associate Cincinnati Office D. 513.878.7747 austin.sum@marcusmillichap.com
NON-ENDORSEMENT & DISCLAIMER NOTICE CONFIDENTIALITY DISCLAIMER THIS IS A BROKER PRICE OPINION OR COMPARATIVE MARKET ANALYSIS OF VALUE AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN APPRAISAL. This information has been secured from sources we believe to be reliable, but we make no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy of the information. References to square footage or age are approximate. Buyer must verify the information and bears all risk for any inaccuracies.
NON-ENDORSEMENT NOTICE Marcus & Millichap is not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by any commercial tenant or lessee identified in this marketing package. The presence of any corporation’s logo or name is not intended to indicate or imply affiliation with, or sponsorship or endorsement by, said corporation of Marcus & Millichap, its affiliates or subsidiaries, or any agent, product, service, or commercial listing of Marcus & Millichap, and is solely included for the purpose of providing tenant lessee information about this listing to prospective customers.
CONTENTS
B R O K E R C A PA B I L I T I E S
06 | THE INVESTMENT
01
&
22 | LOCAL COMP E TITORS
02
30 | THE FIN ANC I ALS
03
38 | LOCAL M ARKE T
04
O P I N I O N O F V A L U E
CALABASAS, CALIFORNIA | HQ
80+ | OFFICES
2,500 | EMPLOYEES
UNRIVALED SUCCESS IN THE MIDWEST Nick Andrews
First Vice President Investments Director, NMHG
Jordan Dickman
First Vice President Investments Director, NMHG
INVESTMENT ADVISORS
Austin Sum
JD Schmerge
Brian Johnston
Tim VanWingerden
Senior Investment Associate Investment Associate
Investment Associate
Investment Associate
DEBT & STRUCTURED FINANCE
Chris Litzler
Senior Director of Organization MMCC
VALUATION & RESEARCH
Sam Petrosino
Financial & Research Analyst
CLIENT RELATIONS
MARKETING
Alex Papa
Marketing Coordinator
Kristin Smith Marketing
Skyler Wilson
Client Relations Manager
OPERATIONS
Sidney Bills
Office Administrator
Josh Caruana
Vice President Regional Manager Indianapolis | Cincinnati | Louisville St Louis | Kansas City
Brittany Campbell-Koch Director of Operations
John Sebree
Senior Vice President National Director National Multi Housing Group
Liz Popp
Midwest Operations Manager
Michael Glass
Senior Vice President Midwest Division Manager National Director, Manufactured Home Communities Group
S E C T I O N
01
THE INV
VESTMENT
THE MONTELONE
THE OPPORTUNITY 29,150
41
REN TABLE S QUARE FEE T
TOTAL UNI T S
3 PR O PE RT IE S
#1 Bedrooms
16
#2 Bedrooms
25
% Leased
100%
Marcus & Millichap is pleased to present the Montleone, a 41-unit community in Louisville, KY. This property has been meticulously maintained with ownership providing a high level of care to the property and residents. An incoming investor can take advantage of the value-add opportunity given the growing rents in the submarket which provide strong support for interior renovations.
VALUE-ADD OPPORTUNITY | RENOVATION INITIATIVE OTHER INCOME POTENTIAL | WASHER / DRYER INSTALL LONG-TERM OWNERSHIP | OPERATIONAL UPSIDE IDEAL LOCATION SUPERIOR SUBMARKET RENT GROWTH TOP-NOTCH EMPLOYMENT
THE MONTLEONE
INTERIOR
THE MONTLEONE
EXTERIOR
PROPERTY DETAILS
THE MONTLEONE SUMMARY
4622-4626 SOUTHERN PARKWAY, LOUISVILLE, KY
1966
YEAR BUILT/RENO
41
NUMBER OF UNITS
941
AVERAGE UNIT SIZE
33,828
RENTABLE SQUARE FEET
1.26
LOT 2:01
LOT SIZE (ACRES)
3
PARCELS
4
# OF BUILDINGS PARKING PARKING RATIO
Building Mechanicals
Type
Utility Notes
Air Condition
Central Air
Electric
Heat
Furnace
Gas
Water Heater
In-Unit
19 replaced 2021
Plumbing
Original
Wiring
Copper
Laundry
Coin Laundry
Construction: Foundation:
Building 1: Basement with storage | Building 2: Slab
Framing:
Wood
Roof Type/Age:
Full Replacement 2013
Exterior of Building:
Brick
Windows:
Double Pane
Utilities: Electric:
Tenant Paid
Gas:
Tenant Paid
Water
Owner Paid
Sewer
Owner Paid
Trash:
Owner Paid
4 Washer / 3 Dryer
THE MONTLEONE
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS VALUE-ADD OPPORTUNITY RENOVATION INITIATIVE An incoming investor can take advantage of the value-add opportunity given the growing rents in the submarket which provide strong support for interior renovations. A renovation initiative should include upgraded flooring, kitchen, bath, and paint. The market supports an increase of over $200 in monthly rent
OTHER INCOME POTENTIAL | WASHER DRYER INSTALL Current ownership is not charging for late fees, application fees nor are they collecting additional revenue for the storage units. An incoming investor can begin charging for these items and also consider allowing pets to capture additional income. There is opportunity to install a washer/dryer hookups in the units which would further boost NOI.
LONG TERM OWNERSHIP | OPERATIONAL UPSIDE The Montleone has been under the same ownership for 15 years with owners focusing on a low maintenance model: Rents are never raised once a tenant moves in. An incoming investor can take advantage of this opportunity through an aggressive marketing strategy in a market that has experienced strong rent growth.
THE MONTLEONE
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS TOP-NOTCH EMPLOYMENT The top industries in Louisville’s employment sector are Trade & Transportation (23.3%), Education & Health (14.6%), Manufacturing (12.4%), and Professional Services (12.1%). Some of the largest employers in the area include Yum! Brands, Kindred Healthcare, Humana, and Ford. It is also home to UPS Worldport, the world’s largest package handling facility. SUPERIOR MARKET DRIVERS Louisville has experienced record-breaking absorption with nearly 4,000 units and another year of continued decrease in vacancies. Rental growth has permeated the market in the past 12 month largely driven by strong economic fundamentals and pentup demand from Covid. The metro recorded a net gain of 22,400 jobs as the market recovers from Covid, expanding the employment base by 3.5%.
HIGHLIGHTS
5
Located off the Watterson Expressway, The Montleone is situated in an ideal location just minutes away from Churchill Downs, Louisville International Airport, the University of Louisville, and the
3
4
1
Louisville Zoo.
1
*
1.3 Miles from Churchhill Downs
2 1.7 Miles from Louisville International Airport 2 6
3 2.5 Miles from University of Louisville 4 4.9 Miles from Louisville Zoo 5 5.2 Miles from Downtown Louisville 6 5.6 Miles from UPS Worldport
7
7 5.9 Miles from Louisville Industrial Park
THE MONTLEONE
PROPOSED RENOVATIONS
SUBJECT
With the recently renovated apartments in the submarket achieving on average a $281 premium compared with The Montleone’s market rent, an incoming investor can renovate interior units and draft rent from the competition. There is strong market support for a $200 rental increase with a renovation initiative:
LEDGEWOOD THE MONTLEONE
* INDIGO LEDGEWOOD 2
INDIGO 1
LEDGEWOOD
RENT: 2x1 - $959
INDIGO
RENT: 2x1 - $1,002
S E C T I O N
02
LOCAL C
COMPETITORS
LOCATION
3 4
1
THE MONTLEONE
6
* 2
5
REN T C OMPAR ABLE S 1
CRAWFORD PLACE
2
COLONIAL OAKS
3
IROQUOIS GREEN
4
LEDGEWOOD APARTMENTS
5
7305 GARRISON
LOCAL COMPETITORS 1
2
3
CRAWFORD PLACE Address
COLONIAL OAKS
6800 Crawford Crossing Pl, Louisville, KY
Address
IROQUOIS GREEN
5011 Southside Drive, Louisville, KY
Address
136 Lawson Ln, Louisville, KY
Year Built
2011
Year Built
1964
Year Built
1973
Occupancy
94%
Occupancy
100%
Occupancy
98%
Units Rent (2x2) SF Rent/SF Unit Features: Air Conditioning, Washer/Dryer Hookup, Carpet Wheelchair Accessible (Rooms), Dishwasher
30
Units
192
$1,005
Rent
(1x1 ) $697 (2x1) $834
963 $1.04
SF Rent/SF
(1x1) 700 (2x1) 900 (1x1)$1.00 (2x1) $0.93
Unit Features Air Conditioning, Kitchen, Carpet, Range, Ceiling Fans, Refrigerator, Heating Tub/Shower
$1.00
Units Rent (1x1) SF Rent/SF
72 $665 600 $1.07
Unit Features: Air Conditioning, Oven, Balcony, Range, Carpet, Refrigerator Heating, Tub/Shower, Kitchen
LOCAL COMPETITORS
SUBJECT *
5
4
L E D G E W O O D A PA R T M E N T S Address
THE MONTLEONE
7305 GARRISON
6100 Ledgewood Pkwy, Louisville, KY
Address
7305 Garrsion Rd, Louisville, KY
Year Built
1974
Year Built
1972
Occupancy
95%
Occupancy
100%
Units
136
Units
39
Rent
$959
Rent
$900
SF Rent/SF
825 $1.08
Unit Features: Dishwasher, Refrigerator, Hardwood Floors, Vinyl Flooring, Heating, Washer/Dryer, Kitchen
SF Rent/SF Unit Features:
Address
Southern Parkway
Units
41
Avg. SF
711
Year Built
1966 & 1993 1x1
2x1
825
Market Price ($/mo)
$525
$685
$1.01
Market Rate ($/SF)
$0.81
$0.91
Effective Price ($/mo)
$488
$555
Effective Rate ($/SF)
$0.75
$0.74
n/a
RENT SORT One Bedroom Apartment Rents Sorted by Net Rent
Year Built
# of 1-Bed
SF
Market Rent
Utility Adjustment/Month
Net Rent
Net Rent/SF
Indigo at the Park
1971
84
750
$862.00
$0
$862
$1.15
Legacy Apartments
1970
27
733
$800.00
$0
$800
$1.09
Colonial Oaks
1964
80
700
$697.00
$0
$697
$1.00
1966/1993
16
750
$689.00
$45
$644
$0.86
Iroquois Green
1973
72
600
$665.00
$26
$639
$1.07
Gables at Stone Ridge Apartments
1969
6
639
$651.00
$15
$636
$1.00
Executive Arms
1967
55
578
$665.00
$55
$610
1966/1993
16
750
$488.00
$55
$433
$0.58
688
$690
$39
$665
$0.97
Property
Montleone Pro Forma
Montleone Average Effective Averages
1969
Two Bedroom Apartment Rents Sorted by Net Rent
Year Built
# of Units
SF
Market Rent
Utility Adjustment/Month
Net Rent
Net Rent/SF
Crawford Crossing
2011
30
963
$1,005.00
$0
$1,005
$1.04
Indigo at the park
1971
72
950
$1,002.00
$0
$1,002
$1.05
Legacy Apartments
1970
55
947
$900.00
$0
$900
$0.95
Ledgewood Apartments
1974
136
825
$959.00
$65
$894
$1.08
1966/1993
25
850
$950.00
$65
$885
$1.04
Gables at Stone Ridge Apartments
1969
39
865
$865.00
$15
$850
$0.98
Patriot Crossing Colonial Oaks
1972 1964
39 112
825 900
$900.00 $834.00
$65 $0
$835 $834
$1.01 $0.93
Venus Place
1970
150
850
$825.00
$65
$760
$0.89
Manor Hall Apartments
1991
30
911
$765.00
$65
$700
$0.77
1966/1993
25
850
$555.00
$65
$490
$0.58
885
$869
$58
$832
$0.94
Property
Montleone Pro Forma
Montleone Average Effective Averages
1977
S E C T I O N
03
THE FIN
NANCIALS
THE MONTLEONE - FINANCIALS
UNIX MIX SUMMARY AV E R A G E E F F E C T I V E
MARKET
P RO J E CT E D
NO. OF UNITS
T E N TA B L E S F
T O TA L S F
RENT/UNIT
RENT/SF
T O TA L R E N T POTENTIAL
SUMMARY One Bedroom Two Bedroom
16 Units 25 Units
650 SF 750 SF
10,400 SF 18,750 SF
$488.00 $555.00
$0.75 $0.74
$7,808 $13,875
$525.00 $685.00
$0.81 SF $0.91 SF
$8,400 $17,125
$689.00 $950.00
$1.06 SF $1.27 SF
$11,024 $23,750
Totals / Wtd. Averages
41 Units
711 SF
29,150 SF
$528.85
$0.74 SF
$21,683
$622.56
$0.88 SF
$25,525
$848.15
$1.19 SF
$34,774
UNIT TYPE
RENT/UNIT
UNIT DISTRIBUTION
RENT/SF
TOTA L R E N T P OT E N T I A L
RENT/UNIT
RENT/SF
TOTA L R E N T P OT E N T I A L
UNIT RENTS
39%
Two Bedroom
Avg. Effective
$950
One Bedroom One Bedroom
$555
$689
$488
61%
Two Bedroom Pro Forma Projection
THE MONTLEONE - FINANCIALS
UNIX MIX BREAKDOWN AV E R A G E E F F E C T I V E
MARKET
P RO J E CT E D
N O . O F U N I TS
T E N TA B L E S F
T O TA L S F
RENT/UNIT
RENT/SF
T O TA L R E N T POTENTIAL
ONE BEDROOM 1BR/1BA
16 Units
650 SF
10,400 SF
$488.00
$0.75 SF
$7,808
$525.00
$0.81 SF
$8,400
$689.00
$1.06 SF
$11,024
Totals / Wtd. Averages
16 Units
650 SF
10,400 SF
$488.00
$0.75 SF
$7,808
$525.00
$0.81 SF
$8,400
$689.00
$1.06 SF
$11,024
TWO BEDROOM 2BR/1BA
25 Units
750 SF
18,750 SF
$555.00
$0.74 SF
$13,875
$685.00
$0.91 SF
$17,125
$950.00
$1.27 SF
$23,750
Totals / Wtd. Averages
25 Units
750 SF
18,750 SF
$555.00
$0.74 SF
$13,875
$685.00
$0.91 SF
$17,125
$950.00
$1.27 SF
$23,750
UNIT TYPE
RENT/UNIT
RENT/SF
TOTA L R E N T P OT E N T I A L
RENT/UNIT
RENT/SF
TOTA L R E N T P OT E N T I A L
INCOME EXPENSE
THE MONTLEONE - FINANCIALS
INCOME & EXPENSES
CURRENT GROSS POTENTIAL RENT All Units at Market Rent Gain (Loss) to Lease GROSS SCHEDULED RENT OTHER INCOME Storage Units Total Other Income GROSS POTENTIAL INCOME Physical Vacancy Bad Debt EFFECTIVE GROSS INCOME NON-CONTROLLABLE Real Estate Taxes 2020 Taxes Paid Adjustment for Sale Total Real Estate Taxes Insurance Utilities Electric Water & Sewage Trash Removal Total Utilities Total Non-Controllable Total Non-Controllable CONTROLLABLE Contract Services Snow Removal Landscaping/Grounds Pest Control Total Contract Services Repairs & Maintenance Marketing & Promotion On-Site Payroll Payroll Taxes & Benefits General & Administrative Management Fee Telephone & Cable Replacement & Reserves Total Controllable TOTAL EXPENSES NET OPERATING INCOME
YEAR 1 $417,288 ($8,346) $408,942
5.20% 0.00% 79.75%
0 0 6,346 (330) 0 6,016
$4,860 $4,860 $413,802 ($20,447) ($8,179) $385,176
5.00% 2.00% 91.00%
119 119 10,093 (499) (199) 9,395
$30,594 Auditor $0 $30,594 $12,700 T12
% of EGI 12.40% 0.00% 12.40% 5.15%
Per Unit 746 0 746 310
$30,594 $13,913 $44,506 $12,300
% of EGI 7.94% 3.61% 11.55% 3.19%
Per Unit 746 339 1,086 300
$7,782 T12 $16,096 T12 $1,612 T12 $25,490 $68,784 $294,212
3.15% 6.53% 0.65% 10.33% 27.89% 28.93%
190 393 39 622 1,678 2,493
$7,938 $16,418 $1,644 $26,000 $82,806 $306,270
2.06% 4.26% 0.43% 6.75% 21.50% 26.43%
194 400 40 634 2,020 2,596
$0 $2,862 $0 $2,862 $20,500 $0 $0 $0 $825 $12,333 $1,486 $10,455 $48,461 $117,245 $129,413
0.00% 1.16% 0.00% 1.16% 8.31% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.33% 5.00% 0.60% 4.24% 19.65% 47.53% 52.47%
0 70 0 70 500 0 0 0 20 301 36 255 1,182 2,860 3,156
$1,435 $4,100 $1,435 $6,970 $20,500 $2,050 $32,800 $4,100 $3,075 $19,259 $1,476 $10,664 $100,894 $183,700 $201,476
0.37% 1.06% 0.37% 1.81% 5.32% 0.53% 8.52% 1.06% 0.80% 5.00% 0.38% 2.77% 26.19% 47.69% 52.31%
35 100 35 170 500 50 800 100 75 470 36 260 2,461 4,480 4,914
$0 $0 $260,196 ($13,538) T12 Economic $0 $246,658
T12
T12 Note 2 T12 Note 1
% of GPR
15.05% 0.00% 0.00%
% of GPR
Per Unit 10,178 (204) 9,974
Per Unit 7,471 (1,124) 6,346
$306,300 RR ($46,104) $260,196 RR
2.00% 1.19% 1.19%
YEAR 2 $429,807 ($8,596) $421,211
YEAR 3
% of GPR
2.00% 1.19% 1.19%
Per Unit 10,483 (210) 10,273
$442,701 ($8,854) $433,847
% of GPR
$5,156 $5,156 $439,003 ($21,692) ($8,677) $408,634
5.00% 2.00% 91.00%
126 126 10,707 (529) (212) 9,967
2.00% 1.19% 1.19%
Per Unit 10,798 (216) 10,582
$5,006 $5,006 $426,216 ($21,061) ($8,424) $396,732
5.00% 2.00% 91.00%
122 122 10,396 (514) (205) 9,676
$30,594 $13,913 $44,506 $12,546
% of EGI 7.71% 3.51% 11.22% 3.16%
Per Unit 746 339 1,086 306
$30,594 $13,913 $44,506 $12,797
% of EGI 7.71% 3.51% 11.22% 3.23%
Per Unit 746 339 1,086 312
$8,096 $16,746 $1,677 $26,520 $83,572 $309,448
2.04% 4.22% 0.42% 6.68% 21.07% 25.07%
197 408 41 647 2,038 2,622
$8,258 $17,081 $1,711 $27,050 $84,353 $312,690
2.08% 4.31% 0.43% 6.82% 21.26% 25.34%
201 417 42 660 2,057 2,650
$1,464 $4,182 $1,464 $7,109 $20,910 $2,091 $33,456 $4,182 $3,137 $19,837 $1,506 $10,877 $103,104 $186,677 $210,055
0.37% 1.05% 0.37% 1.79% 5.27% 0.53% 8.43% 1.05% 0.79% 5.00% 0.38% 2.74% 25.99% 47.05% 52.95%
36 102 36 173 510 51 816 102 77 484 37 265 2,515 4,553 5,123
$1,493 $4,266 $1,493 $7,252 $21,328 $2,133 $34,125 $4,266 $3,199 $20,432 $1,536 $11,095 $105,365 $189,718 $218,915
0.38% 1.08% 0.38% 1.83% 5.38% 0.54% 8.60% 1.08% 0.81% 5.00% 0.39% 2.80% 26.41% 47.82% 55.18%
36 104 36 177 520 52 832 104 78 484 37 271 2,555 4,627 5,339
INCOME EXPENSE
THE MONTLEONE - FINANCIALS
CASH FLOW
CURRENT
YEAR 1 YE FEB-2023
YEAR 2 YE FEB-2024
YEAR 3 YE JAN-2025
YEAR 4 YE JAN-2026
YEAR 5 YE JAN-2027
YEAR 6 YE JAN-2028
YEAR 7 YE JAN-2029
YEAR 8 YE JAN-2030
YEAR 9 YE JAN-2031
YEAR 10 YE JAN-2032
INCOME GROSS POTENTIAL RENT All Units at Market Rent Gain (Loss) to Lease GROSS SCHEDULED RENT Total Other Income
$306,300 ($46,104) $260,196 $0
$417,288 ($8,346) $408,942 $4,860
$429,807 ($8,596) $421,211 $5,006
$442,701 ($8,854) $433,847 $5,156
$455,982 ($9,120) $446,862 $5,259
$469,661 ($9,393) $460,268 $5,364
$483,751 ($9,675) $474,076 $5,472
$498,264 ($9,965) $488,298 $5,581
$513,212 ($10,264) $502,947 $5,693
$528,608 ($10,572) $518,036 $5,806
$544,466 ($10,889) $533,577 $5,923
GROSS POTENTIAL INCOME Physical Vacancy Bad Debt EFFECTIVE GROSS INCOME
$260,196 ($13,538) $0 $246,658
$413,802 ($20,447) ($8,179) $385,176
$426,216 ($21,061) ($8,424) $396,732
$439,003 ($21,692) ($8,677) $408,634
$452,121 ($22,343) ($8,937) $420,841
$465,632 ($23,013) ($9,205) $433,414
$479,548 ($23,704) ($9,482) $446,362
$493,879 ($24,415) ($9,766) $459,699
$508,640 ($25,147) ($10,059) $473,434
$523,842 ($25,902) ($10,361) $487,580
$539,499 ($26,679) ($10,672) $502,149
EXPENSES Real Estate Taxes Insurance Utilities Contract Services Repairs & Maintenance Marketing & Promotion On-Site Payroll Payroll Taxes & Benefits General & Administrative Management Fee Telephone & Cable TOTAL EXPENSES
$30,594 $12,700 $25,490 $2,862 $20,500 $0 $0 $0 $825 $12,333 $1,486 $117,245
$44,506 $12,300 $26,000 $6,970 $20,500 $2,050 $32,800 $4,100 $3,075 $19,259 $1,476 $183,700
$44,506 $12,546 $26,520 $7,109 $20,910 $2,091 $33,456 $4,182 $3,137 $19,837 $1,506 $186,677
$44,506 $12,797 $27,050 $7,252 $21,328 $2,133 $34,125 $4,266 $3,199 $20,432 $1,536
$45,396 $13,053 $27,591 $7,397 $21,755 $2,175 $34,808 $4,351 $3,263 $21,042 $1,566
$46,304 $13,314 $28,143 $7,545 $22,190 $2,219 $35,504 $4,438 $3,328 $21,671 $1,598
$47,230 $13,580 $28,706 $7,695 $22,634 $2,263 $36,214 $4,527 $3,395 $22,318 $1,630
$48,175 $13,852 $29,280 $7,849 $23,086 $2,309 $36,938 $4,617 $3,463 $22,985 $1,662
$49,139 $14,129 $29,866 $8,006 $23,548 $2,355 $37,677 $4,710 $3,532 $23,672 $1,695
$50,121 $14,411 $30,463 $8,166 $24,019 $2,402 $38,430 $4,804 $3,603 $24,379 $1,729
$51,124 $14,700 $31,072 $8,330 $24,499 $2,450 $39,199 $4,900 $3,675 $25,107 $1,764
$189,718
$193,714
$197,796
$201,966
$206,226
$210,578
$215,023
$219,565
NET OPERATING INCOME
$129,413
$201,476
$210,055
$218,915
$227,127
$235,617
$244,396
$253,472
$262,856
$272,557
$282,585
DEBT SERVICE - Proposed New Loan Principal Payments Interest Payments TOTAL DS - Proposed New Loan
$42,407 $85,760 $128,167
$42,407 $85,760 $128,167
$44,025 $84,143 $128,167
$45,704 $82,463 $128,167
$47,448 $80,719 $128,167
$49,258 $78,909 $128,167
$51,137 $77,030 $128,167
$53,088 $75,079 $128,167
$55,114 $73,053 $128,167
$57,216 $70,951 $128,167
$59,399 $68,768 $128,167
DEBT SERVICE - Proposed New Loan Principal Payments Interest Payments TOTAL DS - Proposed New Loan CONSOLIDATED DEBT SERVICE
$5,089 $10,291 $15,380 $143,547
$5,089 $10,291 $15,380 $143,547
$5,283 $10,097 $15,380 $143,547
$5,485 $9,896 $15,380 $143,547
$5,694 $9,686 $15,380 $143,547
$5,911 $9,469 $15,380 $143,547
$6,136 $9,244 $15,380 $143,547
$6,371 $9,009 $15,380 $143,547
$6,614 $8,766 $15,380 $143,547
$6,866 $8,514 $15,380 $143,547
$7,128 $8,252 $15,380 $143,547
NET CASH FLOW AFTER DEBT SERVICE DEBT SERVICE COVERAGE RATIO
($14,134) 0.90
$57,929 1.40
$66,508 1.46
$75,368 1.53
$83,579 1.58
$92,070 1.64
$100,849 1.70
$109,925 1.77
$119,309 1.83
$129,009 1.90
$139,037 1.97
CASH FLOW PROJECTION GROWTH RATE ASSUMPTIONS
Income Gross Potential Rent (Loss) / Gain to Lease* Other Income Expenses Expenses Management Fee**
YR 1
YR 2
YR 3
YR 4
YR 5
YR 6
YR 7
YR 8
YR 9
YR 10
36.24% 2.00% 3.00%
3.00% 2.00% 3.00%
3.00% 2.00% 3.00%
3.00% 2.00% 3.00%
3.00% 2.00% 3.00%
3.00% 2.00% 3.00%
3.00% 2.00% 3.00%
3.00% 2.00% 3.00%
3.00% 2.00% 3.00%
3.00% 2.00% 3.00%
5.00%
2.00% 5.00%
2.00% 5.00%
2.00% 5.00%
2.00% 5.00%
2.00% 5.00%
2.00% 5.00%
2.00% 5.00%
2.00% 5.00%
2.00% 5.00%
CASH FLOW PROJECTION GROWTH RATE ASSUMPTIONS Physical Vacancy Non-Revenue Units Bad Debt Concessions Allowance Total Economic Loss
YR 1
YR 2
YR 3
YR 4
YR 5
YR 6
YR 7
YR 8
YR 9
YR 10
5.00% 0.00% 2.00% 0.00% 7.00%
5.00% 0.00% 2.00% 0.00% 7.00%
5.00% 0.00% 2.00% 0.00% 7.00%
5.00% 0.00% 2.00% 0.00% 7.00%
5.00% 0.00% 2.00% 0.00% 7.00%
5.00% 0.00% 2.00% 0.00% 7.00%
5.00% 0.00% 2.00% 0.00% 7.00%
5.00% 0.00% 2.00% 0.00% 7.00%
5.00% 0.00% 2.00% 0.00% 7.00%
5.00% 0.00% 2.00% 0.00% 7.00%
*Calculated as a percentage of Gross Potential Rent | **Calculated as a percentage of Effective Gross Income
S E C T I O N
04
LOCAL M
MARKET
THE MONTLEONE
LOUISVILLE, KY Situated on the banks of the Ohio River, Louisville is a progressive community of 1.3 million people. Louisville is one of the most uniquely authentic destinations in the world. It is Kentucky’s largest city and offers hundreds of one-of-a-kind attractions. Whether you are north, south, east, or west – Louisville offers a slew of attractions and historic architecture in every direction. Three of the state’s six Fortune 500 companies call Louisville home – Humana, Kindred Health, and Yum! Brands. The area provides an attractive business environment for companies due to its location and low cost of doing business, while allowing employees to enjoy a relatively affordable place to live. The economy has transitioned from traditional manufacturing and shipping to health-
care, tourism, and technology. Tourism in the state of Kentucky has a $3.5 billion economic impact from Louisville alone. While the economic impact is very significant, the results are even more so, as they positively affect the quality of life in Louisville. Through maintaining its commitment to the tourism industry, Louisville can enrich and nurture its infrastructure, allowing it to consistently rank as one of the top cities in the nation for quality of life. Foodies and food trucks, brew masters and bourbon, sports, tradition, and transformation - it’s all happening in Louisville. With such a vibrant quality of life, Louisville is a great place to call home.
EMPLOYERS IN THE NEWS
A M A Z O N L A S T M I L E D E L I V E R Y S T A T I O N
Amazon officials told the Louisville metro planning commission during an early november meeting that it plans to establish the facility in a 142,000 -square-foot office and warehouse, with heavy truck loading and unloading areas, at 1231 durrett lane near preston highway. Last mile facilities refer to the final step of the delivery process from a distribution center or facility to a user and are becoming increasingly popular in the U.S. as the demand for faster delivery grows.
•
Amazon building new $5.5M Last-mile delivery station at prime Louisville property adding close to 2,000 new jobs (March 2021)
•
GE Appliances completes $60M expansion adding 245 new jobs (July 2021)
•
GE Appliances set to invest $450M at its appliance park in the next 2 years adding over 2,000 new jobs (Oct 2021)
•
QSR Automations opens new global headquarters in Louisville, KY (Nov 2021)
•
KCC Manufacturing break ground operation in Shelby County (Nov 2021)
•
Republic National Distributing Co. breaks ground on a relocation and expansion project that will create 30 full time jobs with a $50 million investment (Sep 2021)
•
Baptist Health to build $42M rehabilitation hospital in Jeffersontown (Nov 2021)
on
700-Job
ECONOMY • Prior to the pandemic, Louisville/Jefferson County’s real gross metropolitan product grew at an average annual rate of 2.0% from 2015 to 2019. During that same five-year period, job growth averaged 1.5% annually, with roughly 9,800 jobs added on average each year. • In 2020, COVID-19 mitigation measures and limited business activity caused the local economy to contract as much as 10.5% year-over-year in 2nd quarter. In the year-ending 3rd quarter 2021, the metro’s inflation-adjusted economic output expanded 4.6%. • The metro recorded a net gain of 22,400 jobs, expanding the employment base 3.5%. As such, Louisville/Jefferson County’s unemployment rate in August 2021 declined 2.2 points yearover-year to 3.4%, below the national
average of 5.3%. • During the past year, job gains in Louisville/ Jefferson County were most pronounced in the Trade/Transportation/ Utilities sector followed by Leisure/ Hospitality Services. Despite job losses stemming from the pandemic, Louisville/Jefferson County’s current employment base now sits roughly 54,900 jobs, or about 9% above the 1st quarter 2008 level, prior to the Great Recession. The relative resilience of the economy points to some insulation provided by recession-resistant economic anchors in the market, namely the University of Louisville.
D E M O G R A P H I C S : STAT I ST I C S Population: 1,300,000
Msa median hhi: $57,405
Msa median home value: $173,500
Average occupany: 96.4%
Median age: 39.2
1 - Year growth: 1.77%
1 - Year growth: 4.83%
Rent growth:6%
S U P P LY & D E M A N D S U P P LY • The level of new apartment completions in Louisville/ Jefferson County were elevated, as 2,415 units delivered in the year-ending 3rd quarter 2021, the highest level in the mid1990s. • That annual completion volume compares to a low of 945 units and the current high of 2,415 units over the past five years. Annual new supply averaged 1,734 units, and annual inventory growth averaged 2.0% over the past five years. Completions over the past year expanded the local inventory base 2.7%. • Over the next year, inventory growth is set to remain around the current level with the scheduled addition of 2,241 units. At the end of 3rd quarter 2021, there were 2,634 units under construction. • New supply over the past five years has been concentrated in Northeast Louisville, Southwest Louisville, and Northwest Louisville, which received 68% of the market’s total completions collectively. Scheduled new deliveries in the coming year are expected to be concentrated in Northwest Louisville and Northeast Louisville.
MARKET DRIVERS 7
9
8 5 6
1
Yum! Brands
2
UPS Worldport
3
Ford Motor Company
4
GE Appliances
5
Humana Inc
6
Norton Healthcare
7
Anthem
8
LG&E and KU Energy
9
Brown-Forman
10
Papa John's International
11
Amazon Fulfillment Center
10 1 11 4
2
3
O C C U PA N CY • Over the past year, occupancy gained 1.2 points, with the 3rd quarter 2021 rate landing at 96.4%. • That occupancy rate ranked #52 among the 65 key South region markets and #130 among the top 150 markets nationally and was only the third time the market has topped 96% in more than 20 years. • Looking at product classes in Louisville/Jefferson County, 3rd quarter 2021 occupancy was at 96.1 % in Class A units, 96.5% in Class B units and 96.6% in Class C units. • Among submarkets, 3rd quarter 2021 occupancy was strongest in Northwest Louisville and South Central Louisville. The weakest readings were seen in Central Louisville and Southwest Louisville.
ATTRACTIONS LO U I SV I L L E S LU G G E R M U S E U M Batter up! It takes a special place to craft the #1 Bat in Major League Baseball. At Louisville Slugger Museum & Factory, experience history-in-the-making as you stroll through the actual factory where world-famous Louisville Slugger bats are created. The award-winning factory tour is a highlight of the visit here, but there’s plenty more to enjoy along with it. Admire the World’s Biggest Bat - stretching 120 feet into the sky. Hold bats actually used by baseball superstars like Mickey Mantle, Johnny Bench, Cal Ripken Jr. And Derek Jeter. Be sure to swing by!
E VA N W I L L I A M S B O U R B O N Located on Louisville’s historic “Whiskey Row”, the Evan Williams Bourbon Experience features an artisanal distillery, tours, educational tastings, and more! In 1783, our namesake opened Kentucky’s First Distillery on the banks of the Ohio River. Many years and barrels later, we still produce Bourbon the right way, using the same time-honored methods.
F O U R ST R E E T L I V E Fourth Street Live! is Louisville’s premier dining and entertainment destination, located in the heart of downtown Louisville, Kentucky. A short walk from historic downtown hotels, the Kentucky International Convention Center, Waterfront Park, the KFC YUM Center, Slugger Field, and much more, Fourth Street Live!
THE BOURBON BUSINESS The Banks is a gathering place for people all across the region. It provides a lively atmosphere full of attractions that promote public enjoyment and appreciation for city’s riverfront. Spanning the full width of the Central Business District, The Banks brings the waterfront to downtown’s front door. Thriving off of the energy generated by the adjacent professional sports venues, Paul Brown Stadium to the west and Great American Ballpark to the east, The Banks provides life and energy as a premier live, work, and play district.
K E N T U C K Y D E R BY Located in South Louisville, Churchill Downs is a Thoroughbred racetrack known for hosting the annual Kentucky Derby. It is the world’s most legendary racetrack. The first Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks were both held in 1875, which was the year that the racetrack opened. The racetrack at Churchill Downs is 147 acres and features a seven-furlong turf racecourse and a one-mile dirt, oval racetrack. The racetrack can accommodate over 165,000 guests on Derby Day.
I N T E R E ST I N G STAT I ST I C S 165,000 FACILITY CAPACITY 147 ACRES OCCUPIED BY RACETRACK $373M DIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT 146 YEARS RUNNING
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