GLOBAL TRENDS IN ARMED CONFLICT 1946 TO 2014 200 Warfare totals
Magnitude of conflict*
160
120 Intra-state warfare
80
Interstate warfare
40
0 1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
Year (Center for Systemic Peace, 2015) * The magnitude of a conflict is measured by the comprehensive effects on the State or States directly affected by warfare, including numbers of combatants and casualties, affected area, dislocated population and extent of infrastructure damage.
DEATHS DIRECTLY RELATED TO CONFLICT High & low adjusted estimates
Adjusted estimate
900,000 800,000
Direct deaths
700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Year
(Garfield and Blore, 2009)
20
CHAPTER 1
A FRAG I LE WO RLD