Perceptions of climate change and violent extremism: Listening to local communities in Chad

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CHAPTER 03

LITERATURE REVIEW 3.1 Climate change insecurity, conflict, and violent extremism Many policymakers and scholars worldwide have recognised climate change as an escalating security threat.75 While there has not yet been a dedicated United Nations Security Council (UNSC) resolution on climate change per se, it now acknowledges security risks related to climate change and calls for appropriate risk assessment and management in specific geographic contexts. The academic community has explored the links between climate change and security since the early 2000s, focusing mainly on establishing whether climate change is a causal factor of internal conflicts and interstate wars.76 Large-scale quantitative analyses aiming to identify general patterns and correlations between proxies of climate change and security outcomes have been the source of highly contested debates. A meta-analysis of 60 studies found that for every standard deviation of the change in temperature and precipitation, levels of

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Mavrakou et al., “The Climate Change–Terrorism Nexus: A Critical Literature Review.”

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Nina von Uexkull et al., “Civil Conflict Sensitivity to Growing-Season Drought,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113, no. 44 (2016): 12391–96, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1607542113.

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Perceptions of climate change and violent extremism: Listening to local communities in Chad

Published on Oct 31, 2022

UNICRI Publications

The report Perceptions of climate change and violent extremism: Listening to local communities in Chad has been produced by UNICRI in partnership with SWISSAID. Building upon UNICRI’s previous research it explores the lived experiences of community members and their perceptions on the role climate change and degradation of natural resources have in exacerbating local conflicts, as well as the impact of climate change on violent extremist groups’ recruitment narratives. The research is based on primary data through in-depth interviews across four provinces of Chad. The report analyses the effects of climate change at two interconnected levels: the direct consequences as experienced on productive activities such as agriculture, herding, and fishing, and the indirect consequences affecting coping mechanisms, social cohesion, and recruitment and propaganda by violent extremist groups. In doing so, this initiative elevates the often unheard voices of those most affected by this dual threat.