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Built Environment Economist - Australia and New Zealand March 2024

Page 42

PREFABRICATION

TACKLING HOUSING MARKET RECESSION WITH PREFAB CONSTRUCTION By Dr. Ehsan Noroozinejad Farsangi and Dr. Parisa Ziaesaeidi

INTRODUCTION The Australian housing market is currently navigating through a period marked by recessionary pressures, challenging the affordability, availability, and overall economic stability of housing nationwide. Stakeholders from all sectors are looking for innovative approaches to address the increasing gap between supply and demand, rising material prices, and labour constraints. Prefabricated (or ‘prefab’) construction is one such approach that is gaining popularity because of its efficacy, affordability, and sustainability.

This piece examines how prefab construction is a strategic reaction to the downturn in the housing market and has the potential to completely transform the way Australians see house ownership and construction. Prefab construction methods are a viable remedy for the current market downturn. We demonstrate this by investigating recent trends and data, which include a noticeable decline in housing starts and shifts in consumer preferences towards more affordable and sustainable housing options.

UNDERSTANDING THE HOUSING MARKET RECESSION IN AUSTRALIA The real estate market downturn in Australia is due to a variety of factors, including pressures from local and global economies. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), there has been a notable fall in dwelling starts, with an estimated 15% reduction in only the most recent fiscal year.1 In addition, many Australians find it extremely challenging to get house financing due to banking institutions’ tighter lending rules.

Bleby, M. 2022, ‘Top home builders’ volume drops 15pc’, Australian Financial Review, 21 September, <afr.com/property/commercial/tophome-builders-volume-drops-15pc-20220921-p5bjsl>.

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40: BUILT ENVIRONMENT ECONOMIST: MARCH – MAY 2024


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