Florida & Metro Forecast December 2012

Page 63

Oca l a

Quarterly Outlook for Ocala, FL

December 2012

2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2

Personal Income (Billions $)

Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

11.6 4.9 3.6 8

11.8 4.9 3.7 8.1

11.9 5 3.7 8.2

12.1 5.5 3.8 8.3

12.3 6.3 3.8 8.5

12.5 6.2 3.9 8.6

12.7 6.2 3.9 8.7

12.9 6.4 4 8.9

13.1 6.2 4 9

13.3 6.5 4.1 9.2

13.5 6.6 4.2 9.3

13.7 6.8 4.2 9.5

14 6.8 4.3 9.7

14.2 6.8 4.4 9.8

10 3.7

10.1 3.7

10.2 3.8

10.3 4.1

10.4 4.9

10.5 4.5

10.6 4.6

10.8 4.7

10.9 4.4

11 4.8

11.2 5

11.3 5

11.5 5.1

11.6 5

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (05$)

34.5 29.6

34.9 29.9

35.3 30.1

35.6 30.3

36.2 30.6

36.5 30.8

36.8 30.9

37.2 31.1

37.6 31.3

38 31.5

38.4 31.7

38.8 31.9

39.2 32.1

39.6 32.3

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

38.6 2.5

38.8 2.4

39.1 2.7

39.4 3

39.7 2.9

40 2.9

40.3 3

40.6 3.1

40.9 3

41.2 3

41.5 3

41.8 3

42.1 3.1

42.4 3.1

Real Personal Income (05$) Pct Chg Year Ago

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

93.3 3.1

93.9 3.7

94.5 2.4

95.1 2.5

95.7 2.6

96.3 2.6

96.9 2.5

97.7 2.7

98.4 2.8

99.2 3

100.1 3.3

100.9 3.3

101.7 3.3

102.4 3.2

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

6.6 -1.2

6.6 -0.2

6.7 0.8

6.7 1.1

6.7 1.5

6.7 1.3

6.8 1.3

6.8 1.7

6.8 1.4

6.8 1.5

6.9 1.5

6.9 1.4

6.9 1.2

6.9 1.2

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

86.7 3.5

87.2 4

87.9 2.5

88.5 2.6

89 2.7

89.6 2.6

90.1 2.6

90.9 2.7

91.6 2.9

92.4 3.1

93.2 3.4

94 3.5

94.8 3.5

95.5 3.3

5.5 0.1

5.6 3.7

5.7 5.4

5.8 6.7

6 8.6

6.1 10.6

6.3 12.2

6.6 13.8

6.8 14.5

7.1 15

7.3 15.4

7.6 14.7

7.8 13.6

7.9 12.4

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

20.8 3.5

20.9 4.4

21 2

21.1 1.9

21.2 1.7

21.2 1.4

21.3 1.2

21.4 1.2

21.5 1.4

21.6 1.9

21.8 2.3

21.9 2.7

22.1 3

22.2 3

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

3.2 14.9 2.7

3.2 15 2.7

3.2 15.1 2.8

3.2 15.2 2.8

3.2 15.2 2.8

3.2 15.2 2.8

3.2 15.2 2.8

3.3 15.3 2.9

3.3 15.3 2.9

3.3 15.4 2.9

3.3 15.5 2.9

3.4 15.6 3

3.4 15.7 3

3.4 15.8 3

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

1.6 -0.3

1.6 0.8

1.6 1.1

1.6 1.2

1.6 1.5

1.6 0.4

1.6 0.9

1.7 2

1.7 2.5

1.7 3

1.7 2.9

1.7 2.9

1.7 2.9

1.7 2.8

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

4.3 3.2

4.4 4.9

4.4 2.8

4.4 3

4.5 3

4.5 3.2

4.5 3

4.5 2.3

4.5 1.6

4.6 1

4.6 0.7

4.6 0.6

4.6 0.8

4.6 0.7

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago

7.8 6.6

7.9 6.2

8 6

8.2 6.5

8.2 5.9

8.4 5.7

8.5 6.1

8.7 6.5

8.8 7.3

9 7.8

9.2 7.9

9.4 7.7

9.5 7.1

9.6 6.1

14.7 5.2

14.8 5.7

14.9 3

15 2.5

15.1 2.9

15.2 2.8

15.3 2.7

15.4 2.9

15.5 2.6

15.6 2.9

15.7 3

15.9 2.9

16 3.2

16.1 3.4

Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

11 5.8

11 5.6

11.1 2.8

11.2 2.4

11.2 2.2

11.2 1.4

11.2 0.7

11.2 0.3

11.2 0.3

11.2 0.5

11.3 0.8

11.3 0.9

11.3 0.8

11.3 0.6

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

3.9 3.8

3.9 4.7

3.9 1.5

3.9 1.9

3.9 1.8

3.9 1.9

4 1.9

4 1.4

4 1.3

4 1.1

4 1

4 1.2

4 1.2

4 1.4

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago

0.7 -0.3

0.7 0.3

0.7 -1.5

0.7 -1.9

0.7 -1.8

0.7 -1.7

0.7 -1.7

0.7 -1.7

0.7 -1.5

0.7 -1.2

0.7 -0.9

0.7 -0.7

0.7 -0.4

0.7 -0.3

State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago

16.5 0.8

16.5 0.3

16.6 0.6

16.6 0.9

16.6 1.1

16.7 1.2

16.7 1.1

16.8 1.1

16.9 1.3

16.9 1.4

17 1.6

17.1 1.6

17.1 1.7

17.2 1.6

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago

Other Economic Indicators

Gross Metro Product (00$ Mil)

6542.2

6576.2

6620.3

6675.6

6729.8

6789.5

6858.2

6935.8

7006.5

7084.3

7162.5

7235.3

7304.9

7372.9

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

336.2 0.8

337.2 0.9

338.2 1.1

339.4 1.2

340.8 1.4

342.4 1.5

344.1 1.7

346 1.9

348.1 2.1

350.2 2.3

352.3 2.4

354.5 2.4

356.7 2.5

358.9 2.5

Labor Force (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

135.4 1.6

136.2 2.9

137 2.5

137.8 2.3

138.5 2.3

139.3 2.2

140 2.3

140.8 2.2

141.6 2.2

142.3 2.2

143.1 2.2

143.8 2.1

144.4 2

145.1 1.9

Unemployment Rate (%)

9.6

9.6

9.6

9.7

9.8

9.8

9.7

9.7

9.7

9.5

9.4

9.3

9.1

9

Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

857 827 30

1127 1084 43

1441 1378 63

1809 1712 96

2112 1985 128

2553 2390 162

2896 2698 198

3136 2926 210

3349 3128 221

3555 3334 221

3720 3499 222

3846 3624 222

3929 3701 228

3969 3738 231

Institute for Economic Competitiveness

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