Florida & Metro Forecast December 2012

Page 53

Mia m i – F o r t Lau d e r d a l e – P o m pa n o B each

Quarterly Outlook for Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach (MD), FL

December 2012

2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2

Personal Income (Billions $)

Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

256.3 3.1 117.4 138.9

259.6 3.4 118.7 140.9

262.6 4.3 120.2 142.5

265.7 4.8 121.6 144.1

270 5.4 123.1 147

273.3 5.3 124.6 148.7

277 5.5 126.2 150.8

280.8 5.7 128 152.8

285 5.6 129.8 155.3

288.9 5.7 131.5 157.3

292.8 5.7 133.3 159.5

296.7 5.7 135.1 161.6

301.4 5.7 136.9 164.6

305.3 5.7 138.5 166.9

Real Personal Income (05$) Pct Chg Year Ago

219.8 2

222.2 2.3

223.9 3.2

225.8 3.5

228.5 4

230.4 3.7

232.6 3.9

234.9 4

237.3 3.8

239.7 4

242.1 4.1

244.2 4

247 4.1

249 3.9

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (05$)

44 37.7

44.4 38

44.7 38.1

45.1 38.3

45.6 38.6

46 38.8

46.4 39

46.9 39.2

47.4 39.5

47.9 39.7

48.4 40

48.8 40.2

49.4 40.5

49.9 40.7

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

51.8 2.3

52.2 2.1

52.5 2.5

52.8 2.7

53.2 2.7

53.6 2.7

54 2.8

54.3 2.8

54.7 2.9

55.1 2.8

55.5 2.8

55.9 2.8

56.3 2.8

56.6 2.7

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

2250.5 0.7

2261.4 1.4

2274.5 2.1

2286.9 2.1

2298.1 2.1

2310.4 2.2

2324.7 2.2

2341.5 2.4

2356.9 2.6

2372.5 2.7

2388.6 2.7

2404.8 2.7

2418.8 2.6

2432 2.5

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

75.6 -2.2

75.9 -1.2

76.2 0.7

76.3 0.9

76.6 1.3

76.8 1.2

77.1 1.2

77.4 1.5

77.7 1.5

77.9 1.4

78.1 1.3

78.3 1.2

78.5 1

78.7 0.9

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

2174.9 0.8

2185.5 1.4

2198.3 2.1

2210.6 2.2

2221.5 2.1

2233.5 2.2

2247.6 2.2

2264.1 2.4

2279.2 2.6

2294.5 2.7

2310.5 2.8

2326.4 2.8

2340.3 2.7

2353.3 2.6

80.3 -1.3

81.5 3.3

83 6

85.1 7.2

87.6 9

90.5 11.1

93.6 12.8

97.3 14.3

101.2 15.5

105.1 16.1

108.9 16.3

112.4 15.5

115.5 14.2

118.2 12.5

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

532.4 1.3

534.5 1.7

537.6 2

540 1.9

541.1 1.6

542.9 1.6

545 1.4

547.7 1.4

549.7 1.6

552.1 1.7

555.4 1.9

559.1 2.1

561.8 2.2

564.4 2.2

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

134.4 305.8 92.4

135 306.3 93.5

136.1 307.3 94.5

136.9 308.1 95.4

137.6 307.6 96.3

138.3 307.7 97.3

139.3 308.1 98.2

140.4 308.7 99.2

141.4 308.6 100.3

142.2 309.3 101.3

143 310.6 102.3

143.9 312.2 103.3

144.6 313.2 104.2

145.3 314.1 105.1

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

43.1 -0.6

43.8 2

44 2.1

43.8 2

43.9 1.7

44 0.5

44.3 0.9

44.7 2

44.9 2.4

45.1 2.5

45.3 2

45.4 1.7

45.7 1.6

45.8 1.5

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

152.2 0

152.2 -0.4

152.7 0.7

153.3 0.9

153.8 1.1

154.3 1.4

154.6 1.2

154.7 0.9

154.6 0.6

154.5 0.1

154.4 -0.1

154.3 -0.2

154.4 -0.2

154.3 -0.1

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago

354.8 3

359.5 4.1

364.4 5

369.2 5.6

372.8 5.1

378.2 5.2

385.4 5.8

393.1 6.5

399.7 7.2

405.7 7.3

411.5 6.8

416.8 6

421.1 5.4

425.4 4.9

Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago

357.8 0.9

358.3 1

360 1.6

361.3 1.3

363.5 1.6

364.8 1.8

366.1 1.7

368.2 1.9

369.9 1.8

372.6 2.1

375.1 2.5

377.8 2.6

380.8 3

384.2 3.1

Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

259.8 0.6

261.6 1.8

262.9 2.8

264.1 2.3

264.8 1.9

264.7 1.2

264.3 0.5

264.2 0

264.6 -0.1

264.5 -0.1

264.5 0.1

264.9 0.3

264.8 0

264.1 -0.1

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

94.2 -0.4

94.2 0.5

94.3 0.2

94.5 0.6

94.7 0.5

94.8 0.7

95 0.7

94.9 0.4

94.9 0.2

94.9 0.1

94.9 -0.1

94.9 0

95 0.1

95 0.2

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago

33.1 -2.1

32.9 -2.2

32.7 -2.3

32.4 -2.7

32.2 -2.7

32 -2.7

31.8 -2.7

31.6 -2.6

31.4 -2.5

31.3 -2.2

31.2 -2

31.1 -1.7

31 -1.4

30.9 -1.3

267.1 -1.2

267 -1

266.9 -0.5

266.9 -0.2

267.1 0

267.3 0.1

267.4 0.2

267.8 0.3

268.2 0.4

268.8 0.6

269.3 0.7

269.8 0.7

270.3 0.8

270.9 0.8

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago

Other Economic Indicators

Gross Metro Product (00$ Mil)

238249 239404 241060 243055 244807 247009 249468 252222 254634 257141 259613 261957 264222 266384

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

5828.8 1.6

5851 1.6

5873.2 1.5

5895.4 1.5

5917.9 1.5

5941.1 1.5

5964.8 1.6

5988.1 1.6

6011.2 1.6

6033.7 1.6

6056.2 1.5

6078.8 1.5

6101.4 1.5

6123.8 1.5

Labor Force (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

2930.5 0.8

2939.1 0.8

2947.2 1.5

2955.8 1.2

2964.3 1.2

2972.5 1.1

2981.3 1.2

2989.2 1.1

2998 1.1

3007.4 1.2

3015.1 1.1

3023.4 1.1

3030.7 1.1

3038.2 1

Unemployment Rate (%) Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

8.2

8.2

8

7.9

7.9

7.8

7.6

7.5

7.3

7.1

7

6.9

6.8

6.7

15218 7799 7418

16651 8472 8180

18457 9415 9042

20629 10372 10257

22588 11279 11309

24889 12807 12082

27335 14284 13050

29890 15830 14060

32068 17201 14866

33983 18638 15345

35889 19936 15953

37330 20936 16394

38680 21614 17066

39729 22154 17575

Institute for Economic Competitiveness

53


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