ELECTORAL REFORM REFERENDUM OPINION POLL 2011 APRIL 2011 Presented by: John Hurst, Director of RMG:Clarity, Trefor House, Ocean Park, Cardiff, CF24 5RE Tel: 02920 435800 E-mail: john.hurst@rmg-uk.co.uk Web: www.rmg-uk.co.uk
INTRODUCTION This opinion poll was designed to gauge the views of those living in Wales of the forthcoming referendum on electoral reform on 5th May 2011.
METHODOLOGY The opinion poll consisted of 960 structured telephone interviews, conducted with Welsh voters between 4th April and 5th April 2011 and 44 surveys completed online within the same timeframe. This totals 1004 surveys. The telephone interviews were conducted at RMG:Clarity’s in-house CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) Unit. Respondents were contacted during the day and in the evening. For the telephone survey target numbers of interviews were set according to parliamentary constituency population. After interviewing, the online data was merged with the telephone data and the survey was weighted by parliamentary constituency, socio-economic group, gender, age group, household tenure and Welsh language skills in order to provide the most representative result possible. Full weighted and unweighted tabulations are included in this report. The following discussion uses the weighted results.
DISCUSSION Table 1 shows that only 31.9% of respondents thought that the government had provided them with sufficient information to make an informed decision on electoral reform. 60% thought that they had not been provided with enough information. Table 1 Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Yes No Don't know
% 31.9% 60.0% 8.1%
Base: All respondents (997)
Table 2 shows whether respondents intend to vote for first-past-the-post or alternative vote in the referendum. It also shows the voting intention split by whether the respondent thinks they have enough information to make a decision. This shows that overall, nearly a third of respondents (29.8%) do not know which electoral system they prefer, whilst 45.2% will vote for first-past-the-post and 25.0% for alternative vote. In this table, those with enough information appear to be significantly more likely to vote for first-past-the-post than those without enough information (54.1% against 42.1%). However, this is because of the high number of people without enough information who do not know which they will vote for. Table 2 In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Those with enough Those without enough All respondents information information 45.2% 54.1% 42.1% First-past-the-post 25.0% 31.7% 22.3% Alternative vote 29.8% 14.2% 35.6% Don't know Base: All respondents (997)/ those who have enough information to make a decision (318)/ those who do not have enough information to make a decision (598)
To counteract this, Table 3 shows the results with the ‘don’t know’ responses excluded. It is reasonable to assume that those who do not know which way they will vote will not vote in the referendum, and that this will provide a more accurate picture of voting intention.
Table 3 In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? (Excluding Don’t know) Those with enough Those without enough All respondents information information 64.4% 63.1% 65.4% First-past-the-post Alternative vote 35.6% 36.9% 34.6% Base: All respondents (700)/ those who have enough information to make a decision (273)/ those who do not have enough information to make a decision (385)
64.4% of respondents will vote for first-past-the-post, whilst 35.6% will vote for alternative vote. Removing the ‘don’t know’ responses, it is clear that whether the respondents think they have been provided with enough information to make a decision has remarkably little impact on voting intention. 36.9% of those with enough information said they will vote for alternative vote compared to 34.6% of those without enough information. Whilst this may be indicative, the difference is not statistically significant. Taken together, this shows that a large section of the population do not know how they will vote on 5th May. However, it also shows that those who are more likely to vote in the referendum (i.e. those with an opinion one way or the other) appear to have made their decision without the need for any information from government.
WEIGHTED TABULATIONS
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? SEG
Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
Gender
Base: All respondents
A/B
C1
C2
D/E
997
186
342
199
240
100.0%
Refused Male Female 29
467
529
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
318
66
100
59
85
8
164
154
31.9%
35.5%
29.2%
29.8%
35.3%
27.5%
35.0%
29.2%
598
111
219
119
131
16
273
325
60.0%
59.6%
64.1%
60.0%
54.8%
55.9%
58.4%
61.3%
81
9
23
20
24
5
31
50
8.1%
4.9%
6.7%
10.2%
9.8%
16.6%
6.6%
9.5%
(c‌
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Age
Tenure
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years
Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
65 years or above
Rented from Refused Owner occupied private landlord
Rented from Council or Housing Association
Other
27
51
110
155
224
409
20
803
50
109
35
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
3
12
39
44
75
139
6
259
14
37
8
10.1%
22.7%
35.4%
28.4%
33.6%
34.0%
30.5%
32.3%
27.5%
33.9%
23.2%
21
35
64
96
136
233
12
485
34
62
17
79.3%
68.2%
58.4%
61.6%
60.8%
57.1%
59.3%
60.4%
67.4%
56.9%
49.9%
3
5
7
15
13
36
2
59
3
10
9
10.5%
9.1%
6.2%
9.9%
5.7%
8.9%
10.2%
7.3%
5.0%
9.3%
26.9%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Welsh Language Skills Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
Other combination of skills
No skills in Welsh
89
26
21
155
38
667
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
27
9
5
49
12
216
30.9%
33.1%
24.5%
31.6%
31.5%
32.3%
54
12
14
93
25
399
61.0%
44.0%
66.0%
60.3%
65.8%
59.9%
7
6
2
12
1
52
8.1%
22.9%
9.4%
8.0%
2.7%
7.8%
(c‌
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? 1 - Not going to vote 55
Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
100.0%
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote') 10 - Certain to 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know vote 13
7
12
62
33
33
87
40
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
639
14
100.0%
100.0%
15
2
3
0
14
8
6
29
13
227
2
27.0%
13.8%
38.5%
.0%
22.4%
24.9%
16.8%
33.0%
33.9%
35.4%
14.0%
28
11
3
12
38
23
25
52
24
370
10
50.8%
79.8%
70.0%
75.8%
60.0%
60.8%
58.0%
67.9%
12
1
1
0
10
2
2
6
2
42
3
22.2%
6.4%
12.8%
.0%
15.7%
5.1%
7.4%
7.0%
5.3%
6.6%
18.1%
48.7% 100.0% 61.9%
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Base: All respondents 997
Base: All respondents
Aberavon Aberconwy 22
Constituency Brecon and Arfon Blaenau Gwent Radnorshire
Alyn and Deeside
19
26
21
23
Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central Cardiff North
23
26
27
27
28
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Cardiff South and Penarth
Cardiff West
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
34
28
28
Base: All respondents
Constituency Carmarthen West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Pembrokeshire 26
24
25
26
22
Dwyfor Meirionnydd
Gower
22
24
24
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Constituency Islwyn Llanelli Base: All respondents
23
Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Preseli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore Pontypridd Rhondda and Rhymney re Pembrokeshire
27
24
25
20
28
22
25
24
26
25
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Constituency Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Base: All respondents
27
34
26
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
24
Vale of Glamorgan 27
Wrexham Ynys Môn 24
20
22
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Base: All respondents Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
Aberavon Aberconwy
Constituency Brecon and Arfon Blaenau Gwent Radnorshire
Alyn and Deeside
Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central Cardiff North
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
318
8
4
13
9
7
9
10
8
10
10
31.9%
38.6%
22.2%
49.3%
40.0%
29.1%
38.1%
36.6%
29.0%
38.5%
36.3%
598
13
13
12
13
15
12
15
18
14
15
60.0%
61.4%
67.8%
46.1%
60.0%
67.0%
49.8%
56.6%
64.7%
51.0%
53.7%
81
0
2
1
0
1
3
2
2
3
3
8.1%
.0%
10.0%
4.6%
.0%
3.9%
12.0%
6.8%
6.3%
10.5%
10.0%
(c‌
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
Constituency Carmarthen West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Pembrokeshire
Cardiff South and Penarth
Cardiff West
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
11
9
7
4
9
5
6
32.6%
32.9%
23.8%
13.6%
36.9%
21.9%
20
17
20
23
12
58.9%
62.9%
69.3%
86.4%
3
1
2
8.5%
4.2%
6.9%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Dwyfor Meirionnydd
Gower
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
7
8
5
10
22.3%
31.8%
33.3%
22.8%
41.9%
18
16
15
11
16
13
48.9%
73.8%
63.5%
68.2%
47.0%
72.4%
54.5%
0
3
1
4
0
5
1
1
.0%
14.2%
4.3%
14.2%
.0%
19.7%
4.8%
3.6%
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Constituency Islwyn Llanelli Base: All respondents 100.0% 100.0% Yes No Don't know
Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Preseli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore Pontypridd Rhondda and Rhymney re Pembrokeshire 100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
10
11
4
4
10
6
5
6
7
10
9
7
43.5%
41.9%
17.6%
14.8%
47.6%
21.5%
22.3%
22.6%
27.3%
37.9%
35.5%
30.5%
11
11
17
19
10
18
17
19
16
15
16
13
48.7%
41.1%
69.5%
77.9%
48.0%
65.7%
73.5%
74.2%
68.5%
58.7%
64.5%
61.1%
2
5
3
2
1
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
7.8%
17.0%
12.9%
7.3%
4.4%
12.8%
4.2%
3.2%
4.2%
3.5%
.0%
8.4%
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Constituency Vale of Glamorgan
Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
Wrexham Ynys Môn
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
12
8
6
9
12
6
9
43.3%
23.9%
25.2%
38.8%
44.7%
26.4%
44.8%
13
23
16
10
13
14
6
49.6%
67.7%
64.0%
42.4%
48.2%
55.8%
31.5%
2
3
3
5
2
4
5
7.1%
8.4%
10.8%
18.8%
7.1%
17.8%
23.7%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? SEG
Base: All respondents
Gender
Base: All respondents
A/B
C1
C2
D/E
997
186
342
199
240
100.0%
Refused Male Female 29
467
529
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Age
Tenure 65 years or above
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years
Base: All respondents
Rented from Refused Owner occupied private landlord
51
110
155
224
409
20
803
50
109
35
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Welsh Language Skills Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh
Other combination of skills
No skills in Welsh
89
26
21
155
38
667
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? 1 - Not going to vote 55
Base: All respondents
Other
27
(c…
Base: All respondents
Rented from Council or Housing Association
100.0%
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote') 10 - Certain to 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know vote 13
7
12
62
33
33
87
40
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
639
14
100.0%
100.0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? SEG
First-past-the-post
Base: All respondents
A/B
C1
C2
451
89
153
94
45.2% 249
Alternative vote
25.0% 297
Don't know
29.8%
Gender D/E Refused Male Female 102
13
47.8% 44.7% 47.3% 42.5% 54
94
45
43.7%
54
3
28.9% 27.4% 22.4% 22.5% 44
96
60
9.8%
84
13
23.3% 27.9% 30.4% 34.9%
46.5%
225
226
48.2% 42.7% 141
108
30.2% 20.4% 101
196
21.6% 37.0%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Age
Tenure
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years
First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
65 years or above
Rented from Refused Owner occupied private landlord
Rented from Council or Housing Association
Other
2
15
37
59
109
219
9
385
13
42
11
8.9%
29.4%
34.0%
38.1%
48.7%
53.5%
45.4%
47.9%
26.6%
38.3%
31.8%
16
16
33
46
49
87
2
196
18
28
7
61.5%
31.1%
29.9%
29.8%
21.7%
21.2%
9.9%
24.4%
36.4%
26.1%
19.4%
8
20
40
50
66
104
9
222
18
39
17
29.6%
39.5%
36.1%
32.0%
29.6%
25.3%
44.7%
27.7%
37.0%
35.6%
48.8%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Welsh Language Skills Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Other combination of skills
No skills in Welsh
44
15
10
52
12
318
49.6%
58.4%
45.8%
33.4%
32.0%
47.6%
21
4
3
53
12
157
23.4%
13.7%
11.9%
34.1%
31.8%
23.5%
24
7
9
50
14
192
27.0%
27.9%
42.3%
32.5%
36.2%
28.8%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote') 1 - Not going to 10 - Certain to 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know vote vote 15
First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
4
27.5%
4
18
9
13
41
17
32.5% 52.4% 22.7% 28.9% 27.7% 39.1% 46.4% 43.4%
7
7
0
12.1%
54.1%
.0%
33
2
3
60.4%
3
5
14
11
11
23
10
39.4% 22.8% 33.3% 32.9% 26.1% 24.4% 5
30
13
9
24
13
13.4% 47.6% 37.9% 48.3% 39.0% 28.0% 27.5% 32.3%
323
4
50.6%
26.4%
157
5
24.5%
34.5%
159
6
24.9%
39.0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Base: All respondents Base: All respondents
Aberavon Aberconwy
Alyn and Deeside
Constituency Brecon and Arfon Blaenau Gwent Radnorshire
Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central Cardiff North
997
22
19
26
21
23
23
26
27
27
28
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Cardiff South and Penarth
Cardiff West
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
34
28
28
26
24
25
26
22
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Base: All respondents
Carmarthen West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Pembrokeshire
Dwyfor Meirionnydd
Gower
24
22
24
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Islwyn Llanelli 23
Base: All respondents
Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Preseli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore Pontypridd Rhondda and Rhymney re Pembrokeshire
27
100.0% 100.0%
24
25
20
28
22
25
24
26
25
22
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Base: All respondents
Vale of Glamorgan
Wrexham Ynys Môn
27
34
26
24
27
24
20
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Base: All respondents First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Aberavon Aberconwy
Constituency Brecon and Arfon Blaenau Gwent Radnorshire
Alyn and Deeside
Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central Cardiff North
451
10
7
12
7
14
7
16
13
7
16
45.2%
46.2%
36.6%
44.3%
32.2%
60.5%
29.7%
60.3%
47.1%
26.9%
55.8%
249
8
3
9
10
3
5
3
7
9
4
25.0%
36.1%
14.6%
33.2%
48.1%
12.5%
20.4%
10.9%
27.4%
34.1%
15.0%
297
4
9
6
4
6
12
8
7
10
8
29.8%
17.7%
48.8%
22.5%
19.7%
27.0%
49.9%
28.8%
25.4%
39.1%
29.2%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Constituency Carmarthen West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Pembrokeshire
Cardiff South and Penarth
Cardiff West
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
11
16
5
9
12
7
13
11
33.0%
58.0%
19.1%
33.1%
49.2%
27.8%
51.5%
6
9
11
8
8
9
18.7%
31.8%
37.4%
31.1%
32.5%
16
3
12
9
48.2%
10.1%
43.5%
35.8%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Dwyfor Meirionnydd
Gower
13
9
14
50.5%
55.9%
40.5%
57.3%
3
4
5
3
6
38.2%
11.0%
17.2%
21.2%
14.3%
26.3%
4
8
10
7
5
10
4
18.3%
33.9%
37.5%
32.3%
23.0%
45.2%
16.4%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Islwyn Llanelli First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Preseli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore Pontypridd Rhondda and Rhymney re Pembrokeshire
9
11
16
12
12
12
15
14
9
13
9
12
41.3%
40.7%
65.8%
47.6%
57.8%
42.1%
65.5%
54.9%
38.2%
52.4%
37.3%
56.4%
4
10
2
6
3
4
4
7
8
4
10
4
17.1%
37.6%
8.5%
25.7%
15.1%
13.0%
17.8%
29.7%
31.8%
14.6%
40.4%
19.1%
9
6
6
7
5
12
4
4
7
8
6
5
41.6%
21.7%
25.7%
26.7%
27.1%
44.8%
16.7%
15.4%
30.0%
32.9%
22.3%
24.4%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Vale of Glamorgan
Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Wrexham Ynys Môn
12
11
12
11
14
8
11
44.8%
32.9%
47.5%
45.8%
52.1%
32.9%
53.3%
11
10
6
6
8
5
3
40.7%
30.4%
22.1%
26.9%
30.4%
20.8%
15.7%
4
12
8
7
5
11
6
14.5%
36.7%
30.4%
27.3%
17.5%
46.3%
31.0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? SEG Base: Those who have enough A/B information to make a decision Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision
318 100.0%
66
Gender
C1
C2
D/E
100
59
85
Refused Male Female 8
164
154
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Age 65 years or above
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision
Refused
3
12
39
44
75
139
6
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Tenure Rented from Owner occupied private landlord Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision
Rented from Council or Housing Association
Other
259
14
37
8
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Welsh Language Skills Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision
Other combination of skills
No skills in Welsh
27
9
5
49
12
216
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? 1 - Not going to vote Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision
15 100.0%
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote') 10 - Certain to 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know vote 2
3
14
8
6
29
13
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
227
2
100.0%
100.0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? SEG Base: Those who have enough A/B information to make a decision 172
First-past-the-post
54.1% 101
Alternative vote Don't know
31.7%
41
C1
C2
54
31
Gender D/E Refused Male Female 42
5
61.5% 54.4% 51.5% 49.1% 23
34
17
63.1%
25
2
34.1% 34.3% 28.5% 29.5%
45
3
14.2%
4.4%
11
12
24.2%
18
11.3% 20.0% 21.4%
93
80
56.6% 51.5% 55
45
33.9% 29.3%
1
16
30
12.7%
9.5%
19.1%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Age 18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
65 years or above
Refused
0
6
14
19
41
89
4
.0%
47.8%
35.7%
43.2%
54.2%
63.8%
66.7%
3
6
15
18
24
33
1
100.0%
52.2%
39.7%
41.8%
32.5%
23.4%
16.6%
0
0
10
7
10
18
1
.0%
.0%
24.7%
15.1%
13.3%
12.8%
16.7%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Tenure Rented from Owner occupied private landlord First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Rented from Council or Housing Association
Other
146
5
18
4
56.2%
33.8%
48.1%
49.8%
77
8
13
3
29.8%
56.5%
33.9%
37.7%
36
1
7
1
14.0%
9.7%
18.0%
12.5%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Welsh Language Skills Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Other combination of skills
No skills in Welsh
12
7
3
27
3
122
42.0%
79.1%
48.7%
54.4%
21.1%
56.6%
12
1
2
18
4
65
43.3%
10.2%
33.2%
36.1%
31.5%
30.0%
4
1
1
5
6
29
14.7%
10.8%
18.1%
9.6%
47.4%
13.4%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote') 1 - Not going to 10 - Certain to 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know vote vote First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
9
0
3
57.2%
.0%
3
1
0
20.7%
48.9%
.0%
3
1
0
22.2%
51.1%
.0%
4
1
3
13
8
100.0% 26.7% 12.7% 49.4% 44.0% 61.8% 7
5
3
12
4
47.3% 64.9% 50.6% 41.8% 30.1% 4
2
26.0% 22.4%
130
2
57.6%
100.0%
66
0
29.1%
.0%
0
4
1
30
0
.0%
14.2%
8.1%
13.4%
.0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Base: Those who have enough Aberavon Aberconwy information to make a decision Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Alyn and Deeside
Arfon Blaenau Gwent
Brecon and Radnorshire
Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central
318
8
4
13
9
7
9
10
8
10
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
172
5
2
5
2
5
4
8
4
1
54.1%
56.2%
58.9%
35.3%
24.3%
70.6%
47.4%
87.2%
49.6%
8.6%
101
4
1
6
6
1
2
0
3
6
31.7%
43.8%
22.0%
47.9%
75.7%
15.1%
21.2%
.0%
35.9%
62.0%
45
0
1
2
0
1
3
1
1
3
14.2%
.0%
19.1%
16.8%
.0%
14.3%
31.4%
12.8%
14.5%
29.5%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Constituency Carmarthen West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Pembrokeshire
Cardiff North
Cardiff South and Penarth
Cardiff West
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
10
11
9
7
4
9
5
6
7
8
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
8
4
7
3
1
6
2
6
4
4
82.4%
34.9%
80.1%
39.3%
22.8%
67.5%
34.0%
100.0%
59.0%
48.7%
1
4
2
1
2
2
4
0
1
4
9.0%
32.0%
19.9%
12.9%
52.2%
22.1%
66.0%
.0%
12.9%
51.3%
1
4
0
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
8.5%
33.1%
.0%
47.9%
25.0%
10.4%
.0%
.0%
28.1%
.0%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Dwyfor Meirionnydd Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
5 100.0%
Constituency Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Gower Islwyn Llanelli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore and Rhymney re 10
10
11
100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4
4
10
6
5
6
7
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
4
5
5
5
3
2
5
5
3
2
2
76.1%
54.5%
48.9%
41.3%
74.7%
47.7%
47.6%
82.2%
55.7%
31.3%
28.6%
1
5
2
7
1
1
2
0
2
3
4
23.9%
45.5%
21.3%
58.7%
25.3%
25.1%
22.8%
.0%
44.3%
50.9%
58.5%
0
0
3
0
0
1
3
1
0
1
1
.0%
.0%
29.8%
.0%
.0%
27.2%
29.6%
17.8%
.0%
17.8%
12.9%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Pontypridd Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Preseli Rhondda Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Pembrokeshire
Vale of Glamorgan
10
9
7
12
8
6
9
12
6
9
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
7
5
6
4
6
5
6
6
4
5
67.3%
53.1%
86.7%
38.5%
68.8%
72.0%
60.5%
54.1%
58.1%
50.5%
0
4
1
5
2
2
3
4
1
2
.0%
46.9%
13.3%
45.7%
19.4%
28.0%
30.5%
37.4%
15.6%
24.1%
3
0
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
2
32.7%
.0%
.0%
15.9%
11.7%
.0%
9.1%
8.5%
26.3%
25.4%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? SEG Base: Those who do not have enough A/B information to make a decision Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Wrexham Ynys MĂ´n
598 100.0%
111
Gender
C1
C2
D/E
219
119
131
Refused Male Female 16
273
325
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
252
48
93
53
50
8
121
130
42.1%
42.8%
42.6%
44.3%
38.0%
47.1%
44.4%
40.1%
133
27
53
25
27
1
78
55
22.3%
24.6%
24.1%
21.0%
20.6%
5.7%
28.7%
16.9%
213
36
73
41
54
8
73
140
35.6%
32.6%
33.3%
34.6%
41.4%
47.2%
26.8%
43.0%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Age 18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
65 years or above
Refused
21
35
64
96
136
233
12
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
2
10
22
36
63
114
5
11.2%
27.2%
34.7%
37.7%
46.1%
48.6%
42.2%
14
10
14
23
22
49
1
64.8%
28.1%
22.2%
24.1%
16.4%
21.0%
8.2%
5
16
28
37
51
71
6
24.0%
44.6%
43.1%
38.2%
37.5%
30.4%
49.6%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Tenure Rented from Owner occupied private landlord Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Rented from Council or Housing Association
Other
485
34
62
17
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
217
7
21
6
44.8%
22.2%
33.6%
35.2%
104
10
16
3
21.5%
30.9%
25.7%
16.3%
163
16
25
8
33.7%
46.9%
40.7%
48.5%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Welsh Language Skills Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Other combination of skills
No skills in Welsh
54
12
14
93
25
399
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
29
6
5
23
9
180
53.2%
50.6%
37.0%
24.8%
34.4%
45.1%
8
2
1
33
8
81
14.7%
16.1%
5.7%
35.5%
33.3%
20.3%
17
4
8
37
8
138
32.2%
33.3%
57.3%
39.8%
32.3%
34.6%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? 1 - Not going to vote Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
28 100.0%
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote') 10 - Certain to 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know vote 11
3
12
38
23
25
52
24
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
370
10
100.0%
100.0%
7
4
1
3
11
6
10
24
9
175
2
23.7%
40.7%
28.5%
22.7%
27.6%
27.7%
40.6%
46.0%
36.9%
47.2%
18.3%
3
6
0
5
5
6
7
10
5
84
3
9.3%
59.3%
.0%
39.4%
12.5%
24.5%
28.5%
18.8%
19.6%
22.7%
33.0%
19
0
2
5
23
11
8
18
10
112
5
67.0%
.0%
71.5%
37.9%
59.9%
47.7%
30.9%
35.1%
43.5%
30.1%
48.7%
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Base: Those who do not have enough Aberavon Aberconwy information to make a decision Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Alyn and Deeside
Arfon Blaenau Gwent
Brecon and Radnorshire
Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central
598
13
13
12
13
15
12
15
18
14
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
252
5
3
6
5
8
2
7
8
5
42.1%
39.9%
27.2%
48.4%
37.5%
53.8%
16.2%
50.1%
45.8%
39.8%
133
4
1
2
4
2
3
2
4
2
22.3%
31.3%
7.0%
20.8%
29.6%
12.1%
24.8%
12.6%
21.4%
12.2%
213
4
8
4
4
5
7
6
6
7
35.6%
28.9%
65.7%
30.8%
32.9%
34.1%
59.0%
37.3%
32.8%
48.0%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Constituency Carmarthen West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Pembrokeshire
Cardiff North
Cardiff South and Penarth
Cardiff West
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
15
20
17
20
23
12
18
16
15
11
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
7
7
8
3
8
5
4
6
7
7
48.1%
36.8%
43.7%
14.0%
34.7%
41.4%
21.8%
34.2%
46.6%
66.5%
3
3
7
9
6
6
6
3
3
1
21.9%
14.1%
40.2%
44.2%
27.8%
49.9%
32.3%
17.3%
19.2%
8.7%
5
10
3
8
8
1
8
8
5
3
30.0%
49.1%
16.1%
41.8%
37.5%
8.7%
46.0%
48.5%
34.2%
24.9%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Dwyfor Meirionnydd Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
16 100.0%
Constituency Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Gower Islwyn Llanelli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore and Rhymney re 13
11
11
100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
17
19
10
18
17
19
16
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
4
7
4
4
12
9
7
6
12
11
7
25.4%
56.6%
33.2%
39.7%
70.5%
47.3%
73.2%
33.3%
72.2%
60.1%
44.3%
2
2
1
2
1
5
1
3
2
5
3
12.2%
13.2%
8.0%
16.6%
5.8%
28.3%
8.8%
15.0%
10.8%
24.6%
17.0%
10
4
7
5
4
5
2
9
3
3
6
62.4%
30.1%
58.8%
43.7%
23.6%
24.5%
18.0%
51.7%
17.0%
15.3%
38.7%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Preseli Pontypridd Rhondda Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Pembrokeshire Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Vale of Glamorgan
Wrexham Ynys MĂ´n
15
16
13
13
23
16
10
13
14
6
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
7
5
5
7
6
7
4
8
3
5
45.9%
28.5%
35.3%
50.0%
24.4%
40.4%
43.6%
57.9%
23.9%
83.4%
3
6
3
6
8
3
3
3
4
0
19.0%
36.8%
24.7%
42.2%
33.5%
18.2%
27.2%
20.7%
29.9%
.0%
5
6
5
1
10
7
3
3
6
1
35.1%
34.6%
40.0%
7.8%
42.1%
41.3%
29.2%
21.4%
46.2%
16.6%
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations
UNWEIGHTED TABULATIONS
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? SEG
Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
Gender
Base: All respondents
A/B
C1
C2
D/E
1004
196
353
209
216
100.0%
Refused Male Female 30
469
535
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
324
71
104
62
79
8
168
156
32.3%
36.2%
29.5%
29.7%
36.6%
26.7%
35.8%
29.2%
599
116
225
124
117
17
269
330
59.7%
59.2%
63.7%
59.3%
54.2%
56.7%
57.4%
61.7%
81
9
24
23
20
5
32
49
8.1%
4.6%
6.8%
11.0%
9.3%
16.7%
6.8%
9.2%
(c‌
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Age
Tenure
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years
Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
65 years or above
Rented from Refused Owner occupied private landlord
Rented from Council or Housing Association
Other
10
31
101
154
241
447
20
842
33
97
32
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
1
7
36
43
81
150
6
274
9
33
8
10.0%
22.6%
35.6%
27.9%
33.6%
33.6%
30.0%
32.5%
27.3%
34.0%
25.0%
8
21
59
96
146
257
12
506
22
55
16
80.0%
67.7%
58.4%
62.3%
60.6%
57.5%
60.0%
60.1%
66.7%
56.7%
50.0%
1
3
6
15
14
40
2
62
2
9
8
10.0%
9.7%
5.9%
9.7%
5.8%
8.9%
10.0%
7.4%
6.1%
9.3%
25.0%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Welsh Language Skills Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
Other combination of skills
No skills in Welsh
99
27
20
147
40
671
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
31
9
6
50
13
215
31.3%
33.3%
30.0%
34.0%
32.5%
32.0%
60
12
12
87
26
402
60.6%
44.4%
60.0%
59.2%
65.0%
59.9%
8
6
2
10
1
54
8.1%
22.2%
10.0%
6.8%
2.5%
8.0%
(c‌
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? 1 - Not going to vote 50
Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
100.0%
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote') 10 - Certain to 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know vote 10
7
9
62
33
33
87
40
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
658
15
100.0%
100.0%
13
2
3
0
14
7
6
29
14
234
2
26.0%
20.0%
42.9%
.0%
22.6%
21.2%
18.2%
33.3%
35.0%
35.6%
13.3%
27
7
3
9
38
24
25
52
24
380
10
54.0%
70.0%
72.7%
75.8%
59.8%
60.0%
57.8%
66.7%
10
1
1
0
10
2
2
6
2
44
3
20.0%
10.0%
14.3%
.0%
16.1%
6.1%
6.1%
6.9%
5.0%
6.7%
20.0%
42.9% 100.0% 61.3%
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Base: All respondents 1004
Base: All respondents
Aberavon Aberconwy 22
Constituency Brecon and Arfon Blaenau Gwent Radnorshire
Alyn and Deeside
20
25
18
23
Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central Cardiff North
22
28
27
27
28
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Cardiff South and Penarth
Cardiff West
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
35
27
28
Base: All respondents
Constituency Carmarthen West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Pembrokeshire 26
24
24
26
22
Dwyfor Meirionnydd
Gower
20
26
24
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Constituency Islwyn Llanelli Base: All respondents
23
Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Preseli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore Pontypridd Rhondda and Rhymney re Pembrokeshire
28
24
27
22
27
23
26
25
27
24
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Constituency Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Base: All respondents
26
31
27
25
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Vale of Glamorgan 29
Wrexham Ynys Môn 24
21
23
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Base: All respondents Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
Aberavon Aberconwy
Constituency Brecon and Arfon Blaenau Gwent Radnorshire
Alyn and Deeside
Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central Cardiff North
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
324
8
5
12
7
7
8
10
8
10
11
32.3%
36.4%
25.0%
48.0%
38.9%
30.4%
36.4%
35.7%
29.6%
37.0%
39.3%
599
14
13
12
11
15
11
16
17
14
16
59.7%
63.6%
65.0%
48.0%
61.1%
65.2%
50.0%
57.1%
63.0%
51.9%
57.1%
81
0
2
1
0
1
3
2
2
3
1
8.1%
.0%
10.0%
4.0%
.0%
4.3%
13.6%
7.1%
7.4%
11.1%
3.6%
(c‌
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?
Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
Constituency Carmarthen West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Pembrokeshire
Cardiff South and Penarth
Cardiff West
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
12
9
7
4
9
6
6
34.3%
33.3%
25.0%
15.4%
37.5%
25.0%
20
17
19
22
12
57.1%
63.0%
67.9%
84.6%
3
1
2
8.6%
3.7%
7.1%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Dwyfor Meirionnydd
Gower
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
7
8
5
11
23.1%
31.8%
33.3%
25.0%
42.3%
17
16
15
12
14
14
50.0%
70.8%
61.5%
68.2%
50.0%
70.0%
53.8%
0
3
1
4
0
4
1
1
.0%
12.5%
4.2%
15.4%
.0%
16.7%
5.0%
3.8%
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Constituency Islwyn Llanelli Base: All respondents 100.0% 100.0% Yes No Don't know
Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Preseli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore Pontypridd Rhondda and Rhymney re Pembrokeshire 100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
10
11
4
4
10
5
5
6
7
10
9
7
43.5%
39.3%
16.7%
14.8%
45.5%
18.5%
21.7%
23.1%
28.0%
37.0%
37.5%
30.4%
11
12
17
21
11
18
17
19
17
16
15
14
47.8%
42.9%
70.8%
77.8%
50.0%
66.7%
73.9%
73.1%
68.0%
59.3%
62.5%
60.9%
2
5
3
2
1
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
8.7%
17.9%
12.5%
7.4%
4.5%
14.8%
4.3%
3.8%
4.0%
3.7%
.0%
8.7%
(c…
Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform? Constituency Vale of Glamorgan
Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Base: All respondents Yes No Don't know
Wrexham Ynys Môn
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
12
8
7
10
13
7
9
46.2%
25.8%
25.9%
40.0%
44.8%
29.2%
42.9%
12
20
17
11
14
13
7
46.2%
64.5%
63.0%
44.0%
48.3%
54.2%
33.3%
2
3
3
4
2
4
5
7.7%
9.7%
11.1%
16.0%
6.9%
16.7%
23.8%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? SEG
Base: All respondents
Gender
Base: All respondents
A/B
C1
C2
D/E
1004
196
353
209
216
100.0%
Refused Male Female 30
469
535
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Age
Tenure 65 years or above
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years
Base: All respondents
Rented from Refused Owner occupied private landlord
31
101
154
241
447
20
842
33
97
32
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Welsh Language Skills Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh
Other combination of skills
No skills in Welsh
99
27
20
147
40
671
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? 1 - Not going to vote 50
Base: All respondents
Other
10
(c…
Base: All respondents
Rented from Council or Housing Association
100.0%
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote') 10 - Certain to 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know vote 10
7
9
62
33
33
87
40
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
658
15
100.0%
100.0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? SEG
First-past-the-post
Base: All respondents
A/B
C1
C2
470
97
162
101
46.8% 241
Alternative vote
24.0% 293
Don't know
29.2%
Gender D/E Refused Male Female 97
13
49.5% 45.9% 48.3% 44.9% 55
90
46
47
3
28.1% 25.5% 22.0% 21.8% 44
101
62
43.3%
10.0%
72
14
22.4% 28.6% 29.7% 33.3%
46.7%
237
233
50.5% 43.6% 135
106
28.8% 19.8% 97
196
20.7% 36.6%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Age
Tenure
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years
First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
65 years or above
Rented from Refused Owner occupied private landlord
Rented from Council or Housing Association
Other
1
9
35
59
118
239
9
411
10
38
11
10.0%
29.0%
34.7%
38.3%
49.0%
53.5%
45.0%
48.8%
30.3%
39.2%
34.4%
6
10
30
46
52
95
2
201
10
25
5
60.0%
32.3%
29.7%
29.9%
21.6%
21.3%
10.0%
23.9%
30.3%
25.8%
15.6%
3
12
36
49
71
113
9
230
13
34
16
30.0%
38.7%
35.6%
31.8%
29.5%
25.3%
45.0%
27.3%
39.4%
35.1%
50.0%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Welsh Language Skills Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Other combination of skills
No skills in Welsh
50
16
11
51
14
328
50.5%
59.3%
55.0%
34.7%
35.0%
48.9%
23
4
3
49
12
150
23.2%
14.8%
15.0%
33.3%
30.0%
22.4%
26
7
6
47
14
193
26.3%
25.9%
30.0%
32.0%
35.0%
28.8%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote') 1 - Not going to 10 - Certain to 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know vote vote 13
First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
26.0%
4
4
19
10
14
42
18
40.0% 57.1% 33.3% 30.6% 30.3% 42.4% 48.3% 45.0%
7
4
0
14.0%
40.0%
.0%
30
2
3
60.0%
3
3
13
10
10
22
10
33.3% 21.0% 30.3% 30.3% 25.3% 25.0% 3
30
13
9
23
12
20.0% 42.9% 33.3% 48.4% 39.4% 27.3% 26.4% 30.0%
339
4
51.5%
26.7%
157
5
23.9%
33.3%
162
6
24.6%
40.0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Base: All respondents Base: All respondents
Aberavon Aberconwy
Alyn and Deeside
Constituency Brecon and Arfon Blaenau Gwent Radnorshire
Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central Cardiff North
1004
22
20
25
18
23
22
28
27
27
28
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Cardiff South and Penarth
Cardiff West
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
35
27
28
26
24
24
26
22
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Base: All respondents
Carmarthen West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Pembrokeshire
Dwyfor Meirionnydd
Gower
24
20
26
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Islwyn Llanelli 23
Base: All respondents
Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Preseli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore Pontypridd Rhondda and Rhymney re Pembrokeshire
28
100.0% 100.0%
24
27
22
27
23
26
25
27
24
23
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Base: All respondents
Vale of Glamorgan
Wrexham Ynys Môn
26
31
27
25
29
24
21
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Base: All respondents First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Aberavon Aberconwy
Constituency Brecon and Arfon Blaenau Gwent Radnorshire
Alyn and Deeside
Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central Cardiff North
470
11
8
11
7
14
6
17
13
8
17
46.8%
50.0%
40.0%
44.0%
38.9%
60.9%
27.3%
60.7%
48.1%
29.6%
60.7%
241
7
3
8
7
3
5
3
7
9
4
24.0%
31.8%
15.0%
32.0%
38.9%
13.0%
22.7%
10.7%
25.9%
33.3%
14.3%
293
4
9
6
4
6
11
8
7
10
7
29.2%
18.2%
45.0%
24.0%
22.2%
26.1%
50.0%
28.6%
25.9%
37.0%
25.0%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Constituency Carmarthen West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Pembrokeshire
Cardiff South and Penarth
Cardiff West
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
11
16
6
9
12
6
14
11
31.4%
59.3%
21.4%
34.6%
50.0%
25.0%
53.8%
7
8
10
7
8
10
20.0%
29.6%
35.7%
26.9%
33.3%
17
3
12
10
48.6%
11.1%
42.9%
38.5%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Dwyfor Meirionnydd
Gower
14
9
15
50.0%
58.3%
45.0%
57.7%
3
4
5
3
7
41.7%
11.5%
18.2%
20.8%
15.0%
26.9%
4
8
9
7
5
8
4
16.7%
33.3%
34.6%
31.8%
20.8%
40.0%
15.4%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Islwyn Llanelli First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Preseli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore Pontypridd Rhondda and Rhymney re Pembrokeshire
10
12
16
13
13
11
15
14
10
14
10
13
43.5%
42.9%
66.7%
48.1%
59.1%
40.7%
65.2%
53.8%
40.0%
51.9%
41.7%
56.5%
4
10
2
7
3
4
4
8
8
4
8
4
17.4%
35.7%
8.3%
25.9%
13.6%
14.8%
17.4%
30.8%
32.0%
14.8%
33.3%
17.4%
9
6
6
7
6
12
4
4
7
9
6
6
39.1%
21.4%
25.0%
25.9%
27.3%
44.4%
17.4%
15.4%
28.0%
33.3%
25.0%
26.1%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Vale of Glamorgan
Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Wrexham Ynys Môn
13
11
13
12
15
8
12
50.0%
35.5%
48.1%
48.0%
51.7%
33.3%
57.1%
9
8
6
7
9
5
3
34.6%
25.8%
22.2%
28.0%
31.0%
20.8%
14.3%
4
12
8
6
5
11
6
15.4%
38.7%
29.6%
24.0%
17.2%
45.8%
28.6%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? SEG Base: Those who have enough A/B information to make a decision Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision
324 100.0%
71
Gender
C1
C2
D/E
104
62
79
Refused Male Female 8
168
156
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Age 65 years or above
18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision
Refused
1
7
36
43
81
150
6
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Tenure Rented from Owner occupied private landlord Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision
Rented from Council or Housing Association
Other
274
9
33
8
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Welsh Language Skills Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision
Other combination of skills
No skills in Welsh
31
9
6
50
13
215
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(c…
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? 1 - Not going to vote Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision
13 100.0%
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote') 10 - Certain to 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know vote 2
3
14
7
6
29
14
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
(c…
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
234
2
100.0%
100.0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? SEG Base: Those who have enough A/B information to make a decision 179
First-past-the-post
55.2% 99
Alternative vote Don't know
30.6%
45
C1
C2
59
31
Gender D/E Refused Male Female 39
5
63.4% 56.7% 50.0% 49.4% 23
33
18
23
2
32.4% 31.7% 29.0% 29.1%
46
3
14.2%
4.2%
12
13
62.5%
25.0%
17
11.5% 21.0% 21.5%
96
83
57.1% 53.2% 56
43
33.3% 27.6%
1
16
30
12.5%
9.5%
19.2%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Age 18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
65 years or above
Refused
0
3
13
19
44
96
4
.0%
42.9%
36.1%
44.2%
54.3%
64.0%
66.7%
1
4
14
18
26
35
1
100.0%
57.1%
38.9%
41.9%
32.1%
23.3%
16.7%
0
0
9
6
11
19
1
.0%
.0%
25.0%
14.0%
13.6%
12.7%
16.7%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Tenure Rented from Owner occupied private landlord First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Rented from Council or Housing Association
Other
156
3
16
4
56.9%
33.3%
48.5%
50.0%
80
5
11
3
29.2%
55.6%
33.3%
37.5%
38
1
6
1
13.9%
11.1%
18.2%
12.5%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Welsh Language Skills Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Other combination of skills
No skills in Welsh
14
7
3
28
3
124
45.2%
77.8%
50.0%
56.0%
23.1%
57.7%
13
1
2
17
4
62
41.9%
11.1%
33.3%
34.0%
30.8%
28.8%
4
1
1
5
6
29
12.9%
11.1%
16.7%
10.0%
46.2%
13.5%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote') 1 - Not going to 10 - Certain to 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know vote vote First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
7
0
3
53.8%
.0%
3
1
0
23.1%
50.0%
.0%
3
1
0
23.1%
50.0%
.0%
4
1
3
14
9
100.0% 28.6% 14.3% 50.0% 48.3% 64.3% 6
4
3
11
4
42.9% 57.1% 50.0% 37.9% 28.6% 4
2
28.6% 28.6%
136
2
58.1%
100.0%
67
0
28.6%
.0%
0
4
1
31
0
.0%
13.8%
7.1%
13.2%
.0%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Base: Those who have enough Aberavon Aberconwy information to make a decision Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Alyn and Deeside
Arfon Blaenau Gwent
Brecon and Radnorshire
Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central
324
8
5
12
7
7
8
10
8
10
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
179
5
3
4
2
5
3
9
4
1
55.2%
62.5%
60.0%
33.3%
28.6%
71.4%
37.5%
90.0%
50.0%
10.0%
99
3
1
6
5
1
2
0
3
6
30.6%
37.5%
20.0%
50.0%
71.4%
14.3%
25.0%
.0%
37.5%
60.0%
46
0
1
2
0
1
3
1
1
3
14.2%
.0%
20.0%
16.7%
.0%
14.3%
37.5%
10.0%
12.5%
30.0%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Constituency Carmarthen West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Pembrokeshire
Cardiff North
Cardiff South and Penarth
Cardiff West
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
11
12
9
7
4
9
6
6
7
8
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
9
4
7
3
1
6
2
6
4
4
81.8%
33.3%
77.8%
42.9%
25.0%
66.7%
33.3%
100.0%
57.1%
50.0%
1
4
2
1
2
2
4
0
1
4
9.1%
33.3%
22.2%
14.3%
50.0%
22.2%
66.7%
.0%
14.3%
50.0%
1
4
0
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
9.1%
33.3%
.0%
42.9%
25.0%
11.1%
.0%
.0%
28.6%
.0%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Dwyfor Meirionnydd Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
5 100.0%
Constituency Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Gower Islwyn Llanelli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore and Rhymney re 11
10
11
100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4
4
10
5
5
6
7
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
4
6
5
5
3
2
5
4
3
2
2
80.0%
54.5%
50.0%
45.5%
75.0%
50.0%
50.0%
80.0%
60.0%
33.3%
28.6%
1
5
2
6
1
1
2
0
2
3
4
20.0%
45.5%
20.0%
54.5%
25.0%
25.0%
20.0%
.0%
40.0%
50.0%
57.1%
0
0
3
0
0
1
3
1
0
1
1
.0%
.0%
30.0%
.0%
.0%
25.0%
30.0%
20.0%
.0%
16.7%
14.3%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Pontypridd Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Preseli Rhondda Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Pembrokeshire
Vale of Glamorgan
10
9
7
12
8
7
10
13
7
9
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
7
5
6
5
6
5
6
7
4
5
70.0%
55.6%
85.7%
41.7%
75.0%
71.4%
60.0%
53.8%
57.1%
55.6%
0
4
1
5
1
2
3
5
1
2
.0%
44.4%
14.3%
41.7%
12.5%
28.6%
30.0%
38.5%
14.3%
22.2%
3
0
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
2
30.0%
.0%
.0%
16.7%
12.5%
.0%
10.0%
7.7%
28.6%
22.2%
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? SEG Base: Those who do not have enough A/B information to make a decision Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Wrexham Ynys MĂ´n
599 100.0%
116
Gender
C1
C2
D/E
225
124
117
Refused Male Female 17
269
330
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
262
51
97
58
48
8
129
133
43.7%
44.0%
43.1%
46.8%
41.0%
47.1%
48.0%
40.3%
126
28
50
25
22
1
71
55
21.0%
24.1%
22.2%
20.2%
18.8%
5.9%
26.4%
16.7%
211
37
78
41
47
8
69
142
35.2%
31.9%
34.7%
33.1%
40.2%
47.1%
25.7%
43.0%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Age 18 - 24 years 25 - 34 years 35 - 44 years 45 - 54 years 55 - 64 years Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
65 years or above
Refused
8
21
59
96
146
257
12
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
1
6
21
36
68
125
5
12.5%
28.6%
35.6%
37.5%
46.6%
48.6%
41.7%
5
6
13
23
24
54
1
62.5%
28.6%
22.0%
24.0%
16.4%
21.0%
8.3%
2
9
25
37
54
78
6
25.0%
42.9%
42.4%
38.5%
37.0%
30.4%
50.0%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Tenure Rented from Owner occupied private landlord Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Rented from Council or Housing Association
Other
506
22
55
16
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
231
6
19
6
45.7%
27.3%
34.5%
37.5%
106
5
14
1
20.9%
22.7%
25.5%
6.3%
169
11
22
9
33.4%
50.0%
40.0%
56.3%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Welsh Language Skills Understands Speaks but does Speaks and Speaks reads spoken Welsh not read or reads but does and writes only write Welsh not write Welsh Welsh Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Other combination of skills
No skills in Welsh
60
12
12
87
26
402
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
32
6
6
21
10
187
53.3%
50.0%
50.0%
24.1%
38.5%
46.5%
9
2
1
30
8
76
15.0%
16.7%
8.3%
34.5%
30.8%
18.9%
19
4
5
36
8
139
31.7%
33.3%
41.7%
41.4%
30.8%
34.6%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? 1 - Not going to vote Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
27 100.0%
Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote') 10 - Certain to 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Don't know vote 7
3
9
38
24
25
52
24
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
380
10
100.0%
100.0%
6
4
1
3
11
7
11
24
9
184
2
22.2%
57.1%
33.3%
33.3%
28.9%
29.2%
44.0%
46.2%
37.5%
48.4%
20.0%
3
3
0
3
4
6
6
10
5
83
3
11.1%
42.9%
.0%
33.3%
10.5%
25.0%
24.0%
19.2%
20.8%
21.8%
30.0%
18
0
2
3
23
11
8
18
10
113
5
66.7%
.0%
66.7%
33.3%
60.5%
45.8%
32.0%
34.6%
41.7%
29.7%
50.0%
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Base: Those who do not have enough Aberavon Aberconwy information to make a decision Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Alyn and Deeside
Arfon Blaenau Gwent
Brecon and Radnorshire
Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Central
599
14
13
12
11
15
11
16
17
14
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
262
6
4
6
5
8
2
8
8
6
43.7%
42.9%
30.8%
50.0%
45.5%
53.3%
18.2%
50.0%
47.1%
42.9%
126
4
1
2
2
2
3
2
3
2
21.0%
28.6%
7.7%
16.7%
18.2%
13.3%
27.3%
12.5%
17.6%
14.3%
211
4
8
4
4
5
6
6
6
6
35.2%
28.6%
61.5%
33.3%
36.4%
33.3%
54.5%
37.5%
35.3%
42.9%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?
Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Constituency Carmarthen West and South Ceredigion Clwyd South Clwyd West Cynon Valley Delyn Pembrokeshire
Cardiff North
Cardiff South and Penarth
Cardiff West
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
16
20
17
19
22
12
17
16
15
12
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
8
7
8
3
8
5
3
6
7
8
50.0%
35.0%
47.1%
15.8%
36.4%
41.7%
17.6%
37.5%
46.7%
66.7%
3
3
6
8
5
6
6
3
3
1
18.8%
15.0%
35.3%
42.1%
22.7%
50.0%
35.3%
18.8%
20.0%
8.3%
5
10
3
8
9
1
8
7
5
3
31.3%
50.0%
17.6%
42.1%
40.9%
8.3%
47.1%
43.8%
33.3%
25.0%
(c‌
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Dwyfor Meirionnydd Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
14 100.0%
Constituency Merthyr Tydfil Montgomeryshi Gower Islwyn Llanelli Monmouth Neath Newport East Newport West Ogmore and Rhymney re 14
11
12
100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
17
21
11
18
17
19
17
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
4
8
4
5
12
10
8
6
12
11
8
28.6%
57.1%
36.4%
41.7%
70.6%
47.6%
72.7%
33.3%
70.6%
57.9%
47.1%
2
2
1
2
1
6
1
3
2
5
3
14.3%
14.3%
9.1%
16.7%
5.9%
28.6%
9.1%
16.7%
11.8%
26.3%
17.6%
8
4
6
5
4
5
2
9
3
3
6
57.1%
28.6%
54.5%
41.7%
23.5%
23.8%
18.2%
50.0%
17.6%
15.8%
35.3%
(c‌
Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? Constituency Preseli Pontypridd Rhondda Swansea East Swansea West Torfaen Vale of Clwyd Pembrokeshire Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision First-past-the-post Alternative vote Don't know
Vale of Glamorgan
Wrexham Ynys MĂ´n
16
15
14
12
20
17
11
14
13
7
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
7
5
5
7
5
7
5
8
3
6
43.8%
33.3%
35.7%
58.3%
25.0%
41.2%
45.5%
57.1%
23.1%
85.7%
3
4
3
4
6
3
3
3
4
0
18.8%
26.7%
21.4%
33.3%
30.0%
17.6%
27.3%
21.4%
30.8%
.0%
6
6
6
1
9
7
3
3
6
1
37.5%
40.0%
42.9%
8.3%
45.0%
41.2%
27.3%
21.4%
46.2%
14.3%
2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations
RMG BACKGROUND RMG has been in business since 1968 and consists of 35 full time staff and over 60 casual staff. RMG is wholly owned by its Directors following a management buy-out in October 2009.
QUALITY We pride ourselves on the quality of work that we deliver. To maintain the highest standards we are Market Research Society (MRS) Company Partners and members of the British Polling Council upholding their codes of practice. We are an Investors in People company and believe that our competitive advantage is founded upon the superior expertise of our staff. Emphasising our commitment to quality, all our market research projects are delivered to the ISO20252 and Interviewer Quality Control Scheme (IQCS) standards.
OUR VISION AND MISSION STATEMENT ‘Our vision is to be a vibrant and profitable brand by securing the place of ‘first choice’ through the consistent delivery of exceptional services by extraordinary people who take pride in their work.’
OUR VALUES Integral:
We are part of our customers business
Commercial: Brain power comes before manpower Quality:
We take pride in everything we do
Friendly:
We always make our clients happy
Secure:
Our clients’ reputation is our reputation
Sustainable: We think about the future of our planet, as well as the future of our business.