September 2011 Market Stats Bethesda 20816

Page 1

Bethesda, 2081 6 - (Single Family Homes) Month over Month - August

Josette Skilling

2011

Associate Broker

Active Contract Days on Market List to Sale Price Sold Median Price

Solving Your Real Estate Puzzle www.bethesdabuzz.com

Active Inventory 2010 vs 2011 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

2010

-5%

-4%

YTD

100 50 0

List to Sale Ratio 2010 vs 2011

-12% -44% 50% -2% 6% 10%

The chart below shows the absorption rate or months of supply, currently at 2 months signaling a seller's market. Note the spikes in past early spring markets and the lack of the same in Jan/Mar of this year, a result of the 5% drop YTD in active listings. For buyers who needed a home now they were feeling the pressure of this lack and were fearful there may not be more inventory coming on to meet their time frame.

Days on Market 2010 vs 2011 150

42 9 22 97% 17 $882,000

Year to Date - 3rd Quarter

YTD

2011

37 5 33 95% 18 $970,750

2010 % Change

1% YTD

104% 99%

If you look at the chart below (homes sold through current month) you'll note that we had sold 147 homes by the end of September last year. There are two more scheduled to close which may put us at 115 sales but that is still significantly below past years. As a result, in some neighborhoods median price is up quite a bit. When we look at the homes in certain price ranges we can see where most the increase lies: the $650-$750K range, with an 8% increase. There is more competition for homes in this range since it's only been 8% of the total sales in the zip code and only 9 homes have been sold in this range. For buyers that want the schools and proximity, it's tough to find a really good house when the median price is $900,000.

52% There were fewer homes offered for sale in the spring market so buyers paid a higher price and sellers received more of their asking price. At 97% of asking price right now, it's still a healthy sign of buyer demand.

94% 89% 84%

Median price is just $500 away from the peak of $900,000 in 2007.

Sold 2010 vs 2011

-23% YTD

40 30 20 10

February 2010 0

Months of Inventory 2009 - 2011

3

Absorption Rate

YTD

6

0

Jan-09 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan-10 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan-11 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug

4% $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 $0

Months of Inventory

12

Median Price Change 2010 vs 2011

6 Months Supply - Balanced Market Over 6 months Supply - Buyer's Market Under 6 Months Supply - Seller's Market Information included in this report is based on data supplied by MRIS and reflects the activity of single family homes in zip code 20816. The information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.


Annual Bethesda 20816 (Single Family Homes) Bethesda 20816- Median Price 2008 - 2011 $3,000,000 $2,500,000 $2,000,000 $1,500,000 $1,000,000 $500,000 $0 <$500K

$500-$650K

$650-$750

$750K-$850

$850-$1M

$1M$1.25M

$1.25M$1.5M

$1.5M-$2M

over $2M

2008

$460,000

$600,000

$710,000

$795,000

$887,500

$1,135,000

$1,350,000

$1,650,000

$2,300,000

2009

$425,000

$570,000

$710,000

$816,000

$900,000

$1,127,500

$1,290,000

$1,725,000

$2,680,000

2010

$425,000

$624,000

$670,000

$800,000

$899,500

$1,137,500

$1,350,000

$1,683,750

$2,102,500

2011

$0

$598,000

$724,000

$810,000

$899,000

$1,125,000

$1,370,500

$1,695,000

$2,075,000

-4%

8%

1%

0%

-1%

2%

1%

-1%

Days on Market Annually

Total Homes Sold Annually

$1,000,000 $900,000 $800,000 $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 Median Price Appreciation

180

163

177

162

169

2011

2009

2008

2007

2006 202

164

142

123

147

113

2011

146

2010

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

113

250 200 150 100 50 0

2009

187

2008

167 173

2007

195

2006

208 225

2005

237 234

2001

233 216

96% 97%

Total Homes Sold - Through Current Month

2000

210

2000

250 200 150 100 50 0

97% 98% 95% 94%

2000

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

90%

2002

0 2001

95%

2000

20

101% 101% 101% 102%

2005

22

99%

2004

32

98%

2004

34

100%

2003

27

37

47

2003

31

35

49

43

2001

60

2010

105%

60

2002

74

80 40

List to Sale Price Ratio Annually

2002

% Chg

96%

Median Price Appreciation since 2000

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

$460,000

$545,000

$599,950

$700,000

$763,500

$870,500

$870,000

$900,000

$880,000

$839,000

$864,500

$899,500

18%

10%

17%

9%

14%

0%

3%

-2%

-5%

3%

4%

301-385-9213 J.Skilling@verizon.net

Keller Williams Capital Properties, 801 D Street, NE ,Washington, DC 20002 If your home is currently listed for sale with another broker, this is not intended as a solicitation of that listing


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