Epic research special report of 27 may 2016

Page 1

DAILY REPORT 27

th

MAY 2016

Global markets at a glance European shares steadied on Thursday, with banks coming under pressure after a surprise rights issue by Spain's Banco Popular raised fears that others in the region may follow to strengthen their balance sheets. The panEuropean STOXX Europe 600 ended up 0.1%, while the FTSEurofirst 300 added 0.2%. Both hit a four-week high in the previous session, helped by a two-day rally in banking stocks. Europe's banking sector index gave up part of those gains, falling 0.5% after Banco Popular announced a 2.5 bn euro cash call, which caught some investors by surprise. Its shares fell more than 26%. Asian stocks pulled ahead on Friday after patches of US data continued to paint the world's largest economy in a positive light, while the dollar was on the defensive against its major peers. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS gained 0.2 percent to a two-week high. The index was on track to gain 2.3 percent this week. Japan's Nikkei nudged up 0.4 percent, buoyed by prospects of Tokyo delaying a sales tax hike. The Dow inched down 0.1% and the S&P 500 ended flat overnight after rising strongly for two days as advancing utilities offset declines in materials, banks and other cyclical industries. US data released on Thursday showed durable goods orders, pending home sales and initial jobless claims coming in strong. Just 5.8bn shares changed hands on US exchanges, well below the 7.2bn daily average for the past 20 trading days. Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by 1,552 to 1,449, while on Nasdaq, 1,507 issues fell and 1,269 advanced. The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and 1 new low; Nasdaq recorded 55 new highs and 26 new lows. Previous day Roundup The market has ended with stellar gains with the benchmark indices and Bank Nifty at 2016 closing high. The Nifty ended the May F&O series at 8070, up 134.75 points or 1.7 percent while the Sensex was up 485.51 points or 1.9 percent at 26366.68.

World Indices Index

Value

% Change

DJI S&P500 NASDAQ FTSE100 NIKKEI

17826.29 2090.10 4901.77 6265.665 16847.06

-0.13 -0.02 +0.14 +0.04 +0.44

HANG SENG

20334.17

-0.31

Top Gainers Company

CMP

Change

% Chg

1,471.00

179.40

13.89

SBIN

184.55

9.45

5.40

BHEL

128.75

6.20

5.06

AXISBANK

521.05

18.90

3.76

IDEA

113.20

3.65

3.33

CMP

Change

% Chg

387.95 741.75 18,400.00 21,770.00 947.30

6.90 7.60 130.65 124.85 3.90

-1.75 -1.01 -0.71 -0.57 -0.41

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

ASIANPAINT

994.00

11.75

1.20

BIOCON

660.60

10.90

1.68

GRASIM

4,331.10

-12.35

-0.28

HAVELLS

376.65

3.30

0.88

HDFCBANK

1,182.85

9.55

0.81

IBREALEST

100.80

6.25

6.61

ITC

363.90

7.85

2.20

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

805.00 442.55 136.00

-56.90 -0.50 2.05

-6.60 -0.11 1.53

CMP

Change

% Chg

8069.65 26366.68

+134.75 +485.51

+1.70 +1.88

LT

Top Losers Company

INFRATEL HCLTECH EICHERMOT BOSCHLTD RELIANCE

Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH Symbol

Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol

Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up 8.63pts], Capital Goods [up 1166.49pts], PSU [up 75.14pts], FMCG [up 98.91Pts], Realty [up 25.00pts], Power [up 27.84pts], Auto [up 199.76pts], Healthcare [up 0.11pts], IT [up 139.30pts], Metals [up 66.79Pts], TECK [up 69.71pts], Oil& Gas [up 87.46pts]. YOUR MINTVISORY

CUMMINSIND IPCALAB PRECAM

Indian Indices Company

NIFTY SENSEX

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 27

th

MAY 2016

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. [FUTURE]

STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] 3. KEC

On daily chart KEC has given upside breakout at 137.40 resistance level rose with heavy volumes yesterday, so it is expected to give a good positive move for today supported by bullish moves of index .So we advise to buy above 140 for the targets of 142.5 143.5 with stop loss below 138.20.

Last trading session TECHM future opened gape up and consolidate in first half but TECHM future move very fast and cross major resistance level in second half and made a high of 549.50 and close near day’s high with bullish candlestick in daily chart. We may see sharp rise for that it will be good to buy above 550 for the target of 555-560 with SL of 544. 2. [FUTURE]

Last trading session YESBANK future show good strength and close near day high with bullish candlestick in daily chart. since last session it rose with rising OI around 89%, in long side at june series and last day stock cross major resistance level. We may see sharp rise for that it will be good to buy above 1020 for the target of 1025-1035 with SL of 1012.

YOUR MINTVISORY

MACRO NEWS  Results today: SBI, HPCL, IOC, Oil India, DLF, NMDC, Sun TV, Tata Communications, REC, Crompton Greaves, Punj Lloyd, Canara Bank, BHEL, BEML, Bharat Electronics, Bombay Dyeing, S H Kelkar and Company, IOB, Karur Vysya Bank, PVR, Puravankara Projects, Reliance Power, Religare Enterprises, Thomas Cook, 3M India, Alkem Lab, Dr Lal Path Labs, Lanco Infratech, Religare Enterprises, VST Tillers, V2 Retail, Caplin Point Lab, DB Realty, Eros, Gujarat Sidhee, Jaiprakash Power Ventures, KCP, Man Industries, Mercator, Minda Corporation, Orchid Pharma, Patel Integrated Logistics, RPP Infra, SJVN, Texmo Pipes, Dharamsi Morarji, Elgi Equipments, Dolphin Offshore, Dynamatic Tech, Gujarat Sidhee, HEG, IMP Powers, Pricol, Jindal Stainless, Indoco Remedies, JMC Projects, Kothari Sugars, LT Foods, Minda Corporation, Ponni Sugars, Pratibha Industries, Raunaq EPC International, Sharda Motor, Sudarshan Chemical, TNPL, Technofab Eng, TIL, Asian Hotels, Enkei Wheels, Venky's  L&T soars 11% as better execution drives Q4  ONGC Q4 net up over 3-fold to Rs 4416cr, EBITDA below estimates  Shree Cement Jan-March quarter profit up 86%  India could lose $49 bn in GDP by food price shock: UN  Lanco Group shortlists 5 bidders for power business  Govt fixes transfer fee for non-auctioned captive mines  Targeting 8-10% loan growth in FY17: Bank of India  India home to 56 of world's largest public firms: Forbes  India's installed solar capacity reached 6,000 MW in 6 years: Manufacturer  RIL, BP on way to end dispute with government  Britain to consult on steel pensions in effort to find buyer for Tata Steel UK  BPCL Q4 net drops 10.6% to Rs 2,549 cr on low oil prices Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 27

th

FUTURES & OPTIONS

MAY 2016

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol

Op- Strike tion Price Type

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

NIFTY

CE

8,000 64.50 14,09,838

23,78,925

NIFTY

CE

8,100

BANKNIFTY

CE

SBIN

CE

LT

CE

ICICIBANK

CE

240

ASHOKLEY

CE

100

MARUTI

CE

0.05

4,07,548

73,32,300

17,200 139.30

2,49,950

71,730

4.05

16,532

12,94,000

1,420 52.00

8,710

1,26,900

0.90

8,678

25,67,000

4.10

6,747

23,73,000

4,100 13.00

6,132

35,750

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

180

STOCKS IN NEWS  Titan, Gitanjali Gem, PC Jewellers feature in top 100 luxury goods brand  Yes Bank says approval to hike foreign investment will enhance its financial flexibility  GAIL reconfigures Rs 12,000cr Jagdishpur-Haldia gas  CIL eyes export market in Bangladesh  Fortis Healthcare to vertically demerge SRL Diagnostics  Strides Shasun gets US health regulator tentative nod  Jubilant Life gets nod for Sodium Chloride injection  DrReddy's buys 6 OTC brands from US-based Ducere Pharma NIFTY FUTURE

MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION Symbol

Op- Strike tion Price Type

NIFTY

PE

7,900

0.05

8,58,472

86,40,375

NIFTY

PE

8,000

0.05

7,83,678

55,28,400

BANKNIFTY

PE

17,000

0.10

2,08,113

4,78,530

LT

PE

1,420

0.05

6,124

2,23,800

SBIN

PE

175

0.05

5,975

25,98,000

TATASTEEL

PE

320

0.05

5,619

19,52,000

AXISBANK

PE

500

0.05

2,959

8,91,000

YESBANK

PE

1,000

0.05

2,890

4,66,200

NIFTY FUTURE in yesterday trading session rallied up and broken the major resistance of 8000, bulls had taken complete control, value buying in infra (majorly L&T) and banks helped Nifty end at fresh 2016 closing high. And this rally seems to continue till 8250. So we advise you to buy Nifty Future above 8075 for the targets of 8150 and 8250 With strict stop loss of 7950

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY

SELL

OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY

No. of Amount in No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts Crores Contracts

Amount in Crores

NET AMOUNT

INDEX FUTURES

123751

7258.30

84507

4910.21

253309

15019.79

2348.09

INDEX OPTIONS

977771

56149.23

942805

54003.15

714301

43007.63

2146.07

STOCK FUTURES

376424

18659.79

352858

17444.89

969349

46966.37

1214.90

STOCK OPTIONS

75670

3655.96

75278

3652.13

1650

102.23

3.83

TOTAL

5712.89

INDICES NIFTY BANKNIFTY YOUR MINTVISORY

R2

R1

PIVOT

S1

S2

8253.40

8168.20

8033.70

7984.40

7899.20

17704.00

17531.00

17251.00

17078.00

16798.00

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 27

th

MAY 2016

MCX

RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 28820 TARGET 28920 29000 SL 28700 SELL GOLD BELOW 28700 TARGET 28600 28500 SL 28805 SILVER

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 39200 TARGET 39400 39600 SL 38995 SELL SILVER BELOW 38995 TARGET 38800 38600 SL 39205 YOUR MINTVISORY

COMMODITY ROUNDUP Gold prices recovered by Rs 55 per 10 grams at the bullion market Thursday, snapping its three-day falling steak, supported by demand from jewellers and retailers and a firming trend overseas. Standard gold rose by Rs 55 to finish at Rs 29,065 per 10 grams from Wednesday's closing value of Rs 29,010. Pure gold also moved up by a similar margin to end at Rs 29,215 per 10 grams as compared to Rs 29,160 earlier. Silver climbed by Rs 395 per kg to conclude at Rs 39,815 as against Rs 39,420 earlier. Globally, gold edged higher as the dollar's rally paused, moving away from a seven-week low hit in the previous session, though gains were limited by expectations USrates could rise as early as June. Spot gold rose 0.3% to$ 1,227.20 an ounce at early trade, its biggest intra-day rise since May 17. The metal fell to the lowest since April 6 at$ 1,217.25 on Wednesday. US gold was up 0.2% at $1,226.70. Among other precious metals, spot silver rose 0.9% to $16.41 an ounce. MCX Copper futures stayed broadly supported as global prices managed to recover further on bargain buying. Local futures are trading at Rs 316.20 per kg, up 1.15% on the day. COMEX Copper futures are edging up after bottoming out near three month low as rising equities and soaring crude oil prices lend good support. The counter had tested near $2 per pound before recovering and currently trades at $2.1200 per pound, up 0.88% on the day. Sentiments remain supportive after the US manufacturing sector witnessed significant upside momentum in April, adding to gains seen in March, as orders for durable goods increased. New order of durable goods rose by $7.7bn or 3.4% to $229.4bn in Apr following March's revised increase of 1.9%; the previous data reported a rise of 0.8%. The report noted that this is the third monthly increase in the last four months. It is the biggest increase since January. Oil futures dipped further in early Asian trade on Friday, finding resistance at the $50 a barrel mark as investors worried higher prices could reactivate shuttered crude output, adding to global oversupply. Oil pushed through $50 for the first time in around seven months on Thursday as supply disruptions from Canadian wildfires and attacks in Libya and West Africa have helped cut daily output by four million barrels. Increased demand and a weaker dollar helped support prices. US crude fell seven cents to $49.41 a barrel as of 0033 GMT after settling down eight cents in the previous session. It touched $50.21 earlier on Thursday, its highest since early October. Brent fell nine cents to $49.50. Brent closed down 15 cents, retreating from $50.51, its highest since early November. Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 27

th

MAY 2016

NCDEX

RECOMMENDATIONS DHANIYA

BUY CORIANDER JUN ABOVE 6920 TARGET 6965 7065 SL BELOW 6855 SELL CORIANDER JUN BELOW 6800 TARGET 6755 6655 SL ABOVE 6865 GUARGUM

NCDEX INDICES Index

Value

% Change

BARLEY CHANA CORIANDER COTTON SEED GUAR SEED JEERA MUSTARDSEED REF SOYA OIL SUGAR M GRADE TURMERIC

1554 6105 6875 2288 3055 16095 4392 840.7 3518 6064

+0.16 +1.36 +1.03 +2.97 +1.60 +1.00 +0.69 +0.20 -0.26 -1.74

Wheat futures settled in green today due to anticipation of below projected wheat production in the current year along with surge in wheat import figures in the current year. The sources that total wheat production is projected at 88 million tonnes against the government's projected figure of 93.25 million tonnes. Thus, shortage of wheat supplies in international market will increase import demand in the current season . The wheat import demand is expected to increase five fold in the current year. The NCDEX July futures added 0.12 percent to close at Rs 1690 per quintal today. The jute industry stands to lose Rs 1,000 crore in the 201617 season if the Union government approves the recommendations of the Commission for Agricultural Costs & Prices (CACP). The latter has favoured complete exemption in the case of sugar for packaging in jute bags. Presently, 20 per cent of all sugar is needed to be compulsorily packed in jute bags, under the Jute Packaging Materials Act (JPMA).

BUY GUARGUM JUN ABOVE 5200 TARGET 5250 5320 SL BELOW 5140 SELL GUARGUM JUN BELOW 5100 TARGET 5050 4980 SL ABOVE 5160 YOUR MINTVISORY

The Gross Production of Maize in Kharif and Rabi is estimated at 21.02mt, for the year 2015-16. Despite two successive droughts, the gross production of maize in Kharif and Rabi is estimated at 21.02mt, for the year 2015-16. He added that due to the hard works carried out by the farmers, scientists and policy makers the area of maize farming has increased 2.9 times, the productivity 4.8 times, and yield has been 14 times more after 1950. He observed that this is a great achievement of the farmers. More than 308 improved maize hybrid/mixed varieties have been distributed for various climate related conditions in the country after 1957. During the last five years 30 high yielding hybrids and 10 mixed varieties have been released. The Agriculture Minister stated it in “India Maize Summit”, organized by FICCI. Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 27

th

MAY 2016

CURRENCY RBI Reference Rate

Currency

Rate Currency

Rate

Rupee- $

67.2855 Yen-100

61.3400

Euro

75.2185 GBP

98.9501

USD/INR

BUY USD/INR MAY ABOVE 67.28 TARGET 67.41 67.56 SL BELOW 67.08 SELL USD/INR MAY BELOW 67.14 TARGET 67.01 66.86 SL ABOVE 67.34 EUR/INR

BUY EUR/INR MAY ABOVE 75.41 TARGET 75.56 75.76 SL BELOW 75.21 SELL EUR/INR MAY BELOW 75.09 TARGET 74.94 74.74 SL ABOVE 75.29 YOUR MINTVISORY

CURRENCY MARKET UPDATES: The dollar was steady at 109.780 yen after losing 0.4 percent overnight. The euro treaded water at USD 1.1190 following Thursday's 0.3% gain. The dollar index was nearly flat at 95.108 .DXY after slipping 0.3% overnight, pulling away from a two-month high of 95.661 scaled on Wednesday. The greenback had rallied earlier in the week on growing expectations the Fed will raise interest rates as soon as June or July, supported by a series of comments from Fed officials seemingly backing such a move. The Australian dollar extended gains after rising overnight on a modest upgrade in domestic capex data. The Aussie, which fell to a near three-month low of USD 0.7145 on Tuesday amid a slide in commodities, was last up 0.1% at USD 0.7230. The rupee strengthened for a second consecutive session against the dollar, rising 16 paise to 67.17 on Thursday, on sustained selling of the American currency amid a continued rally in domestic equities. Fresh foreign fund inflows also weighed on the local currency. At the interbank forex market, the domestic unit commenced slightly better at 67.32 a dollar from Wednesday's closing value of 67.33. However, it trimmed initial gains and fell back on some dollar demand from banks and importers to touch an intraday low of 67.39 during mid-morning deals. However, overcoming the volatility, the rupee recovered smartly to touch a high of 67.14 on bouts of dollar selling from banks and exporters before ending at 67.17, revealing a good gain of 16 paise, or 0.24 per cent. After an uninterrupted nine-day slide, the domestic unit rebounded yesterday from its 2-1/2 month low with an impressive 42-paise gain - its sharpest single-day jump in over two months. In cross-currency trades, the rupee firmed up further against the pound sterling to settle at 98.79, from 98.85 the previous day, and also moved up against the yen to end at 61.06 per 100 yens compared to 61.13. On the other hand, it weakened against the euro and finished at 75.10 from 75.03 earlier. Meanwhile, FIIs turned net buyers after the recent selling spree and bought equities worth Rs 495.08 crore in Wednesday's trading session, as per provisional data released by the stock exchanges. Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 27

th

MAY 2016

Date

Commodity/ Currency Pairs

Contract

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

26/05/16

NCDEX DHANIYA

JUNE

BUY

6940

6985-7085

6875

NOT EXECUTED

26/05/16

NCDEX DHANIYA

JUNE

SELL

6757

6712-6612

6822

SL TRIGGERED

26/05/16

NCDEX GUARGUM

JUNE

BUY

5200

5250-5320

5140

NOT EXECUTED

26/05/16

NCDEX GUARGUM

JUNE

SELL

4980

4930-4860

5040

NOT EXECUTED

26/05/16

MCX GOLD

JUNE

BUY

29000

29150-29400

29860

SL TRIGGERED

26/05/16

MCX GOLD

JUNE

SELL

28850

28750-28600

29000

BOOKED PROFIT

26/05/16

MCX SILVER

JUNE

BUY

39420

39600-39800

39250

BOOKED PROFIT

26/05/16

MCX SILVER

JUNE

SELL

39100

38900-38700

39300

NO PROFIT NO LOSS

Date

Scrip

CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

26/05/16

NIFTY

FUTURE

BUY

7920

7970-8050

7840

BOOKED PROFIT

26/05/16

ARVIND

FUTURE

BUY

309-310

314-318

305

NOT EXECUTED

26/05/16

AXISBANK

FUTURE

BUY

507

511-515

500

BOOKED PROFIT

26/05/16

UPL

CASH

BUY

593.5

599-603.5

588

SL TRIGGERED

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 27

th

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

MAY 2016

NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS TIME

REPORT

PERIOD

ACTUAL

CONSENSUS FORECAST

PREVIOUS

MONDAY, MAY 23 9:45 AM

MARKIT PMI FLASH

MAY

--

50.8

523,000

511,000

-$61.2 BLN

-$56.9 BLN

TUESDAY, MAY 24 10 AM

NEW HOME SALES

APRIL WEDNESDAY, MAY 25

8;30 AM

ADVANCE TRADE IN GOODS

APRIL THURSDAY, MAY 26

8:30 AM

WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS

MAY 21

--

--

8:30 AM

DURABLE GOODS ORDERS

APRIL

-0.1%

0.8%

10 AM

PENDING HOME SALES

APRIL

1.0%

1.4%

FRIDAY, MAY 27 8:30 AM

GDP REVISION

1Q

0.8%

0.5%

10 AM

CONSUMER SENTIMENT

MAY

--

95.8

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YOUR MINTVISORY

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