Epic research special report of 25 may 2016

Page 1

DAILY REPORT 25

th

MAY 2016

Global markets at a glance European shares rose to their highest point in almost 4 weeks on Tuesday as firmer financial stocks lifted the region's equity markets. The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 and STOXX 600 indexes rose 2.2 and 2.3 percent respectively, extending earlier gains helped by a weakening euro and a reversal of crude oil prices into positive territory. Sentiment was also underpinned by comments from European Central Bank supervisory chief Daniele Nouy, who said the bank was working on new proposals for nonperforming loans that remain one of the biggest problems for the region's economy. Asia markets opened sharply higher on Wednesday, with most major indexes advancing around than 1 percent each, after encouraging reports on the housing market stateside saw gains in US stocks. Japan's Nikkei 225 was up 1.6 percent, with shares receiving additional boost from a relatively weaker yen against the dollar. Across the Korean Strait, the Kospi advanced 0.82%. . Wall Street surged more than 1 percent on Tuesday and the Nasdaq had its strongest day in three months as investors made peace with the possibility that the US Federal Reserve might soon raise interest rates. Comments from policymakers in recent days have investors expecting a rate hike potentially in June, much sooner than previously thought, given sluggish economic growth. Down Under, the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 was up 1.39 percent, led by gains in the heavily-weighted financials subindex, as well as the energy and materials sub-indexes. US stocks ended higher overnight, with the Dow Jones industrial average closing up 1.22 percent, the S&P 500 higher by 1.37 percent and the Nasdaq composite added 2 percent Previous day Roundup The market has ended in green. The Sensex closed 75.11 pts or 0.3% at 25305.47 and the Nifty was up 17.80 pts or 0.2% at 7748.85. About 906 shares have advanced, 1598 shares declined, and 182 shares are unchanged. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [down 9.07pts], Capital Goods [down 38.20pts], PSU [down 18.71pts], FMCG [up 14.53Pts], Realty [down 2.19pts], Power [down 1.35pts], Auto [up 57.02pts], Healthcare [down 133.04pts], IT [down 35.33pts], Metals [up 13.25Pts], TECK [down 24.00pts], Oil& Gas [down 91.18pts]. YOUR MINTVISORY

World Indices Index

Value

% Change

DJI NASDAQ S&P500 FTSE100 NIKKEI

17706.05 4861.06 2076.06 6219.26 16783.95

+1.22 +2.00 +1.37 +1.35 +1.73

HANG SENG

20299.79

+2.37

Top Gainers Company

CMP

Change

% Chg

4,313.90

102.75

2.44

138.60

2.90

2.14

1,446.00

28.00

1.97

TATAMOTORS

388.85

7.10

1.86

TATAPOWER

71.95

1.30

1.84

CMP

Change

% Chg

729.50 106.75 898.25 2,379.50 772.90

30.20 3.45 23.65 42.30 11.65

-3.98 -3.13 -2.57 -1.75 -1.48

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

644.25 4,313.90 655.90 364.00 1,157.50 235.00

3.40 102.75 4.75 30.05 42.35 11.15

0.53 2.44 0.73 9.00 3.80 4.98

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

80.60 823.80 728.00 494.95 838.00

-0.25 -25.70 15.50 -2.45 26.80

-0.31 -3.03 2.18 -0.49 3.30

CMP

Change

% Chg

7748.85 25305.4

+17.80 +75.11

+0.23 +0.30

GRASIM NTPC ACC

Top Losers Company

AUROPHARMA IDEA BPCL BAJAJ-AUTO SUNPHARMA

Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH Symbol

BIOCON GRASIM PIDILITIND RUSHIL SRTRANSFIN TATAMETALI

Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol

BANKINDIA BEML BHARATFORG CIPLA COLPAL

Indian Indices Company

NIFTY SENSEX

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 25

th

MAY 2016

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. BOICON [FUTURE]

STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] 3. RUSHIL

On daily chart RUSHIL has given breakout of strong resistance level of 348 and made a new 52 week high, it rose with high volume yesterday with the bullish rally on daily chart. So we advise to buy above high of 367.50 for the targets of 370 372.5 with stop loss of 363.5 . Last trading session BIOCON future opened gape up and made a high of 647 and close near day’s high with DOJI candlestick in daily chart. since last session it rose with rising OI around 43% In June series. last session stock made a 52 week high. We may see sharp rise for that it will be good to buy above 648 for the target of 651-655 with SL of 643 2. CIPLA [FUTURE]

In Last session CIPLA Future show under pressure during the day. And closed with bearish candlestick in daily chart, while before last session stock made a low of 493.25 it is major support level and close near this level so if stock break this level we may seen sharp fall this stock ,we will advise to sell below 493 for the target of 488-480 with stop loss of 499.50. YOUR MINTVISORY

MACRO NEWS  Results today: Tata Steel, L&T, Bajaj Auto, Ashok Leyland, Bosch, Escorts, Cummins India, GAIL, Apollo Hospitals, Container Corporation Of India, Thermax, AstraZeneca, AIA Engineering, Glaxosmithkline Pharma, Abbott India, VIP Industries, TV Today, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail, Godrej Industries, HCL Infosystems, Info Edge, Kesoram Industries, Kwality limited, Lux Industries, Saregama India, Simbhaoli Sugars, Wheels India, Apar Industries, Cimmco, Control Print, De Nora India, Engineers India, Fineotex Chemical, Genus Power, Global Vectra Helicorp, Hindustan Media, Indo Tech, Ind-Swift Laboratories, Kakatiya Cement Sugar, Lakshmi Machine, Panasonic Carbon India, Prism Cement, Sanghvi Forging, Sanghvi Movers, Schneider Electric, Sharda Cropchem  US, Europe filings to drive Biocon growth  Breaking 'bread': Jubilant Food, Britannia, WestLife tank 3-12% 9  Just Dial falls another 6% on cautious guidance; analysts worry  Cinepolis India to invest Rs 400 crores to open 160 more screens by 2017  Mahindra incorporates Trringo as wholly-owned subsid  PC Jeweller raised Rs 427 crore from DVI Fund Mauritius for business expansion  Sterlite Technologies demerges power business, eyes pure-play telecom tag  Govt seeks bids for oil, gas fields first auction since 2010  Rajesh Exports wins export order worth Rs 1,053 crore  KFC, Pizza Hut, McDonald’s in toxic bread radar  Coal ministry releases Rs 677cr as compensation to previous allotters Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 25

th

FUTURES & OPTIONS

MAY 2016

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol

Op- Strike tion Price Type

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

NIFTY

CE

7,800 21.35

5,91,740

61,99,200

NIFTY

CE

7,700 77.00

2,75,024

24,58,575

BANKNIFTY

CE

16,500 94.00

1,23,771

4,78,770

SBIN

CE

170

2.35

6,696

22,38,000

SBIN

CE

175

0.65

6,645

29,42,000

RELIANCE

CE

940

7.50

3,771

5,31,500

JUSTDIAL

CE

700

2.65

3,296

4,20,000

LUPIN

CE

1,500

9.40

2,992

2,15,700

Op- Strike tion Price Type

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

STOCKS IN NEWS  Tata Power's generation capacity grows 5% in 2015-16  Torrent Pharma a good play on India & US story: CLSA  VRL boss unfazed by shareholder fury, says will pursue aviation passion  Ajanta Pharma gets USFDA nod for migraine pain relief drug  Govt puts off GM cotton seed order, eases pressure on Monsanto  Suven Life gets patents for neuro-degenerative drug NIFTY FUTURE

MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION Symbol

NIFTY

PE

7,700

14.90

5,72,757

68,70,150

NIFTY

PE

7,600

2.75

2,88,405

44,51,325

BANKNIFTY

PE

16,400

44.30

63,520

2,38,320

SBIN

PE

165

0.55

3,052

19,16,000

LUPIN

PE

1,400

2.90

2,673

1,75,800

JUSTDIAL

PE

650

27.00

2,434

1,84,500

RELIANCE

PE

920

1.65

2,413

6,06,500

ICICIBANK

PE

220

0.80

2,348

29,83,500

NIFTY FUTURE in yesterday trading session traded in a very small range of around 50 points. Nifty has a good trend-line support around 7700 and today it has made a green candle on the support level, which is showing that Nifty may reverse from here. So we advise you to buy Nifty Future from around 7750 for the targets of 7820 and 7900 with strict stop loss of 7680

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY

SELL

OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY

No. of Amount in No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts Crores Contracts

Amount in Crores

NET AMOUNT

INDEX FUTURES

92030

5168.73

98650

5541.96

303114

17265.84

-373.22

INDEX OPTIONS

535948

30082.58

549383

30833.18

1248806

71665.92

-750.60

STOCK FUTURES

368463

17073.16

361079

16721.69

1103557

51607.38

351.47

STOCK OPTIONS

61916

2936.63

63068

2991.92

108571

5139.06

-55.29

TOTAL

-827.64

INDICES NIFTY BANKNIFTY YOUR MINTVISORY

R2

R1

PIVOT

S1

S2

7787.7

7768.2

7742.0

7722.5

7696.3

16574.00

16515.00

16441.00

16382.00

16308.00

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 25

th

MAY 2016

MCX

RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 29350 TARGET 29450 29600 SL 29250 SELL GOLD BELOW 29250 TARGET 29150 29000 SL 29351 SILVER

COMMODITY ROUNDUP Strength in US dollar hit Gold. The commodity has come off its 15 month highs above $1300 per ounce a few weeks back. Sentiments have been weak as speculation mounted that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates as early as next month. Technical factors also weighed on Gold as COMEX futures have dropped under their 200 week moving average. The metal is currently trading at $1241.25 per ounce, down 0.82% on the day. MCX Gold futures extended their losses following this, tanking to a low near Rs 29500 per 10 grams. The counter currently trades at Rs 29520 per 10 grams, down 0.55% on the day. Domestic Copper was trading at Rs 312.3 per kg, down 0.95%. The prices of Copper were traded at Rs 313 per kg and a low of Rs 309.15 per kg. Meanwhile, in a important update Fed is on track to raise rates in June or July, and will continue with even more hikes next year given U.S. economic strength, a top Fed official said on Monday. Underlining ample supply, Indonesia's mining ministry has issued the local unit of U.S. copper and gold miner Newmont Mining Corp with a recommendation to continue copper concentrate exports for the next six months. The global world refined copper market showed a 24,000-tonne surplus in February, compared with a 51,000-tonne surplus in January. Zinc is up more than 13 percent so far this year on expectations of shortages due to mine closures. The rise has triggered a supply response in China, where output of refined metal rose an annual 2 percent to 495,000 tonnes in March, the first increase since October. The international crude oil price of Indian Basket as computed by PPAC under the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas was US$ 45.89bbl on 23.05.2016. This was lower than the price of US$ 46.67 per bbl on previous publishing day of 20.05.2016. In rupee terms, the price of Indian Basket decreased to Rs. 3090.40 per bbl on 23.05.2016 as compared to Rs. 3145.62 per bbl on 20.05.2016.

TRADING STRATEGY: SELL SILVER BELOW 39290 TARGET 39100 38300 SL 39500 BUY SILVER ABOVE 39600 TARGET 39850 40150 SL 39350

YOUR MINTVISORY

Some slag went into buildings in Taiwan. Taiwan's Industrial Development Bureau asked 17 electric furnace mills stop delivering slag. This will impact on slag storage and process from stainless steel mills. And it will even affect mills normal production. As there is no many places to place the slag, one Taiwanese stainless steel mill already decided to cut production by 30% for June. And the mill plan to increase the selling price by US$92/MT due to extra processing cost for slag. Other mills are still evaluating if it is necessary to drop the production. Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 25

th

MAY 2016

NCDEX

RECOMMENDATIONS DHANIYA

BUY GUARGUM JUN ABOVE 5250 TARGET 5300 5370 SL BELOW 5190 SELL GUARGUM JUN BELOW 5160 TARGET 5110 5040 SL ABOVE 5220 GUARGUM

NCDEX INDICES Index

Value

% Change

BARLEY CHANA CORIANDER COTTON SEED GUAR SEED JEERA MUSTARDSEED REF SOYA OIL SUGAR M GRADE TURMERIC

1552 6083 6850 2225 3037 16105 4359 638 3537 7900

+0.19 +2.24 -0.91 -1.37 -1.97 -1.56 -1.20 -0.15 +0.77 -1.45

India has acquired largest cold storages capacity in the world which is 32 million tones during last two years, according to Union Agriculture and Farmers Welfare Minister, Radha Mohan Singh. He noted further that the government is working expeditiously for the storage of perishable agricultural products so that the farmers may get better return of their produce by adopting better market practices. Singh said that India has acquired largest cold storages capacity in the world which is 32 million tones during last two years. Nearly 250 projects comprising of more than one million capacities have been developed. Now, horticulture sector has become the largest source of income within the precincts of agriculture sector. He further said that we have to ensure that the farmers expand their marketing approach for their perishable crops. For this purpose focus will be concentrated on cold storages and other related infrastructures. Singh informed that Department is implementing sub scheme of Agriculture Marketing Infrastructure Integrated Scheme for agricultural marketing across the country so as to construct a number of storages of adequate capacity in rural areas and to provide scientific facilities in these storages. 37795 storage projects with 619.49 lakh metric tonnes capacity have been approved. As on 31.03.2016 a provision of 2199.07 crore rupees subsidy has been made.

BUY CORIANDER JUN ABOVE 7012 TARGET 7057 7157 SL BELOW 6947 SELL CORIANDER JUN BELOW 6757 TARGET 6712 6612 SL ABOVE 6822

YOUR MINTVISORY

A dearth of quality produce and a fall in overall arrivals pushed up cotton prices to Rs 36,000-36,500 a candy (356 kg= 1 candy). Improvement in demand from textile millsalso supported the price uptrend. According to industry sources, prices have gone up by almost Rs 500-600 a candy in the last one week, as arrivals declined to 40,000 bales (a bale of 170 kg), from 50,000 bales across India. Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 25

th

MAY 2016

CURRENCY RBI Reference Rate

Currency

Rate Currency

Rate

Rupee- $

67.7060 Yen-100

61.9700

Euro

75.9323 GBP

98.0654

USD/INR

BUY USD/INR MAY ABOVE 67.77 TARGET 67.9 68.05 SL BELOW 67.57 SELL USD/INR MAY BELOW 67.66 TARGET 67.53 67.38 SL ABOVE 67.86 EUR/INR

BUY EUR/INR MAY ABOVE 76.1 TARGET 76.25 76.45 SL BELOW 75.9 SELL EUR/INR MAY BELOW 75.83 TARGET 75.68 75.48 SL ABOVE 76.03 YOUR MINTVISORY

CURRENCY MARKET UPDATES: The rupee continued its incessant free fall for the ninth straight day today by dropping 26 paise to end at a fresh 21/2 month low of 67.75 on sustained demand for the American currency. Consistent unwinding by foreign investors on worries regarding the controversial tax issues as well as renewed possibility of the Federal Reserve raising US interest rates predominantly kept home currency under intense pressure. Month-end dollar demand from oil companies along with aggressive hedging strategy adopted by importers in the wake of currency volatility also weighed on the rupee trade. At the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market, the domestic unit commenced sharply lower at 67.63 a dollar from Monday's closing value of 67.49 following robust dollar demand from banks, hit by sustained fund outflows also impacted by weak opening of local equities. But, it recovered immediately to trade briefly at a fresh intra-day high of 67.5975. However, the rupee suffered a late-morning blow and witnessed a sharp downturn to hit a low of 67.77 before concluding at 67.75, revealing a fall of 26 paise, or 0.39 per cent - extending its longest losing streak since 2007. In cross-currency trades, the rupee retreated sharply against the pound sterling to finish at 98.98 from 97.71 yesterday. The local unit continued to slide against the euro and settle at 75.73 compared to 75.66 and dropped further against the yen to close at 61.80 per 100 yens against 61.69 earlier. Meanwhile, the US dollar index has been in an excellent touch in last few weeks. The index, which is a basket of six major currencies, is a widely used gauge to determine the relative strength of the greenback against its major trading partners. The index has tumbled to its lows under 92 – its lowest in more than a year in March 2016. It is currently hovering around 95.50 levels. The stronger dollar has added to the pressure from saturated markets after nearrecord copper imports in the first quarter, and with scant demand from the physical market, traders said. A firmer dollar cuts the purchasing power of consumers paying for commodities with other currencies. Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 25

th

MAY 2016

Date

Commodity/ Currency Pairs

Contract

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

24/05/16

NCDEX DHANIYA

JUNE

BUY

6950

6995-7095

6885

NOT EXECUTED

24/05/16

NCDEX DHANIYA

JUNE

SELL

6875

6830-6730

6940

BOOKED PROFIT

24/05/16

NCDEX GUARGUM

JUNE

BUY

5250

5300-5370

5190

NOT EXECUTED

24/05/16

NCDEX GUARGUM

JUNE

SELL

5160

5110-5040

5220

NO PROFIT NO LOSS

24/05/16

MCX GOLD

JUNE

BUY

2930

29800-29900

29620

NOT EXECUTED

24/05/16

MCX GOLD

JUNE

SELL

29570

29500-29400

29650

BOOKED PROFIT

24/05/16

MCX SILVER

JUNE

BUY

39830

40000-40200

39650

NOT EXECUTED

24/05/16

MCX SILVER

JUNE

SELL

39350

39150-38900

39550

CALL OPEN

Date

Scrip

CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

24/05/16

NIFTY

FUTURE

SELL

7780

7730-7650

7880

NOT EXECUTED

24/05/16

AXISBANK

FUTURE

SELL

486

482-477

492

BOOKED PROFIT

24/05/16

TATASTEEL

FUTURE

SELL

313

310-307

319

SL TRIGGERED

24/05/16

EROS MEDIA

CASH

SELL

175.5

172.5-171.5

178

PROFIT BOOKED

19/05/16

NIFTY

FUTURE

SELL

7770

7700-7600

7870

NO PROFIT NO LOSS

23/05/16

NIFTY

FUTURE

SELL

7770

7700-7600

7850

NO PROFIT NO LOSS

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 25

th

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

MAY 2016

NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS TIME

REPORT

PERIOD

ACTUAL

CONSENSUS FORECAST

PREVIOUS

MONDAY, MAY 23 9:45 AM

MARKIT PMI FLASH

MAY

--

50.8

523,000

511,000

-$61.2 BLN

-$56.9 BLN

TUESDAY, MAY 24 10 AM

NEW HOME SALES

APRIL WEDNESDAY, MAY 25

8;30 AM

ADVANCE TRADE IN GOODS

APRIL THURSDAY, MAY 26

8:30 AM

WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS

MAY 21

--

--

8:30 AM

DURABLE GOODS ORDERS

APRIL

-0.1%

0.8%

10 AM

PENDING HOME SALES

APRIL

1.0%

1.4%

FRIDAY, MAY 27 8:30 AM

GDP REVISION

1Q

0.8%

0.5%

10 AM

CONSUMER SENTIMENT

MAY

--

95.8

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YOUR MINTVISORY

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