going with the flow

Page 25

Retreat of the snowcapped volcano of Santa Isabel, Colombia

Expected impacts of climate change in 2050

Inc reased vulnerability to ext reme events Biodiversity threatened

Coral reefs and mangroves th reatened

2002 1995 1991 1987 1966 1959

Risk of desertification

Malaria

Current affected zones

Rock outcrops

Possible extension in 2050

Rainfall Inc rease

Source: Ceballo, J. L., et al., Fast shrinkage of tropical glaciers in Colombia, 2006.

Dec rease Coasts th reatened by sea level rise Cities th reatened by sea level rise

Hurricanes in Mesoam erica and the Caribbean, 1904-2009

Reduced water availability

10

Negative e ffects on fisheries

9

Negative effects in agriculture

8

Glacier shrinkage

7

Increased risk of forest fires

6

Increased aridity and scarcity water resou rces Changes in ecosystems

4

Negative impacts in mountain regions Ozone depletion Sources: R. Landa et al., Cambio climรกtico y desarrollo sustentable, 2010; ECLAC, Climate Change. A regional perspective, 2010.

48

Annual total number

5 3 2 1 0

1904 1910

1920

1930

1940

1950

1960

Source: National Hurricane Center , NOAA, online database, accessed October 2010.

1970

1980

1990

2000

2009

49


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