192 to produce the detail outcome of the housing forecast, in the form of future housing demands (housing types or housing categories) and in certain planning time-frames (Table 6.13). Table 6.13: Level of comprehensiveness of the study area’s local plans in forecasting future housing requirement
Masai-Plentong (1993)
Ulu Tiram (1995)
Pasir Gudang (2001)
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2. Aspects that considered in the forecast
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
3. Time-frame of forecast
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
4. Outcome of forecast
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Total Score
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
Score value:
0 – Incomprehensive
Johor Bahru District (2002)
Skudai (1993)
1. Application of forecasting technique
Measurement Criteria
Tampoi Larkin and Kempas (1986)
Kulai – Senai (1992)
Comprehensiveness Level (Score Value)
1 – Comprehensive
The above findings show that the practice of housing forecasting in the study area’s LPs, except the Johor Bahru District LP are worse than the SP’s housing forecasts. It also indicates the LP’s housing forecasts failed to achieve an integrated forecast as stressed by Mark (1995) and Blake and Nicol (2004). This certainly affects the accuracy of future housing land requirement, where its determination (calculation) depends on the figures of LP’s housing forecast.
6.3.5 Comprehensiveness of the Determination of Future Housing Land Area The effectiveness of the process of planning and controlling of housing supply very much depends on the accuracy of the figures of future housing land area determined by the LP. In relation to this, the LP, without fail, should carry out the activity accurately. This section will present the results on the current practices and the level of comprehensiveness of the determination of future housing land area.