176 (ii)
The score value 0 (incomprehensive) is given if a particular SP applies a simple technique, only considers future household growth, generates housing forecasts only for the overall planning period and produces an outcome only in the form of total housing requirement. The result of the analysis indicates that the MPJB, Mukim Plentong and Pasir
Gudang SP can be ranked as the most comprehensive SP in carrying out the housing forecasting activity. This SP obtains a total score of 4 points. The MPJB (First Alteration) SP can be ranked as the least comprehensive plan due to its total score of only 1 point. As for the others, namely MDJBT SP, MD Kulai SP, LPA of Johor Bahru SP, Johor Bahru District SP and Johor SSP, their level of comprehensiveness in carrying out this activity can be assumed as moderate. These SPs only obtained the total score of 3 points. The main weakness of these plans is that its forecasting outcomes were only produced in the form of total future housing requirement (total housing needs) without categorising it in detail in the form of future housing demands (housing types or housing categories) (Table 6.5). Table 6.5: Level of comprehensiveness of the study area’s structure plans in forecasting future housing requirement
Johor State, 2001
District of Johor Bahru (Alteration) 1998
MBJB (1st Alteration) 1994
LPA of Johor Bahru District, 1993
MD Kulai, 1993
MDJBT, 1993
Measurement Criteria
MPJB, M. Plentong and Pasir Gudang, 1985
Comprehensiveness Level (Score Value)
1. Application of forecasting technique
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
2. Aspects that considered in the forecast
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
3. Time-frame of forecast
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
4. Outcome of forecast
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total Score
4
3
3
3
1
3
3
Score value:
0 – Incomprehensive
1 – Comprehensive
The next section will analyse the comprehensiveness in formulating planning policies which represents one of the main functions of the SP.