150 5.4.3
Current and Future Housing Requirement The broad housing requirement, also termed as ‘housing needs’ (section
2.6.3), is normally calculated either based on the total households number by applying the basis of 1 house for 1 household or based on the occupancy rate of existing housing stocks in certain areas within certain periods. For the study area, as recorded in the Johor Bahru District LP and Pasir Gudang LP, its current housing requirement was calculated based on the total occupancy of existing housing stocks. Based on the basis, the amount of housing needs for the whole study area in 2003 was calculated at 339,043 units. This figure indicates that only 84.9 percent of the 398,911 housing stocks in the study area are required to fulfil the actual housing requirement of the study area. The figure also depicts that approximately 59,868 units or 15.1 percent of the existing housing stocks in the study area is actually an oversupply. In terms of future housing requirement, the study area was forecasted to need around 595,511 units to fulfil the population and household growths until year 2020. From this figure, the MPJBT area was forecasted to require 262,269 units, followed by MBJB area 200,274 units, MPKu area 57,781 units and PBTPG area 55,732 units. The areas outside of the local authorities were also forecasted to need around 19,455 housing units until year 2020 (Table 5.10). Table 5.10: Future housing requirement by local authority until 2020 2003
2005
2010
2015
2020
MBJB
136,096
141,440
162,018
181,571
200,274
MPJBT
125,344
139,930
181,550
222,336
262,269
MPKu
38,025
39,848
46,105
52,071
57,781
Local Authority
PBTPG
26,298
34,455
45,825
52,808
55,732
Outside LA Area
13,280
14,033
15,884
17,695
19,455
339,043
369,706
451,382
526,481
595,511
Total
Source: Adapted from JPBD Semenanjung Malaysia (2004b) Based on the above figures, it can be calculated that only 256,468 new housing units are required in the study area for the period of 2003 until 2020.