The Global HIV Epidemics among Sex Workers

Page 265

HIV Prevention Interventions for Sex Workers: Modeling the Impacts   227

Table 4.C.3   Modeling Scale-up of the Community Empowerment-based, Comprehensive HIV Prevention in Thailand: Annual HIV Prevalence among Female Sex Workers Year

Status quo

Scale 40 + ART0

Scale 70 + ART0

Scale 100 + ART0 3.67

2011

3.67

3.67

3.67

2012

3.15

3.15

3.15

3.14

2013

2.72

2.71

2.70

2.70

2014

2.36

2.35

2.33

2.32

2015

2.07

2.05

2.02

2.00

2016

1.82

1.79

1.76

1.73

Source: Authors. Note: ART = antiretroviral therapy.

Table 4.C.3 and Figure 4.C.2 display the prevalence of HIV infection among female sex workers. The HIV epidemic among female sex workers, as well as the adult population is declining overall; a trend that is evident during the Status Quo scenario. Bring the empowerment intervention to scale, however, effects a further decrease in prevalence from 1.82% to 1.76% within a five year period, when the community empowerment-based, comprehensive HIV prevention reaches 70% by 2016. Figure 4.C.2 Modeling Scale-Up of the Community Empowerment-based, Comprehensive HIV Prevention in Thailand: Trends in Prevalence of HIV Infection among Female Sex Workers

HIV prevalence (percent)

4.2 3.7

Status quo

3.2

Scale 40 + ART0

2.7

Scale 70 + ART0

2.2

Scale 100 + ART0

1.7 1.2 2011

2012

Source: Authors. Note: ART = antiretroviral therapy.

2013

Year

2014

2015

2016


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