HIV Prevention Interventions for Sex Workers: Modeling the Impacts 213
to the community empowerment-based, comprehensive HIV prevention intervention, to the relative decrease in condom non-use: D=(RR-1) x (1-cl)/cl in which cl was the pooled condom use at baseline of the intervention.
Modeling Annex 4.B Tables of Annual New Infections Observed and Trends in Prevalence with Scale-up of Interventions per Modeled Country Table 4.B.1 Modeling Scale-Up of the Community Empowerment-based, Comprehensive HIV Prevention in Brazil: Number of New HIV Infections among Female Sex Workers Year
Status quo (10%)
Emp. scale-up (40%)
Emp. Emp. scale-up (70%) scale-up (100%)
2011
3,670
3,670
3,670
3,670
2012
3,680
3,620
3,561
3,502
2013
3,660
3,539
3,418
3,298 3,066
2014
3,612
3,428
3,246
2015
3,543
3,296
3,053
2,815
2016
3,460
3,150
2,850
2,557
Cumulative (2012–16)
17,955
17,033
16,128
15,238
Reduction
(Ref.)
5.1%
10.2%
15.1%
Infections averted
(Ref.)
922
1,827
2,717
Source: Authors. Note: Emp. = empowerment; Ref. = reference.
Table 4.B.2 Modeling Scale-up of the Community Empowerment-based, Comprehensive HIV Prevention in Brazil: Annual HIV Prevalence (%) among Female Sex Workers Year
Status quo (10%)
Emp. scale-up (40%)
Emp. Emp. scale-up (70%) scale-up (100%)
2011
4.84
4.84
4.84
2012
4.61
4.60
4.59
4.84 4.58
2013
4.39
4.36
4.33
4.30
2014
4.20
4.14
4.08
4.02
2015
4.01
3.92
3.83
3.74
2016
3.84
3.71
3.58
3.45
Source: Authors. Note: Emp. = empowerment.