HIV Prevention Interventions for Sex Workers: Modeling the Impacts 175
published studies to assess model fit (not displayed) (Chersich, Luchters et al. 2007; Hirbod, Kaul et al. 2008; Lacap, Huntington et al. 2008; van der Elst, Okuku et al. 2009; Luchters, Vanden Broeck et al. 2010; Tovanabutra, Sanders et al. 2010; McClelland, Richardson et al. 2011).
Adult HIV prevalence (percent)
Figure 4.3 Kenya Model: Comparison of Goals Adult HIV Prevalence Estimates to UNAIdS Estimates
12 10 8
Goals
6
UNAIDS
4 2 0 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2011 Year
Source: Authors.
Model fitting, Thailand Figure 4.4 Thailand Model: Comparison of Goals Adult HIV Prevalence Estimates to UNAIdS Estimates
Adult HIV prevalence (percent)
2.5 2.0 1.5
Goals UNAIDS
1.0 0.5 0.0 1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Year Source: Authors.
2000
2005
2010