Migration and Remittances during the Global Financial Crisis and Beyond

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WIM NAUDÉ AND HENRI BEZUIDENHOUT

TABLE 28.3 Pooled OLS Regression Results dependent variable = log of remittances in dollars, no control variables Global financial crises Variable Constant

18.49 (71.6)*

Global financial crises

−1.25 (−4.37)*

Diagnostics R2

0.77

Time dummies

Yes

Country fixed effects

Yes

N

644

F

67.16

Source: Authors’ estimations. Note: Robust t-ratios are in parentheses. * = significance at 1 percent level.

TABLE 28.4 Pooled OLS Regression Results dependent variable = log of remittances in dollars, controls included Variable

Basic model

With global financial crises

Constant

−8.72 (−0.59)

−8.72 (−0.59)

−1.92 (−5.86)*

−1.92 (−5.86)*

Income host (SSA GDP per capita)

0.44 (2.10)***

0.44 (2.10)***

Credit private sector

0.61 (5.23)*

0.61 (5.23)*

Exchange rate

0.33 (4.52)*

0.33 (4.52)*

Aid from EU

0.02 (0.17)

0.02 (0.17)

Population

2.30 (2.56)**

2.29 (2.56)***

GNI home

Global financial crises

−0.90 (−1.32)

Diagnostics R2

0.85

0.86

Yes

Yes

Time dummies Country fixed effects N F

Yes 300 75.29*

Yes 300 75.29*

Source: Authors’ estimations. Note: Robust t-ratios are in parentheses. *, **, *** indicate significance at the 1, 5, and 10 percent levels, respectively. EU = European Union; — = not available.

absolute terms, larger migrant populations. To the extent that a country’s population is a proxy for its migrant stock, the finding is consistent with the proxy supposition. In a dynamic model, this would mean that lagged remittances ought to have a substantial and significant effect.


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