Global Value Chains in a Postcrisis World

Page 91

Table 2E.1 U.S. Import Elasticities, 1999–2008 Long-run income and price elasticities of import demand U.S. goods imports

Economy Argentina

(1)

(2)

F-statisticsa

Lagsb

15.07

5

(3) Durbin’s testc Prob> X2 = 0.54

U.S. services imports (4)

Income elasticities –0.5528 (0.109)

Brazil

2.87

3

Prob> X2 = 0.41

1.2441** (0.018)

Canada

0.13

5

Prob> X2 = 0.74

0.0488 (0.956)

China

4.19

4

Prob> X2 = 0.20

8.6450*** (0.006)

France

1.61

1

Prob> X2 = 0.24

0.4724 (0.294)

Germany

3.34

2

Prob> X2 = 0.89

1.8615*** (0.007)

Hong Kong, China India

3.69

3

Prob> X2 = 0.79

–2.7530** (0.011)

11.96

6

Prob> X2 = 0.48

8.0550*** (0.000)

Japan

2.07

4

Prob> X2 = 0.30

–0.1623 (0.582)

(5)

(6)

(7)

Price elasticities F-statisticsa Lagsb

(8)

(9)

(10)

Durbin’s testc

Income elasticities

Price elasticities

–0.1318* (0.071)

4.80

6

Prob> X2 = 0.73

2.2540** (0.034)

–0.5155 (0.426)

–0.0898 (0.255)

5.70

2

Prob> X2 = 0.45

0.2577 (0.515)

–0.5986*** (0.006)

–0.0569 (0.932)

9.44

6

Prob> X2 = 0.21

7.5568*** (0.000)

3.2146*** (0.006)

1.8407*** (0.007)

8.39

1

Prob> X2 = 0.72

6.0187*** (0.000)

0.2330 (0.534)

–0.0615 (0.663)

3.29

5

Prob> X2 = 0.14

5.4116** (0.012)

1.0838 (0.132)

–0.0774 (0.617)

5.21

4

Prob> X2 = 0.65

4.7037*** (0.003)

0.4846 (0.121)

0.3589 (0.544)

4.02

2

Prob> X2 = 0.46

5.4964** (0.012)

–1.9867* (0.052)

0.9567* (0.093)

1.94

2

Prob> X2 = 0.53

2.0745** (0.039)

–0.0496 (0.930)

0.2765 (0.188)

3.65

3

Prob> X2 = 0.78

1.7411** (0.011)

–0.0555 (0.658) (continued next page)

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