The Day After Tomorrow

Page 95

Trading Places: International Integration after the Crisis

average number of exported varieties at six-digit harmonized system

Figure 3.2 Southern Countries Still Export Fewer Varieties Than Northern Countries 4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0 2000

1996 HICs

UMICs

2004 LMICs

2008 LICs

Source: UN Comtrade. Note: LICs = low-income countries, UMICs = upper-middle-income countries, LMICs = low- and middleincome countries, HICs = high-income countries..

% of export growth explained by higher GDP growth in LMICs

Figure 3.3 LMIC GDP Growth Helps Drive LIC Export Growth, 2000–08 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 MENA

ECA low-income countries

SSA

Source: UN Comtrade; World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS). Note: MENA = Middle East and North Africa, ECA = Europe and Central Asia, SSA = Sub-Saharan Africa.

the same period. As noted, although there have been a variety of measures imposed to restrict trade during the crisis, in the aggregate these have not been significant (Evenett 2009; WTO 2009). However, the trend in the average level of tariffs in HICs has been up—although the movements reflected in figure 3.4 are exaggerated because the base in HICs is very low (the average is less than 5 percent).

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