Summaries of Likely Climate Change Impacts, by Country
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General for the region: A positive tendency for intense precipitation and consecutive dry days, as well as a positive trend in the frequency of very heavy rains can be expected. An increased number of intense hurricanes is likely. Projections. See table 13.4 and figure 11.15 in WGII (IPCC 2007b) for mean temperature and mean precipitation. The signal is relatively robust across GCMs. The trend for precipitation frequency is not clear. Yet in connection with hurricanes, intensity of downpours may increase. Dry day frequency trends are expected to continue upward. Over the next century, an increasing risk of more of the most intense hurricanes is expected. Notably, it is not clear if more hurricanes per se will appear. Sea level rise will compare with global increase. Images: Somewhat drier conditions and increased risk of tropical storm and hurricane incidents.
Cuba Recent trends. Temperatures have increased by roughly 0.1째 to 0.2째C per decade over the last 25 years (about 1.0째C since 1901). Rainfall shows mostly an upward trend, while SLR is 2 to 3 mm/year. Recent events. Intensifying hurricanes: The record hurricane season of 2005 in Caribbean Basin affected the island with several landings; last serious landings were by Hurricanes Denis and Wilma in 2005. General for the region: A positive tendency for intense precipitation and consecutive dry days, as well as a positive trend in the frequency of very heavy rains can be expected. An increased number of intense hurricanes is likely. Projections. See table 13.4 and figure 11.15 in WGII (IPCC 2007b) for mean temperature and mean precipitation. The signal is relatively robust across GCMs. The trend for precipitation frequency is not clear. In connection with hurricanes, intensity of downpours may increase. Dry day frequency trends are expected to continue upward. Over the next century, an increasing risk for more of the most intense hurricanes is expected. Notably, it is not clear if there will be more hurricanes per se. Sea level rise will compare with global increase. Images: Somewhat drier conditions and increased risk of tropical storm and hurricane incidents.