Reducing Poverty, Protecting Livelihoods, and Building Assets in a Changing Climate

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Estimated Relationships between Temperature and Rainfall and Migration Intensity 4

4

3

3 migration intensity index

migration intensity index

Figure 7.8

2 1 0 –1

2 1 0 –1

–2 8

12 16 20 24 28 average annual temperature (ºC)

–2 0

1 2 3 4 5 6 average accumulated precipitation (m)

Source: Authors’ elaboration. Note: Green central lines represent the point estimates from table 7.5. The thinner black lines delimit the 95 percent confidence interval as estimated by Stata’s lincom command.


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