Assessing the economic impact of climate change

Page 141

Index of Tables

Table 3-1: Adjustment factors used in MARKAL Model, 2009-2030

40

Table 3-2: Annual energy system expenditure by cost type (EUR 10^6), 2006-2030 – Base Case

44

Table 3-3: Percentage change (from the Base Case) in residential and commercial and electricity demand for the three Climate Change Damage cases, 2006-2030

45

Table 3-4: Present value of total system cost for the Base Case and Damage Cases (EUR 10^6)

48

Table 3-5: Optimal generation capacity mix (MW) - AC1, AC2 and AC3

49

Table 3-6: Present value of total system cost for the Base Case and Damage Cases (EUR 10^6)

52

Table 4-1: Projected Runoff for Low, Medium and High Precipitation Conditions for the Base Case (No Climate Change) and 2050 and 2100 (With Climate Change)

70

Table 4-2: Projected Hydropower Generation for Low, Medium and High Precipitation Conditions for the Base Case (With No Climate Change) and 2050 and 2100 (With Climate Change)

73

Table 4-3: Annualized Life-Cycle Generation and Total Cost Estimates for Different Types of Power Plants in FYR Macedonia in 2010

75

Table 4-4: Annualized Cost (10^6 EUR/year) of Replacing Lost Hydropower Production due to Climate Change with Coal, Gas and Nuclear Alternatives

76

Table 4-5: Annualized Cost (10^6 EUR/year) of Replacing Lost Hydropower Production due to Climate Change with Renewable Energy Alternatives

77

Table 4-6: Projected Increase in Annualized Total System Cost in 2050 and 2100 due to Reductions In Runoff from Climate Change for Mavrovo Hydro System Under Low, Medium and High Precipitation Conditions

78

Table 5-1: Base Case and Climate Projections for Average Monthly Temperature and Precipitation for the “Medium” Climate Change Scenarios

91

Table 5-2: Economic Values for Climate Change Damages, Net Benefits of Adaptation and Residual Damages Associated with Low, Medium and High Climate Change Projections for 2050 and 2100 for Restoring Full Yields to Irrigated Land and Supplemental Irrigation of Rain-fed Lands

97

Table 5-3: Estimated Water Availability for Strezevo Reservoir

98

Table 5-4: Preliminary Annual Results for a Benefit-Cost Assessment of Refurbishing and Fully Irrigating the Remaining 14,992 ha in the Project

98

Table 5-5: Economic Values for Climate Change Damages, Net Benefits of Adaptation and Residual Damages Associated with Low, Medium and High Climate Change Projections for 2050 and 2100 Comparing Full Irrigation + Refurbishment on All Lands with Full Irrigation on Irrigated Land + Supplemental Irrigation on Rain-fed Lands

99

Table I-1:

Total Net Welfare of Consumers and Producers for Increases in the Demand for Space Heating and Cooling as Illustrated in Figure I-2

Table I-2:

Benefit-Cost Measures Defined in Figure I-2

121

Table I-3:

Projections for HDD and CDD in the country

125

Table I-4:

Energy demand projection in commercial and residential sector by end-use services

126

120

Table II-1: Base Case Crop Results – Irrigated Agriculture

135

Table II-2: Base Case Crop Results – Rain-Fed Agriculture

136

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