GAP DAY 2015 Guadalajara Airport
GAP Overview Fernando Bosque Chief Executive Officer
Overview • • • • • • •
Strategic Outlook – Mexican Airport Industry Airline Overview Guadalajara - A Success Story Update Grupo Mexico Situation Our Strategy Review of Master Development Program 5 – Year Plan Q&A
Mexican Airport Industry AICM (MEX) •Mexico City Airport (growth of 8.6% in 2014, for a total 34.2 million passengers) has reached maximum capacity. •The airport has been officially declared “saturated” by the Mexican Ministry of Communications and (SCT) Transport for the 7:00-22:59 period. •Hub operations depend on capacity to grow in high density routes.
Internal Demand •Point-to-point (non-hub) traffic is increasing as a result of the growth in low cost carriers’ fleets. •The increasing Mexican middle class has consistently embraced air travel as the desired method of transportation over traditional methods (i.e buses and automobiles).
Airport Infrastructure •ASUR and GAP master development programs have been approved by the SCT; while OMA’s plans are being negotiated during 2015. With the approval of the master development programs there is a guarantee of sufficient airport infrastructure to meet demand for the next 5 years.
Key Players: Volaris, Aeromexico and Interjet Total Passenger Share AirTransat 0.7% Sunwing 0.8%
Frontier 0.6% Other 4.2%
Magnicharters 1.1% Westjet 1.4% 2.6%
4.8%
5.7%
34.1%
6.0%
6.6%
10.2%
21.1%
Mexican Airport Industry Where is it headed? • Growing middle class choosing air travel over traditional travel • Airlines benefit: • Volaris will continue to shift from high density/low yield routes to low volume/high yield markets. • Aeromexico is going to focus seat growth towards their Mexico City HUB. • Interjet will continue to add SJ100’s to their fleet, which will result in the opening of more regional routes.
GAP’s Unique Market Position → Serves one-fourth of the nation’s terminal passengers → Diversified geographically and commercially → Innovative commercial business strategy • Growing VIP and parking facilities • Future plans include hotels and • Mall Zero: Robust high-end retail and food and beverage areas → Efficient and profitable: consistent EBITDA strength → Prudent debt use to finance new ventures → Strong management team with proven track record
→ Serves one-fourth of Mexico’s Passenger Traffic Domestic Airport Groups
Mexican Airport Groups
4.6%
14.5%
33.7%
22.8% 24.3%
AICM GAP ASUR OMA OTHERS TOTAL MEXICO
Total Passengers 2014
34,255,739 24,718,695 23,157,557 14,694,935 4,717,465 101,544,391
→ Diversified Geographically and Commercially Tijuana
Mexicali Ciudad Juárez
Baja Region: Mexicalli, Tijuana, La Paz Northern Mexico: Hermosillo, Los Mochis Central- South Mexico: Guadalajara, Guanajuato, Morelia, Aguascalientes and Manzanillo
Hermosillo
Chihuahua
Los Mochis La Paz
Torreón Monterrey
Reynosa
Culiacán Durango Mazatlán Zacatecas
Tourist destinations: Puerto Vallarta, Los Cabos , La Paz and Manzanillo Border Cities: Tijuana and Mexicalli Main capital cities: Guadalajara Diamond automotive area: Guanajuato, Aguascalientes Agricultural areas: Hermosillo, Los Mochis, Morelia
Los Cabos Aguascalientes Puerto Guadalajara Mexico City Airport GAP 12 OMA 13 ASUR 9 Toluca 1
Vallarta
SLP
Tampico
Mérida
Cozumel
Bajío Veracruz
Manzanillo
Morelia
Zihuatanejo Acapulco
Cancún
Villahermosa Minatitlán Oaxaca Huatulco
Tapachula
→ Balanced Portfolio: 50% of Traffic of Mexico’s Top 10
35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 -
GAP Network Other Airport Groups
→ Innovative Commercial Business Strategy VIP Lounges
Convenience Stores
→ EBITDA Strength = Cost Efficiency EBITDA MARGIN
EBITDA PER PAX (Pesos)
71.0%
70.1% 70.0%
155.00
149.29
150.00
69.0%
145.00
68.0%
130.00
66.1%
120.00 115.00
65.0% 2011
2012
2013
2014
COST OF SERVICES PER PAX 49.50 48.84
48.72
48.50 48.00 47.50 47.00
46.65
46.50 46.00 2012
2013
2011
2012
2013
2014
• Growth in passenger traffic, commercial revenue strategies and continued cost control, will allow us to maintain double digit EBITDA growth in 2015.
49.80
2011
127.62
125.00
66.0%
49.00
140.52
135.00
67.2%
67.0%
50.00
138.15
140.00
68.0%
2014
→ Prudent Debt • Aug 2014 – initiation of strategy to develop a Bond Program through the markets, to refinance and develop new infrastructure. • The program will attempt to reduce the cost and increase the maturities. • Feb 2015 – 2.6 bn pesos issued in the Mexican Stock Exchange • Proceeds: First for the full repayment of the Company’s outstanding bank debt in the amount of 1.7 bn pesos, the remainder will be allocated to finance a portion of the CAPEX set forth in the Master Development Program for 2015. • Debt-to-EBITDA ratio: • Dec14 = 0.5x (prior to the issuance of the bond) • Dec15E =0.7x Still a healthy leverage level for GAP. • For 2016 to 2019, the Company will continue issuing bonds to finance its MDP.
GAP Strategy
Focus on Strengthening Infrastructure…
2015-2019 CAPEX: Guadalajara – Ps. 1,359 million Tijuana – Ps. 1,121 million Los Cabos – Ps. 1,035 million Hermosillo – Ps. 386 million
… to Accommodate Growing Passenger Demand… 28.0 26.2
26.0 24.7 24.0
23.6
Millions
23.2 22.3
22.0
21.3 20.5
20.0 OTHERS
20.2
74,684
19.1
20.2
19.3
18.0 TIJ
121,090
BJX
16.0
183,863
PVR
14.0
235,849
2005 GDL
2006
404,090
SJD
472,141
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
•2006 – 2007 – Low-Cost Carrier Effect / Price Wars. •2008 – 2009 – Exit of 8 airlines, economic downturn and AH1N1 crisis. •2010 – 2011 – Mexicana Airlines ceases operations. •2012 - 2013 – Traffic Recovery, surpassing 2006 numbers. •2013 – 2014 – Traffic reached maximum historic figures.
500,000
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015E
Maximizing Shareholder Returns
Total Revenues Net Income (a) Dividends * (b) Capital Distribution * TOTAL Payout Ratio (a+b)
MEXNIF 2008
MEXNIF 2009
MEXNIF 2010
MEXNIF 2011
MEXNIF 2012
$ 3,266 $ 1,199 $ 1,200 $ 100.0%
$ 3,717 $ 1,500 $ 1,000 $ 66.7%
$ 3,903 $ 1,484 $ 1,035 $ 69.7%
$ 4,734 $ 1,649 $ 1,130 $ 870 121.3%
$ 4,787 $ 1,992 $ 1,210 $ 60.8%
Information in million pesos * Paid during each following year ** Dividend proposed for Apr 21, 2015 Shareholders meeting
MEXNIF 2013
$ $ $ $
5,264 2,105 1,590 1,510 147.3%
MEXNIF 2014**
$ $ $ $
6,008 2,269 1,746 1,409 139.0%
Guadalajara: A Success Story Top major city in Mexico Renaissance of Mexican Silicon Valley – Digital city Rising convention city Historic tourist destination: oldest city in Mexico Tequila destination
Guadalajara Airport: 2006-2014 Traffic development: 6.3 vs. 8.7 million passengers a 38% growth 2006-2014 EBITDA: 72.2% vs 76.3% a 310 b.p. growth
Update: Grupo Mexico Situation Treasury 35,424,453 6.3%
GMexico 118,207,418 ADRs 21.1% 95,354,010 17.0% Local Market 214,344,219 38.2%
11 members total
Series BB (AMP): 84,150,000 Series B (Free Float): 476,850,000
AMP B 13,519,900 2.4%
AMP AENA 33.3% CMA 66.6%
AMP BB 84,150,000 15.0%
55%
Independent
GAP’s BOARD: 6 Independent 4 from Control 1 from GMexico
Total Shares: 561,000,000
Auditing Commitee: •Fully Independent •International level compliance
Nov 19th, 2014: Stock purchase and sell agreement between Abertis (seller) and CMA (buyer) where all their shares were transferred to the Mexican Partner
Master Development Program – 5 Year Plan Authorized by Mexican government for 2015-2019 period Ps. 5.5 billion investment •
Guadalajara: 8 gates and 3 walkways and Cargo platform for larger aircraft
•
Tijuana: New building facilities and renewal of current building
•
Hermosillo: Two contact positions and increase of current facilities
Security:
•
SMS, Safety Management System
Environmental GAP is the first group to achieve ISO 14001:2004
GAP Endeavors:
Children’s Education Founded in August 2014 60 children benefit at this point, one school 360 children expected per school, 3 schools in 2018 for a total of 1,080 students Annual tax-deductible contribution of Ps. 10 million in 2014 More than Ps. 30 million donated since 2009
GAP’s Unique Market Position → Serves one-fourth of the nation’s terminal passengers → Diversified geographically and commercially → Innovative commercial business strategy • Growing VIP and parking facilities • Future plans include hotels and • Mall Zero: Robust high-end retail and food and beverage areas → Efficient and profitable: consistent EBITDA strength → Prudent debt use to finance new ventures → Strong management team with proven track record
Revenue Strategies: Creating Value Tomás Ramírez Chief CommercialOfficer
2015 Revenue Growth: What to Expect in 2015 + 14.0%-15.0%
+12.0%-13.0%
+11.0%-12.0%
2014 Revenues
Increase in Increase in NonAeronautical Revenues Aeronautical Revenues
New maximum tariffs + traffic increase
Commercial development
2015 Expected Revenues
Solid Scenario for the Next 5 Years Maximun Rates 2014 vs 2015 200.00 184.07
177.91
180.00
158.84 160.88
160.00
*MXN Pesos
140.00
151.39 150.31 140.30 139.31
170.66
168.30 167.10
161.72 160.57
177.12
144.59 146.44
138.60 137.61 129.55
123.31
120.82
129.16
126.40
122.73
120.00
2014
100.00
2015 80.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 0.00 Aguascalientes
Bajío
Guadalajara
Hermosillo
La Paz
Los Mochis
Morelia
Mexicali
Puerto Vallarta San José del Cabo
Pesos at December 2012
• The average maximum rate growth for 2015 is 2.0%
Tijuana
Manzanillo
Our approach to value generation Business units operated by GAP
Passenger Traffic
Sales per departing passenger (SPE)
Commercial contracts
Aircraft and passenger fees
Air service development Working together with the main carriers
Looking for the best operation A balanced range of products and prices
Nonaeronautical revenues
Aeronautical revenues
Guaranteed leases Royalty fees One-time fees
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Strong Expected Second Half 3,200
T h o u s a n d
Most domestic seats for the second semester are offered at the end of the 2Q
3,000
2,800 2,600
2014
2015
2,400
s 2,200 2,000
The total amount of seats offered trough GAP’s network is expected to reach 32.4 million during 2015
*Estimated
Airport Marketing Strategy: developing aeronautical revenues
3 Key Factors: Successful New Air Service Development
Quantitative Analysis
Financial Incentives Financial incentives allow airlines to commit to the success of the route and minimize risks
Elements of an effective business case • Creating air service strategy • Understand the planning process of airlines • Develop route performance projections • Present business case to the airlines
Coordination amongst all of the involved parties A good business relation between all of the involved players is key to a successful new route
29
Effective Marketing Strategy Value Chain
Creating an air service strategy • Identify new routes • Identify new frequencies for existing services
Understanding airlines: planning and decision making processes. • Determine the profile of the candidate airline for the new service • Understand the most important drivers for internal decision making process.
Developing of accurate new route projections.
Presenting an efficient business case
• Market sizes • Route projections: • Schedulles • Conectivity • Aircraft selection • Passenger and revenue projections • Outlook of the possible market share ( reachable with the new route)
• Destination information • Current air service • New route projections • Financial and marketing incentives from the airport and local tourism boards. • Airport technical information.
30
Unified Efforts= The Path to Achieve Success Airlines respond better to an organized group of stakeholders • To have a clear marketing strategy for an specific destination generates confidence and trust in the airline.
GAP has pioneered in the creation of Route Committees at several destinations • Route committees unify the efforts of the following organizations: • Airport • Federal and State Governments • Tourism Boards • Hotel Associations • Consulates and Embassies
2015 Domestic Airport Marketing Strategy • Airport connectivity is at an all-time high trough GAP’s airport network. • Marketing strategy will focus on adding new frequencies to existing services in order to improve traffic volume. Key domestic traffic generators Guadalajara • Promote the opening of new frequencies to high volume industrial and leisure domestic destinations, such as Mexico City, Monterrey, Tijuana, and Cancun.
Tijuana • Incentivize airlines to increase their presence in the airport before the opening of the new Cross-Border facility .
Hermosillo • Take advantage of the potential for regional connectivity to small/medium sized cities in the Northwest.
Guadalajara New Routes 2013
Aeromexico: Toluca, La Paz, Las Vegas and San Francisco VivaAerobus: Reynosa and Torreón
+9.6% YoY
Volaris: Ciudad Juárez, Puebla, Tuxtla Gutiérrez, Mérida, Veracruz, Mazatlán, Phoenix and San Antonio Interjet: San Antonio
2014 +7.2% YoY
VivaAerobus: Tampico and Houston Volaris: Tampico, Villahermosa, Ciudad Obregón, Ontario, Denver, Portland, Orlando, Chicago O ´Hare, Fort Lauderdale and Reno Interjet: Cancún and Puerto Vallarta TAR: Querétaro, Puerto Vallarta, Durango, Acapulco, Los Mochis, Toluca, Aeromar: Veracruz – Puebla
2015 +409 K Seats
Volaris: Torreón, Dallas, Houston and New York City (JFK) American: Los Ángeles VivaAerobus: Dallas
Commercial Development: creating a balance between thirdparty contracts and GAP business units
Main Direct Commercial Operations: Revenues and EBITDA Parking 2014 EBITDA: 82.1%
In millions of Mexican Pesos
Advertising 2014 EBITDA: 83.2%
Main Direct Commercial Operations: Revenues and EBITDA VIP Lounges 2014 EBITDA: 51.1%
In millions of Mexican Pesos Page 36
Aeromarket (Convenience stores) 2014 EBITDA: 35.9%
+ VIP Lounge Passengers Departure Penetration +0.36%
+0.84%
+0.14%
+0.55%
+0.24%
The accumulated passenger penetration increased in all Vip Lounges of the network. Guadalajara´s and Tijuana´s VIP Lounges had the best performance with 84 and 55 base points
Directly Operated Business Strategies 2015 Expansion of
Redefining Convenience Store
Maximizing Advertising
Increasing loyalty in our customers by adding new services in Los Cabos
Opening of Aguascalientes and Bajio lounges.
Redesign of Hermosillo and Puerto Vallarta lounges
Opening of stores in Guadalajara and Hermosillo
Defining the future operational model for 2016 and beyond: third party operating the brand on behalf of GAP (GAP still be investing CAPEX and recognizing revenues) vs our current scheme.
Introducing of Digital Signage at Guadalajara and Tijuana
Going local
Increase in corporate accounts
New VIP at Guadalajara: Domestic Departures
Vip Lounge Guadalajara Domestic Departures
Vip Lounge Guadalajara Domestic Departures
Aeromarket Convenience Store Chain 13 Stores Open
Puerto Vallarta
Los Cabos Terminal2 Annex
Hermosillo
La Paz
Bajio Landside
Puerto Vallarta Landside
Digital Signage Advertising
A Success Story: Evolution of Food & Beverages in PVR As a result of our commercial strategy to change local operators by brand or franchise, at the end of 2014 we changed the local operator of F&B and remodeled the international boarding area by adding a food court with top brands which allowed increase of Ps. 13.12 per departing passenger to February 2015
F&B Sales per departing passenger PVR $70 $60 $50 $40 $30 $20 $10 $0
66.46 53.34
Jan-Feb14
Opened in December 2014
24%
Jan-Feb15
Next opening in April 2015
42
Large-Scale Operator Strategies – at Medium-Sized Airports Following the commercial strategy of restructuring operators and concepts during the first moths of 2015 held a contest to operate food and beverage in Bajio Airport . With this strategy we estimated an increase of $ 9.36 pesos per departing passenger. F&B Sales per departing passenger BJX $27.87
$30 $25 $20
$18.51
51%
$15 $10 $5 $0 2014
2015E
43
Future developments in Guadalajara
Guadalajara’s Unique Opportunity to Expand
Hotel building has been recovered
We have available capacity in our parking system
45
Financial Highlights SaĂşl Villarreal Chief Financial Officer
Financial Results: 12M 2014 12M13 Revenues Aeronautical services Non aeronautical services Improvements to concession assets (IFRIC 12) Total revenues Operating costs Costs of services: Employee costs Maintenance Safety, security & insurance Utilities Other operating expenses Technical assistance fees Concession taxes Depreciation and amortization Other expense Cost of improvements to concession assets (IFRIC 12) Total operating costs Operating income Finance income (cost) Earnings before income taxes Income taxes Net income and comprehensive income
Page 48
12M14
Change
3,616,616 1,170,492 440,728
3,925,736 1,338,542 281,874
8.5% 14.4% (36.0%)
5,227,836
5,546,152
6.1%
1,128,951 390,606 200,224 173,748 141,855 222,518 171,470 237,728 883,235 (7,453) 440,728 2,854,659 2,373,177 (51,159) 2,322,018 (75,788) 2,246,230
1,161,588 393,537 223,687 192,932 147,793 203,639 194,228 261,577 925,220 (43,424) 281,874 2,781,063 2,765,089 (7,990) 2,757,099 (514,579) 2,242,520
2.9% 0.8% 11.7% 11.0% 4.2% (8.5%) 13.3% 10.0% 4.8% 482.7% (36.0%) (2.6%) 16.5% (84.4%) 18.7% 579.0% (0.2%)
12M13
12M14
Change
EBITDA
3,256,410
3,690,309
13.3%
Net income and comprehensiv e income
2,246,230
2,242,520
(0.2%)
Net income and comprehensiv e income per share (pesos)
4.0040
3.9974
(0.2%)
Net income and comprehensiv e income per ADS (US dollars)
2.7146
2.7101
(0.2%)
Operating income margin %
45.4%
49.9%
9.8%
Operating income margin % (excluding IFRIC 12)
49.6%
52.5%
6.0%
EBITDA margin %
62.3%
66.5%
6.8%
EBITDA margin % (excluding IFRIC 12)
68.0%
70.1%
3.1%
Costs of serv ices and improv ements / Total rev enues %
30.0%
26.0%
(13.3%)
Cost of serv ices / Total rev enues % (excluding IFRIC 12)
23.6%
22.1%
(6.4%)
• Solid growth in total revenues drive by 6.7% increase in traffic and 14.4% growth in non aeronautical services. • Total cost of services increased 2.9%
• EBITDA growth 13.3% with a 70.1% margin.
Maintaining EBITDA Strength • Cost-control efforts and continuous search for operational efficiencies: COST OF SERVICES PER PAX
COST OF SERVICES (million pesos)
MILLONS
1,200
2.9%
1,150
6.5%
1,100
7.4%
1,050
1,162
1,129
49.50 49.00
48.84
48.72
48.50
1,060
48.00
987
1,000
49.80
50.00
47.50
950
47.00
900
46.50
850
46.65
46.00 2011
2012
2013
2014
2011
2012
2013
2014
• GAP will continue to set aggressive targets for efficient energy usage, that will be supported by more efficient cooling and other systems. All new building designs will take into account efficient energy usage. • Despite the additional cost pressure, from directly-operated businesses, GAP expects to obtain additional cost efficiencies from economies of scale, as we have done until now.
Page 49
Maintaining EBITDA Strength GAP continued double-digit EBITDA growth for third year in a row… EBITDA PER PAX
EBITDA 4,000
14%
MILLIONS
3,500 3,000
13%
11%
(Pesos)
3,690 155.00
3,256 2,941
149.29
150.00
2,579
145.00
2,500
138.15
140.00
2,000
140.52
135.00
1,500
130.00
1,000
125.00
500
120.00
127.62
115.00
0 2011
2012
2013
2014
2011
2012
2013
2014
• Growth in passenger traffic, commercial revenue strategies and continued cost control, will allow us to maintain double digit EBITDA growth in 2015.
Page 50
EBITDA by Airport AIRPORT
12M14
GDL
76.3%
SJD
75.3%
PVR
70.6%
TIJ
66.7%
BJX
66.2%
HMO
58.9%
LAP
65.3%
AGU
51.3%
MLM
46.2%
MXL
39.5%
ZLO
11.6%
LMM
15.0%
Page 51
Participation in EBITDA 2014
Others 15.1% $555.5 GDL 38.4% $1,418.0
TIJ 13.3% $489.3
PVR 14.3% $526.5
SJD 18.9% $701.0
Maintaining EBITDA Strength EBITDA MARGIN 71.0%
70.1% 70.0% 69.0% 68.0% 68.0% 67.2%
67.0% 66.1%
66.0% 65.0% 2011
2012
2013
2014
GAP continues generating constant growth, despite being in a mature industry.
Page 52
Hurricane Odile Status • On September 14, 2014, the Hurricane Odile impacted to the Los Cabos and La Paz International Airports. • Damages to the La Paz International Airport were minor. • The Los Cabos International Airport suffer significant damages, however its rehabilitation is almost complete. The Company estimates that at the end of April the Airport will be operating at its regular capacity. • The amount to refurbish and replace the damage equipment in both airports is estimated in Ps. 300.0 million. We expect to recover a 90% of this amount through our insurance policy.
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Financial Strategies
Leverage Strategy • In July 2014, GAP decided to modify its leverage strategy, changing the Master Development Programs (MDP) financing in the airports of Guadalajara, Puerto Vallarta, Los Cabos, Hermosillo and Guanajuato, which had been financed through bank loans since 2007. • The objective was to access the Mexican Debt Market through a bond, subsequently, transferred financing sources to all airports. As a result, the airports would be able to fulfill MDP investments for 2015-2019. • Therefore, in August 2014, GAP initiated the issuance of a long-term bond in the Mexican market; hiring the services of two credit agencies.
Page 55
Debt Ratings Standard & Poor’s mxAAA - National scale The outlook is stable (issued in September 2014)
Moody´s Aaa.mx - National scale (Baa1 – Global scale) The outlook on the ratings is stable (issued in December 2014)
Downward rating if… • Net debt / EBITDA ratio consistently above 3.0 times • Cash interest coverage ratio consistently below 5.0 times • FFO / Net debt ratio consistently below 30%
Page 56
Credit Metrics
13.8
13.9
16.2
2013
0.5
2012
0.6
0.7
0.8 2011
2014
2011
2012
2013
28.1
Cash Interest Coverage (X)
Debt * / EBITDA (X)
2014
FFO / Net Debt 2011 FFO Net Debt Ratio
2,161 -
390 -655%
2012 2,422 85 -2965%
2013
2014
2,566
2,931
716
135
-458%
2066%
* We do not determine this ratio with Net Debt because amounts are negative, therefore we only included the bank loans as Debt.
Page 57
Debt Market • In February 16, 2015, the Mexican Securities and Exchange Commission (Comisión Nacional Bancaria y de Valores) authorized a debt program for up to Ps. 9.0 billion over the next five years, through certificates, with a nominal value of Ps. 100 per certificate. • In February 20, 2015, the Company issued a long-term bond on the Mexican market for a total amount of Ps. 2.6 billion, under the authorized program.
• The proceeds from the issuance will be allocated, first for the full repayment of the Company’s outstanding bank debt in the amount of Ps. 1,741 million. The remainder will be allocated to finance a portion of the CAPEX set forth in the Master Development Program for 2015.
Page 58
Debt Market The long-term bond certificate of Ps. 2.6 billion was constituted under the following terms: • A total value of Ps. 1.1 billion with variable interest rate of TIIE-28 plus 24 basis points, the principal will be paid upon maturity on February 14, 2020. • A total value of Ps. 1.5 billion with a fixed interest rate of 7.08%, the principal will be paid upon maturity on February 7, 2025.
The average annual interest cost of the issuance was 5.58% • The issuance of this bond will allow GAP to reduce its financial cost and increase is debt maturities.
Page 59
Leverage Strategy • Additionally, the Company will issue a short-term bond for approximately Ps. 1.0 billion in the last quarter 2015, to continue the financing of its MDP.
• The Debt-to-EBITDA ratio at December 2014 was 0.5x (prior to the issuance of the bond), and we expect to have a ratio of 0.7x at the end of 2015, which reflects a healthy leverage level for GAP. • With the new capital structure, GAP’s WACC will change from 8.0% at the end of year 2014 to approximately 7.9% at the end of year 2015, and so on, in accordance with the leverage strategy. • From 2016 to 2019, the Company will continue issuing bonds to finance its MDP.
Page 60
2011
2012
2013
8.0%
8.1%
8.2%
8.3%
Leverage Strategy
2014
As is shown, the leverage strategy will result in an improvement to GAP’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
Page 61
Financial Strategy Will improve GAP’s Capital Structure
Will finance the full PMD for 2015-2019
Will optimize the cost of debt
Will relieve cash flows for operating purposes
Will allow easy access to debt markets
Will allow GAP to finance future projects
Will provide certainty to capital markets
Page 62
ROE and ROA RETURN ON EQUITY Average growth: 14.2%
2011
Page 63
2012
2013
7.3%
2014
6.7%
8.3%
7.5% 2013
5.6%
2012
Average growth: 13.7%
4.9%
2011
6.3%
5.6%
RETURN ON ASSETS
2014
2015 Distribution Policy Dividend and Equity Reimbursement Policy: • Pay all the excess cash above a minimum “cash balance” (two months of OPEX) • Dividend payment, or capital reimbursement, should consider the most efficient fiscal practice. • At the Board Members Meeting, the Board of Directors proposed the highest reimbursement per share in the history of GAP for 2015. – Dividend: Ps. 3.32 per outstanding share – Capital Reimbursement: Ps. 2.68 per outstanding share – Total: Ps. 6.00 per outstanding share, approximately Ps. 3.15 billion
Page 64
Maximum Rates 2015-2019
New Maximum Rates 2.0% average growth in real terms 2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Aguascalientes
139.31
138.33
137.36
136.40
135.45
Guanajuato
160.57
159.45
158.33
157.22
156.12
Guadalajara
137.61
136.65
135.69
134.74
133.80
Hermosillo
129.55
128.64
127.74
126.85
125.96
La Paz
150.31
149.26
148.22
147.18
146.15
Los Mochis
146.44
145.41
144.39
143.38
142.38
Morelia
167.10
165.93
164.77
163.62
162.47
Mexicali
126.40
125.52
124.64
123.77
122.90
Puerto Vallarta
177.91
176.66
175.42
174.19
172.97
Los Cabos
184.07
182.78
181.50
180.23
178.97
Tijuana
129.16
128.26
127.36
126.47
125.58
Manzanillo
160.88
159.75
158.63
157.52
156.42
Notes: Information as of the end of each year, expressed in constant pesos as of 31 Dec 12. Efficiency factor for each of the 2015-2019 years is 70 basis points.
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Maximum Tariff
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2015 Guidance
• • • • • • •
Traffic: Increase of 5.0%–7.0% Aeronautical Revenue: Increase of 11.0%-12.0% Non-Aeronautical Revenue: Increase of 14.0%-15.0% Total Revenue: Increase of 12.0%-13.0% EBITDA: Increase of 10%-12% EBITDA margin of 68% to 69% Total CAPEX: Ps. 1,412 million (Dec 2012 pesos)
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Opportunities for the Future • Obtain additional cost efficiencies in the directly-operated businesses to improve its EBITDA margins • Build and develop new terminal areas to include innovative and recognized brands into the layout of the commercial's areas • Seeking new businesses inside GAP’s concessions, throughout Mexico or in other countries
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Infrastructure Overview I単aki Ascacibar Chief Technical Officer
Infrastructure Overview • Master Plan 2015/19 negotiation and approval • CAPEX compromise • Tijuana: Cross Border Facility update • Main projects to be developed during 2015 • Brief descriptions about other projects 2015/19
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CAPEX 2015-2019 • Jan. 1 marked the start of 4th period in the 50-year concession • A new Master Development Plan was prepared and coordinated with Civil Aviation Authority for airport development during the next 5 years • • • •
Infrastructure review and capacity evaluation Traffic forecast Additional capacity and maintenance required Investment compromise
• Investment plan for US$ 365 million for the next 5 years • Represents a 60% increase compared to the previous period
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CAPEX 2015-2019
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
TOTAL
Aguascalientes
64,770,400
79,512,000
8,503,000
19,603,000
18,376,000
190,764,400
Guanajuato
65,333,000
101,453,000
60,484,000
40,160,000
2,270,000
269,700,000
Guadalajara
230,477,000
645,884,000
315,342,000
136,365,375
30,892,000
1,358,960,375
Hermosillo
88,507,500
187,245,000
102,870,000
4,730,000
2,770,000
386,122,500
La Paz
43,670,000
35,319,000
30,047,500
62,002,000
14,914,000
185,952,500
Los Mochis
31,085,100
20,556,400
12,740,800
17,760,000
3,780,000
85,922,300
Morelia
124,973,500
41,557,000
11,899,000
18,355,000
19,450,000
216,234,500
Mexicali
40,746,500
49,012,000
66,300,000
30,410,000
900,000
187,368,500
Puerto Vallarta
104,724,500
162,203,500
69,699,500
13,477,000
10,456,000
360,560,500
Los Cabos
183,832,500
186,420,500
235,652,750
252,844,500
176,369,000
1,035,119,250
Tijuana
404,850,000
319,645,000
231,635,000
147,700,000
17,215,000
1,121,045,000
29,262,500
13,762,000
12,510,000
15,930,000
9,400,000
80,864,500
759,336,875
306,792,000
Manzanillo Total
1,412,232,500
1,842,569,400
1,157,683,550
* CAPEX figures expressed in pesos as of December 2012
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5,478,614,325
Tijuana: Cross Border Facility • Mexican infraestructure was completed on Oct 2014 • U.S. facilities are on schedule, to be finished on Sept 2015 • Certification and installation tests to be done thereafter, schedulling to come into operation at the end of 2015
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Tijuana: Cross Border Facility U.S. facilities are on schedule, to be completed Sept 2015
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Tijuana: Cross Border Facility Connecting bridge was installed last February‌ expected to initiate operations in Nov 2015
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Future Projects (2015-2017) Guadalajara: Investment approx. US$ 35 million (21,000 m2) • Increase departure capacity with 3 boarding bridges and 8 gates • New security control and additional capacity for baggage handling and inspection system • Merging both terminal buildings to increase departure lounge and optimize common resources (checking, baggage and security) • Parking and access rearrangement • Developing cargo apron with new positions for larger airplanes already flying at the airport (B747-800)
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Future Projects (2015-2017) Guadalajara: Investment approx. US$ 35 million (21,000 m2)
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Future Projects (2015-2017) Guadalajara: Investment approx. US$ 35 million (21,000 m2)
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Future Projects (2015-2017) Guadalajara: Investment approx. US$ 35 million (21,000 m2)
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Future Projects (2015-2017) Guadalajara: Investment approx. US$ 35 million (21,000 m2)
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Future Projects (2015-2017) Guadalajara: Investment approx. US$ 35 million (21,000 m2)
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Future Projects (2015-2017) Tijuana: Investment approx. US$ 35 million (15,000 m2) • Refurbish and increase departure capacity • 4 additional apron positions, plus a new lounge for bus attended operations • New building for quality accommodation and business services • New aircraft rescue and fire fighting installation and equipment • Cross Border will come into operation at the end of 2015
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Future Projects (2015-2017) Tijuana: Investment approx. US$ 35 million (15,000 m2)
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Future Projects (2015-2017) Tijuana: Investment approx. US$ 35 million (15,000 m2)
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Future Projects (2015-2017) Hermosillo: Investment approx. US$ 10 million (4,500 m2) • Increasing departure capacity, with two new gates with boarding bridges • Refurbishment of aircraft rescue and fire fighting installation and equipment • New departure VIP lounge • New security control and arrival facilities
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Future Projects (2015-2017) Hermosillo: Investment approx. US$ 10 million (4,500 m2)
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Future Projects (2015-19) AGUASCALIENTES 2016. Runway refurbishing and new parking position 2018. Terminal expansion (departure hall)
GUANAJUATO 2016. Terminal and general aviation facilities expansion 2018. New taxiway and runway refurbishing
LA PAZ 2017. Terminal (Checking and departures) expansion 2019. Runway refurbishing
LOS MOCHIS General works at building and airfield for improving quality and maintenance
MORELIA 2015/6. Airfield refurbishing 2019. Terminal expansion (departure hall)
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Future Projects (2015-19) MEXICALI 2017. Terminal expansion (arrivals) 2018. Runway refurbishing
PUERTO VALLARTA 2016. Terminal (customs) and General Aviation expansion
LOS CABOS 2015. Odile repairments 2016. General Aviation apron expansion 2017. Two new parking positions at commercial apron 2018. Migrate fuel plant and new ARFF facilities 2018. Runway refurbishing 2019. Terminal expansion (departures hall)
MANZANILLO 2019. Terminal building expansion (arrivals)
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Future Projects (2015-19) Environmental Energy, waste and water management Carbon accreditation • PVR certified on phase 1. • A new airport to come into the process during 2015
Safety Airport ICAO Anex 14 certification • Mexico compromised to certify at least 15% of airports for the end of 2016 • Already certified PVR, TIJ, SJD, HMO • LAP to be certified during 2015, and BJX, MXL during 2016
Safety Management System • PVR, SJD certified on phase 4. TIJ on the process now • Rest of the airports on the process to phase 3
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Infrastructure Overview • Master Plan 2015/19 negotiation and approval • CAPEX compromise • Tijuana: Cross Border Facility update • Main projects to be developed during 2015 • Brief descriptions about other projects 2015/19
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Guadalajara Airport Miguel Aliaga IRO
Guadalajara Airport → Official name: “Aeropuerto Internacional Miguel Hidalgo y Costilla” → IATA name: “GDL” → Two perpendicular Runways: → Main: (10-28) 4005 meters length 60 meters wide → Secondary (02-20) 1800 meters length 30 meters wide
→ 24hr Operation
Guadalajara Airport at a Glance
• • • • • • • • •
58,000 sqm of terminal buildings 29 boarding gates 10 boarding bridges 51 commercial aviation positions 40 general aviation positions 14 baggage claim carrousels (7 domestic, 7 International) Runway Max Ops/Hr 39 377 operations/day 8.5 million passengers (2014)
Recent projects
Increase capacity for international operations • Total investment: US$ 20 million • Refurbishing and expansion of 10,000 m2, including international arrivals and departures • Two new gates and jet ways • Increase arrivals area and two new baggage carrousels • 20 immigration counters and 8 custom positions
Recent Projects - Guadalajara
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Terminal building expansion
Recent Projects - Guadalajara
Refurbishing and apron expansion
Increase Apron capacity • Total investment: US$ 20 million
• Refurbishing of 75,000m2 and 20 parking positions. • New layout: including 1 position for type E (B747) and the rest for Type C or D planes
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This document may contain forward-looking statements. These statements are statements that are not historical facts, and are based on management’s current view and estimates of future economic circumstances, industry conditions, company performance and financial results. The words “anticipates”, “believes”, “estimates”, “expects”, “plans” and similar expressions, as they relate to the company, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Statements regarding the declaration or payment of dividends, the implementation of principal operating and financing strategies and capital expenditure plans, the direction of future operations and the factors or trends affecting financial condition, liquidity or results of operations are examples of forward-looking statements. Such statements reflect the current views of management and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. There is no guarantee that the expected events, trends or results will actually occur. The statements are based on many assumptions and factors, including general economic and market conditions, industry conditions, and operating factors. Any changes in such assumptions or factors could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations.