تايوان و آذربايجان

‫‪ 12‬ژ ﺋــﻦ ‪2010‬‬

‫ﭼﺮﺧﺶ ﺗﻨﺪ ﻟﺖ ﺳــﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮ ﻫﺎ ﺟﻨﺠﺎﻟﻰ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﻣﻮ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﻣﺮﺑﻮ ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ &ﻳﺮ&‪ 3‬ﺗﺎﻛﻨﻮ‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ &ﻳﻦ ﺣﺪ »ﻣﺸــﺨﺺ« ﺻﺮﻳﺢ ﻧﺒﻮ ‪& .+‬ﻟﺒﺘﻪ &ﻳﻦ ﻧﻮ' ﭼﺮﺧﺶﻫﺎ &ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺻﻮ = &; »ﻧﺎ‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ ﻧﺮ< ;ﺧﻮ ‪3‬ﻫﺎ« & ﭘﻴﺸــﺘﺮ

ﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺳﻰﻫﺎ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً ﻣﻮ ‬ ‫ﻳﻮﮔﺴــﻼ ﻋﺮ&‪ A‬ﺷــﺎﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ ﻳﻢ‪ ،‬ﻟﻰ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺗﺎ &ﻳﻦ ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ ﺳــﻌﻰ &ﺷﺖ ﻣﺮ;ﻫﺎ ‬ ‫ ﺳــﻴﻪ &; &ﻳــﻦ ﻧﻮ' ﭼﺮﺧﺶﻫﺎ ﭘﺮﻫﻴﺰ ﻛﻨﺪ؛ &ﻳﻦ ﺳــﺌﻮ&‪ E‬ﭘﻴﺶ ﻣﻰ‪D‬ﻳــﺪ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻪ ﺧﺪ& ‬ ‫ ﺳــﻄﻮ‪ L‬ﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺗﻴﻚ ﺑﻪ ﻗﻮ' ﭘﻴﻮﺳﺘﻪ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ‪ ،‬ﺣﺪ&ﻗﻞ ﻇﺎﻫﺮ &ﻣﺮ‪&» ،‬ﺻﻞ ﺣﺴﻦ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺠﻮ& « & ﻧﺎ ﻳﺪ‪ +‬ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮ ؟‬ ‫&ﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ &ﻳﻦ ﻧﻮ' ﭼﺮﺧﺶﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮ ﻛﻠﻰ ﻛﺎ ﺳــﺎ ‪ &+‬ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ .‬ﭼﺮ& ﻛﻪ &ﮔﺮ ﻳﻚ ﻗﺪ =‬ ‫ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﻣﻘﻄﻌﻰ ﻧﺎﭼﺎ ﺑﻪ »ﺧﺮ ‪ ;& S‬ﺑﺴــﺘﺮ« &ﻳﺪﺋﻮﻟﻮژﻳﻚ &ﺳــﺘﺮ&ﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺧﻮ ﺷــﻮ ‪ ،‬‬

‫ﮔﺎ‪V‬ﻫــﺎ ‪D‬ﻳﻨﺪ‪ +‬ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺎ; ﭘﺎ

ﮔﺮ ﻳﺴــﻰﻫﺎﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﻏﻴﺮﻗﺎﺑــﻞ ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰ ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ ﮔﺬ&ﺷــﺖ‪ .‬ﺧﻼﺻﺔ‬ ‫ﻛﻼ‪; ،V‬ﻣﺎﻧﻴﻜــﻪ ﻳــﻮ& ‪& Z‬ﺳــﺘﺮ&ﺗﮋﻳﻚ &; ﻣﻴــﺎ‪3‬‬ ‫ﻣــﻰ ‪& & ،‬ﺋــﺔ ﺗﺤﻠﻴــﻞ ﺑﻴﺸــﺘﺮ »ﻣﻘﻄﻌﻰ« ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺮﻫﺔ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻛﻮﺗﺎ‪ +‬ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ ‪.‬‬ ‫ﭘﺮ &ﺿﺢ &ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ &ﮔﺮ ﺑﺮ ﺳﻰ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ &ﺳﺘﺮ&ﺗﮋﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﭘﻴﻮﺳﺘﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ & ﺗﺒﺎ ﺑﺎ »ﺧﻄﻮ « ﻏﻴﺮﻗﺎﺑﻞ‬ ‫ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ &ﻧﺠﺎ‪ V‬ﺷــﻮ ‪ ،‬ﺷــﺮ&ﻳﻄﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺷﻤﺎ &ﻳﻦ‬ ‫»ﺧﻄــﻮ « ﻛﻢ ﻛﻢﺗﺮ ﺷــﺪ‪& & ،+‬ﺋﺔ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﻣﺸــﻜﻞ ﻣﺸــﻜﻞﺗﺮ ﻣﻰﻧﻤﺎﻳﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ &ﻳــﻦ ﺟﻮ ‬ ‫ﺳــﻌﻰ ﺧﻮ&ﻫﻴﻢ ﻛﺮ ﺑﺎ ﻧﻈــﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ »ﺗﺘﻤﺔ«‬ ‫ﺧﻄﻮ &ﺳــﺘﺮ&ﺗﮋﻳﻜﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻨﻮ; &; ﻃﺮ^ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫;ﻳﺮ ﺳﺌﻮ&‪ E‬ﺑﺮ ‪ +‬ﻧﺸﺪ‪ +‬ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻠﻰ ﺑﺮ ﭼﺮﺧﺶ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ &ﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﻴﻢ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻮﻳــﺐ ﻗﻄﻌﻨﺎﻣﺔ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢ &ﻗﺘﺼــﺎ &ﻳﺮ&‪ 3‬ﺑﺮ& ‬ ‫ﭼﻬﺎ ﻣﻴﻦ ﺑــﺎ ‪D ،‬ﻧﻬﻢ ﺷــﺮ&ﻳﻄﻰ ﻛﻪ &ﻳﻦ ﻧﻮ'‬ ‫ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢﻫــﺎ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻧﺸــﺎ‪ + & 3‬ﻛــﻪ & ﺗﺒﺎﻃﻰ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫»&ﻫــﺪ&^ &ﻋﻼ‪ V‬ﺷــﺪ‪ «+‬ﻧــﺪ& &; ﻣﻨﻈﺮ &ﺑﻂ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﻦ&ﻟﻤﻠﻞ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻓﺎﻗﺪ ﻫﺮ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﺗﻮﺟﻴﻪ &ﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ &ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺣﺪ‪ b‬ﮔﻤﺎ‪& 3‬ﻣﻦ ; ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ &ﻳﻦ ﻗﻄﻌﻨﺎﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺐ ﻳﮕﺮ ﭘﻨﻬﺎ‪ 3‬ﺷﺪ‪ ،+‬ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻋﺎﺗﻰ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ & ﺗﺒﺎ ﭼﻨﺪ&ﻧﻰ ﺑﺎ ﻫﻴﺎﻫﻮ »ﺣﻘﻮ‪ A‬ﺑﻴﻦ&ﻟﻤﻠﻞ«‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮ&ﻧﺪ &ﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﻣﻰ &ﻧﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻃﻰ ﭼﻨﺪ‬

‫ ; ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ ﻻﻳﻪﻫــﺎ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﺑﺮ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎ ‬ ‫ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ &ﻓﺰ ‪ +‬ﺷــﺪ‪ .+‬ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮ ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ&‪& 3‬ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻻﻳﻪﻫﺎ & ﺑﻪ &ﻳﻦ ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺐ ﺑﺮﺷﻤﺮ ‪.‬‬ ‫

ﺟﺔ ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ &; &ﻧﺰ & ﺑﻴﻦ&ﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ ﭼﻴﻦ ‬ ‫& ﺗﺒﺎ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪ & ﻏﺮ‪ e‬ﺳﺨﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺎ‪3‬‬ ‫‪ .

D‬ﻣﻰ &ﻧﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺳﻔﺮ &ﺑﺮ= ﮔﻴﺘﺲ‪; ،‬ﻳﺮ &ﻣﻮ ‬ ‫ﺧﺎ ﺟﺔ &ﻳﺎﻻ= ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺸﻮ ﭼﻴﻦ ﻟﻐﻮ ﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﭘﻜﻦ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺰ &; ﺷﺮﻛﺖ ﻫﻤﻜﺎ ﻣﻌﺎ ﻻ= ﻓﺎﻋﻰ ‪D‬ﺳﻴﺎ ‬ ‫ﺷــﺮﻗﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺤﻮ ﻗﺪ = ﻳﺎﺋﻰ ﻫﻮ&ﺋﻰ &ﻳﺎﻻ=‬ ‫ﻣﺘﺤــﺪ ﺗﻤﺮﻛﺰ ﻳﺎﻓﺘــﻪ ﺧﻮ

& ﻛــﺮ ‪ ;& .‬ﻗﻀﺎ ‬ ‫ ;ﮔﺎ ‪D‬ﻗﺎ »ﮔﻴﺘﺲ« &; ﺑﺎ;ﻣﺎﻧﺪﮔﺎ‪ » 3‬ﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺳــﻰ‬ ‫ﻧﺌﻮﻛﺎ‪3‬ﻫــﺎ« ﻫﻴﺌــﺖ ﻟﺖ ﺑﺎ &‪ & h‬ﺑﺎﻣــﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺷــﻤﺎ ﻣﻰ ﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻧﺌﻮﻛﺎ‪3‬ﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ &ﺑﻂ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﮔﺮ‪V‬‬ ‫ ﺷﻴﺮﻳﻦ ﺑﺎ ﭘﻜﻦ ﺑﻪ &‪& +‬ﻧﺪ&ﺧﺘﻪ ﺑﻮ ﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ ; ‪ 6‬ژ ﺋﻦ ‪& ، 2010‬ﺑﺮ= ﮔﻴﺘﺲ »ﻛﻨﻔﺮ&ﻧﺲ‬ ‫&ﻣﻨﻴﺖ ‪D‬ﺳــﻴﺎ« ﻛﻪ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﺗﺤﻘﻴﻘﺎ= &ﺳــﺘﺮ&ﺗﮋﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮ ﺳﻨﮕﺎﭘﻮ ﺑﺮﮔﺰ& ﺷﺪ‪ +‬ﺑﻮ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﺪ‪:‬‬ ‫»ﻓــﺮ ‪ o‬ﺟﻨﮓ &ﻓﺰ& ﺑــﻪ ﺗﺎﻳﻮ&‪ 3‬ﻣﻄﻠــﺐ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ‪ [...] .‬ﻓﺮ ‪ o‬ﺗﺴــﻠﻴﺤﺎ= ﻓﺎﻋﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺎﻳﻮ&‪3‬‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻴﺮﻏﻢ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺖ ﭼﻴﻦ & &ﻣﻪ ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ ﻳﺎﻓﺖ‪«.‬‬ ‫ﻣﻨﺒــﻊ‪ :‬ﻓﻮﻛﻮ‪ b‬ﺗﺎﻳــﻮ&‪ 7 ،3‬ژ ﺋﻦ ‪ ،2010‬ﺑﻪ ﻧﻘﻞ‬ ‫&; ﺳﻰ‪. & .3& .‬‬ ‫ﺟﺎﻟﺐ &ﻳﻨﺠﺎﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ &ﻳﻦ &ﺑﻂ &; ﻳﺮﺑﺎ; ﺑﻴﻦ ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ‬ ‫ﭼﻴﻦ ﺟﻮ

&ﺷﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﮔﻮﻳﺎ ﻗﺒﻞ &; ﭘﺎ ﮔﺬ&ﺷﺘﻦ ‬ ‫ﻣﺮ&ﺣــﻞ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ‪& ،‬ﻳﻦ &ﺑﻂ »ﺧﺼﻤﺎﻧﻪ« ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺤﻮ ‬ ‫ﻓﺮ ‪ o‬ﺟﻨﮓ&ﻓﺰ& ﺑﻪ ﺗﺎﻳﻮ&‪ 3‬ﺷﻜﻞ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ‪; ،‬ﻣﻴﻨﻪﺳﺎ;‬ ‫ﺑﺤﺮ&‪ 3‬ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ& ﻧﻤﻰﺷــﺪ! ﺑﻪ ﻋﻼ ‪ +‬ﻣﻰ &ﻧﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫&ﻳﺎﻻ= ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺑﺎ ﻫﺎ ﺑﺎ ﻫﺎ ﺳــﻄﺢ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ &ﻋﻼ‪V‬‬ ‫ﻛﺮ ‪ +‬ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮ&‪& ;& 3‬ﺳــﺘﻘﻼ‪ E‬ﺗﺎﻳﻮ&‪ 3‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ‬

‫ﻧﺨﻮ&ﻫﺪ ﻛﺮ ! ﺧﻼﺻﻪ‪&» ،‬ﺳــﺘﻘﻼ‪ «E‬ﺗﺎﻳﻮ&‪ 3‬ﮔﻮﻳﺎ ﺑﺮ& ‬ ‫&ﻳﺎﻻ= ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ‪D‬ﻧﻘﺪ ﻫﺎ ﺟﺎﻟﺐ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ؛ ﺑﺎ &ﻳﻦ ﺟﻮ ‬ ‫ﻓﺮ ‪ o‬ﺗﺴــﻠﻴﺤﺎ= ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ »ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ« ﻛﻪ ﻋﻤ ً‬ ‫ﻼ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ &; ﻧﻈﺮ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ &ﺷﻐﺎ‪E‬ﺷــﺪ‪ +‬ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﺷﻮ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ‬ ‫ ﺧﺎﻟﺖ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ &ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻃﻰ ﭼﻨﺪﻳﻦ ﻫﻪ &; ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﻫﺮ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﻣﻮﻗﻌﻴﺖ ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﺑﻴﻦ&ﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎ ﺣﻘﻮﻗﻰ‬ ‫ﺟﻬﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﺤــﺮ ‪ V‬ﻣﺎﻧﺪ‪ ،+‬ﺑﻪ ﻣﻌﻨﺎ ﺑﻪ ;ﻳﺮ ﭘﺎ ﮔﺬ&ﺷــﺘﻦ‬ ‫ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﺣﻘﻮ‪ A‬ﺑﻴﻦ&ﻟﻤﻠﻞ &; ﻃﺮ^ &ﻳﺎﻻ= ﻣﺘﺤﺪ &ﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ‬ ‫&ﻳﻦ ﺟﻮ ﭼﻴﻦ‪ ،‬ﻋﻠﻴﺮﻏﻢ

ﺳــﺖ &ﺷــﺘﻦ ﺗﺠﻬﻴﺰ&=‬ ‫&ﺗﻤــﻰ‪& ،‬ﺑﻂ ﺗﺠﺎ ﮔﺮ‪ u& V‬ﺑــﺎ &ﻳﺎﻻ= ﻣﺘﺤﺪ‪ ،‬‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻮ & &; ﺣﻖ ﺗﻮ ﺷﻮ & &ﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﺳﺎ;ﻣﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﻠﻞ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮ&‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ &ﺑﻂ &ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ & ﻛﻪ &ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮ &ﺟﺎ;‪ + & +‬ﺑﺎ ﻗﺴــﻤﺘﻰ &; ﺧﺎ‪ h‬ﭼﻴﻦ ﺑﺮﻗﺮ& ﻛﻨﺪ‬ ‫&ﻋﺘــﺮ&‪ w‬ﻧﻜﺮ ‪& !+‬ﻳــﻦ ﻣﺨﺘﺼﺮ & ﺻﺮﻓﺎً ﺑــﻪ &ﻳﻦ ﻟﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﻮ&‪ 3‬ﻛﺮ ﻳﻢ ﺗﺎ ﻧﺸــﺎ‪ 3‬ﻫﻴﻢ &ﺑﻂ »ﭼﻴﻦ ـ ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ« &;‬ ‫ﭼﻪ ﻻﻳﻪﻫﺎ ﻏﻴﺮﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ ‪D‬ﺳﻴﺎ ﺟﻨﻮ‪ e‬ﺷﺮﻗﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻮ & ﺷﺪ‪.+‬‬ ‫ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺰ& ﻫﺎ ﻛﻼ‪ 3‬ﺷﺮﻛﺖﻫﺎ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﻳﻮ&‪ 3‬ﻛﺸــﻴﺪ‪ +‬ﺷﺪ‪& 3‬ﻣﻨﺔ &ﻳﻦ ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺰ& ﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻨﮓﻛﻨﮓ ﺳــﭙﺲ ﺑﻪ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰ ﭼﻴﻦ‪;& ،‬‬ ‫ﺟﻤﻠﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻨﺪ ﺷــﺎﻧﮕﻬﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮ&ﺣﺖ ﻧﺸــﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﻰ ﻫﺪ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻏﺮ‪ e‬ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺮﻛﺮ ﮔﻰ &ﻳﺎﻻ= ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻗﺼﺪ ﺗﺴــﺨﻴﺮ ﺑﺎ ‪Z‬‬ ‫ﭼﻴــﻦ & & ‪ .‬ﺟﻬﺖ ﭘﺎ ﮔﺬ&ﺷــﺘﻦ &ﻳﻦ ﭘﺮ ﺳــﺔ‬ ‫&ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳــﻦ ﻋﺎﻣﻞ &; ﻧﻈﺮ ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳــﻜﺎ ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮ ‬ ‫&; ﻣﺸــﺘﻌﻞ ﺷــﺪ‪ 3‬ﺑﺎ ‪& Z‬ﺣﺴﺎﺳــﺎ= »ﻧﺎﺳﻴﻮﻧﺎﻟﻴﺴﺘﻰ«‬ ‫ﭼﻴﻨﻰﻫﺎﺳــﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻟﻴﻞ ﻏﺮ‪ e‬ﻫﻴﺌﺖ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﭼﻴﻦ ﻳﻚ ﻗﺸــﺮ ﻓﺎﺳﺪ‪ ،‬ﭘﻮ‪E‬ﭘﺮﺳــﺖ ﻛﻢﻓﺮﻫﻨﮓ & ‬ ‫ﭘﺲ ﻳﻮ& ‪+‬ﻫﺎ ﺣﺎﻣﻰ »ﻣﺎﺋﻮﺋﻴﺴــﻢ« ﻣﻮ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻗﺮ& ‬ ‫ﻣﻰ ﻫﺪ‪ ،‬ﻗﺸﺮ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻫﺪ^&‪ o‬ﺑﻬﺮ‪+‬ﻛﺸﻰ &; ﻧﻴﺮ ‬ ‫ﻛﺎ ﭼﻴــﻦ ﺛﺮ =&ﻧﺪ ; &ﺳــﺖ‪& .‬ﻳﻨــﺎ‪ 3‬ﻧﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺤﻴﻂ‬ ‫;ﻳﺴﺖ ﺗﻮﺟﻬﻰ & ﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻧﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ »ﻛﻼ‪ 3‬ـ &ﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ«‬ ‫ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪﻧﺪ ﻧﻪ ﺑﻪ &ﺻﻮ‪& E‬ﻧﺴﺎﻧﻰ‪ ،‬ﻋﻘﻴﺪﺗﻰ &ﻳﺪﺋﻮﻟﻮژﻳﻚ‪.‬‬

‫ﺷــﻌﺎ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﻛﺎ ﻫﺎ ﺑﺎﻻ ﺣﺰ‪ e‬ﻛﻤﻮﻧﻴﺴــﺖ‬ ‫ﭼﻴــﻦ‪ ،‬ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛــﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻫﺎ &; ﻃﺮﻳــﻖ ﺑﻠﻨﺪﮔﻮﻫﺎ ‬ ‫ﺳــﺨﻨﮕﻮﻳﺎ‪ 3‬ژﻳﻢ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮ&ﺣﺖ ﻋﻨﻮ&‪ 3‬ﺷــﺪ‪+‬‬ ‫ &ﻳﻦ ﺟﻤﻠﻪ ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ ‪» :‬ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ&ﻧﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﭘﻮﻟﺪ& ﺷﻮﻳﺪ!«‬ ‫ ﻟﻰ ;ﻣﺎﻧﻴﻜﻪ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺷــﺮ&ﻳﻂ »ﻋﺠﻴﺐ ﻏﺮﻳﺒﻰ«‪،‬‬ ‫ ﻟﺖ ﭼﻴﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮ &ﺟﺎ;‪ +‬ﻣﻰ ﻫﺪ ;ﻳﺮ &ﻣﻮ ﺧﺎ ﺟﺔ‬ ‫&ﻳﺎﻻ= ﻣﺘﺤﺪ & ﺑﺮ ﺧﻼ^ ﺳــﻔﺮ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ ﻳﺰ ﺷــﺪ‪،+‬‬ ‫ﺑــﻪ ﭘﻜﻦ &‪ +‬ﻧﺪﻫﺪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﭘﺮﺳــﻴﺪ‪» ،‬ﭼﻪ ﭘﻴﺶ‬ ‫‪D‬ﻣﺪ‪+‬؟« ﻧﺨﺴــﺘﻴﻦ ﻣﺴﺌﻠﻪ& ﻛﻪ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺑﺤﺚ ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﺑــﻮ ‪» ،‬ﻧﮕﺮ&ﻧﻰ« &ﻳﺎﻻ= ﻣﺘﺤﺪ &; ﮔﺴــﺘﺮ‪ o‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‬ ‫ ژﻳﻢ ﭼﻴﻦ &ﺳــﺖ‪ ،‬ﻧﮕﺮ&ﻧــﻰ& ﻛﻪ &; ﻳﺮﺑﺎ; &; ﻃﺮ^‬ ‫ &ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺑﻮ‪ A‬ﻛﺮﻧﺎ ﮔﺬ&ﺷﺘﻪ ﺷﺪ‪ !+‬ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﭘﺮﺳﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﭼﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﮔﺴــﺘﺮ‪ o‬ﻣﺎﻟــﻰ‪& ،‬ﻗﺘﺼﺎ ‪ ،‬ﺻﻨﻌﺘﻰ‬ ‫ ‪ ...‬ﻛﺸــﻮ ﭼﻴــﻦ ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ & ﺑﻪ &ﻧﺪ&;‪ Z‬ﮔﺴــﺘﺮ‪o‬‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺮ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ »ﻧﮕﺮ&‪ «3‬ﻧﻤﻰﻛﻨﺪ؟ ﭘﺎﺳــﺦ ﺷــﻦ‬ ‫&ﺳﺖ‪D ،‬ﻧﭽﻪ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪ o‬ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﺻﻨﻌﺘﻰ &ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ ‬ ‫»ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ« ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ &ﺑﺴﺘﮕﻰ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ;& ﻫــﺎ &ﻳﺎﻻ= ﻣﺘﺤــﺪ‪ ،‬ﻓﻨﺎ ﻫﺎ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ‪... ،‬‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻴﺸــﻪ &; ﻃﺮ^ ﻏــﺮ‪ e‬ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﻛﻨﺘــﺮ‪ E‬ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻧﺪ؛ ﻣﺸﻜﻞ ;ﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ ‪D‬ﻣﺪ ﻛﻪ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪o‬‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﭼﻴﻦ ﻣﻌﺎ ﻻ= »ﻣﻄﻠﻮ‪D «e‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ & ﻧﺨﺴــﺖ‬ ‫ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ‪D‬ﺳﻴﺎ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰ ﺷﺮﻗﻰ ﺳﭙﺲ

ﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﺟﻬــﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﻮ ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪ ﻗﺮ& ﻫــﺪ‪ .‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﻗﺒﻮ‪ E‬ﻛﺮ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻴﺌﺖ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﺔ ﭼﻴﻦ ﺷﺮ&ﻳﻂ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺑــﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺧﺪ& ﻫــﺎ ﻳــﮋ‪D +‬ﺳــﻴﺎ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻻﺟﺒــﺎ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻴﻦ ﻫﻤــﻜﺎ »ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ـ ﺻﻨﻌﺘﻰ«‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻳﺎ ﺷــﺮﻛﺖ ﻓﻌــﺎ‪ E‬ﭘﺮ ژ‪+‬ﻫﺎ »ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‬ ‫ـ &ﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ« ﺑﺎ ﺳــﻴﻪ &ﻧﺘﺨــﺎ‪ e‬ﺧﻮ & ﺻﻮ = ﻫﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻋﺪ‪ V‬ﭘﺬﻳﺮ‪ o‬ﮔﻴﺘﺲ ﭘﻜﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮ&ﺣﺖ ﻧﺸــﺎ‪ & 3‬‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﭼﻴﻦ‪ ،‬ﻋﻠﻴﺮﻏﻢ &ﺑﺴــﺘﮕﻰﻫﺎ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎ ﻛﻼ‪3‬‬

‫ﺑﻪ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪ & ﻏﺮ‪ e‬ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮ&ﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻮ&;ﻧﻪﻫﺎ »ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ـ‬ ‫&ﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ« ﻣﻄﻠﻮ‪ e‬ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﭘﺸﺖ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑــﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻟﻴﻞ &ﺑــﺮ= ﮔﻴﺘﺲ &ﻧﺔ ‪ |D‬ﺑﺎﻳﺠﺎ‪ 3‬ﺷــﺪ!‬ ‫ﺧﻼﺻــﺔ ﻛﻼ‪ ،V‬ﭘﻴﺎ‪ = &; V‬ﻓﺎ' ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ &ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺑﻮ ﻛﻪ &ﮔﺮ ﭼﻴﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﻓﺸــﺎ ﺳــﻴﻪ ﺳــﻔﺮ ﮔﻴﺘﺲ‬ ‫ & ﻟﻐــﻮ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ & ،‬ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ&ﻧﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺳــﻔﺮ ﺑــﻪ ﺟﻤﻬﻮ ‬ ‫‪ |D‬ﺑﺎﻳﺠــﺎ‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ ﻧﻮﺑﺔ ﺧﻮ ﺑﺮ ﻧﻘﻄﻪ ﺿﻌﻒ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺳــﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﮕﺬ& ‪ .‬ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﺔ ‪ |D‬ﺑﺎﻳﺠﺎ‪ 3‬ﻫﻤﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﺔ ﺷــﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺷــﺪ‪& &+‬ﺳــﺖ ﻛــﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻫﺎ ﺗﺤــﺖ ﻋﻨﺎ ﻳﻦ ﻣﺘﻔــﺎ = ‬ ‫ﺗﺎ ﻳــﺦ ﻣﻌﺎﺻﺮ ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﻪ ﺗﻜﺮ& ﺷــﺪ‪ .+‬ﻧﺎ‪V‬ﻫﺎ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ &ﻳﻦ »ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﺔ« &ﺣﺪ ﮔﺬ&ﺷﺘﻪ&ﻧﺪ‪& ;& ،‬ﻧﻘﻼ‪ e‬ﻧﺎ ﻧﺠﻰ‬ ‫ & ﻛﺮ&ﻳــﻦ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺗﺎ ﺟﻨﮓ ﮔﺮﺟﺴــﺘﺎ‪ ;& ،3‬ﺑﺤﺮ&‪3‬‬ ‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ »ﻧﺎﮔﻮ ﻧﻰﻛﺎ &ﺑﺎ<« ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺗﺎ ﭘﺮ ژ‪+‬ﻫﺎ ﮔﺎ; ﺳﺎﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺗﺮﻛﻤﻨﺴــﺘﺎ‪ ... 3‬ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﺔ ‪ |D‬ﺑﺎﻳﺠــﺎ‪& 3‬ﻳــﻦ ﺧﻼﺻﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻫﺎ &ﻗﻊ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ ‪ &+‬‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺟﻨﻮ‪ e‬ﻓﺪ &ﺳــﻴﻮ‪ 3‬ﺳﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﺳﻮ&ﺣﻞ ﻳﺎ ﺳﻴﺎ‪+‬‬ ‫ & ﺑــﻪ ﻳــﺎ ﺧﺰ ﺳــﭙﺲ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻤﻖ ‪D‬ﺳــﻴﺎ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ‬ ‫ﻣﺘﺼــﻞ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ &; ﻧﻈــﺮ &ﻳﺎﻻ= ﻣﺘﺤﺪ »&ﺳــﺘﺮ&ﺗﮋﻳﻚ«‬ ‫ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﻧﺪ‪& .‬ﻳــﺎﻻ= ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻣﻄﻤﺌﻦ &ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ &;‬ ‫ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﺳــﺘﻜﺎ ﻃﺒﻘﺎ= ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎ ﻫﺎ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ‪،‬‬ ‫&ﻗﺘﺼﺎ ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً »ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ـ &ﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ« &ﻳﻦ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﻠﻪ ﺟﻬﺖ ﻗﺪ ﺗﻨﻤﺎﺋﻰ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻓﺸﺎ ﻗﺮ& & ‪3‬‬ ‫ﻣﺴﻜﻮ & &ﺧﺘﻴﺎ & ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺣﻀﻮ &ﺑــﺮ= ﮔﻴﺘﺲ ‪ |D‬ﺑﺎﻳﺠﺎ‪ 3‬ﻋﻤﻞ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ &ﺑﺮ&;‬ ‫»ﻧﺎ ﺿﺎﻳﺘﻰ« &ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ &; ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮ ﻫﺎ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﻣﻮ ‬ ‫ &ﺑﻂ »ﭼﻴﻦ ـ &ﻳﺎﻻ= ﻣﺘﺤﺪ« ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﺷــﻮ ‪& .‬ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺳــﻔﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻬﺎﻧﺔ ﻛﻤﻚ ﺳﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻴﺮ ﻫﺎ »ﺿﺪﺗﺮ ﻳﺴﺖ«‬ ‫ &ﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴــﺘﺎ‪ 3‬ﺻﻮ = ﮔﺮﻓﺖ! ﻓﺎﺻﻠﺔ ﺟﻐﺮ&ﻓﻴﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﻌﻴﺪ ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ‪ |D‬ﺑﺎﻳﺠﺎ‪& ;& & 3‬ﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴﺘﺎ‪ 3‬ﺟﺪ& ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﻧﺸﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﻰ ﻫﺪ‬

‫ﻛــﻪ &ﻳﻦ & ﻋﺎ ﺗﺎ ﭼﻪ ﺣﺪ ﺑﻰﭘﺎﻳﻪ &ﺳــﺎ‪& b‬ﺳــﺖ‪ .‬ﻟﻰ ‬ ‫ﭘﻰ &ﻳﻦ »ﺳــﻔﺮ« ﺷــﺎﻫﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺎ ﻟﻤﺎ‪ |D 3‬ﺑﺎﻳﺠﺎ‪& 3‬ﮔﺬ& ‬ ‫ﻳــﻚ ﭘﺎﻳﮕﺎ‪ +‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺑﻪ & ﺗﺶ ﻧﺎﺗــﻮ & ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮ = »ﻣﻮﻗﺖ« ‬ ‫&ﻳﻨﻜﺸﻮ ﻣﻮ ﺗﺼﻮﻳﺐ ﻗﺮ& ﻣﻰ ﻫﺪ‪:‬‬ ‫»ﭘﺎ ﻟﻤﺎ‪ 3‬ﺟﻤﻬﻮ ‪ |D‬ﺑﺎﻳﺠﺎ‪ ; 3‬ﺳــﻪ ﺷــﻨﺒﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺒﺎ‪E‬‬ ‫ﺳــﻔﺮ ;ﻳﺮ ﻓﺎ' ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﻛﻮ‪ ،‬ﻳﻚ ﻛﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‬ ‫ ;ﻣﻴﻨــﻪ ﻣﻴﺰﺑﺎﻧــﻰ ﭘﺎﻳﮕﺎ‪+‬ﻫﺎ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳــﻜﺎ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ & ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻮﻳﺐ ﺳــﺎﻧﺪ‪ [...] .‬ﻛﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻳﺎ ﺷﺪ‪ +‬ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ &ﻛﺜﺮﻳﺖ ‪ & D‬ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻮﻳﺐ ]‪ [...‬ﺳﻴﺪ &ﻣﻜﺎ‪& 3‬ﺳﺘﻘﺮ& ﻣﻮﻗﺖ ﭘﺎﻳﮕﺎ‪+‬ﻫﺎ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﺧﺎ ﺟﻰ & ﺑﺮ&ﺳﺎ‪ b‬ﺗﻮ&ﻓﻘﺎ= ﺑﻴﻦ&ﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ ﻣﻴﺴﺮ ﻣﻰﺳﺎ; ‪«.‬‬ ‫ﻣﻨﺒﻊ‪; :‬ﻧﺎﻣﺔ ﻛﻴﻬﺎ‪ ،3‬ﻣﻮ < ‪ 19‬ﺧﺮ & ﻣﺎ‪ ،1389 +‬ﺑﻪ ﻧﻘﻞ‬ ‫&; ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰ& ﻓﺮ&ﻧﺴﻪ‬ ‫&ﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻧﻴﺶ ﮔﺰﻧﺪ‪& Z‬ﻳﻦ ﻧﻮ' »ﻗﺮ& & ﻫﺎ « ﻣﻮﻗﺖ & ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋﻰﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ‪D‬ﺳــﻴﺎ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﭼﺸﻴﺪ‪&+‬ﻧﺪ؛ ﭘﺎﻳﮕﺎ‪+‬ﻫﺎﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﻛــﻪ &;ﺑﻜﺴــﺘﺎ‪ 3‬ﻗﺮﻗﻴﺰﺳــﺘﺎ‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ ﺻــﻮ = »ﻣﻮﻗﺖ« ‬ ‫&ﺧﺘﻴﺎ ﺷﺎ‪ 3‬ﻗﺮ& ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﺑﻌﺪ& ً ﺑﻪ ﻻﺋﻠﻰ‪ ،‬ﻟﺖﻫﺎ ﻣﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫&; ﺗﻤﺪﻳﺪ &ﻳﻦ ﻗﺮ& & ﻫﺎ ﺳــﺮﺑﺎ; ; ﻧــﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮ ﺗﻘﺪﻳﺮ &ﻳﻨﻚ‬ ‫‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻣﻄﻤﺌﻦ ﺷﺪ‪ +‬ﻛﻪ &ﮔﺮ ﭼﻴﻦ ﺳﺘﻰ ﺑﻪ ‪ eD‬ﻧﺮﺳﺎﻧﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ ﺑﺎﻛﻮ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ&ﻧﺪ ﺗﺎ ﻣﺪﺗﻰ ﺧﻴﻤﺔ ﺧﻮ & ﺑﺮﻗﺮ& ﺳــﺎ; ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ‬ ‫&ﺳﺘﻨﺒﺎ ﻣﺎ &ﻳﻦ »ﺗﻀﻤﻴﻨﻰ« ﺑﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺑﺤﺮ&‪&;3‬ﺋﻰ‬ ‫ &ﺑﻂ » ﺳــﻴﻪ ـ ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ« ﺗﺮﺟﻴﺢ & ﺑﻪ &ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ & &ﺋﻪ‬ ‫ ﻫﺪ‪ ،‬ﺗﺎ ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺟﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﺮ& »ﮔﻠﻪ ﺷــﻜﺎﻳﺖ« &ﺣﻴﺎﻧﺎً ﻋﺪ‪V‬‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻮ ﻗﺎﻃﻌﺎﻧﻪ ﺑﺎ »ﺗﺮ ﻳﺴــﻢ« ﻧﺪ&ﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﻟﻰ &ﻳﻨﻜﻪ‬ ‫& &ﻣﺔ &ﻳﻦ »ﻫﻤﻜﺎ ﻫﺎ« ﺑﻪ ﻛﺠﺎ ﻣﻰﻛﺸــﺪ ﻣﻄﻠﺒﻰ &ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺎ;ﻣﻨﺪ ﮔﺬﺷﺖ ;ﻣﺎ‪ 3‬ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮ ﺗﻘﺪﻳﺮ ﺧﺮ ‪» S‬ﭼﻴــﻦ« &; ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎ ﻓﺎﻋﻰ ﭘﻨﺘﺎﮔﻮ‪3‬‬ ‫ ‪D‬ﺳــﻴﺎ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ‪ ،‬ﺣﺘﻰ &ﮔﺮ &ﻳﻦ ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﻪ ﻣﻮﻗﺖ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺗﻠﻘﻰ‬ ‫ﺷﻮ ‪ ،‬ﻣﻄﻠﺐ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﻣﻬﻤﻰ &ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮ&‪ 3‬ﺣﺎ‪E‬‬ ‫ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮ&‪ 3‬ﺗﺒﻌﺎ= ‪ & 3D‬ﻣﻮ ﺑﺮ ﺳﻰ ﻗﺮ& & ‪& .‬ﻳﻨﻜﺎ ‬ ‫;ﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ&ﻧﺪ ﺻﻮ = ﮔﻴﺮ ﻛﻪ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﻋﻤﻠﻰ ﻫﻤﻜﺎ ﻫﺎ ‬

‫&ﻳﺎﻻ= ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺤﻮ »ﺑﺎﻛﻮ ـ ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ‪ 3‬ـ ‪D‬ﻧﻜﺎ &« &; &ﺑﻬﺎ‪V‬‬ ‫ﺑﻴــﺮ ‪& 3‬ﻓﺘﺪ &ﻣــﺮ ; ﭼﻨﻴﻦ &ﻣﺮ ﻣﺤﻘﻖ ﻧﺸــﺪ‪ +‬ﺑﻨﺎﺑﺮ&ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮ&‪ 3‬ﺑﺮ& &ﻳﻦ ﺳــﺌﻮ&ﻻ= ﭘﺎﺳﺨﻰ ﻳﺎﻓﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ &ﻳﻦ ﺟﻮ ‬ ‫ﺑﺤﺮ&ﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻗﺮﻗﻴﺰﺳــﺘﺎ‪D 3‬ﻏﺎ; ﺷﺪ‪ ،+‬ﻛﻤﺎ‪ E‬ﺗﻌﺠﺐ‬ ‫ﻫﺮ ﻟﺤﻈﻪ ﺑﺮ &ﺑﻌﺎ ‪& 3D‬ﻓﺰ ‪ +‬ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ ‪ ،‬ﻧﻤﺎ &ﺳــﺖ &;‬ ‫ﻧﺎ ﺿﺎﻳﺘﻰﻫﺎ &ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻗﺒﺎ‪ E‬ﭼﻴﻦ!‬ ‫&ﻳﻨــﻚ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮ ﺳــﻰ ﻛﻮﺗﺎﻫــﻰ &; ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻣﻮ&ﺿــﻊ »ﭼﻴﻦ ـ‬ ‫‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳــﻜﺎ« ﺗﺒﻌــﺎ= ‪ 3D‬ﺻــﻮ = & ﻳﻢ ﻧﮕﺎﻫــﻰ ﺧﻮ&ﻫﻴﻢ‬ ‫ &ﺷــﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻮﻗﻌﻴﺖ ﺳﻴﻪ &ﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ‪ .‬ﺳﻴﻪ &ﻫﺪ&^‬ ‫ &;ﻣــﺪ= ﺧــﻮ & ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮ&ﻧﺪ &; ﭼﻨﺪ ﻣﻄﻠــﺐ ﺑﻪ ﻧﮕﺎ‪+‬‬ ‫ & ‪ ،‬ﺷــﺪ ﺑﻨﻴﺎ ﮔﺮ&ﺋﻰ &ﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﻣﻴﺎ‪& 3‬ﻗﻮ&‪ V‬ﺳﺎﻛﻦ‬ ‫ﺟﻤﻬﻮ ﻫﺎ ﺳﺎﺑﻘﺎً ﺷﻮ &ﺋﻰ ﺣﺘﻰ ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎﻧﺎ‪ 3‬ﻓﺪ &ﺳﻴﻮ‪3‬‬ ‫ ﺳﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ &ﺣﺘﻤﺎ‪; E‬ﻳﺎ

‪& b‬ﻳﻦ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺐ ﻗﺮ& ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪ .‬ﺷﺎﻫﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻼ‪o‬ﻫﺎ ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﺎً ﻣﺴﻴﺮ‬ ‫»ﺑﺤﺮ&‪&;3‬ﺋﻰ« ﺑﺮ ﻣﺤﻮ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎ &ﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺗﻤﺮﻛﺰ ﻳﺎﻓﺘﻪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻟﻴﻞ &ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ &ﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎ ﻋﺮ&‪،A‬‬ ‫&ﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴــﺘﺎ‪ 3‬ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً &ﻳﺮ&‪ 3‬ﺗﻮﺳﻂ &ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ &; ﻧﺰ ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ ﻧﺒﺎ‪ E‬ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ ‪ ،‬ﭼﺮ& ﻛﻪ &ﮔﺮ ﭘﻨﺘﺎﮔﻮ‪& 3‬ﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎ &‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮ ﺗﻰ ﺳــﺎ;ﻣﺎﻧﺪﻫﻰ ﺷﺪ‪ +‬ﻧﺒﺎ‪ E‬ﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻮﻓﻖ ﺑﻪ &ﻳﺠﺎ ‬ ‫ ﺣﺸﺖ ﻫﻮ‪ E‬ﻫﺮ&‪ b‬ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﻄﻠــﺐ ﻳﮕــﺮ ﻛﻪ ﺳــﻴﻪ ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨــﻮ&‪ 3‬ﻳﻜﻰ &;‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎ ﭘﺎﻳﻪ& ﺧﻮ ﭘﻴﻮﺳــﺘﻪ ﻣﻮ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻗﺮ& ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ‬ ‫ & ﻣﺤﻔــﻮ ﻧﮕﺎ‪& +‬ﺷــﺘﻦ ﺣﻴﻄﺔ »&ﻗﺘﺼــﺎ ـ &ﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ«‬ ‫&ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸــﻮ

ﻳﺎ ﺧﺰ &ﺳــﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺮ& ﺳــﻴﻪ ﺣﻀﻮ ‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺎﻣــﻰ &ﺣﺘﻤﺎﻻً &ﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ &ﻳﻦ ﻳﺎ »ﺧﻄﺮﻧﺎ‪«h‬‬ ‫ﺗﻠﻘــﻰ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ ‪ ،‬ﻣﻰﺑﻴﻨﻴﻢ ﻛــﻪ &ﺑﺮ= ﮔﻴﺘــﺲ ﻋﻤﺪ& ً‬ ‫ ﺳــﺖ ‪ |D‬ﺑﺎﻳﺠﺎ‪ 3‬ﮔﺬ&ﺷــﺖ! ﻟﻰ ﻣــﺎ ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫& &ﻣﺔ ﻫﻤﻜﺎ ﻫﺎ » ﺳﻴﻪ ـ ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ« &ﮔﺮ ﺷﺮ&ﻳﻂ &ﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ‬ ‫ ﺳﻴﻪ

ﻳﺎ ﺧﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻄﺮ ﺑﻴﺎﻓﺘﺪ ﻣﺸﻜﻞ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ&ﻧﺪ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ‬

‫ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰ ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ‪ ،‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﻃﻰ ﻧﺪ ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﻣﻮ ﭼﻴﻦ ﺑﺎﻻﺟﺒﺎ ﻧﺒﺎ‪ E‬ﻛﺮ ‪ +& ،‬ﻳﮕﺮ ‬ ‫ﺟﺰ ﮔﺸــﻮ ‪ 3‬ﻳﭽﺔ »ﺑﺤﺮ&‪&;3‬ﺋﻰ« ﺑﺮ& ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺶ ﻧﺪ&ﺷﺖ‪ ،‬ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ ﻳﻢ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎ ‬ ‫ﻣﻮ&ﻓﻖ ﺑﻪ »ﻣﺤﺎﺻﺮ‪& Z‬ﻗﺘﺼﺎ ﻣﻠﺖ &ﻳﺮ&‪ ،«3‬ﺳﻴﻪ‬ ‫&ﻳﻦ ﻳﭽﺔ »ﺑﺤﺮ&‪& & «&;3‬ﻳﺮ&‪ 3‬ﮔﺸﻮ ‪.‬‬ ‫&ﻣــﺎ ﻛﻨــﺎ &ﻳﻦ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺐ ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻄﺮ‪ L‬ﺷــﻮ ‪ .‬ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﭘﻴﺸــﺘﺮ ﻧﻴــﺰ ﮔﻔﺘﻴﻢ‪،‬‬ ‫»ﻣﻴﺮ& « ﺣﻤﺎﻳــﺖ ﻓﺮﺿﻰ &; ﻟﺖ &ﺣﻤﺪ ﻧﮋ& ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺤــﺖ ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎ= ﺳــﺎﻧﻪ& ﺑﻪ ﮔﺮ ‪ 3‬ﻟﺖ ﺳــﻴﻪ‬ ‫&ﻓﺘﺎ ‪ +‬ﺑﻮ ‪ ;& ،‬ﻣﻨﻈﺮ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮ ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺐ‬ ‫ﻣﻤﻜــﻦ &; ﻣﻴﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﻰ ﻓــﺖ‪ .‬ﻟﻰ ﻃﻰ ;ﻫﺎ &ﺧﻴﺮ‬ ‫ ﺳــﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮ&ﺣﺖ ﻧﺸــﺎ‪ & 3‬ﻛﻪ ﻧﻪ ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺎ‪& 3‬ﻳﻦ‬ ‫&ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ &ﻓﻜﺎ ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺣﺎﻣﻰ‬ ‫&ﺻﻠﻰ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ &ﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺷــﻮ ‪ ،‬ﻧﻪ ﻗﺎ &ﺳــﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﺣﺸــﺖ ﻓﺰ&ﻳﻨﺪ‪ Z‬ﺧﻮ &; ﺷــﺪ ﻳﻚ ﺑﻨﻴﺎ ﮔﺮ&ﺋﻰ‬ ‫&ﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻣﺮ;ﻫﺎﻳﺶ ﻧﻘﻄﺔ ﭘﺎﻳﺎ‪ 3‬ﺑﮕﺬ& ‪ .‬ﺧﻼﺻﻪ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﻴــﻢ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ &ﻳﻦ ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺐ &ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ &ﺳــﺘﻨﺒﺎ ﻣﺎ‬ ‫ ﺷــﺮ&ﻳﻂ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﺗﻀﺎ ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺑﻴﻦ »ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺔ«‬ ‫ﭘﺎﻳﻪ& &ﺳﺎﺳﻰ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎ ﺑﻴﻦ&ﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ ﺳﻴﻪ‬ ‫&ﻳﺠﺎ ﺷﺪ‪ ،+‬ﺷﻜﺎﻓﻰ ﻛﻪ ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺧﻮ & ﻣﻴﺎﻧﺔ ‪3D‬‬ ‫ﻗﺮ& & ‪& ،+‬ﻳﻦ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺎﺧﺖ &ﺋﻢ &;ﻣﺪ= ﺑﺮ& ‬ ‫ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺑﻪ & ﻣﻐﺎ‪ 3‬ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ ‪.

D‬‬ ‫ﻣﺤﻜــﻮ‪ V‬ﻛــﺮ ‪ 3‬ﺣﻜﻮﻣــﺖ &ﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺑــﻪ ﺻﻮ =‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺴــﺘﻤﺎﺗﻴﻚ ﻣﺠﺎﻣﻊ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﺗﺎ ﻳﺨﭽﺔ ﻳﮋ‪& Z‬ﻳﻦ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ »ﻋﺎ =«‬ ‫ﺛﺎﻧﻮﻳﻪ ﺷﺪ‪ ،+‬ﺗﺒﻌﺎﺗﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺮ& ﻣﺤﻜﻮ‪ V‬ﻛﻨﻨﺪﮔﺎ‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺮ&‪ ، & +‬ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً &ﮔﺮ &ﻳﻨﺎ‪ 3‬ﻫﻤﺴﺎﻳﺔ &ﻳﻦ ﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺷــﻤﺎ ‪D‬ﻳﻨــﺪ‪ .‬ﻟﺖﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺤــﺖ ﻣﺤﺎﺻﺮ‪Z‬‬ ‫&ﻗﺘﺼﺎ ﻗﺮ& ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪ ﻣﻌﻤﻮﻻً ﺑﻪ &ﻣﺎ‪ 3‬ﺷﺒﻜﻪﻫﺎ ‬

‫ﻗﺎﭼــﺎ‪ ،A‬ﺗﺸــﻜﻴﻼ= ;ﻳﺮ;ﻣﻴﻨــﻰ &ﺣﻴﺎﻧﺎً ﺗﺮ ﻳﺴــﻢ‬ ‫ﻓﺮ ﻣﻰ&ﻓﺘﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻟﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺧﻼ^ ﻧﺪ ﻛﻨﻮﻧﻰ ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﻣﺤﺎﺻﺮ‪Z‬‬ ‫&ﻗﺘﺼﺎ ‪ ،‬ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎً &ﮔﺮ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺔ ﻓﺮ ﭘﺎﺷﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺮ& &ﻳﻦ ﻧﻮ'‬ ‫ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖﻫﺎ

ﺳــﺖ ﺗﻬﻴﻪ ﻧﺒﺎﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﻳﻜﻰ &; ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫ ﺑﻬﺘﺮﻳﻦ &ﻫﻜﺎ ﻫﺎ ﺟﻬﺖ ﻛﻨﺘﺮ‪ E‬ﺑﻨﻴﺎ ﮔﺮ&ﺋﻰ ﻣﺴــﺌﻮ‪E‬‬ ‫ﻧﻤــﻮ ‪ 3‬ﻟﺖﻫﺎ ﺑﻨﻴﺎ ﮔﺮ& ﻗﺒــﺎ‪ E‬ﻣﻘﺎ ﻟﻪﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎ ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﻦ&ﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ &ﺳــﺖ‪& .‬ﮔــﺮ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻣﺴــﺌﻮﻟﻴﺘﻰ ﻗﻠﺐ‬ ‫ ﻟﺖﻫﺎ »ﺑﻨﻴﺎ ﮔﺮ&« &ﻳﺠﺎ ﺷــﻮ ‪ ،‬ﺳﺖ &ﻳﻦ ‪ E‬‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺧﺎ ﺟﻰ ﺣﺎﻣﻰ ‪D‬ﻧﺎ‪; 3‬ﻣﻴﻨﺔ ‪D‬ﺷﻮ‪e‬ﺳــﺎ; ‬ ‫ﭘﻮﺳــﺖ ﮔﺮ ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ &ﻓﺘﺎ ‪ .‬ﺣﺎ‪ E‬ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮ&ﺣﺖ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ&‪3‬‬ ‫»ﺗﻨﺎﻗﻀﻰ« & ﻛﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﺳــﻴﻪ &ﻳﺠﺎ ﻛﺮ ‪+‬‬ ‫ﺗﺸــﺨﻴﺺ & ‪& .‬ﻳﻦ ﻟﺖ ﺑــﺎ ﻣﺜﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢ‬ ‫&ﻗﺘﺼﺎ &ﻳﺮ&‪ ،3‬ﻫــﻢ &; ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﻟﺖ &ﺣﻤﺪ ﻧﮋ& ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎ ﺣﻘﻮﻗﻰ »ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻧﻰ« ﭘﻴﺸﮕﻴﺮ ﻛﺮ ‪ ،+‬‬ ‫ﻫﻢ ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻟﻴﺖ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺑﻴﻦ&ﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ &; ﻟﺖ ﺟﻤﻜﺮ&‪& 3‬‬ ‫&; ﺳــﺮ ﺧﻮ ﺑﺎ; ﻧﻤﻮ ‪ .+‬ﻟﻰ ﺟﺎﻟﺐ &ﻳﻨﺠﺎﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ &ﻳﻦ‬ ‫»ﺑﺮﺧﻮ « ﻓﻘﻂ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ&ﻧﺪ ﭼﺎ ﭼﻮﺑﻰ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﻗﺒﻮ‪ E‬ﺗﻠﻘﻰ‬ ‫ﺷﻮ ﻛﻪ ﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ& ﺑﺮ& »ﻓﺮ ﭘﺎﺷﺎﻧﻰ« &ﻳﺮ&‪3‬‬ ‫

ﺳــﺖ &ﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ‪» ،‬ﻃﺮﺣﻰ« ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮ&ﺣﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ ﺑﺮ& ﺳــﻴﻪ &ﻣﻜﺎﻧﭙﺬﻳﺮ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ‪& .‬ﻳﻦ ﺗﻀﺎ ‬ ‫&ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ &ﺣﺘﻤﺎ‪; E‬ﻳﺎ ﺑﺮﺧﺎﺳﺘﻪ &; ﺳﺎ; ﻛﺎ » ‪3‬‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎ « ﻟﺖ ﺳﻴﻪ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮ&ﻧﺪ ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﺷﻮ ‪.‬‬ ‫&ﻳﻨﺠﺎﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ &ﺳــﺘﻨﺒﺎ ﻣﺎ ﺟﻮ&‪ e‬ﻧﻬﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﻪ »ﻧﻘﻄﺔ‬ ‫ﻛﻮ « ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ &ﻳﺮ&‪ & 3‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻃﺮ‪L‬ﻫﺎ ‬ ‫‪D‬ﻳﻨﺪ‪ Z‬ﻟﺖ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺟﺴــﺘﺠﻮ ﻛﺮ ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛــﻪ ﻣﻰ &ﻧﻴﻢ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ &ﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎ‪ 3‬ﺑﺮﺧﻼ^‬ ‫& ﺗﺒــﺎ »ﻟﻐﺰﻧــﺪ‪ «+‬ﻧﺎﻣﻄﻤﺌﻨــﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻃــﻰ ﻫﻪﻫﺎ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ ﻟﺖﻫﺎ ﺑﺮﺧﺎﺳﺘﻪ &; ﺣﺰ‪ e‬ﻛﺎ ﮔﺮ ﺑﺮﻗﺮ& ﻧﻤﻮ ‪ ،+‬‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻤﻮ' ﺑﻪ ﻧﻘﻄﻪ ﻧﻈﺮﻫﺎ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎ &‪ 3‬ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﻧﺰ ﻳﻚ‬ ‫&ﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮ &ﺷــﺖ ﻛﻠﻰ &; ﺑﺎ;ﮔﺸﺖ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎ &‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ‬

‫ﺻﺤﻨﺔ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ &ﺧﻠﻰ ﺑﻴﻦ&ﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ ﺑﺮ &ﻳﻦ &ﺳﺘﻮ& &ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫&ﻳﻨﺎ‪ 3‬ﺑﺘﻮ&ﻧﻨﺪ ﺷﺮ&ﻳﻂ &ﻳﺠﺎ ﺷﺪ‪ +‬ﺧﺎ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ‪D‬ﺳﻴﺎ ‬ ‫ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﭼﺎ ﭼﻮ‪ e‬ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ &ﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎ‪ 3‬ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮ&= »ﻣﻄﻠﻮ‪«e‬‬ ‫ & &ﻋﻤﺎ‪ E‬ﻛﻨﻨﺪ!‬ ‫ﺣﺎ‪& E‬ﻳﻦ ﺳــﺌﻮ&‪ E‬ﻣﻄﺮ‪ L‬ﻣﻰﺷﻮ ﻛﻪ &ﻳﻦ ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮ&= ﻣﻄﻠﻮ‪e‬‬ ‫&ﺻﻮﻻً ﭼﻴﺴــﺖ؟ &; ﻣﻨﻈﺮ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ »ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ« ﺷﺪ‪+‬؛‬ ‫ﻳﺎ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ‪D‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺧﺎ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﺑﺎ &ﻳــﻦ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ&= ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺎﻫﻨــﮓ ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ‪ ،‬ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ &ﻣﺮ ‪D‬ﻳــﺎ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ &ﻣﻜﺎ‪3‬‬ ‫&ﺟﺮ&ﺋﻰ ﻛﺮ ‪& 3‬ﻳﻦ ﻃﺮ‪L‬ﻫﺎ & & ﻳﺎ ﺧﻴﺮ؟ ﺣﺎ‪ E‬ﺣﺎﺿﺮ‬ ‫&; ﻃﺮ‪L‬ﻫﺎ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﻣﺴــﺘﻨﺪ&ﺗﻰ

ﺳــﺖ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ ،‬ﻟﻰ‬ ‫&ﻳﻦ ﻃﺮ‪L‬ﻫﺎ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ ﮔﻮﻳﺎ &ﻫﻤﻴﺘﻰ ﻧﺪ& ‪ ،‬ﭼﺮ& ﻛﻪ &;‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺮ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺑﻴﻦ&ﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺘﺄﺳــﻔﺎﻧﻪ ﻟﺖ ﺳﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﻴــﺰ ﻣﻴﺎ‪D 3‬ﻧﺎ‪ 3‬ﻗﺮ& ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﭘﺎﺳــﺦ ﺑﻪ &ﻳــﻦ »ﻃﺮ‪L‬ﻫﺎ«‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺗﻮ&ﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺻــﻮ = ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎ= ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ &ﻳﺮ&‪ 3‬ﺧﻮ & ﺑﺮ ;‬ ‫ ﻫﺪ! ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻟﻴﻞ &ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻻ ﻳﻤﻴﺮ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ

ﻳﺪ& ‬ ‫&ﺧﻴــﺮ ﺧﻮ &; ﭘﺎ ﻳــﺲ‪ ،‬ﻋﻠﻴﺮﻏﻢ &ﻇﻬــﺎ &= ﻻ ^‪; ،‬ﻳﺮ‬ ‫&ﻣﻮ ﺧﺎ ﺟﺔ ﺳــﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻓﺮ&ﻧﺴﻮﻳﺎ‪&» 3‬ﻃﻤﻴﻨﺎ‪ «3‬ﻣﻰ ﻫﺪ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﺪ&ﻓﻨﺪ ﻫﻮ&ﺋﻰ »&‪ b‬ـ ‪ «300‬ﺳﻰ ﺑﻪ &ﻳﺮ&‪ & 3‬ﺳﺎ‪ E‬ﻧﺨﻮ&ﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﺷﺪ! ﻟﻰ ﻛﻤﺎ‪ E‬ﺗﻌﺠﺐ &ﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﻪ &ﻳﻦ ﻣﻌﻨﺎﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﻛــﻪ &ﮔﺮ ﮔﻴﺮ ﻧﻈﺎﻣــﻰ ﭘﻴﺶ ‪D‬ﻳﺪ‪ ،‬ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻴــﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ »ﻧﺒﺮ ﻫﺎ« & ﺑﻪ ﺣﺴــﺎ‪&» e‬ﻗﺘﺪ& « ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ &ﺳﻼﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﮕﺬ& ﻧﺪ؛ ﺳﺨﻨﺎ‪ 3‬ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ &ﻗﻊ ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﻓﺮ&ﻧﺴﻪ‬ ‫&ﺳــﺖ! ﺧﻼﺻﺔ ﻛﻼ‪ V‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎ ﺟﻨﮕﺎ &ﻧﺔ ﺳﻴﻪ ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻣﺤﺎﻓــﻞ ﻏﺮ‪ e‬ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺪ ﻳــﺞ ﭘﺎ ﻫﻤﺎ‪3‬‬ ‫ﺻﻮ ﺗﺒﻨﺪ & ﮔﺬ&ﺷــﺘﻪ ﻛﻪ ﻃﻰ ﺟﻨﮓ ‪ +; 33‬ﻟﺒﻨﺎ‪3‬‬ ‫ﺷــﺎﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ ﻳــﻢ‪ ،‬ﺟﻨﮕﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻋﻤ ً‬ ‫ﻼ & ﺗﺶ &ﺳــﺮ&ﺋﻴﻞ & ﺧﻠﻊ‬ ‫ﺳﻼ‪ L‬ﻛﺮ ‪.‬‬ ‫ﭘﺮ &ﺿﺢ &ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺎ ﺑــﻪ ﻋﻨﻮ&‪& 3‬ﻳﺮ&ﻧﻰ &ﻳــﻦ ﻧﻮ' ﺑﺮﺧﻮ ‬ ‫&ﺳﺘﺮ&ﺗﮋﻳﻚ & &; ﻃﺮ^ ﺳﻴﻪ &; ﻃﺮ^ ﻫﺮ ﻛﺸﻮ ﻳﮕﺮ ‬ ‫ﺑــﺎ ﻣﻤﻠﻜﺖ ﺧﻮ ﻣﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﺤﻜﻮ‪ V‬ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻴــﻢ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﻋﻘﻴﺪ‪ Z‬ﻣﺎ ﻫﺮ‬

‫ﻧﻮ' »ﺟﻨﮓ&ﻓﺮ ; « ﺣﺘﻰ &ﮔﺮ ﻗﺮ& ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ&=‬ ‫»ﻣﺜﺒﺖ« ﺻﺤﻨﺔ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺟﺎ ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻣﻨﺠﺮ ﺷــﻮ ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ &ﻣﺮ ﻇﻠﻤﻰ &ﺳــﺖ ﺑــﻪ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﺔ &ﻳــﺮ&‪ .3‬ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻻﺗﺮ ﮔﻔﺘﻴﻢ ﻣﺸﻜﻼ= ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻠﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻨﻴﺎ ﮔﺮ&ﺋﻰ &ﺳﻼﻣﻰ ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮ ﺑﻪ &‪& +‬ﻧﺪ&ﺧﺘﻪ‪D ،‬ﻧﺰﻣﺎ‪ 3‬ﻛﻪ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ &ﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎ ‬ ‫ﺧﺎ ﺟﻰ & &; ﺳﺖ ﺑﺪﻫﺪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻓﻘﻂ &; ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪o‬‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎ ﻫﺎ ﺣﻘﻮﻗﻰ‪ ،‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ &; ﻧﻘﺶ ﻣﻄﺒﻮﻋﺎ=‪ ،‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ‬ ‫&; ﺗﺸــﻜﻴﻞ ﺟﻬﺖﮔﻴﺮ ﻫــﺎ &ﺗﺤﺎ ﻳﻪﻫــﺎ ﻛﺎ ﮔﺮ ‪...‬‬ ‫ ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻧﺒــﺎ‪ E‬ﺷــﻮ ‪ +& ،‬ﺣﻞ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻰ &ﻧﺴــﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺮ‬ ‫&ﻳﻦ ﻣﺸــﻜﻼ= ﻫﻤﺎ‪& 3‬ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﺔ ﺗﺎ ﻳﺨﻰ ﻧﺸﺎ‪:+ & 3‬‬ ‫ﺣﻤﺎﻳــﺖ &; ﺻﻠــﺢ‪ ،‬ﻫﻤﺰﻣﺎ‪ 3‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ &; &ﻧﺴــﺎ‪3‬ﻣﺤﻮ ‬ ‫ ﻣﻜﺮ&ﺳﻰ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‪ .‬ﺧﺎ ‪& ;& S‬ﻳﻦ ﻃﺮ‪ L‬ﻫﺮ ﭘﺮ ژ‪ Z‬ﻳﮕﺮ &;‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺮ &ﻳﺮ&ﻧﻴﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﺤﻜﻮ‪ V‬ﺧﻮ&ﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ ‪ ،‬ﭼﻪ &; ﻃﺮ^ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﻣﻮ ‬ ‫ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻗﺮ& ﮔﻴﺮ ‪ ،‬ﭼﻪ &; ﺳﻮ ﻳﮕﺮ&‪.3‬‬