Energy Revolution 2012

Page 6

WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK

contents foreword

4

introduction

12

executive summary

14

1

2

climate and energy policy

19

1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4.1

the UNFCCC and the kyoto protocol international energy policy renewable energy targets policy changes in the energy sector the most effective way to implement the energy [r]evolution: feed-in laws 1.4.2 bankable renewable energy support schemes 1.5 ftsm: special feed in law proposal for developing countries 1.5.1 the feed-in tariff support mechanicsm

20 20

the energy [r]evolution concept

26

2.1 2.2 2.3 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.3.3 2.3.4 2.4

27 28 32 33 34 36 36

2.4.1 2.4.2 2.4.3 2.4.4 2.5 2.5.1 2.5.2 2.5.3 2.6 2.6.1 2.7

3

6

key principles the “3 step implementation” the new electricity grid hybrid systems smart grids the super grid baseload blocks progress case study: a year after the german nuclear phase out target and method carbon dioxide emissions trends shortfall from first round of closures the renewable energy sector in germany case study: providing smart energy to Bihar from the “bottom-up” methodology implementation lessons from the study greenpeace proposal to support a renewable energy cluster a rural feed-in tariff for bihar energy [r]evolution cluster jobs

4

21 21 23 24 24

39 39 39 39 39 42 42 44 44 45 46 46

implementing the energy [r]evolution

48

3.1 renewable energy project planning basics 3.2 renewable energy financing basics 3.2.1 overcoming barriers to finance and investment for renewable energy 3.2.2 how to overcome investment barriers for renewable energy

50 50 52 53

5

scenarios for a future energy supply

54

4.1 scenario background 4.1.1 energy efficiency study for industry, households and services 4.1.2 the future for transport 4.1.3 fossil fuel assessment report 4.1.4 status and future projections for renewable heating technologies 4.2 main scenario assumptions 4.3 population development 4.4 economic growth 4.5 oil and gas price projections 4.6 cost of CO2 emissions 4.7 cost projections for efficient fossil fuel generation and carbon capture and storage (CCS) 4.8 cost projections for renewable energy technologies 4.8.1 photovoltaics (pv) 4.8.2 concentrating solar power (csp) 4.8.3 wind power 4.8.4 biomass 4.8.5 geothermal 4.8.6 ocean energy 4.8.7 hydro power 4.8.8 summary of renewable energy cost development 4.9 cost projections for renewable heating technologies 4.9.1 solar thermal technologies 4.9.2 deep geothermal applications 4.9.3 heat pumps 4.9.3 biomass applications 4.10 assumptions for fossil fuel phase out 4.10.1 oil - production decline assumptions 4.10.2 coal - production decline assumptions 4.11 review: greenpeace scenario projections of the past 4.11.1 the development of the global wind industry 4.11.2 the development of the global solar photovoltaic industry 4.12 how does the energy [r]evolution scenario compare to other scenarios

57

key results of energy [r]evolution scenario global scenario oecd north america latin america oecd europe africa middle east eastern europe/eurasia india non oecd asia china oecd asia oceania

57 57 57 57 58 59 59 60 61 61 62 63 63 64 64 65 65 66 66 67 67 67 67 67 68 68 68 69 69 71 73

74 75 88 98 108 118 128 138 148 158 168 178


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