WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
map 8.3: coal reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario WORLDWIDE SCENARIO
5 1
25 3 34 20
39
2
10 25
8 energy resources & security of supply |
13
21
OECD NORTH AMERICA
COAL
REF
E[R]
mn t
2009
NON RENEWABLE RESOURCE
COAL LEGEND
150 >60
50-60
40-50
REF REFERENCE SCENARIO
30-40
20-30
10-20
E[R] ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION SCENARIO
5-10
0-5
% RESOURCES GLOBALLY
125
%
mn t
245,088 28.6%
REF %
E[R]
mn t
245,088 28.6%
2009
%
mn t
%
12,508 1.5%
12,508 1.5%
H
H
H
H
mn t
PJ
mn t
PJ
mn t
PJ
mn t
PJ
2009
1,701
21,335
1,701
21,335
2009
37
737
37
737
2050
1,145M 21,963
148
3,405
2050
80
1,741
38
873
t
t
2009
2.0
2.0
2050
1.6
0.2
t
t
2009
0.1
0.1
2050
0.1
0.1M
E[R]
$ PER TONNE
175
LATIN AMERICA
COST coal prices 1988 - 2009 and future predictions for the E[R] scenario. $ per tonne
100
REF
SOURCE MCCLOSKEY COAL INFORMATION SERVICE - EUROPE. PLATTS - US.
90 80
0
1000 KM
TRADE FLOWS (MILLION TONNES)
70 60 JAPAN STEAM COAL
50
RESERVES TOTAL MILLION TONNES [mn t] | SHARE IN % OF GLOBAL TOTAL [END OF 2011] CONSUMPTION PER REGION MILLION TONNES [mn t] | PETA JOULE [PJ]
40
NW EUROPE
30 US CENTRAL APPALACHIAN
20
CONSUMPTION PER PERSON TONNES [t]
10
YEARS 1988 - 2009 PAST
216
2050
2040
2030
2020
2015
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
1988
0
H HIGHEST | M MIDDLE | L LOWEST
YEARS 2009 - 2050 FUTURE