© B. KURZEN/GP
image ESKOM’S KUSILE POWER PLANT IN THE DELMAS MUNICIPAL AREA OF THE MPUMALANGA PROVINCE IS SET TO BECOME WORLDS FOURTH MOST POLLUTING POWER PLANT IN TERMS OF GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS.
© SHAYNE ROBINSON/GP
image A SOLAR COOKER BEING USED TO PREPARE POP CORN AT THE JERICHO COMMUNITY CENTER. A SOLAR POWERED PUBLIC VIEWING AREA WAS CREATED FOR THE WORLD CUP.
africa: transport
table 5.29: africa: transport energy demand by mode under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario (WITHOUT ENERGY FOR PIPELINE TRANSPORT) IN PJ/A 2020
2030
2040
2050
36 36
45 52
52 74
61 103
73 143
Rail
REF E[R]
Road
REF E[R]
Domestic aviation
REF E[R]
105 105
130 127
177 155
257 200
410 254
Domestic navigation
REF E[R]
28 28
38 38
56 52
76 68
98 79
Total
REF E[R]
3,096 3,897 4,655 5,493 6,393 3,096 3,697 3,926 3,961 3,943
3,264 4,110 4,941 5,887 6,974 3,264 3,914 4,207 4,332 4,420
figure 5.67: africa: final energy consumption for transport under the reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
••• •• •
2,000
1,000
PJ/a 0 REF 2009
E[R]
REF 2015
E[R]
REF 2020
E[R]
REF 2030
E[R]
REF 2040
E[R]
REF
‘EFFICIENCY’ HYDROGEN ELECTRICITY BIOFUELS NATURAL GAS OIL PRODUCTS
E[R]
2050
125
5
AFRICA - TRANSPORT
By 2030 electricity will provide 4% of the transport sector’s total energy demand under the Energy [R]evolution scenario. Under both scenario road transport volumes increases significantly. However, under the Energy [R]evolution scenario, the total energy demand for road transport increases from 3,100 PJ/a in 2009 to 3,940 PJ/a in 2050, compared to 6,390 PJ/a in the Reference case.
2009
key results |
In 2050, the car fleet in Africa will be significantly larger than today. Today, a large share of old cars are driven in Africa. With growing individual mobility, an increasing share of small efficient cars is projected, with vehicle kilometres driven resembling industrialised countries averages. More efficient propulsion technologies, including hybrid-electric power trains, will help to limit the growth in total transport energy demand to a factor of 1.3, reaching 4,400 PJ/a in 2050. In Africa, the fleet of electric vehicles will grow to the point where almost 20% of total transport energy is covered by electricity.