Epic research daily commodity report 2nd nov 2016

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 02 Nov 2016

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 02 Nov 2016

COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

OPEN INTEREST

GOLD

5-Dec

30000

30314

30000

30285

6969

SILVER

5-Dec

42494

43740

42494

43573

13773

CRUDEOIL

18-Nov

3140

3167

3096

3105

17681

NATURAL GAS

25-Nov

203.50

203.50

192.20

196.60

7146

COPPER

28-Feb

332.00

335.00

331.10

334.65

1119

NICKEL

30-Nov

700.20

705.50

696.00

697.20

12330

LEAD

30-Nov

138.30

138.85

136.75

138.00

4407

ZINC

30-Nov

165.65

165.65

162.90

164.65

16291

ALUMINIUM

30-noV

115.65

116.15

114.70

115.55

6650

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (01-Nov- 2016)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE ( MT )

ALUMINIUM

-2201

COPPER

-5524

LEAD

-452

NICKEL

+1850

ZINC

-624 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 02 Nov 2016

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX Gold

USD/TZ

1,277.90

+4.80

+0.38%

Dec 2016

Gold Spot

USD/t oz.

1,277.35

+0.14

+0.01%

N/A

COMEX Silver

USD/t oz.

17.91

+0.11

+0.64%

Dec 2016

COMEX Copper

USD/lb.

220.90

+0.40

+0.18%

Dec 2016

Platinum Spot

USD/t oz.

982.05

+0.16

+0.02%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES

COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

Crude Oil (WTI)

USD/bbl.

46.94

+0.08

+0.17%

Oct 2016

Crude Oil (Brent)

USD/bbl.

48.85

+0.24

+0.49%

Nov 2016

RBOB Gasoline

USD/gal.

156.93

+14.98

+10.55%

Oct 2016

NYMEX Natural Gas

USD/MMBTU

2.98

-0.04

-1.39%

Oct 2016

NYMEX Heating Oil

USDGAL.

149.55

-4.67

-3.03%

Oct 2016

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 02 Nov 2016

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

CRUDE OIL

18-11-2016

3205.00

11,24,28,195.00

35,079

NATURAL GAS

25-11-2016

208.20

63,35,317.80

30,429

ZINCMINI

30-11-2016

162.75

18,45,096.75

11,337

ZINC

30-11-2016

162.75

15,10,320.00

9,280

SILVERMICRO

30-11-2016

42472.00

24,78,66,592.00

5,836

NICKEL

30-11-2016

705.50

39,13,408.50

5,547

COPPER

30-11-2016

325.30

17,83,945.20

5,484

NICKELMINI

30-11-2016

705.40

31,20,689.60

4,424

COPPERMINI

30-11-2016

325.20

14,32,180.80

4,404

LEADMINI

30-11-2016

139.15

5,72,323.95

4,113

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 02 Nov 2016

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

RES.2

GOLD

5-Oct

29885.67

30085.33

30199.67

30399.33

30513.67

SILVER

5-Dec

42023.00

42798.00

43269.00

44044.00

44515.00

CRUDEOIL

18-Nov

3051.67

3078.33

3122.67

3149.33

3193.67

NATURAL GAS

27-Sep

186.13

191.37

197.43

202.67

208.73

COPPER

30-Nov

329.68

332.17

333.58

336.07

337.48

NICKEL

30-Sep

690.07

693.63

699.57

703.13

709.07

LEAD

30-Sep

135.77

136.88

137.87

138.98

139.97

ZINC

30-Sep

161.65

163.15

164.40

165.90

167.15

ALUMINIUM

30-Sep

114.02

114.78

115.47

116.23

116.92

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 02 Nov 2016

SPECIAL NEWS

COMMODITY BUZZ

After a year of disappointment, European businesses are hoping a victory for Hillary Clinton in the U.S. election next week may help break the logjam that has prevented large-scale Western investments in Iran since the opening of its economy.While no one in Europe is predicting a flurry of new deals should Clinton defeat her Republican rival Donald Trump on Nov. 8, a win for the Democrat would remove some of the political clouds hanging over last year's nuclear deal between Iran and world powers.Business groups say this could help fuel a more aggressive push into the Iranian market in 2017, especially in the second half of the year, if a Clinton victory is followed by the re-election of moderate Iranian President Hassan Rouhani next May.

Crude oil prices held weaker in Asia on Wednesday as industry data showed a larger than expected build in U.S. stockpiles, adding more bearish sentiment on the supply outlook.Crude oil for December delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange dropped 0.75% to $46.32 a barrel. Brent oil for January delivery on the ICE Futures Exchange in London eased 0.60% to $47.85 a barrel.The American Petroleum Institute said on Tuesday that crude oil inventories last week surged 9.3 million barrels for the second straight weekly build under its estimates and well above market expectations.Gasoline inventories dropped 3.6 million barrels last week, while distillate fell 3.1 million barrels, a fourth straight drop. Cushing recorded a build of 1.0 million barrels for the week.

Questions about the independence of the Bank of England are unlikely to be silenced by Mark Carney's announcement that he will stay at the British central bank for an extra year until June 2019.With the government aiming to start tough negotiations early next year about its exit from the European Union, the BoE is widely expected to protect the economy by keeping its near-zero interest rates and its massive bondbuying program.Carney, and possibly whoever succeeds him in 2019, are likely to face continued criticism that these policies penalize savers - one of the "bad side-effects" cited by Prime Minister Theresa May in a rare intervention on monetary policy last month.

Gold drifted higher in Asia on Wednesday ahead of a Fed policy review expected to hold pat, but also add insight into chances for a widely expected rate hike in December.Gold for December delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 0.17% to $1,290.25 a troy ounce.Also on the Comex, silver futures for December delivery fell0.14% to $18.392 a troy ounce. Copper futures rose 0.04% to 2.233 a pound.The U.S. central bank is not expected to raise interest rates, but could signal its intent to hike in December amid signs the economy is picking up steam. Traders are currently pricing in a less than 10% chance of a rate hike this week, according to Investing.com'sFed Rate Monitor Tool. For December, odds stood at 77.4%.

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COMMODITY NEWS 02 Nov 2016

COMMODITY HEADLINES

Crude oil down on rise in US crude supplies

Silver rises on firm global cues

Copper futures up on spot demand

Gold rises on US election likely outcome

Lead futures zoom 1.06% on increase in demand

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 02 Nov 2016

GOLD

BUY GOLD ABOVE 30250 TGT 30350 30650 SL 30150 SELL GOLD BELOW 29500 TGT 29400 29200 SL 29600

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 02 Nov 2016

SILVER

BUY SILVER ABOVE 43700 TGT 43900 44500 SL 43500 SELL SILVER BELOW 43000 TGT 42800 42200 SL 43200

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 02 Nov 2016

WEDNESDAY, 02 NOVEMBER 2016

Time

Cur.

Event

Forecast

Previous

03:15

NZD

Employment Change (QoQ) (Q3)

0.6%

2.4%

03:15

NZD

Unemployment Rate (Q3)

5.1%

5.1%

06:00

AUD

Building Approvals (MoM) (Sep)

-3.0%

-1.8%

07:30

NZD

Inflation Expectations (QoQ)

12:30

GBP

Nationwide HPI (MoM) (Oct)

0.2%

0.3%

12:30

GBP

Nationwide HPI (YoY) (Oct)

5.0%

5.3%

14:30

EUR

Manufacturing PMI (Oct)

53.3

53.3

15:00

GBP

Construction PMI (Oct)

51.8

52.3

17:45

USD

ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Oct)

165K

154K

20:00

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

-0.553M

20:00

USD

Cushing Crude Oil Inventories

-1.337M

23:30

USD

FOMC Statement

23:30

USD

Fed Interest Rate Decision

YOUR MINTVISORY

1.7%

0.50%

0.50%

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