CONTENTS OVERVIEW
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1 EXPLORING POTENTIAL SOURCES OF PREDICTABILITY ON ISI TIME SCALES
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Observed linkages between the Northern Annular Mode/North Atlantic Oscillation, cloud incidence, and cloud radiative forcing Ying Li, David W. J. Thompson, Yi Huang, and Minghong Zhang
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Towards filling the gap in NOAA’s seamless suite of forecast products; Prospects of “useful” predictions for weeks 3 & 4? Muthuvel Chelliah
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Mechanisms for the onset and evolution of North American Monsoon Ehsan Erfani, and David L. Mitchell
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Coupling of Bay of Bengal tropical cyclones with the Myanmar monsoon onset Boniface Opoku Fosu, and Shih-Yu Wang
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2 REALIZING PREDICTION SKILL
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Developing a more reliable and usable ENSO prediction plume Anthony G. Barnston, Michael K. Tippett, Huug van den Dool, and David A. Unger
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Sea ice in the NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis Xingren Wu, and Robert Grumbine
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Sensitivity study of the skill of the CPC week-2 reforecast tool to reforecast sampling Melissa Ou, Mike Charles, Dan Collins, and Emily Riddle
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Prediction of short rains over equatorial East Africa using multi-model ensemble T. k. Bahaga, F. Kucharski, G. Mengistu Tsidu, and Hongwei Yang
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Meteorological drought prediction using a multi-model ensemble approach Li-Chuan Chen, Kingtse Mo, Qin Zhang and Jin Huang
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Recent science advancement in seamless weather to climate modeling and prediction Jiayu Zhou, Wayne Higgins, and Mike Halpert
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National Earth System Prediction Capability Project Daniel P. Eleuterio, and Jessie C. Carman
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3 ENHANCING MONITORING AND TIMELY ATTRIBUTION AND ASSESSMENT
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Could the 2012 drought have been anticipated? – A NASA NEWS initiative S.-Y. Simon Wang, Danny Barandiaran, Kyle Hilburn, Paul Houser, Bob Oglesby, Ming Pan, Rachel Pinker, Joe Santanello, Siegfried Schubert, and Hailan Wang
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The surprisingly quiet 2013 Atlantic basin hurricane season Philip Klotzbach
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Why were some La Niñas followed by another La Niña? Zeng-Zhen Hu, Arun Kumar, Yan Xue, and Bhaskar Jha
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