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NEW ZEALAND

SkyCity fights fire, virus damage

SkyCity Entertainment, New Zealand’s only listed gaming company, has cut forecasts for the year and says the near-term outlook is gloomy, as it grapples with the aftermath of a fire in a key project and now the impact of the Coronavirus.

The operator, which has properties in both New Zealand and Australia, hit the headlines in October after a fire devastated the Auckland International Convention Centre, whose completion will now be delayed until 2022.

The company reported a more than 16 percent drop in normalized profits in the half year to December 31, which reflect the impact of the fire, but do not yet factor in the Coronavirus.

The effects of the virus on inbound travel from Asia to New Zealand and Australia are still to be fully felt, although the company acknowledges that it has already seen some damage with international business described as “weak.”

Chief Executive Graeme Stephens told an analysts’ briefing that group turnover was down about 8 percent as a result. “We had an appalling November and a weak December,” he said. Turnover in international business was down 40 percent, with visitation from China down and with major players staying away.

He expects international business to remain weak and the target for turnover for the year has been reduced from $14 billion to just $10 billion. This equates to a $15 million drop in forecast EBITDA for the full year.

Table games are “soft” but EGMs were not showing any impact. Unlike some regional operators, SkyCity has strong domestic support and the New Zealand business had been showing double-digit growth prior to the fire and outbreak.

Less than five percent of the company’s EBITDA came from China-based travellers, with 90 percent of the business revenue being generated locally. However, Stephens was careful to say that figure excluded international business which makes up ten percent of the group’s EBITDA.

In headline terms, the company’s reported profit was up nearly three-fold to $328 million ($213 million), but the reality is that on a normalised basis net profit after tax is down 16 percent to just $75 million ($49 million).

Turnover in international business was down 40 percent, with visitation from China down and with major players staying away.

The main reason for the sharper than normal disparity between reported profit and normalised profit is that SkyCity has already received insurance payouts for damage to the convention centre, the associated hotel development and for the reduced revenue from the sale of its carparks.

This is worth a total of $226 million and has been booked as revenue but so far there is no compensating payout for repairs.

SkyCity has now hired an independent expert to quantify the cost of making good the damage, which has been estimated at between $220 million and $250 million.

A note to the company’s accounts says that the SkyCity group has assumed an insurance recovery for both buildings of $220 million, and recovery is stated to be “virtually certain.” Damage to the new hotel which is part of the convention centre development is valued at another $6 million.

The fire has had a negative effect on the value of the sale of carparks by SkyCity to a subsidiary of the Macquarie bank. The bank is not able to access the carpark due to damage to the building and is losing revenue, and SkyCity has written down the value of the sale by $66.5 million. This is the first time these figures have been disclosed.

Fletcher Construction said that construction work on the damaged SkyCity convention centre would begin in mid-year, and Stephens said the company would get a re-instatement plan from Fletcher’s by the end of February.

Fletcher’s Chief executive Peter Reidy said Thursday that the damage from the fire was extremely complex to deal with and just preparing for the rebuild had taken months of work.

Auckland was due to host a large APEC leaders meeting in mid 2021, and there had been hopes that a new construction timetable would still enable that target to be met.

Stephens said that it was now expected that the deadline would be missed by at least a couple of months, and the convention centre would now be ready in 2022.

Gambling harm report slammed as flawed

The Gaming Machine Association of New Zealand says a highly respected economics advisor has labelled a report commissioned by the Ministry of Health on problem gambling as “seriously flawed” and that “no weight should be placed on conclusions.”

The report, Measuring the Burden of Gambling Harm in New Zealand, was produced for the Ministry of Health at a cost of $319,000 and is now accused of more than ten research shortcomings.

In the report, “low risk” gambling, such as buying a Lotto ticket, was claimed to be as bad for a gambler’s health as the untreated amputation of a leg, while “problem gambling” was claimed to be as bad as suffering from a severe stroke or terminal cancer.

A review of the studies’ methodology produced by TDB Advisory concludes that these outlandish comparisons were made possible by a long line of deliberate selection biases and errors.

Racing plan faces renewed opposition

Opposition to the New Zealand government’s radical changes to the racing industry has resurfaced after many months of behind the scenes discussions and negotiations.

The proposed changes include a reduction in the number of racing venues, increasing stakes and other changes to modernize the industry follow a government-commissioned review by Australian racing industry expert Joe Messara published in 2018.

Many racing clubs in smaller cities and towns reacted negatively to the prospect of up to 20 clubs being closed or their races being switched to a bigger venue, and to their land being sold to fund the industry.

Graham O’Brien from Hawera, a small town with its own club, said the changes were about sacrificing small clubs and called the changes “the biggest land grab since colonial times.”