Table P7. Youth unemployment 2007–18 (rates), downside scenario Region
Rate (%) 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013*
2014 p
2015 p
2016 p
2017 p
2018 p
World
11.6
12.0
12.9
12.9
12.7
12.9
13.1
13.2
13.3
13.4
13.5
13.5
Developed Economies and European Union
12.5
13.3
17.4
18.1
17.6
18.0
18.3
18.1
17.9
17.6
17.4
17.2
Central and South-Eastern Europe (non-EU) and CIS
17.5
16.9
20.0
19.0
17.9
17.5
18.0
18.2
18.3
18.4
18.5
18.6
East Asia South-East Asia and the Pacific South Asia
8.0
9.2
9.4
9.1
9.4
9.7
10.1
10.5
10.8
11.1
11.4
11.6
14.8
14.1
13.9
14.5
12.9
12.7
13.0
13.3
13.7
14.0
14.3
14.5
9.2
9.5
9.8
9.7
9.7
10.1
10.2
10.3
10.5
10.5
10.6
10.6
Latin America and the Caribbean
14.1
13.6
15.5
15.0
14.3
13.8
13.6
13.6
13.5
13.4
13.4
13.3
Middle East
23.9
24.1
23.7
26.2
26.0
26.6
27.2
27.9
28.4
28.6
28.8
29.0
North Africa
24.2
23.7
23.9
23.7
28.1
29.2
29.4
29.5
29.5
29.6
29.6
29.7
Sub-Saharan Africa
11.7
12.1
12.1
12.0
11.9
11.9
11.9
11.8
11.8
11.8
11.8
11.8
2012
2013*
2014 p
2015 p
2016 p
2017 p
2018 p
Region
Change from 2007 (percentage points) 2008
2009
2010
2011
World
0.4
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.9
Developed Economies and European Union
0.8
4.9
5.6
5.1
5.6
5.8
5.6
5.4
5.1
4.9
4.7
–0.6
2.6
1.5
0.4
0.0
0.5
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.3
1.0
1.3
1.7
2.1
2.4
2.8
3.1
3.4
3.6
–0.7
–0.9
–0.3
–1.9
–2.1
–1.8
–1.5
–1.1
–0.8
–0.5
–0.3
0.3
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.9
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.4
–0.6
1.4
0.9
0.2
–0.3
–0.5
–0.5
–0.7
–0.7
–0.8
–0.8
Central and South-Eastern Europe (non-EU) and CIS East Asia South-East Asia and the Pacific South Asia Latin America and the Caribbean Middle East
0.2
–0.2
2.4
2.1
2.7
3.4
4.0
4.5
4.8
5.0
5.1
North Africa
–0.5
–0.3
–0.6
3.8
5.0
5.2
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.4
5.4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Sub-Saharan Africa
Note: * 2013 are preliminary estimates; 2014–18 are projections based on the downside scenario; the upper and lower bounds of the confidence interval are available upon request. Source: ILO, Trends Econometric Models, October 2013; see also source of table A2 and Annex 5.
Annexes
109
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