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Gallup: President Obama’s Job Approval by State

Bill McInturff Partner


Gallup released President Obama’s job approval by state based on roughly 90,000 interviews between January 2, 2011 and June 30, 2011. Understanding the Map Color

Approval Rating

Electoral Votes

Blue

≥50%

215

Purple

44%-49%

161

Red

≤43%

162

No president has ever been re-elected with Gallup job approval below 47%. Having compared Gallup approval data to presidential outcome since 1956, the final vote the president receives is almost always within the margin of error of his job approval. This is why we used 44% to 49% as purple/”up-for-grab” states.


Gallup Obama Job Approval By State

Electoral Votes - 215 - 161 - 162 Data from Gallup Daily Tracking conducted 01/02/2011-06/30/2011. N = 89,965 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. States and the District of Columbia


Gallup Purple States - Iowa

49%

- Mississippi

45%

- Pennsylvania

48%

- Ohio

45%

- Georgia

48%

- Nevada

44%

- Florida

47%

- Arizona

44%

- North Carolina 46%

- Colorado

44%

- Virginia

46%

- Oregon

44%

- New Mexico

46%


Charlie Cook’s “Toss-Up/Lean” States State

Gallup Obama Job Approval

Minnesota

52%

Wisconsin

50%

Michigan

50%

Iowa*

49%

Pennsylvania*

48%

Florida*

47%

North Carolina*

46%

Virginia*

46%

Ohio*

45%

Colorado*

44%

Nevada*

44%

Missouri

42%

New Hampshire

40%

*Denotes states that are also purple/”up-for-grabs” states from Gallup data


States Bush Carried in ’04, McCain Lost in ‘08 State

Gallup Obama Job Approval Rating

Iowa*

49%

Florida*

47%

New Mexico*

46%

Virginia*

46%

North Carolina*

46%

Ohio*

45%

Colorado*

44%

Nevada*

44%

Indiana

42%

*Denotes states that are also purple/”up-for-grabs” states from Gallup data

ObamaJobApproval0826  

Partner Gallup: President Obama’s Job Approval by State

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