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Table A.9 South Asia forecast summary Annual percent change (unless otherwise indicated) Estimate

GDP at market prices (2000 US$)b GDP per capita (units in US$) PPP GDPc Private consumption Public consumption Fixed investment Exports, GNFSd Imports, GNFSd Net exports, contribution to growth Current account balance/GDP (%) GDP deflator (median, LCU) Fiscal balance/GDP (%)

Forecast

1991–2000a

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

5.0 3.2 5.6 3.8 5.1 5.8 9.4 10.2 ⫺2.4 ⫺1.6 8.1 ⫺7.6

7.8 6.1 8.0 6.7 4.6 11.5 11.5 11.3 0.4 1.4 4.5 ⫺7.8

8.0 6.3 8.1 6.3 8.4 8.2 12.9 21.9 ⫺1.1 ⫺0.8 7.6 ⫺7.2

8.1 6.4 8.2 8.2 4.4 10.9 19.0 19.6 ⫺1.3 ⫺1.4 6.3 ⫺7.1

8.2 6.7 8.3 7.8 5.3 12.6 22.3 23.6 ⫺1.7 ⫺2.2 8.1 ⫺7.1

7.5 5.9 7.5 7.0 4.2 12.1 15.5 16.9 ⫺2.2 ⫺2.5 7.4 ⫺6.7

7.0 5.6 7.1 6.3 4.2 10.3 13.8 13.3 ⫺2.2 ⫺2.5 6.5 ⫺6.1

3.9 4.5 5.4 3.4

5.1 5.3 8.6 5.0

6.1 6.3 8.5 6.4

6.9 6.2 8.5 7.8

6.5 6.7 8.7 6.6

6.6 6.2 7.7 7.0

6.4 6.5 7.2 6.5

Memo items: GDP South Asia, excluding India Bangladesh India Pakistan Source: World Bank. a. Growth rates over intervals are compound averages; growth contributions, ratios, and the GDP deflator are averages. b. GDP is measured in constant 2000 U.S. dollars. c. GDP is measured at PPP exchange rates. d. Exports and imports of goods and nonfactor services.

Table A.10 South Asia country forecasts Annual percent change (unless otherwise indicated) Estimate 1991–2000a

Forecast

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

Bangladesh GDP at market prices (2000 US$)b Current account balance/GDP (%)

4.5 ⫺0.4

5.3 0.3

6.3 ⫺0.4

6.2 ⫺0.9

6.7 0.9

6.2 0.4

6.5 ⫺0.6

India GDP at market prices (2000 US$)b Current account balance/GDP (%)

5.4 ⫺1.2

8.6 1.1

8.5 ⫺0.8

8.5 ⫺1.3

8.7 ⫺2.2

7.7 ⫺2.5

7.2 ⫺2.4

Nepal GDP at market prices (2000 US$)b Current account balance/GDP (%)

4.4 ⫺6.3

3.1 2.1

3.8 2.9

2.7 2.2

1.9 2.4

3.7 3.9

4.5 2.9

Pakistan GDP at market prices (2000 US$)b Current account balance/GDP (%)

3.4 ⫺3.7

5.0 4.3

6.4 ⫺0.8

7.8 ⫺3.1

6.6 ⫺3.9

7.0 ⫺4.4

6.5 ⫺5.3

Sri Lanka GDP at market prices (2000 US$)b Current account balance/GDP (%)

4.7 ⫺4.6

6.0 ⫺0.6

5.4 ⫺3.2

6.0 ⫺2.8

7.0 ⫺4.9

6.5 ⫺4.1

6.0 ⫺3.5

Source: World Bank. Note: Growth and current account figures presented here are World Bank projections and may differ from targets contained in other Bank documents. Afghanistan, Bhutan, and the Maldives are not forecast owing to data limitations. a. Growth rates over intervals are compound averages; growth contributions, ratios, and the GDP deflator are averages. b. GDP is measured in constant 2000 U.S. dollars.

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Global Economic Prospects 2007  

Managing the Next Wave of Globalization

Global Economic Prospects 2007  

Managing the Next Wave of Globalization

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