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A Welcome Message

5

The Numbers Oscar at the 2011 Boxoffice

7

The Race for Oscar Gold And the Winner Is Guide to 2011’s ‘Best’ Best Picture Best Actor Best Actress Best Supporting Actor Best Supporting Actress Best Director Best Cinematography Best Original Screenplay Best Adapted Screenplay Best Editing Best Foreign Film Best Animated Film Best Original Song

8 8 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 20 21 22

Our Best Guess and The Pre-Award Rundown

22 23

The 2012 Academy Award Ballot

24

Oscar Night Menus

25

Dave hard at work on Oscar Stats.

Jeff hard at work on design.

Publishers: Homemade Entertainment • Editor-in-Chief: Marcie Polier Swartz • Co Publisher & Co-Editor: Nadia Redler Research: Julie Civiello • Our “Price Waterhouse” Dave Swartz, CPA Graphic Design and Art Direction: Jeff Vernon (jeffvernon@sbcglobal.net) “Oscar Night Menus” Food Writer: Betty Goodwin • Photography: A.M.P.A.S.® Las Vegas Odds: Courtesy of John Avello, Wynn Las Vegas • Cover Illustration: Sergio Baradat (www.baradat.com) And The Winner Is... is published online and in print by Homemade Entertainment, Inc. ©2012 Homemade Entertainment, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Contact us at contact@winnerismagazine.com. All statistics and data have been compiled from readily availalbe sources including Flash, BoxOfficeMojo.com, IMDB.com and various other websites. We have made every effort to report or compile information accurately. We are not responsible for any errors or omissions. Portions of this online magazine many not be re-printed without permission. This publication is neither endorsed by nor affiliated with the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. Winner is Magazine publishes data compiled by Rentrak Theatrical, which collects studio reported data as well as box-office figures compiled from Flash, unaudited box office data not subject to audited review from North American theatre locations. Any information provided by Rentrak has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. However, Rentrak does not make any warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of this information and data. The user of this data agrees Rentrak, its officers and employees will have no liability arising from the use or disclosure of this information and data. To submit any questions to Rentrak, please email: boxofficeinfo@rentrak.com.

3.


I

ntroduction

Welcome to the re-launch issue of And The Winner Is… magazine brought to you by the founder of EDI, the company that pioneered overnight box office reporting to Hollywood and the world. We began publishing our Oscar tip sheet in 1988 on newsprint, like the Racing Form. After 24 years of Oscar research and a two year hiatus, we are back with a beautiful new look.

Our ‘little’ idea to handicap the Oscars had quite a big impact on Academy Awards reporting. We were the first to quantify how much money was at stake for Best Picture winners, and what trends actually pointed to the Oscar winners. Our analysis, sent to broadcast and print media, Hollywood insiders and Academy partygoers, has had quite an impact on awards reporting. Of the very few Oscar publications out there, we are consistently the most accurate. We never miss a beat. When looking at the race pages, if its gold it will help the win and if its gray it will hurt the chances of winning. This year, Dave Swartz, or ‘Price Waterhouse’ and CPA extraordinaire weighted each trend in each category so our predictions are also mathematically sound. Show us how smart you are. Talk to us over our blog (andthewinnerismag.wordpress. com), Facebook (https://www.facebook.com/pages/And-The-Winner-IsMagazine/174584915964703) and follow us on Twitter (twitter.com/winnerismag). Stay tuned to us all year long by reading our ultra crisp TALK TO ME movie reviews – much better than talking to a friend about whether you’d like to see a movie. We will be launching a big contest for next year’s Oscar pool and launching other ONCE A YEAR titles on topics of vital interest to us all. Our Oscar Night Menus (p.25), and party planning suggestions provide the most creative ideas for your Oscar night get-togethers. Click on the “parties’ link at our website (www.winnerismagazine.com) to download the recipes. Happy Handicapping! Marcie Polier 2012

5.

© A.M.P.A.S.


THE NUMBERS Opened Nov. 26 57.9

56.2

24.5

Total: 138.6

Opened June 26

17 Total: 17 Opened Nov. 12 44.7

53.6

42.9

Total: 141.2

Opened Nov. 9 48.9 15.4 10

Total: 74.3

Opened Oct. 6 121.7

10.0 .6

Total: 132.3

Opened Nov. 26 53.4 12

Total: 54.6

Opened Dec. 15 8.5

36.2

55.6

Total: 100.3

Opened Dec. 17 338.3

25.8

12.9

Total: 377.0

Opened Dec. 27 63.8

70.2

36.7

Total: 170.7

Opened Dec. 21 113.3

41.4

16.0

Total: 170.7

TOTAL GROSSES ARE IN LARGER TYPE. DOMESTIC B.O. IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS.

© A.M.P.A.S.

Box Office Blue or Gold? Even though theatrical box office is up worldwide, admissions and box office gross continue a slow decline in the U.S. Our Oscar Winner 10-year averages are down by about 8% over the averages from 2009 when we did our last in depth dive into Oscar’s Box Office momentum. The new 10-year average for dollars generated from the Best Picture’s release to the nominations announcement is $86.7 million, down from $104.6 two years ago. The new 10-year average for dollars generated from the nominations

announcement to the win is $32.8 million, up 13.5% from two years ago. The new 10-year average for dollars generated from after the win to the end of the run is $18.1, up 11% from two years ago. So our Average Best Picture Winner grosses a domestic total of $137.6 which is down from $149.8 two years ago. Not too bad considering all the changes facing Hollywood today, technology, piracy, recession and global trends to name the obvious few.

7.


BEST PICTURE Trends NOMINEES

DGA Winner 23/29

Most Noms 23/29

PROS

Post Aug. 30 Epic Release Quality 20/29 19/29

PGA Winner 14/21

GG Winner 13/29

Comedy Curse 0/29

Boxoffice Basement 0/29

CONS

No Director No Screenplay No Acting Nom Noms Nom 1/29 4/29 1/29

Oct. 12, 2011

MS

1

ge

Ho

m edy m o C

8m

ma

O 0N

. $21

*Subjective factor: Weinstein’s PR genius partnered with original tribute to the early days makes it the mouse that roared. Producer: Thomas Langmann Est. Budget: $15,000,000 Dec. 9, 2011

4

t S rtis A The

M NO

st ma e Arti a r D Th

m

2m

. $67

*Subjective factor: Story, Story, Story and a little bit of location! Producers: Jim Burke, Alexander Payne, Jim Taylor. Est. Budget: $20,000,000 Dec. 25, 2011

t

S tis OM he Ar N 2 T

s ist endant a t mm r m 9 a . A c r 7 s D $2 The De

om

N No

om

N No

Subjective factor: Surprise nomination, surprise win…? Producer: Scott Rudin Est. Budget: $40,000,000 August 14, 2011

ts d m S tist cendan tist ly Bir ama r r M .7m A A 9 O s r r e e 6 e a D D E Th $1 4N Th

om

N No

No

m

No

Subjective factor: The Academy will help to bring them to the podium. Producers: Michael Barnathan, Chris Columbus, Bronson Green Est. Budget: $25,000,000 Nov. 25, 2011

t MS Artis O N The 11

t nts mm rtis cenda 7 A . 2 s e $6 De Th

Subjective factor: The Academy cannot imagine this rich world without the Oscar! Producers: Graham King, Martin Scorcese Est. Budget: $170,000,000 Oscar© images copyright © A.M.P.A.S.

8.

om

N No


NOMINEES

Most Noms 23/29

DGA Winner 23/29

Post Aug.30 Release 20/29

PROS

Epic Quality 19/29

PGA Winner 14/21

GG Winner 13/29

Boxoffice Basement 0/29

Comedy Curse 0/29

CONS

No Director No Screenplay No Acting Nom Noms Nom 1/29 4/29 1/29

May 20, 2011

t st t mm medy MS Artis y Bird amedy e Artis he Arti 6 O . l e 6 N r h r T Co 4 D T Th $5 Ea

No

m

No

Subjective factor: He finally shows us yesterday is not better than today, and the Academy didn’t forget. Producers: Letty Aronson, Stephen Tenenbaum Est. Budget: $17,000,000 Dec. 9, 2011

t MS e Artis O 6N Th

a

m Dra

ts t m rtis endan A 6m . c e s 5 h e T D $7

No

m

No

Subjective factor: Oscar says, “How can you not be romantic about baseball?” Producers: Michael Deluca, Rachel Horowitz, Brad Pitt Est. Budget: $50,000,000 May 27, 2011

S st OM e Arti N 3 Th

a

m Dra

s t . rtis endant mmm m A 3 3 . e c Th Des $1$31

om Nom No

N No

Subjective factor: Oscar rewards the way of nature and the way of grace. Sarah Green, Bill Pohlad, Dede Gardner, Grant Hill Est. Budget: $32,000,000 Dec. 25, 2011

t

MS e Artis O 6N Th

t rtis dants m A n e .7 m 7 Th Desce 7 $

om

N No

m m No o No o N N

Subjective factor: Oscar loves horses...and this material. Spielberg curse still active - no acting wins in 26 films. Producers: Kathleen Kennedy, Steven Spielberg Est. Budget: $66,000,000

Last Year’s Winner: The King’s Speech This film, which was released November 28, 2010, had every positive trend. It capitalized on award season fever by grossing an additional $57 million by the awards presentation on February 27, 2011, and going strong to gross another $24 million to the end of its domestic run for a total of $138 million in box office gold.** Subjective Factor: His voice spoke volumes to the Academy and the world… and Oscar loves a British accent. *Subjective factors are always positive because when a nominee wins an Oscar, it is due to a positive reason. ** There were only 30 $100 million dollar grossing films out of the 613 films released in 2011which is another reason Oscar’s business is as important as his art… 9.


BEST ACTOR Trends Trends NOMINEES Pro/Con

PROS

Pre-Award Wins 27/29

Appears in Best Picture Nom 22/29

d

oke

rlo Ove Demian Bichir A Better Life

om

N No

nal

tio Fic

l

ona

The Descendants

ked

O Gary Oldman

m

No

rdin

al

dy ome

C

se

Cur

Subjective factor: His silence is golden.

loo ver

Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

ly On

Subjective factor: His must have been out of touch, but Oscar loves his touch!

F The Artist

8m $1.

m

N

o oN

al

F

on icti

in

D

5

Subjective factor: He mesmerized the Academy...he’s due.

in

jard

Moneyball

Subjective factor: Soulful portrayal, he batted this one out of the ballpark.

Oscar© images copyright © A.M.P.A.S. Trivia:

10.

s

ear 8Y

rd uja

Du Brad Pitt

Oldest Nom 2/29

ja Du

on icti

Jean Dujardin

m.

rdin

ja Du

Sole Nom for Film 2/29

Subjective factor: Oscar’s conscience...

ti Fic George Clooney

CONS

BO Basement 1/29

Comedy Curse 0/29

SAG Winner 13/17

True Story/ Biopic 18/29

LAST YEAR’S WINNER:

Colin Firth, A King’s Speech. Subjective Factor: His voice spoke volumes to the Academy and the world... and Oscar loves a British accent. He went on to star in Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy.


BEST ACTRESS Trends Trends NOMINEES Pro/Con

PROS

First Time Pre-Award in This Category Wins 25/29 28/29

ked

ep

loo ver

Stre

O Glenn Close Albert Nobbs

GG Winner 24/29

Box Office Basement 0/29

SAG Winner 13/17

m.

is

Dav

$1m

CONS

Sole Nom for Film 4/29

Oldest Nom 4/29

True Story/ Bio Pic 9/29

s

ear

y 64

Subjective factor: Such a sweet little man, Oscar will finally notice...

ep

Stre Viola Davis The Help

Subjective factor: She brought her mother’s generation to life...to the Academy’s delight.

Meryl Streep The Iron Lady

ked

O Rooney Mara

Dav

ep

Stre

p

Michelle Williams

is

Dav

Subjective factor: Oscar loves surprises and the triumph of spirit.

e Stre My Week with Marilyn

eB Tru

Subjective factor: This year’s tour de force. A portrayal so real...or was it memorex?

loo ver

The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

s

lue

is

Win r o i Pr

eB Tru

Subjective factor: She magnetized Oscar like she did everyone else.

LAST YEAR’S WINNER:

Oscar© images copyright © A.M.P.A.S. Trivia:

11.

s

lue

s

i Dav

Natalie Portman, Black Swan. Subjective Factor: Natalie Portman swept the Awards last year winning SAG, Golden Globes and Oscars. She went on to star in the most important role of her career...mommy.


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Trends Trends NOMINEES Pro/Con

PROS

SAG Winner 26/29

No Best Actor Nom 21/29

Film’s Sole Nom 1/29

First Time Winner 10/17

Youngest Nom 2/29

CONS

Oldest Nom 6/29

BO Basement 5/29

True Story/ Bio Pic 8/29

er

m lum

P Kenneth Branagh

My Week with Marilyn

r

Plu Moneyball

Pitt

’d

Beginners

Warrior

om ly Nlte n O No

r

Subjective factor: He pulls himself together in a warrior stance.

r

me

m Plu Max Von Sydow

Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close

m.

7m $5.

Subjective factor: This year’s sentimental favorite endearingly comes out with a masterful exhibition of talent.

me

Nick Nolte

Tru

2

Subjective factor: He’s so lovable that Oscar is likely to give him a home run.

m Plu

s

ear 3Y

8

Subjective factor: His silence speaks volumes and Oscar says, “Unspeakably excellent.”

LAST YEAR’S WINNER:

Oscar© images copyright © A.M.P.A.S. Trivia: *A dramatized story base on historical fact.

12.

es

lu eB

s ear 9Y

m No

m No r y l On umme Pl Christopher Plummer

es

Blu

Subjective factor: His nuanced performance complements a great ensemble cast.

e mm

Jonah Hill

e Tru

Christian Bale, The Fighter. Subjective factor: The weight he lost is the weight he gained with the Oscar. Went on to star in “The Flowers of War.”


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Trends Trends NOMINEES Pro/Con

First Time Nom 26/29

PROS

Film Lacks Best Actress Nom 21/29

CONS

Box Office Basement 2/29

Youngest Nom 5/29

SAG Winner 10/17

True Story/ Bio Pic 5/29

Oldest Nom 6/29

r

nce

Spe Berenice Bejo The Artist

Subjective factor: This year’s scintillating surprise.

Jessica Chastain The Help

y 31

Subjective factor: This year’s darling...Oscar is in love.

cer

m.

n Spe Janet McTeer Albert Nobbs

s

ear

er

nc Spe

m $1

Subjective factor: Gender bending tour de force. Haven’t seen a switch this good since Jaye Davidson in ‘The Crying Game.’

m’d

o is N

Dav Octavia Spencer The Help

Subjective factor: She added the perfect spice to this year’s best ensemble.

cer

n Spe Melissa McCarthy

Subjective factor: Larger than life and the Academy is laughing with her. Oscar© images copyright © A.M.P.A.S. Bridesmaids

LAST YEAR’S WINNER:

13.

Melissa Leo, The Fighter. Subjective factor: She manipulated herself right into Oscar’s arms. Was it real or was it Memorex?

s

ear

y 51


BEST DIRECTOR Trends Trends NOMINEES Pro/Con

d

oke

lo ver

O Woody Allen

Midnight in Paris

DGA Winner 26/29

Pre-Award Winner 28/29

el

h Mic

PROS

Most Nom’d Film 22/29

ms

o 4N

Epic Quality 19/29

First Time Nom 18/29

edy vious Pre om N

m Dra

CONS

No

m

No

Lacks Best Lacks Pic Nom DGA Nom 0/29 0/29

Oldest Nom 3/29

No Acting Nom 4/29

s

r Yea 6 7

Subjective factor: With fluid brush strokes, he paints a past so vivid, it makes Oscar nostalgic.

ms

o 0N

1

age

m Ho

Michel Hazanavicius Subjective factor: He reminds us all of the things that make movies great. The Artist

ked

loo ver

O Alexander Payne The Descendants

el

h Mic

4

s

m No

s ma eviou a r D Pr om N

Subjective factor: His keen sense of place makes Hawaii as real as the story.

s iou v e Pr om N

el

h Mic Martin Scorcese Hugo

Subjective factor: One pioneer to another - Oscar loves them both.

el

h Mic Terrence Malick The Tree of Life

om

N No

us vio e r P om N

ms

o 4N

om

N No

Subjective factor: Judgement day is here.

LAST YEAR’S WINNER:

Oscar© images copyright © A.M.P.A.S. Trivia:

14.

Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech Subjective Factor: He gave us a real peek behind the velvet curtain of the English royalty and turned an unlikely friendship into the perfect match.

No

m

No


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Trends NOMINEES

PROS

Epic Quality 29/29

Best Art Direction Nom 23/29

Best Picture Nom 22/29

BO Basement 2/29

Digital Enhancement 7/12*

CONS

Lacks Best Director Nom 7/29

ASC Winner 10/29

age

m Ho

Guillaume Schiffman Subjective Factor: Modern cinematic technique manages to be true to the look of bygone era. The Artist

Cr

a

ram

D ime

m

o oN

N

No

m

No

No

Jeff Cronenweth The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Subjective Factor: Masterfully captured the chill of Stieg Larsson’s vision.

Robert Richardson Hugo

Subjective Factor: Deeply nuanced vision of a bygone world.

m.

m

o oN

N

m

No

m $13

Emmanuel Lubezki The Tree of Life Subjective Factor: Stunning images from beginning of time, a vivid cinematic vision.

No Janusz Kaminski War Horse

m

No

Subjective Factor: Classic treatment of a new take on WWI, from Spielberg’s favorite.

Oscar ©© A.M.P.A.S. Trivia: Oscar©images imagescopyright copyright A.M.P.A.S. ©

LAST YEAR’S WINNER:

Wally Pfister, Inception Subjective Factor: He revealed the vastness of our subconscious.

*Since American Beauty/1999 winner, this category broke with Historical Drama (17/17 winners were historical).

15.


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Trends NOMINEES

Michel Hazanavicius The Artist

WGA Winner 26/29

PROS

Best Picture Best Director Nom Nom 24/29 25/29

Quirky Quality 24/29

Lacked Acting Noms 1/29

CONS

Epic Quality 1/29

BO Basement 2/29

1+ Credited Writer 8/29

Memorable quote: “Wink. Wink.”

No

m No

m

o oN

N

m

o oN

N

n

ritte W o

dy

e Com

C

Annie Mumolo & Kristen Wiig Memorable quote: “You’re like the maid of dishonor.” Bridesmaids

om

N No J. C. Chandor Margin Call

om

N No

Too

l

Rea

om

N No

Memorable quote: “There are three ways to make a living in this business: be first, be smarter, or cheat.”

om

N No Woody Allen

Midnight in Paris

N A Separation

edy

m Dra

Memorable quote: Gil: “If you stay here and this becomes your present, then pretty soon you’ll start imagining another time was really the golden time. That’s what the present is: It’s a little unsatisfying because life is a little unsatisfying.”

m

o oN

Asghar Farhadi

ma

Dra

m

N

o oN

Too

l

Rea

m

o oN

N

a

m Dra

m.

m $1

Memorable quote: “What is wrong is wrong, no matter who said it or where it’s written.”

Oscar ©© A.M.P.A.S. Trivia: Oscar©images imagescopyright copyright A.M.P.A.S. ©

LAST YEAR’S WINNER:

Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network Memorable quote: “They came to me with an idea, I had a better one.”

16.


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Trends NOMINEES

PROS

Quirky Quality 23/29

Best Picture Nom 27/29

Epic Quality 19/29

d

ace

tL igh

Stra Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, Jim Rash The Descendants

WGA Winner 18/29

BO Basement 2/29

CONS

Multiple Lacked Acting Credited Writers Noms 10/29 3/29

n

ritte o-W

dy

e ram

D

C

Memorable quote: “I don’t want my daughters growing up entitled and spoiled. And I agree with my father - you give your children enough money to do something but not enough to do nothing.”

om

N No John Logan Hugo

Memorable quote: “I’d imagine the whole world was one big machine. Machines never come with any extra parts, you know. They always come with the exact amount they need. So I figured, if the entire world was one big machine, I couldn’t be an extra part. I had to be here for some reason.“

No

m No

ced

La ght

i

Stra

a

m

o oN

m Dra

N

n

ritte W Co

George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau Willimon Memorable quote: “I’m not a Christian. I’m not an Atheist. I’m not Jewish. I’m not Muslim. My religion, what I believe in is called The Ides of March the Constitution of United States of America.”

n

ritte W Co

a

m Dra

Steven Zaillian, Aaron Sorkin Story by Stan Chervin Memorable quote: ”There are rich teams and there are poor teams, then there’s fifty-feet of crap, and then there’s us.” Moneyball

m

o oN

N Bridget O’Connor, Peter Straughan

Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

i

Stra

ced

La ght

i

Stra

ced

La ght

m 2m

$2

n

ritte W o

C

Memorable quote: “We are not so very different, you and I. We’ve both spent our lives looking for the weaknesses in one another.”

Oscar ©© A.M.P.A.S. Trivia: Oscar©images imagescopyright copyright A.M.P.A.S. ©

LAST YEAR’S WINNER:

17.

Debra Granik and Anne Rosellini, Winter’s Bone Memorable quote: Ree: ‘What I really can’t stand is the way I feel ashamed...for dad.”


BEST EDITING Trends NOMINEES

Best Picture Nom 24/29

PROS

Comedy Curse 2/29

ACE Winner 23/29

edy

edy

Com

m Co

CONS

Multiple Credited Editors 7/29

tors

di 2E

F i r s t Ti me Nom 12/29

t Firs

m

No

Anne-Sophie Bion and Michel Hazanavicius Personal Quote: “You find a rhythm with the facial expressions.” The Artist

a

m Dra Kevin Tent The Descendants

t Firs

Personal Quote: “I love dissolves, we used a few of them.”

tors

om

di 2E

N No Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Thelma Schoonmaker Hugo

m

No

t Firs

m

No

Personal Quote: “It’s not about the act itself, it’s about the impact it has on those characters.”

Personal Quote: “Marty injected some interesting characters into the story, and it was one of our challenges to weave them into the story.”

om

tN Firs Christopher Tellefsen Moneyball

Personal Quote: “Finding the flow to tell the outer and inner stories was the biggest challenge.”

Oscar ©© A.M.P.A.S. Trivia: Oscar©images imagescopyright copyright A.M.P.A.S. ©

LAST YEAR’S WINNER:

Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall, The Social Network

18.


BEST FOREIGN FILM Trends NOMINEES

Bullhead Belgium

Social Issues 18/29

PROS

Non Western EU Picture 16/29

Based on True Stories 1/29

edy

Com

g Lon ns o o T Mi 144

Subjective Factor: Anything to save lives...

rn

ste We Monsieur Lazhar Canada

Longest Running Time 8/29

Subjective Factor: Oh! That’s why fanatics are the way they are!

e Tru In Darkness Poland

Comedy Curse 2/29

Subjective Factor: Stunning in its originality...mesmerizing.

e Tru Footnote Israel

CONS

e Tru

Subjective Factor: Inspirational teacher with a heart of gold story.

e Tru A Separation Iran

Oscar© images copyright © A.M.P.A.S.

Subjective Factor: In the pursuit of happiness one must make difficult decisions.

* Bob and Greg Laemmle, our ‘Deep Voters’ for foreign film have never been wrong, “The front runner is clearly A SEPARATION. It has won every critic’s award and the Golden Globe as well. FOOTNOTE was a prize winner at Cannes. MONSIEUR LAZHAR will appeal to the typical foreign film voter. BULLHEAD and IN DARKNESS are both terrific movies, and we are playing them starting Friday Feb 17. As a film lover, the best news is that all five nominated films have been acquired for US distribution, and all will be opening between now and the end of April in New York and Los Angeles. So whatever happens at the Oscars, make sure to see all of these excellent films. You won’t be disappointed!”

LAST YEAR’S WINNER:

Denmark, In A Better World Subjective Factor: Whose world does not have a war today?


BEST ANIMATED FILM Trends NOMINEES

PROS

Most Noms 8/10

Summer Release 6/10

Rescue Story 8/10

PGA Winner 5/10

Sequel

CONS

Box Office Basement 1/10

1/10

Love Story 2/10

Director’s First Nom 3/10

Dec. 2, 2011

s turen n e i v t Ad f Tin o

om

N ne

O A Cat in Paris

nt

me

e Bas

t Firs

m

No

Subjective Factor: This year, the Academy loves everything French!

Dec. 2, 2011

om

N ne

O Chico and Rita

res ntutin e v Ad f Tin o

e Lovory t S

nt

e sem

Ba

e Lovory om tN s St r i F

Subjective Factor: From Havana to Hollywood with love.

May 26, 2011

s ure t n ve tin Ad f Tin o

m

o eN

On Kung Fu Panda 2

uel

om

Seq

tN Firs

Subjective Factor: Enough whiplash-inducing Kung Fu to kick the competition’s butt.

Oct. 28, 2011

m

o eN

On Puss in Boots

ff in-o

Sp

s turen n e v ti Ad f Tin o

l

que

Pre

t Firs

m

No

Subjective Factor: Purr-fect. Oscar will be in kitty heaven.

March 4, 2011

m

o eN

On Rango

s turen n e v ti Ad f Tin o

t Firs

Subjective Factor: “You see, in this world there’s two kind of people my friend: Those who have an Oscar and those who dream about it.”

LAST YEAR’S WINNER:

Up Subjective Factor: The story carried you off and won your heart.

Oscar© images copyright © A.M.P.A.S. *Last 4 winners were produced by PIXAR.

21.

m

No


BEST SONG Trends Trends NOMINEES Pro/Con

PROS

Lacked Best Picture Nom 25/29

Not Films Only Nom 24/29

GG Winner 24/29

om

N No

ly On

No Previous Noms 17/29

m

No

“Man or Muppet” from “The Muppets” Music and Subjective factor: Soulful ballad. Lyric by Bret McKenzie

om

om

N nly

N No

O

“Real in Rio” from “Rio” Music by Sergio Mendes Subjective factor: Punchy Caribbean beat. and Carlinhos Brown Lyric

LAST YEAR’S WINNER:

Randy Newman, We Belong Together, Toy Story 3 Subjective Factor: Now that was a song..what happened? Did the aging academy forget to nominate songs this year?

OUR BEST GUESS... CATEGORY

BY THE BOOK

COULD SNEAK IN “DEEP VOTE”

PUBLISHER

Best Picture

The Artist

Hugo

Hugo

Hugo

Best Actor

Brad Pitt

George Clooney

Jean Dujardin

George Clooney

Best Actress

Viola Davis

Meryl Streep

Meryl Streep

Viola Davis

Best Supporting Actor

Kenneth Branagh

Max Von Sydow

Christopher Plummer Christopher Plummer

Best Supporting Actress

Octavia Spencer

Berencie Bujold

Octavia Spencer

Octavia Spencer

Best Director

Michel Hazanavicius Martin Scorcese

Martin Scorcese

Michel Hazanavicius

Best Cinematography

Hugo

Tree of Life

Hugo

Tree of Life

Best Original Screenplay

The Artist

Midnight in Paris

Midnight in Paris

Midnight in Paris

Best Adapted Screenplay

Hugo

Moneyball

The Descendants

Moneyball

Best Editing

Hugo

Moneyball/Descendants

Hugo

Hugo

Best Foreign Film

Bullhead

A Separation

A Separation

A Separation

Best Animated Film

Rango

Panda Express

Rango

Rango

Best Song

Man or Muppet

Real in Rio

Man or Muppet

Man or Muppet

Oscar© images copyright © A.M.P.A.S.

22.


PRE-AWARDS RUNDOWN 16/29

17/29

25/29

18/29

15/29

18/29

4/5

2/29

4/29

5/29

3/29

3/29

3/29

7/10

2/29

3/29

5/29

3/29

1/29

2/29

8/10

2/29

1/29

5/29

2/29

2/29

1/29

N/A

4/29

8/29

3/29

5/29

6/29

4/29

N/A

1/14

6/14

3/14

5/14

3/14

7/14

N/A

17/29

9/17

9/17

6/19

8/19

7/14

9/10

9/16

-

-

4/5

-

-

23/29

12/17

12/17

9/19

9/19

54/62 ANNOUNCED FEB. 19, 2012 BAFTA

3/29

2/29

5/29

3/29

2/29

3/29

4/5

Oscar© images copyright © A.M.P.A.S.


ACADEMY AWARD Ballot


O

SCAR NIGHT MENUS

Who are you on Oscar night? Find your personality below and then plan your Cocktail Party, In Crowd Evening, Opinionated Evening, Oscar Bash, or Cozy Home Alone event with our suggested Oscar nominated movie-themed menus…. ALL OUR MENUS ACCOMPANIED BY THE RECIPES CAN BE FOUND AT www.winnerismagazine.com (www.winnerismagazine.com/menus.html). You love to drink with the best of them and Oscar night is the best excuse there is for a cocktail party, food be damned. This year there is only one choice… “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy’s” office party punch. Remember Control’s disapproval? “It’ll take us five hours to get drunk on this monkey’s piss!” Our punch will punch up cocktail hour and if you must have something to eat you can make our favorite tapas. Catalan toast with charcuterie, Spanish olives, ratatouille and Russian salad co-starring as the sides…what could be easier or better than that? You are a know-it-all “in-crowd” person… You wouldn’t be caught dead actually attending the Oscars, unless forced to by a nominated friend. You have to watch so you can be brilliant tomorrow, but you have to stay detached because too much enthusiasm is just sub rosa in Hollywood. You must take your menu cues from the movie with the most controlling in-theknow characters of the year, those southern belles from “The Help” who knew good food when they smelled it and knew who to hire to cook it! Roasted ham and fried chicken accompanied by coleslaw, biscuits and corn bread; sweet tea and lordy – don’t forget that chocolate pie! No one will want to leave this party. Brian Lourd, move over…our fried chicken is better than yours…

You are a yackety-yacker on Oscar night… You must have your most opinionated friends sitting on the couch next to you, commenting on every detail. Nothing escapes your eagle eyes whether it be bad plastic surgery or a bumbled line. The food must be très bon, so let two French-themed films and one French-made movie -- “Midnight in Paris,” “Hugo” and “The Artist” -- set the culinary tone. Who could experience The City of Lights and not yearn for a perfect French meal washed down with fine French wine? Micheline Hebert, head chef and owner of Brentwood’s beloved Chez Mimi (go to www.winnerismagazine.com for Chez Mimi recipes) (after 13 years on 26th Street, she is planning to open in a new location later this year), agrees completely. When she’s hosting an awards-show viewing party at home, Hebert always makes sure her guests never number more than 8 and that they can serve themselves so she can enjoy the show. Her preferred make-ahead meal in honor of a French film consists of all French classics: Salade Niçoise, Cold Poached Salmon with Dill Sauce and rich, creamy Pot de Chocolat Facile -- which translates to easy chocolate pots. Fantastique, mais oui?

You are a crowd pleaser… You are not happy unless there is a crowd around, and the bigger the better. The show is blaring from every TV in the house, and your crowd will linger all the way through to the interview shows afterwards, but the party is the real star. And what better movie to take this year’s big bash inspiration from the “The Descendants.” Hawaiian pu pu’s on a grand scale…. (cont.) 25.


You are a jammies and fuzzy slippers Oscar watcher… Only your family and closest friends are allowed in the room, and everyone has to be quiet, even during the commercials. You will be sending the kids to Grandma’s so you can put all your attention on every delicious televised or other tidbit.… You simply must take your menu inspiration from “The Iron Lady” and serve a traditional English afternoon tea. Take a cue from The Peninsula Beverly Hills, whose elegant teas are legendary east and west of the 405. Enthrall your guests with Coronation Chicken tea sandwiches. Peninsula Executive Chef James Overbaugh points out that the chicken recipe was actually created for Queen Elizabeth’s coronation in 1953. Margaret Thatcher would be so proud. Follow up with Orange Scones, another Peninsula mainstay, accompanied by Devonshire cream and raspberry preserves. Then wash it all down with a Pimm’s Cooler cocktail and turn your meal into what Overbaugh calls “ a real tribute to English tea.” Indeed!

3. OPINIONATED PARTY MENU 2012 Recipes supplied by Micheline Hebert of Chez Mimi Salade Niçoise Cold Poached Salmon with Dill Sauce Pot de Chocolat Facile 4. OSCAR BASH PARTY MENU 2012 Mai Tais PuPu Platters 5. COZY AT HOME PARTY MENU 2012 TRADITIONAL ENGLISH AFTERNOON TEA Recipes supplied by Peninsula Executive Chef James Overbaugh Pimm’s Cooler cocktail Coronation Chicken tea sandwiches Orange Scones with Devonshire cream and raspberry preserves. VISIT www.winnerismagazine.com/menus.html for all of the recipes for YOUR Oscar night party!

1. COCKTAIL PARTY MENU 2012 Cocktail Party Punch #209 Gin Martinis Charcuterie Platter Catalan Toast Platter Ratatouille Russian Salad Spanish Olives Flan Ramakins 2. IN-CROWD PARTY MENU 2012 Sweet Tea Ham Fried Chicken Coleslaw Biscuits and Corn Bread Chololate Pie

Oscar© images copyright © A.M.P.A.S.

26.



And The Winner Is...Post Oscars