Pacific Northwest Market Review - First Quarter 2017

Page 1

PACIFIC NORTHWEST VDBESTATES.COM

Q1 2017 MARKET REPORT Portland Oregon Puget Sound Southwest Washington


VDB Estates : Advantage in the Marketplace Mark von der Burg is highly regarded as one of the most qualified experts in residential real estate in the Pacific Northwest. For more than twenty-eight years, Mark has built his reputation representing Luxury Estates, Urban Homes, and Waterfront Properties. With sales over $110,000,000 in 2016, he is once again in the top 0.5% of agents nationwide, the second leading Realtor in the Northwest, and Coldwell Banker Bain’s #1 Realtor.

As the founder of VDB Estates, Mark has assembled an extremely capable team of talented professionals who work tirelessly providing exceptional client services. Skilled in their field, they constantly review, adjust, and redevelop various aspects of the business to get the best results. Specialties include Photography, Cinematography, Creative Writing, Staging, Graphic Design, Marketing, Social Media, International Business, Listing/Transaction Management, and Escrow. The team’s success is attributed to expertise, powerful resources and a well-executed, structured plan. Performing from a position of strength, VDB Estates continues to be Coldwell Banker Bain’s #1 Team year after year.

Mark von der Burg | Luxury Division Director


ABOUT COLDWELL BANKER BAIN | SEAL

Coldwell Banker Bain | Seal is the 17th-largest real estate company in the country, helping people buy and sell homes in the Pacific Northwest since 1972. With 1000+ brokers in 31 offices throughout Washington and Oregon, the company provides a full spectrum of services to buyers and sellers, with special expertise in the luxury realm. Additionally, the company has once again earned the national Coldwell Banker Chairman’s Circle designation for outstanding performance in volume for 2016, ranking as a No.1 network affiliate out of 3,000 offices in 49 countries. The

company operates as Coldwell Banker Bain in Western Washington and Coldwell Banker Seal in the Portland/Vancouver metropolitan area, also providing services in property management, commercial real estate and real estate investment, and relocation management. Coldwell Banker Bain | Seal consistently ranks among the Top 20 Real Estate Companies in the nation as cited by Real Trends and RIS Media’s Real Estate. For more information, visit: www.coldwellbankerbain.com www.coldwellbankerseal.com

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


FIRST QUARTER NUMBERS

Seattle, Wash. (April 17, 2017) – Coldwell Banker Bain, a leading Pacific Northwest real estate brokerage, releases its first quarter market report providing a variety of statistics for the sale of homes in neighborhoods and counties throughout the Puget Sound, Southwest Washington and Oregon regions as well as for the luxury & condo segments. The first-quarter report reflects activity between Jan. 1, 2017 and March 31, 2017.* Observations by principal managing brokers working in each major market are also included. Reflecting on the first-quarter numbers, Mike Grady, CB Bain President and COO, said, “It’s all about inventory. We continue to see a downturn in inventory percentages – many areas in double digits – over this same time last year, which makes it imperative that buyers be ready when an opportunity arises.” He continued, “One of our Seattle brokers is reporting success with being patient and looking

for the great homes others have missed. He reports this approach is paying off for his clients, and has not yet had one client get into a bidding war where they paid more than the asking price for the home. This shows why it’s so important to have a broker working with both buyers and sellers – to help navigate facilitating the best offer on a home for sellers, and assisting buyers to avoid overpaying if possible.” Grady added, “Affordability in King County also continues to be an issue. Our King County brokers are reporting that their buyer clients, seeking properties under $500,000, are looking outside the county. The new Kitsap County fast ferry that launches in July from Bremerton, Kingston and Port Orchard will open up a lot of affordable property and cuts the commute time to King County by half, so we expect to see increased activity in that area. Many are also looking in north Snohomish County.”

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


EASTSIDE AREA Bellevue Bothell Duvall/Carnation Kirkland Issaquah/Sammamish Mercer Island Redmond Woodinville

EASTSIDE UPDATE “Despite low inventory and poor weather, Bellevue’s real estate market performed exceptionally well in the first quarter. Our average single-family home price of $1,251,100 was up an incredible 16.3% over first quarter last year, and Bellevue’s average sold price was 3.3% above the asking price. Clyde Hill and Medina also showed strong activity: Clyde Hill’s average home price was up 7.4% to $2,265,800, with an average market time of only 21 days. Medina saw unit sales increase 62.5% in the first quarter with an average sold price of $2,428,800, up 11% over first quarter last year. With better weather lately, we’ve seen buyer traffic and offers go through

the roof. It’s a good time to be a seller, but we’re encouraging our sellers to list their homes quickly. Why? Because in the past few years late May has seen a much higher supply of homes and a concurrent seasonal slowing in buyer traffic. Plus, with mortgage rates predicted to keep rising, sellers want to be on the market before buyers lose any more buying power. Either way, we expect the second quarter to end much like the first: with home sales and prices rising and market times falling.” Thadine Bak, Principal Managing Broker of CB Bain Bellevue

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


EASTSIDE AREA Bellevue Bothell Duvall/Carnation Kirkland Issaquah/Sammamish Mercer Island Redmond Woodinville

1st Quarter 2017 Single Family & Condo Average Sold Price (Nearest $000) Total Eastside Area

$980,000

Bellevue

$1,251,000

Bothell

$618,000

Duvall | Carnation

$591,000

Kirkland

$938,000

Issaquah | Sammamish

$923,000

Mercer Island

$2,162,000

Redmond

$909,000

Woodinville

$879,000

Area Condos $479,000 Area Waterfront (SF Only)

$2,079,000

Area Luxury ($2+M | SF + Condo)

$3,144,000

$0k $0k

$500k $500k

$1000k$1500k$1500k $1000k $2000k $2000k $2500k

$2500k $3000k

$3000k $3500k

Number of Sales Closed

600 500

1422

549

Total East Side Sales Closed

400 300 200

336 240

221 73

100 0

41

55

162

60

107

87

Bellevue

Bothell

Duvall | Carnation

Kirkland

Issaquah | Sammamish

Mercer Island

Redmond

Woodinville

Area Condos Only

Area Waterfront (SF only)

Area Luxury ($2+M | SF+C)

29

30

57

27

39

56

34

35

30

108

97

42

43

159

73

167

-35.4%

-31.7%

-22.8%

-27.0%

Average Days on Market Current Inventory in Units

Total Eastside Area

662

274

99

-21.10% 1.0%

61

26

89

112

-46.5%

-31.6%

-17.6%

-24.8%

61 74.3%

13.6%

Change from 2016

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


SEATTLE AREA Ballard | Green Lake Capitol Hill Madison Park Magnolia NE Seattle Seattle Central South Lake Union | Queen Anne West Seattle

SEATTLE AREA UPDATE “Sales statistics for Seattle are literally off the charts for standing inventory as the volume of buyers exceeds the supply at record levels. When comparing net pending sales to standing inventory we have less than a months’ worth of listings in all Seattle neighborhoods. Buyers who are ready to make their bid at a moment’s notice are finding that it may take several tries to successfully win. Sellers are finding it is more important than ever to work with brokers skilled in the art of managing and negotiating multiple offers. Most sellers are selecting from

a multitude of offers on their properties. A few buyers have found themselves the only bidder on prime properties as the competition becomes fatigued and drops out of the market as the predetermined offer review date comes and goes. This anomaly may be due to sellers pushing the pricing envelope.” John Deely, Principal Managing Broker of CB Bain Lake Union

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


SEATTLE AREA Ballard | Green Lake Capitol Hill Madison Park Magnolia NE Seattle Seattle Central South Lake Union | Queen Anne West Seattle

1st Quarter 2017 Single Family & Condo Average Sold Price (Nearest $000) $865,000

Seattle Area

$782,000

Ballard | Green Lake

$1,006,000

Capitol Hill

$1,210,000

Madison Park

$996,000

Magnolia

$872,000

NE Seattle

$749,000

Seattle Central

$1,156,000

So. Lake Union | Queen Anne

$730,000

West Seattle Area Condos

$465,000 $1,578,000

Area Waterfront (SF Only) Area Luxury ($2+M | SF + Condo)

$2,803,000

$0K $0k 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0

26

$500K $500k

$1000K $1000k

$1500K $1500k

$2000K $2000k

$2500K $2500k

$3000K $3000k

Number of Sales Closed 984 351 315

Total Seattle Sales Closed

225

31

58

154

66

65 9

70

24

Ballard | Green Lake

Capitol Hill

Madison Park

Magnolia

NE Seattle

Seattle Central

S. Lake Union | Queen Anne

West Seattle

Area Condos Only

Area Waterfront (SF Only)

Area Luxury ($2+M | SF+C)

16

62

33

24

24

32

39

28

22

110

45

21

88

19

54

5.6%

38.5%

Average Days on Market Current Inventory in Units

Total Seattle Area

253

36

8

23

-18.4%

-45.5%

-46.7%

-25.8%

28

53

56

-25.4% 16.7%

28 -3.4%

3.7%

-20.7% 5.0%

Change from 2016

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


SOUTH SOUND AREA

1st Quarter 2017 Single Family & Condo

Gig Harbor | Key Peninsula North Tacoma | Lakewood | University Place Puyallup | Graham SE King County SW King County Bainbridge Island Silverdale

SOUTH SOUND AREA UPDATE “Fortunately, Pierce County enjoys much lower pricing than our neighbors to the north. More buyers are coming south from Seattle. In fact, almost 12,000 people moved into Pierce County last year. That’s more than any other county. The absence of home inventory continues to be the news headline as sellers continue to resist putting their homes on the market as they take advantage of high appreciation rates. Only 1,437 homes are available in all of Pierce County – this is a record low for March. Buyers remain active with 1,806 offers accepted. It’s an extremely competitive market with multiple offers common.” Stephanie Callen, Broker at CB Bain Puyallup

“While it is true that popular areas like North Tacoma, University Place and Lakewood have shortages of properties available, it pays to keep an eye on the big picture. In some areas, more new housing is being built this year than last year and prices are, generally, lower than in job-rich King County. For example, in Puyallup and Bonney Lake, at the end of the first quarter there were 475 homes available at median prices below $400K. In Gig Harbor, there has been a 30% increase in newly constructed homes brought to market year-to-date. Nonetheless, multiple offers are now commonplace across Pierce County. Successful buyers almost always have their brokers engaged in scouting for opportunities.” Mike Flynn, Broker at CB Bain Tacoma

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


SOUTH SOUND AREA

1st Quarter 2017 Single Family & Condo

Gig Harbor | Key Peninsula North Tacoma | Lakewood | University Place Puyallup | Graham SE King County SW King County Bainbridge Island Silverdale

Average Sold Price (Nearest $000) $387,000

South King, Pierce & Kitsap Areas

$438,000

Gig Harbor/Key Peninsula North Tacoma | University Place Lakewood

$333,000 $314,000

Puyallup | Graham

$431,000

SE King County

$406,000

SW King County

$880,000

Bainbridge Island

$358,000

SIlverdale So. King & Pierce County Condos

$234,000

So. King & Pierce County Waterfront (SF Only) So. King & Pierce County Luxury ($1+M | SF+Condo)

$640,000 $1,364,000

$0k $0k 1500 1200 900

South King | Pierce | Kitsap Area Sales Closed

590

300

52

$1000k $600k

$1500k$900k $2000k $1200k $2500k

$3000k $1500k

Number of Sales Closed

3571

600

0

$500k $300k

1238

740

705

298

684 56

68

170

60

Gig Harbor | Key Peninsula

N. Tacoma | University Place | Lakewood

Puyallup | Graham

SE King County

SW King County

Bainbridge Island

Silverdale

So. King | Pierce | Kitsap Co. Condos

So. King | Pierce | Kitsap Co. Waterfront (SF Only)

So. King | Pierce | Kitsap Co. Luxury ($1+M | SF+C)

81

51

52

47

50

83

61

49

101

130

29

216

272

193

-25.6%

-15.3%

-15.8%

Average Days on Market Current Inventory in Units

Total South King | Pierce | Kitsap Areas

1416

272

228

278

392

246

-19.8%

-9.6%

-26.9%

-14.2%

-18.3%

-29.5%

77 54.0%

0.0%

Change from 2016

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


NORTH SOUND AREA (Snohomish, Skagit, Whatcom) Anacortes Bellingham Edmonds Everett Lynnwood Marysville

1st Quarter 2017 Single Family & Condo

NORTH SOUND AREA UPDATE “Things continue to hop in Snohomish County – not just with residential customers but also investors. In the first four months of 2017, we‘ve seen more 1,031 exchange offers than we saw all of last year – an indication that real estate is a sound investment.” Diedre Haines, Principal Managing Broker of CB Bain Lynnwood and Edmonds

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


NORTH SOUND AREA (Snohomish, Skagit, Whatcom) Anacortes Bellingham Edmonds Everett Lynnwood Marysville

1st Quarter 2017 Single Family & Condo Average Sold Price (Nearest $000) $415,000

North Sound Area

$443,000

Anacortes Bellingham

$421,000 $611,000

Edmonds

$371,000

Everett Lynnwood

$468,000 $331,000

Marysville 3-County Area Condos

$270,000

3-County Area Waterfront (SF Only)

$575,000 $1,304,000

3-County Area Luxury ($1+M | SF+C)

$0k

$300k

$600k

$900k

$1200k

$1500k

Number of Sales Closed

500

1286

400 300 269

200

44

Total North Sound Sales Closed

271 174

100 0

403

349

128

95

29

21

Anacortes

Bellingham

Edmonds

Everett

Lynnwood

Marysville

3-County Area Condos

3-County Area Waterfront (SF Only)

3-County Area Luxury ($1+M | SF+C)

60

54

43

34

40

44

32

84

135

Average Days on Market Current Inventory in Units

Total North Sound Area

478

84

143

39

93

51

68

87

47

56

-34.8%

-21.5%

-45.4%

-26.4%

-27.9%

-28.2%

-38.7%

-37.4%

-41.2%

-16.4%

Change from 2016

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


PUGET SOUND AREA COUNTIES

1st Quarter 2017 Single Family & Condo

Island King Kitsap Pierce Skagit Snohomish Whatcom

WHATCOM COUNTY UPDATE “The first quarter of 2017 has demonstrated the continuation of a strong seller’s market. It seems the Seattle and Eastside trends are making their way to Bellingham and Whatcom County regarding multiple offers being commonplace – not only in Bellingham but also in the outlying communities. Since this trend continues in other markets, I expect it will here as well.

Although we have a strong local economy we do not have the same diverse employment opportunities as in King County and this is making it difficult for first-time buyers to find homes they can afford, particularly in Bellingham.” Dean Ulrich, Office Manager of CB Bain Bellingham

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


PUGET SOUND AREA COUNTIES Island King Kitsap Pierce Skagit Snohomish Whatcom

1st Quarter 2017 Single Family & Condo Average Sold Price (Nearest $000) $374,000

Island King

$689,000

Kitsap

$335,000

Pierce

$312,000

Skagit

$335,000

Snohomish

$447,000 $368,000

Whatcom

$0K

$100K

$200K

$300K

$400K

$500K

$600K

$700K

$800K

Number of Sales Closed

6000 5000 5111

4000 3000

3210

2000 1000 0

2366

961

394

449

584

Island

King

Kitsap

Pierce

Skagit

Snohomish

Whatcom

83

38

53

51

58

44

68

Average Days on Market Current Inventory in Units 284

1695

501

1400

296

772

466

-16.7%

-19.6%

-8.4%

-17.7%

-28.7%

-28.4%

-37.8%

Change from 2016

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON East Clark County North Clark County West Clark County

1st Quarter 2017 Single Family & Condo Average Sold Price East Clark County

(Nearest $000)

$349,000

North Clark County

$361,000

West Clark County

$324,000

Area Condos

$209,000

Area Luxury ($1+M | SF+C)

$1,499,000

$0K

$300K

600

$1200K

$1500K

871

400

529

200 0

$900K

Number of Sales Closed

1000 800

$600K

81

290

9

East Clark County

North Clark County

West Clark County

Area Condos

Area Luxury ($1+M | SF+C)

50

56

53

45

61

39

50

2.5%

6.4%

Average Days on Market Current Inventory in Units 516

186

299

-12.2%

-26.2%

-2.6% Change from 2016

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON COUNTIES Clark County Cowlitz County

1st Quarter 2017 Single Family & Condo Average Sold Price (Nearest $000)

Clark County

$343,000

Cowlitz County

$229,000

$0K

$50K

$100K

$150K

$200K

$250K

$300K

$350K

Number of Sales Closed

2000 1500 1000

1652

500 0

302 Clark County

Cowlitz County

52

64

Average Days on Market Current Inventory in Units 968

166

-13.6%

-14.9% Change over ďŹ rst quarter 2016

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


PORTLAND OREGON REGION

Portland, Ore. (April 17, 2017) – Coldwell Banker Seal, a leading Northwest real estate brokerage, releases its first-quarter market report providing a variety of statistics for the sale of homes in neighborhoods and counties in SW Washington and Oregon, as well as for the luxury and condo segments. This first quarter report reflects activity between Janu. 1, 2017 and March 31, 2017.*

“As the prices and inventory reflect, we have had bidding wars with as many as 10 buyers bidding on the same property. We have had homes sell in less than one hour on the open market. At some point prices will rise more than people are willing to pay, but for now if the consumer is borrowing money it is time to step up… because when mortgage rates go up that same consumer will take a step back. For now, supply is tight, but interest rates are still low.” Don Gladson, Regional Area Manager for CB Seal and Principal Managing Broker of Portland Uptown

“New listing inventory is still the big topic of discussion throughout the county… ‘where are all the new listings?’ is the cry from many brokers in Clark County. New listing inventory is down by more than 13.6% over 2016 according to the RMLS Market Action report. If a home is well-priced, clean and ready to sell, there are multiple offers on new listings even at a price of $500,000. New construction homes are being built at a breakneck pace, but will fall far short of the needed inventory to satisfy new buyers. Sellers are reluctant to place their current home on the market to sell for fear of not finding a new one to purchase.” David Knode, Principal Managing Broker of CB Seal Vancouver East


PORTLAND OREGON REGION Beaverton | Aloha Lake Oswego | West Linn Milwaukie | Happy Valley North Portland Northeast Portland Southeast Portland West Portland | Raleigh Hills

1st Quarter 2017 Single Family & Condo Average Sold Price (Nearest $000) $386,000

North Portland Northeast Portland

$429,000 $373,000

Southeast Portland West Portland | Raleigh Hills

$612,000 $679,000

Lake Oswego | West Linn Milwaukie | Gladstone | Happy Valley

$382,000

Beaverton | Aloha

$348,000

Portland Metro (Tri-County) Area Condos

$377,000

Portland Metro Area Luxury ($1+M | SF+C)

$1,570,000

$0K 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0

$500K

$1000K

$1500K

$2000K

Number of Sales Closed 727

763

688

536

498

525

282

236

150 North Portland

Northeast Portland

Southeast Portland

West Portland | Raleigh Hills

Lake Oswego | West Linn

Milwaukie | Gladstone | Happy Valley

Beaverton | Aloha

Portland Metro (Tri-County) Area Condos

Portland Metro Area Luxury ($1+M | SF+C)

37

40

37

46

62

50

34

36

79

320

182

314

319

1.6%

21.3%

31.4%

Average Days on Market Current Inventory in Units 108

235

288

410

30.1%

30.6%

10.3%

22.0%

263 -6.1%

-0.3%

Change from 2016

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


OREGON REGION COUNTIES Clackamas Multnomah Yamhill Washington

1st Quarter 2017 Single Family & Condo Average Sold Price

(Nearest $000)

Clackamas County

$446,000

Multnomah County

$441,000

$397,000

Washington County

$325,500

Yamhill County

$0K

$100K

$200K

2000

$500K

2408

1500

1768 1367

383

500 0

$400K

Number of Sales Closed

2500

1000

$300K

Clackamas County

Multnomah County

Washington County

Yamhill County

56

42

37

65

Average Days on Market Current Inventory in Units 933

1146

804

12.8%

15.7%

-9.6%

230 -15.4%

Change over ďŹ rst quarter 2016

PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017


PACIFIC NORTHWEST FIRST QUARTER MARKET REPORT - 2017

*Information and statistics derived by CB Bain from the Northwest Multiple Listing Service (NWMLS) and Regional Multiple Listing Service (RMLS) each quarter. Statistics not compiled or published by the NWMLS or RMLS.


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