Tabla 4 Modelo MCE de la primera estimación explicativa Dependent Variable: D(LOG(PIB)) Method: Least Squares Date: 05/05/16 Time: 09:50 Sample (adjusted): 1990 2013 Included observations: 24 after adjustments
19
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
-0.302215
0.104352
-2.896110
0.0100
D(LOG(K))
-0.011685
0.022212
-0.526067
0.6056
D(LOG(PEA))
2.306692
0.588306
3.920902
0.0011
D(LOG(PET))
26.63115
6.903089
3.857860
0.0013
D(LOG(POB))
-19.31438
4.620975
-4.179719
0.0006
D(LOG(GP))
-0.110080
0.063425
-1.735606
0.1007
U10(-1)
-0.836391
0.241431
-3.464299
0.0030
Donde vemos que la corrección de las discrepancias del producto respecto al capital, la PEA, PET, POB y el gasto
público corresponde a 0.83 puntos cada periodo, es decir cada año.
Tabla 5 Segundo modelo explicativo Dependent Variable: LOG(PIB) Method: Least Squares Date: 05/05/16 Time: 17:32 Sample (adjusted): 1996 2013 Included observations: 16 after adjustments Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
75.99968
10.78661
7.045741
0.0001
LOG(K)
-0.045894
0.012027
-3.815938
0.0041
LOG(PET)
-8.308260
1.385896
-5.994865
0.0002
LOG(PEA)
1.246084
0.480168
2.595099
0.0290
LOG(AE)
0.261916
0.084146
3.112643
0.0125
LOG(GP)
-0.123698
0.052430
-2.359294
0.0427
@TREND
0.198747
0.030539
6.507998
0.0001
R-squared
0.999378
Mean dependent var
17.09062
F-statistic
2410.573
Durbin-Watson stat
2.261399
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000