Florida & Metro Forecast October 2012

Page 83

Ta l l a h a s s e e

Quarterly Outlook for Tallahassee, FL October 2012 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 Personal Income (Billions $) Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

13 1.6 7 6

13.1 2.8 7.1 6

13.2 2.6 7.1 6.1

13.3 3.8 7.2 6.1

13.5 3.8 7.3 6.2

13.6 3.8 7.3 6.3

13.8 4.3 7.4 6.4

13.9 4.3 7.5 6.4

14.1 4.4 7.5 6.5

14.2 4.5 7.6 6.6

14.4 4.4 7.7 6.7

14.6 4.6 7.8 6.8

14.7 4.8 7.9 6.8

14.9 5 8 6.9

Real Personal Income (05$) Pct Chg Year Ago

11.2 0

11.3 1.3

11.3 1.5

11.4 2.5

11.5 2.7

11.5 2.4

11.7 2.8

11.7 2.7

11.8 2.7

11.9 2.8

12 2.8

12.1 3

12.2 3.2

12.3 3.3

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (05$)

34.7 29.9

34.9 30.1

35.2 30.2

35.4 30.3

35.7 30.4

35.9 30.5

36.3 30.7

36.5 30.8

36.8 30.9

37.1 31

37.5 31.2

37.8 31.3

38.1 31.5

38.4 31.6

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

42.1 1.3

42.4 2.6

42.7 2.8

43 2.8

43.3 2.8

43.6 2.8

43.9 2.7

44.2 2.7

44.5 2.8

44.8 2.8

45.1 2.8

45.5 2.9

45.8 2.9

46.1 2.9

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

165.3 -1.2

165.6 -1.3

165.9 -1.7

166.4 0.7

166.8 0.9

167.3 1

167.7 1.1

168.1 1

168.5 1

169.2 1.1

169.9 1.3

170.7 1.5

171.5 1.8

172.3 1.9

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

3.3 0.3

3.3 -0.2

3.3 1.1

3.3 1.3

3.3 1.8

3.3 2

3.4 2.6

3.4 2.1

3.4 2

3.4 1.9

3.4 1.5

3.4 1.6

3.4 1.6

3.5 1.5

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

162.1 -1.2

162.3 -1.3

162.7 -1.7

163.1 0.7

163.5 0.9

164 1

164.3 1

164.7 1

165.1 1

165.8 1.1

166.5 1.3

167.2 1.5

168.1 1.8

168.9 1.9

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

5.7 -5.5

5.7 -7.1

5.7 -6

5.7 -0.6

5.8 2

5.9 4.4

6.1 6.1

6.2 7.9

6.4 9.4

6.6 11

6.8 12.2

7 13.1

7.2 13.7

7.4 13.3

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

21.3 -5

21.3 -1.1

21.4 -2.5

21.4 1.1

21.5 1.2

21.5 1.1

21.5 0.7

21.5 0.3

21.5 0.1

21.6 0.2

21.6 0.4

21.7 0.7

21.8 1.1

21.9 1.5

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

3.3 16.3 1.6

3.3 16.4 1.6

3.3 16.4 1.6

3.3 16.5 1.6

3.3 16.5 1.7

3.3 16.6 1.7

3.3 16.5 1.7

3.3 16.5 1.7

3.4 16.5 1.7

3.4 16.5 1.7

3.4 16.5 1.7

3.4 16.5 1.7

3.4 16.5 1.7

3.5 16.6 1.7

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

3.2 1.5

3.2 -0.6

3.2 -2

3.2 1.3

3.2 0.8

3.2 0.3

3.2 0.1

3.3 0.9

3.3 1.4

3.3 1.8

3.3 2.1

3.3 1.8

3.3 2

3.4 2.5

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

7.6 1.4

7.7 1.5

7.7 0

7.7 1.5

7.8 1.5

7.8 1.6

7.8 1.3

7.8 1.3

7.8 1.1

7.8 0.6

7.8 0.2

7.8 0.1

7.8 0.1

7.8 0.1

18.8 1.1

19 0.5

19.2 1.5

19.4 4.2

19.6 4.1

19.8 4.2

19.9 3.6

20.2 3.6

20.4 4.1

20.7 4.6

21 5.4

21.4 6

21.7 6.4

22 6.3

20 0.5

20.1 0.4

20.1 -1.1

20.2 1.1

20.3 1.7

20.4 1.6

20.6 2.1

20.6 2

20.7 1.8

20.8 1.9

20.9 1.5

21 1.6

21.1 1.8

21.2 1.6

16.3 2.2

16.4 4.1

16.4 0.6

16.4 1.5

16.4 0.8

16.4 0.4

16.4 0.2

16.4 -0.5

16.3 -0.9

16.3 -1.1

16.3 -1.1

16.2 -1

16.2 -0.8

16.1 -0.8

9.1 0.3

9.1 -0.8

9.1 -1.5

9.1 0.4

9.2 1

9.2 1

9.2 0.9

9.2 1

9.3 0.9

9.2 0.5

9.2 0.3

9.3 0.2

9.3 0.1

9.3 0.3

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago

1.9 -1.6

1.9 -3.1

1.8 -4.1

1.8 -2.4

1.8 -2.9

1.8 -3.1

1.8 -3

1.8 -2.9

1.8 -2.8

1.8 -2.7

1.7 -2.5

1.7 -2.2

1.7 -1.9

1.7 -1.6

State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago

58.2 -2.3

58 -3.9

57.9 -3.1

57.9 -0.7

57.8 -0.6

57.8 -0.3

57.8 -0.2

57.8 -0.2

57.7 -0.3

57.7 -0.2

57.8 0.1

57.9 0.2

57.9 0.4

58 0.5

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

Other Economic Indicators Gross Metro Product (00$ Mil)

12496.1

12522.8

12556.6

12598.2

12629.7

12683.8

12738.2

12813.3

12886.4

12984.7

13074.5

13175.7

13277.1

13375.1

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

373.9 0.9

374.9 1

375.7 0.9

376.6 1

377.6 1

378.6 1

379.6 1

380.6 1.1

381.8 1.1

382.9 1.2

384.2 1.2

385.5 1.3

386.9 1.3

388.2 1.4

Labor Force (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

190.2 -0.9

190.5 -1

191 -1.3

191.6 0.7

192.2 1.1

192.9 1.2

193.3 1.2

193.8 1.1

194.4 1.1

194.9 1.1

195.1 0.9

195.4 0.8

195.8 0.7

195.9 0.5

Unemployment Rate (%)

7.3

7.1

6.8

6.6

6.5

6.3

6.2

6.2

6

5.9

5.9

5.8

5.8

5.7

Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

828 681 147

915 719 196

1012 755 257

1144 823 321

1302 909 393

1440 972 468

1558 1054 503

1695 1178 517

1883 1292 591

2056 1405 651

2192 1499 693

2315 1599 715

2430 1683 746

2499 1732 767

Institute for Economic Competitiveness

83


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