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Page 2  •  Hurricane Guide  •  Supplement to the Alvin Advertiser  •  June 19, 2019

Average season predicted, but there’s still a risk By David Rupkalvis Publisher While the National Weather Service is predicting an average hurricane season, Dan Reilly said local residents cannot relax. Reilly, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service, told the Alvin-Manvel Chamber of Commerce storms can form and turn dangerous in as little as 24 hours. While Texas did not get hit in 2018, Hurricane Harvey is a reminder of what can happen. Reilly said the NWS is predicting nine to 15 named storms with four to eight of those turning into hurricanes. What no one knows is where they will go. “Will Texas get hit? I wish I could say,” Reilly said. “We just don’t have the skill to predict the tracks prior to the season.” While the hurricane season has begun, peak season is still a few months away. “We have fairly low frequency in June and July and even early August,” Reilly said. “In August it begins to ramp up and we hit our peak somewhere around Sept. 10.” While the Gulf Coast has seen some big storms, the largest two date back to the early 1900s when two category 4 storms hit the coast and moved right through Brazoria County. “It’s been a long time since we’ve had a direct hit from a storm like that,” Reilly said. A category 4 storm that hits head on often creates a danger

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Dan Reilly, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service, talks about the risks associated with hurricanes. Reilly said an average hurricane season is anticipated. (Photo by David Rupkalvis)

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