CONFIDENTIAL - Please do not circulate
9/8/2010 0:01
L: Demographic trends
Total population (millions)
(%)
(%)
b
1990–1995
2005–2010
1990–1995
2005–2010
2020
Urban populationa (% of total)
Child dependency ratio
1990
2007
1990
2010
1990
4.2 17.1
4.7 20.9
5.2 23.7
0.4 0.7
0.4 0.6
0.2 0.4
0.6 0.5
72.0 85.4
77.6 89.1
29.3 32.9
28.4 28.1
3 Iceland
0.3
0.3
0.4
1.1
0.9
-0.1
1.3
90.8
92.3
38.7
29.8
4 Canada 5 Ireland
27.7 3.5
32.9 4.4
37.1 5.1
0.7 0.5
0.3 0.9
0.5 0.0
0.6 0.9
76.6 56.9
80.6 61.9
30.4 44.6
23.5 30.6
6 Netherlands
15.0
16.5
17.1
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.1
68.7
82.9
26.5
26.3
8.6
9.2
9.7
0.3
0.2
0.3
0.3
83.1
84.7
27.9
25.3
56.8 6.7 123.2
61.7 7.5 127.4 0.5
64.9 7.9 123.7 0.5
0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
0.4 0.1 -0.1 0.3
0.1 0.7 0.1 1.1
0.2 0.3 0.0 0.8
74.1 73.2 63.1 80.9
77.8 73.6 66.8 82.2
30.5 24.9 26.3 25.1
28.4 22.4 20.5 25.7
HDI rank VERY HIGH HUMAN DEVELOPMENT 1 Norway 2 Australia
7 Sweden 8 France 9 Switzerland 10 Japan 11 Luxembourg 12 Finland 13 United States 14 Austria 15 Spain
0.4
28.7
2010
5.0
5.3
5.5
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
61.4
63.9
254.9
308.7
346.2
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.3
75.3
82.3
33.0
30.3
7.7 38.8
8.3 44.1
8.5 48.6
0.1 0.1
0.0 0.2
0.6 0.2
0.4 0.8
65.8 75.4
67.6 77.4
25.8 29.8
21.8 22.0
25.0
16 Denmark
5.1
5.4
5.6
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.1
84.8
87.2
25.3
27.6
17 Belgium 18 Italy
9.9 57.0
10.5 59.3
11.0 60.4
0.1 0.0
0.2 -0.1
0.2 0.1
0.4 0.6
96.4 66.7
97.4 68.4
27.0 24.0
25.4 21.7
14.2 86.8 90.1
.. 35.1 29.1
.. 30.3 26.3
19 Liechtenstein
0.0
0.0
0.0
20 New Zealand 21 United Kingdom
3.4 57.2
4.2 60.9
4.7 65.1
.. 0.9 0.2
.. 0.7 0.2
.. 0.8 0.1
.. 0.2 0.3
16.9 84.7 88.7
22 Germany 23 Singapore
79.4 3.0
82.3 4.5
80.4 5.2
-0.1 1.3
-0.2 0.3
0.7 1.5
0.1 2.2
73.1 100.0
73.8 100.0
23.3 29.4
20.2 21.0
24 Hong Kong, China (SAR) 25 Greece
5.7 10.2
6.9 11.1
7.7 11.3
0.7 0.1
0.2 -0.1
1.0 0.9
0.3 0.3
99.5 58.8
100.0 61.4
30.7 28.7
15.3 21.1
26 Korea (Republic of) 27 Israel
43.0 4.5
48.0 6.9
49.5 8.3
1.0 1.5
0.4 1.5
-0.3 2.0
0.0 0.2
73.8 90.4
81.9 91.7
36.9 52.5
22.3 44.4
28 Andorra 29 Slovenia 30 Brunei Darussalam
0.1 1.9 0.3
0.1 2.0 0.4
0.1 2.1 0.5
.. 0.0 2.5
.. 0.0 1.7
.. 0.4 0.3
.. 0.2 0.2
94.7 50.4
88.0 48.0
.. 30.9
.. 19.8
75.7 98.4
54.9 58.9
37.5 31.3
31 Kuwait
2.1
2.9
3.7
1.9
1.6
-6.2
0.8
65.8 98.0
32 Cyprus 33 Qatar
0.7 0.5
0.9 1.1
1.0 1.7
1.0 1.8
0.4 1.0
0.4 0.6
0.6 9.4
66.8 92.2
70.3 95.8
40.8 38.9
25.2 19.2
34 Portugal 35 United Arab Emirates
10.0 1.9
10.6 4.4
10.8 5.7
0.1 2.1
0.0 1.3
0.0 3.2
0.4 1.6
47.9 79.1
60.7 78.0
30.8 43.4
22.7 24.0
36 Czech Republic 37 Barbados
10.3 0.3
10.3 0.3
10.6 0.3
0.0 0.6
0.0 0.4
0.0 -0.8
0.4 -0.1
75.2 32.7
73.5 40.8
32.4 36.4
19.9 23.5
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.7
0.1
0.3
0.2
90.4
94.7
35.5
21.7
38 Malta HIGH HUMAN DEVELOPMENT 39 Bahrain 40 41 42 43
9/8/2010
Net international migration rate
Rate of natural increase
Estonia Poland Slovakia Hungary
0.5
0.8
1.0
2.3
1.6
0.9
0.5
88.1
88.6
47.5
1.6 38.1
1.3 38.1
1.3 37.5
-0.3 0.3
-0.1 0.0
-1.4 0.0
0.0 -0.1
71.1 61.3
69.5 61.2
33.5 38.8
36.2 22.7 20.6 20.9 21.4
5.3 10.4
5.4 10.0
5.4 9.8
0.4 -0.3
0.0 -0.4
0.0 0.2
0.1 0.1
56.5 65.8
56.8 68.3
39.2 30.5
44 Chile 45 Croatia
13.2 4.5
16.6 4.4
18.6 4.3
1.6 0.0
1.0 -0.2
0.1 0.7
0.0 0.0
83.3 54.0
89.0 57.8
46.7 30.1
32.5 22.1
46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54
Lithuania Antigua and Barbuda Latvia Argentina Uruguay Cuba Bahamas Mexico Costa Rica
3.7 0.1 2.7 32.5 3.1 10.6 0.3 83.4 3.1
3.4 0.1 2.3 39.5 3.3 11.2 0.3 107.5 4.5
3.1 0.1 2.2 44.3 3.5 11.2 0.4 119.7 5.2
0.2 .. -0.3 1.3 0.8 0.8 1.8 2.2 2.1
-0.4 .. -0.4 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.1 1.4 1.3
-0.5 .. -1.0 0.1 -0.1 -0.2 0.1 -0.3 0.4
-0.6 .. -0.1 0.0 -0.3 -0.3 0.1 -0.5 0.1
67.6 35.4 69.3 87.0 89.0 73.4 79.8 71.4 50.7
67.2 30.3 68.2 92.4 92.5 75.7 84.1 77.8 64.3
33.9 .. 32.1 50.2 41.7 32.8 51.9 67.4 60.6
21.2 .. 20.1 38.6 35.4 24.6 36.8 42.7 37.1
55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Oman Seychelles Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Saudi Arabia Panama Bulgaria Saint Kitts and Nevis Romania Trinidad and Tobago Montenegro Malaysia Serbia Belarus Saint Lucia Albania Russian Federation The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia Dominica Grenada Brazil Bosnia and Herzegovina Colombia Peru Turkey
4.4 1.8 0.1 19.7 16.3 2.4 8.8 0.0 23.2 1.2 0.6 18.1 9.6 10.3 0.1 3.3 148.1 1.9 0.1 0.1 149.6 4.3 33.2 21.8 56.1
6.2 2.7 0.1 27.7 24.7 3.3 7.6 0.1 21.5 1.3 0.6 26.6 9.8 9.7 0.2 3.1 141.9 2.0 0.1 0.1 190.1 3.8 44.4 28.5 73.0
7.7 3.5 0.1 33.4 31.6 4.0 7.0 0.1 20.4 1.4 0.6 32.0 9.8 9.1 0.2 3.3 135.4 2.0 0.1 0.1 209.1 3.7 52.3 32.9 83.9
2.0 3.1 .. 2.2 2.9 2.0 -0.3 .. 0.0 1.1 0.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 1.8 1.7 -0.2 0.8 .. 1.7 1.6 0.3 2.0 2.2 1.8
1.9 1.9 .. 1.6 2.0 1.6 -0.5 .. -0.2 0.7 0.2 1.6 0.0 -0.5 1.1 0.9 -0.4 0.2 .. 1.3 1.0 -0.1 1.5 1.6 1.2
0.0 0.2 .. 0.0 -0.6 0.1 -0.8 .. -0.5 -0.4 0.5 0.3 0.9 0.0 -0.6 -2.6 0.3 -0.3 .. -0.9 0.0 -5.4 -0.1 -0.3 0.0
0.1 0.1 .. 0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.1 .. -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.5 0.0 -0.1 .. -1.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.4 0.0
75.7 66.1 49.3 84.3 76.6 53.9 66.4 34.6 53.2 8.5 48.0 49.8 50.4 66.0 29.3 36.4 73.4 57.8 67.7 32.2 74.8 39.2 68.3 68.9 59.2
77.9 71.7 55.3 94.0 82.1 74.8 71.7 32.4 54.6 13.9 59.5 72.2 52.4 74.3 28.0 48.0 72.8 67.9 74.6 31.0 86.5 48.6 75.1 71.6 69.6
79.7 81.8 .. 65.3 75.1 58.8 30.5 .. 35.7 56.8 40.2 63.5 34.6 34.8 65.4 53.0 34.3 39.4 .. 73.2 58.5 34.7 61.8 66.3 60.5
45.9 46.8 .. 45.4 49.1 45.0 19.6 .. 21.8 28.3 28.3 44.0 25.9 20.4 38.3 34.0 20.8 25.0 .. 41.9 37.7 21.4 43.8 46.7 39.0
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Human Development Report 2008