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Tamara Keilberg's MARKET UPDATE HURST, TX

· Current Real Estate Market Conditions for Single Family Homes · Trends in Pricing · Current Levels of Supply and Demand · Value Metrics

· Report for the week of May 17, 2010

· Presented by Tamara Keilberg Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate www.LuxuryHomesDFW.com - tamara@luxuryhomesdfw.com 817-485-1118

Powered by Altos Research LLC | www.altosresearch.com | Copyright © 2005-2010 Altos Research LLC


City Overview

Single Family Homes in

HURST, TX

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

This Week

Real-Time Market Profile

The median list price in HURST, TX this week is $154,900. The 167 properties have been on the market for an average of 101 days.

The Market Action Index has been basically flat recently, and days-onmarket decreasing, there are not strong signals for the direction of the market.

Trend

Median List Price

$ 154,900

Average List Price

$ 175,646

Asking Price Per Square Foot

$ 83

==

Average Days on Market (DoM)

101

≠≠

Inventory of Properties Listed

167

±+

Most Expensive Listing

$ 636,000

Least Expensive Listing

$ 48,000

Average Age of Listing

30

Percent of Properties with Price Decrease

43 %

Percent Relisted (reset DOM)

6%

Percent Flip (price increased)

3%

Median House Size (sq ft)

1949

Median Lot Size

Supply and Demand

≠≠

8,001 - 10,000 sqft

Median Number of Bedrooms

3.0

Median Number of Bathrooms

2.0

Altos Research Value Statistics

Home sales have been exceeding new inventory for several weeks. However because of excess inventory, prices have not yet stopped falling. Should the sales trend continue, expect prices to level off soon and potentially to resume their climb from there. Watch prices as the market transitions from a Buyer's market to a Seller's market.

Market Action Index

Strong Buyer's

20.1

±+

The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the buyer.

Trend Key:

±+

== Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend

No change

Characteristics per Quartile Quartile

Median Price

Sq. Ft. Lot Size

Beds

Baths

Age Inventory New

Absorbed

DOM

Top/First

$ 269,900

2746

8,001 10,000 sqft

4.0

2.5

9

41

3

4

118

Upper/Second

$ 174,975

2129

8,001 10,000 sqft

4.0

2.0

22

42

4

6

86

Upper-middle 25% of properties

Lower/Third

$ 134,950

1695

8,001 10,000 sqft

3.0

2.0

42

42

1

5

101

Lower-middle 25% of properties

Bottom/Fourth

$ 94,950

1294

8,001 10,000 sqft

3.0

2.0

50

42

2

5

100

Least expensive 25% of properties

Page 2 of 16

Monday May 17, 2010

Most expensive 25% of properties


Single Family Homes in

City Overview

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

HURST, TX

Median Price This week prices bumped up a bit but the trend of recent weeks is generally downward. The Market Action Index is a good leading indicator for the durability of this trend.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Quartile Prices Prices have generally settled at a plateau, although Quartile 1 is on a bit of an up trend in recent weeks. We'll need to see a persistent shift in the Market Action Index before we see prices across the board move from these levels.

First/Top

Page 3 of 16

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Monday May 17, 2010

Fourth/Bottom


Single Family Homes in

City Overview

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

HURST, TX

Price per Square Foot We're seeing fairly unusual market conditions as prices have been in a downward trend but price per square foot is actually increasing. (Buyers are paying less and getting less home for their money.) Anomalies like these can be attributed to microlocation variables.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been relatively steady around these levels in recent weeks.

7-day Average

Page 4 of 16

90-day Average

Monday May 17, 2010


Single Family Homes in

City Overview

HURST, TX

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

Market Action Index The HURST market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 20.05. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.

90-day Average

Buyers/Sellers Cutoff

Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly given the overall Market Action Index, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current rate of demand for homes in the quartile. Watch the quartile for changes before the overall market shifts. Often one end of the market (e.g. the low end) will improve and signal a strengthening market before the whole group

First/Top

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Fourth/Bottom

Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory.

Page 5 of 16

Monday May 17, 2010


Single Family Homes in

City Overview

HURST, TX

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 101 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 56 or so days.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.

First/Top

Page 6 of 16

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Monday May 17, 2010

Fourth/Bottom


Neighborhood Detail

Single Family Homes in

HURST, TX 76054

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

This Week

Real-Time Market Profile

The median list price in HURST, TX 76054 this week is $224,000. The 65 properties have been on the market for an average of 107 days.

Inventory is tightening and days-onmarket is falling. The Market Action Index shows demand heating up. These are relatively bullish signs for prices.

Trend

Median List Price

$ 224,000

Average List Price

$ 239,257

Asking Price Per Square Foot

$ 91

±+

Average Days on Market (DoM)

107

≠≠

Inventory of Properties Listed

65

≠≠

Most Expensive Listing

$ 636,000

Least Expensive Listing

$ 112,900

Average Age of Listing

23

Percent of Properties with Price Decrease

43 %

Percent Relisted (reset DOM)

3%

Percent Flip (price increased)

3%

Median House Size (sq ft)

2373

Median Lot Size

Supply and Demand

==

8,001 - 10,000 sqft

Median Number of Bedrooms

3.0

Median Number of Bathrooms

2.5

Altos Research Value Statistics

Home sales have been exceeding new inventory for several weeks. Since this is a Buyer's market prices are not yet moving higher as excess inventory is consumed. However, the as supply and demand trends continue, the market moves into the Seller's zone, and we are likely to see upward pressure on pricing.

Market Action Index

Strong Buyer's

19.8

==

The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the buyer.

Trend Key:

±+

== Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend

No change

Characteristics per Quartile Quartile

Median Price

Sq. Ft. Lot Size

Beds

Baths

Age Inventory New

Absorbed

DOM

Top/First

$ 355,950

3430

8,001 10,000 sqft

4.0

3.5

6

16

2

2

138

Upper/Second

$ 242,400

2474

0.25 - 0.50 acre

4.0

2.5

11

16

1

1

90

Upper-middle 25% of properties

Lower/Third

$ 199,900

2272

8,001 10,000 sqft

4.0

2.5

26

16

1

4

65

Lower-middle 25% of properties

Bottom/Fourth

$ 139,900

1710

8,001 10,000 sqft

3.0

2.0

40

17

1

2

133

Page 7 of 16

Monday May 17, 2010

Most expensive 25% of properties

Least expensive 25% of properties


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

HURST, TX 76054

Median Price The market for this zip code continues its bounce again this week. We're a long way from the market's high point so watch the Market Action Index to predict how long this trend will last.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Quartile Prices In the quartile market segments, we see the upper end of the market in this zip code showing signs of strength. While this strength hasn't percolated through to Quartiles 3 and 4 yet, expect the low end of the market to follow up, should the upperend strength continue.

First/Top

Page 8 of 16

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Monday May 17, 2010

Fourth/Bottom


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

HURST, TX 76054

Price per Square Foot In a market where prices are rising fairly consistently, price per square foot is essentially flat. This often implies that new homes coming on the market are pricier, and also larger than older homes. As a result the value one can buy stays the same.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply.

7-day Average

Page 9 of 16

90-day Average

Monday May 17, 2010


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

HURST, TX 76054

Market Action Index The HURST, 76054 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 19.77. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.

90-day Average

Buyers/Sellers Cutoff

Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.

First/Top

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Fourth/Bottom

Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory.

Page 10 of 16

Monday May 17, 2010


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

HURST, TX 76054

Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 107 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 49 or so days.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.

First/Top

Page 11 of 16

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Monday May 17, 2010

Fourth/Bottom


Neighborhood Detail

Single Family Homes in

HURST, TX 76053

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

This Week

Real-Time Market Profile

The median list price in HURST, TX 76053 this week is $125,950. The 102 properties have been on the market for an average of 97 days.

Trend

Median List Price

$ 125,950

Average List Price

$ 135,110 $ 76

±+

Average Days on Market (DoM)

97

≠≠

Inventory of Properties Listed

102

==

Asking Price Per Square Foot

Inventory is up and Market Action is trending down recently. While dayson-market appears to be trending lower, the overall conditions are weakening a bit.

Most Expensive Listing

$ 295,000

Least Expensive Listing

$ 48,000

Average Age of Listing

34

Percent of Properties with Price Decrease

43 %

Percent Relisted (reset DOM)

8%

Percent Flip (price increased)

3%

Median House Size (sq ft)

1732

Median Lot Size

Supply and Demand

≠≠

8,001 - 10,000 sqft

Median Number of Bedrooms

3.0

Median Number of Bathrooms

2.0

Altos Research Value Statistics

Home sales have been exceeding new inventory for several weeks. However because of excess inventory, prices have not yet stopped falling. Should the sales trend continue, expect prices to level off soon and potentially to resume their climb from there. Watch prices as the market transitions from a Buyer's market to a Seller's market.

Market Action Index

Strong Buyer's

19.6

≠≠

The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the buyer.

Trend Key:

±+

== Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend

No change

Characteristics per Quartile Quartile

Median Price

Sq. Ft. Lot Size

Beds

Baths

Age Inventory New

Absorbed

DOM

Top/First

$ 198,900

2487

6,501 8,000 sqft

4.0

2.0

8

25

1

1

120

Upper/Second

$ 144,900

1870

6,501 8,000 sqft

3.0

2.0

9

25

2

4

88

Upper-middle 25% of properties

Lower/Third

$ 115,750

1562

8,001 10,000 sqft

3.0

2.0

48

26

0

3

89

Lower-middle 25% of properties

Bottom/Fourth

$ 81,450

1210

8,001 10,000 sqft

3.0

2.0

52

26

2

3

91

Least expensive 25% of properties

Page 12 of 16

Monday May 17, 2010

Most expensive 25% of properties


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

HURST, TX 76053

Median Price This week prices in this zip code bumped up a bit but the trend of recent weeks is generally downward. Keep an eye on the Market Action Index for a leading indicator of the duration of this downtrend.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Quartile Prices In the quartile market segments, we see the market's recent price weakness almost across the board. Quartile 2 has been trending up recently, but unless we see a persistent up-shift in the Market Action Index, it will likely resume the trend of the rest of the market.

First/Top

Page 13 of 16

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Monday May 17, 2010

Fourth/Bottom


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

HURST, TX 76053

Price per Square Foot Despite recently falling prices, the price per square foot has stayed reasonably flat. This implies that there's a portion of the market being priced at a premium. You can investigate this condition in the quartile details.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been climbing lately. Note that rising inventory alone does not signal a weakening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is keeping up with available supply.

7-day Average

Page 14 of 16

90-day Average

Monday May 17, 2010


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

HURST, TX 76053

Market Action Index The HURST, 76053 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 19.56. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.

90-day Average

Buyers/Sellers Cutoff

Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.

First/Top

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Fourth/Bottom

Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory.

Page 15 of 16

Monday May 17, 2010


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

HURST, TX 76053

Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 97 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 63 or so days.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.

First/Top

Page 16 of 16

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Monday May 17, 2010

Fourth/Bottom


5/16/2010 Hurst Market Report