Belmont Saturday Perth Racing Preview BY JOSH RODDER Track is a Good (2) as of Friday lunchtime. Penetrometer is 6 (Perth measurements are different to those in the Eastern States, because of a different sand based track). The rail moves out to three metres. It was true last Saturday and 18m midweek, with a cutaway. There was 1ml of rain Thursday night and that was all for the week, there are more showers predicted for Friday, easing Saturday. According to track manager Gordon Menzies, the track could do with a bit of rain. FORECAST CHANCE OF A SHOWER SATURDAY. MIN 4 MAX 16
Race 1– Thankyou WA For Supporting Children Of Chernobyl Hcp [3YO+] [68-80] 2400m 2:35pm [EST] Staying race to kick off the day. Even tempo expected, with solid pressure to the first corner, then they may back off. Kurnall Road (9) to work forward from wide gate, with Hurricane Henley (7), Bodgie Business (4) and Royal Cobra (2) all able to take up handy positions. Zuytdorp (1) will starts favourite and deservedly so, but I am happy to back Manila I Scream (10) each-way. I believe this pair will fight the race out. Manila I Scream is an emerging staying mare who is lining up for her fourth run in 17 days and is thriving on the work rate. Eye-catching effort two starts back, when allowed to relax and storm home between runners late in the event. Then on WednesdayAlan Kennedy did not panic, allowed his mount to settle midfield, before storming down the outside to score. She was very strong on the line. I’m keen to back Durrant stayers on quick back-ups – the stats read well. She has 5.5kg weight pull on Zuytdorp and in my speed maps, I have her tracking Zuytdorp
everywhere he goes, with the last shot at him. Zuytdorp is flying this time in work, handling every challenge put in front of him with aplomb. Big horse who carries weight and will get a nice run. Did a good job last time when challenged strongly from all angles down the home running, but still held on well to prevail. Horse to beat. Telexden (3) has been working to the line like the 2400m is what he is looking for. Has been the best of the run-on horses last two starts and goes in multiple bet types. Storm In the North (5) has winkers added. Had his chance last start when loomed, but unable to match first three across line. Expected to get a nice run again and will be thereabouts. Is ready to win. Kurnall Road is a work in progress and look for a big lift on last run with a featherweight on her back.
suited by a fast run 1400m. Winkers go on, she gets a lovely run and is considered highly enough by the stable to be an entry for the Thousand Guineas during the Melbourne spring. I’m Here To Win led and won, after being rated a treat in front by Kennedy. She is an athletic type of filly who loves racing and will make her own luck on top of the speed. The question is how much early work she may have to do? Umaar (1) was disappointing last week. Stable gets a chance to ride him quietly here in a fast-run race and see if that can turn things around. Jury is out with this promising gelding. Hallowell Express and Guest Wing are both honest on-pace horses are looking for more ground. They will give plenty of cheek on the speed.
Back (10) Manila I Scream each-way and save on (1) Zuytdorp. (3) Telexden will be closing late, with (5) Storm In the North very competitive. Include (9) Kurnall Road, (2) Royal Cobra, (8) Kejo Kara and (6) Alister’s Hope in multiples.
Back (11) Simply Mak on a 1 x 2 unit win and place basis. Must include (9) Impressive Jeuney and (6) I’m Here To Win in major areas of your multiple bet types. (1) Umaar, (2) Hallowell Express, (3) Guest Wing, (8) Striking Guru, (4) Le Plunge also musts for wider exotics.
Race 2 – Thankyou WA For The Victorian Bushfire Appeal Handicap [58+] [3yo] 1400m 3:15pm [EST] Early scratching: Initial Outcome (7). Some emerging talent contesting an interesting race. Genuine tempo, with high pressure possible early. I’m Here To Win (6) will work forward from wide gate, Guest Wing (3) and Hallowell Express (2) will make her work. Le Plunge (4) and Simply Mak (11) take up sweet positions behind pressure. Simply Mak should have won last time when, held up at a vital stage, before finishing second to I'm Here To Win. The Blackfriars filly has been very good at her two runs back from a spell and looks ideally suited up to 1400 metres at this stage. Gets the right run and meets I’m Her To Win 1.5kg better for an unlucky 1.25 length defeat. I liked the way Impressive Jeuney (9) hit the line in the same race, and will be
Race 3 – Thankyou WA For Your Asian Tsunami Assistance Hcp [3YO+] [Fillies & Mares] [70+] 1200m, 3:55pm [EST] Nice depth to this race with various form lines clashing. This will be run at a high speed and with high pressure. Red Fish Blue Fish (1) should crosses from wide gate (10) to duel with Jaw Dropper (7). I believe Jaw Dropper will win out and hold the lead from Red Fish Blue Fish, with Fine Memories (6), Nikadonna (8) and Simply Wicked (10) handy. I like the way improving Scenic mare Simply Wicked is progressing. Simply too good for Jaw Dropper last start, when sat three wide outside a steady speed and drew away for a powerful win. There is a question mark over the formlines of this mare, but I just like the way she has been managed – and the Scenic breed don't go backwards as they mature. I have her getting a charmed run behind high
front-end pressure, then being allowed to pounce late. She is in the right hands and the trainer/jockey combo are flying! Galldora (2) was enormous last time over 1400m when three wide with no cover outside a slow speed before being left in front a touch soon. Was only nailed late by a promising mare, Ma Chienne. Drawn well with the claim for promising apprentice Damian Lane, and with the speed on she will be flying home. There is not much between many of these mares. Just Marika (3) is fit enough for her first-up essay, following solid trial efforts, and she does have some strong form lines through the last Ascot summer season. Watch betting moves closely.
metro area, including a debut victory here last year. Has great form lines through his win two starts back, defeating talented types Royal Devotion and Golden Heart.
Kalgoorlie mare Red Fish Blue Fish is shooting for four straight wins and her high cruising speed means she can make her own luck on top of the speed. Form lines through her Kalgoorlie wins read well, with three subsequent winners through her last two victories. Front-end pressure will play a big part in her winning chances. Rose Of Dante (4) is a gifted mare who was a little outsped over 1000 metres first-up. Is a second-up winner and has a touch of class.
VERDICT Back (10) Simply Wicked and save on (2) Galldora at good value. (3) Just Marika, (1) Red Fish Blue Fish (market moves vital), (4) Rose Of Dante and (5) Classofherown are next in line. Include (6) Fine Memories and (7) Jaw Dropper in wider exotics.
Race 4 – Thankyou WA For The Bali Recovery Project Handicap [74-86] [Entires & Gelding] [3YO+] 1200m, 4:35pm [EST] Looking forward to this race, but there is a big query on the tempo that will be set. There is not a lot of natural pace engaged so expect very little pressure to be applied to whichever horse leads. Shock Value (9) can lead and dominate, with Werd (10) and Proart (1) prominent. Extremely keen on Shock Value, who had a nice trial to fit him for his first-up run. Sat back off a fast-run heat, made a sharp sprint at the leader Francina under no pressure, before being given an easy time late in the trial. The overall time was faster than classy stablemate Idyllic Prince recorded. Lethal trainer/jockey combo of Taylor and Brown do their homework, and will know very well that their horse needs to be prominent early. Shock Value has shown huge sprinting ability, winning three of his five starts in the
Secret Enigma (4) is ready to fire after three runs this time. Has had a let-up since a solid fourth to Hide The Loot and he will loom large in the straight. Hide The Loot (3) is one dimensional, going back and flashing late. Loves the Belmont 1200m and watch for him late – he is racing very well. Grey Monarch (2) will not be suited by the steady tempo in front, but liked this first-up run, the way he relaxed and found the line. On his best form he could surprise.
Bet confidently (9) Shock Value! Include (4) Secret Enigma, (3) Hide The Loot, (2) Grey Monarch, (1) Proart and (10) Werd in all multiple bets.
QUADDIE FIRST LEG
Race 5 – Father Brian Celebration Trophy [3YO+] [Open] [80+] 1400m, 5:15pm [EST] Feature event of the day and it sees the return of talent-laden galloper (5) Hay List, following successive wins since a spell. There is high pressure engaged, with (1) McLurch, (2) Comic Hero and Hay List. Hay List does not have to lead – he can race outside the lead or even take a sit behind McLurch and Comic Hero. You must remember McLurch can be tardy, which may give the option for Jason Brown to cross to front early – Brown rides the Jim Taylor horses so well and has an experienced head in these situations; it also helps when you have the horse underneath you. Hay List is a shooting star that Taylor is experimenting with as he rises through to stakes grade. The blinkers game off last time, he led, was eye-balled, switched off over the concluding stages, but was still too good for promising galloper Tudor Lad. And the time was slick. He rises to 1400 metres for the first time, with Festival of Perth Racing feature races such as the Railway and Winterbottom needing to be chosen as his campaign grand final. In all five wins Hay List has smashed the clock in high-speed, high-rated races – he will take another step in his career with a dominant win. Reflective Star (3) is ready to win. He’ll get a lovely run, but will be no match for the favourite. McLurch did too much work last time and can improve if allowed to dominate from the front. Comic Hero is racing at the
peak of his powers. He’ll get a nice run again, but he cannot beat Hay List. Spitfire Ace (6), who is being aimed at the Hannan’s Handicap at Kalgoorlie during the round, returns from a let-up with blinkers off and winkers on. He does not know how to run a bad race and will be thereabouts in the chasing pack.
VERDICT (5) Hay List just wins! (3) Reflective Star is a good exacta horse. Include (1) McLurch, (2) Comic Hero and (6) Spitfire Ace in multiples.
QUADDIE SECOND LEG
Race 6 – Thankyou WA For Supporting The Homeless Handicap [68-80] [3yo+] 1200m, 5:50pm [EST] High-speed race, with high pressure to match. Game Park (2) and Kim Currency (1) can make the running, with Maxximus Dignitas (6) and Tudor Lad (3) handy. I am quite keen on Tudor Lad, after really chasing down Hay List well in defeat last start. From eight starts he has won four and finished second the other four. Trying to qualify for a Hannan’s Handicap start and from a nice draw will get all the favours. His form this time in work has been terrific around winning horses such as Strait Laced, Late Night Flight and Hay List. If he reproduces his last run, he wins! Maxximus Dignitas is another who will get the right run behind the front-end pressure. Back to near something like his best last start. Has natural talent and when right is a very accomplished sprinter. The form out of his win here at Belmont two weeks ago reads well through subsequent winners Miss Timed and Radiant Prince. Kim Currency is fool proof. Makes his own luck on speed and gives plenty at the finish. I think he can outlast Game Park on speed. Big watch on Kenbon (7) fresh, who will get back and zoom to the line first up. Has untapped ability. Loath to leave out the inform Game Park on the back-up.
VERDICT Bet with confidence on (3) Tudor Lad. (6) Maxximux Dignitas has a turn of foot to match the favourite and is the quinella horse. (1) Kim Currency and (7) Kenbon are also outside winning chances. Include (2) Game Park, (4) Decryptor, (9) Mr Nicoffski and (8) King Risca in multiples.
QUADDIE THIRD LEG
Race 7 – Thankyou WA For Our Unsung Volunteer Heroes Handicap [3YO+] [74-86] 1600m 6:30pm [EST] Very competitive race with lots of winning chances. It will be a high-speed contest with solid pressure on throughout. Interange (11) takes up his customary role as pacemaker. Amianan (5), Revy Jay (8) and All Class (9) can be handy. I like Battle Emblem (4), who put the writing on the wall last start with an eyecatching fifth behind Eagle Rock, who led, just broke 50 seconds for the first 800m and won. However Battle Emblem got a long way back (which is his pattern) and zoomed to the line in a mean sectional. Overnight rain and showers through the day will aid his chances, and with the speed on he will be sweeping home. Like how genuine he is racing this time in work. Savage Wolf (7) flashed home wide out behind Kim Star last start and he is another who will be suited by the pressure from the front. Revy Jay had blinkers removed last time, sat back in the field three wide with no cover and finished as well as Battle Emblem. Drawn to be ridden a race by Staeck and I believe this horse is in career-best form. Cohort (1) is a gifted animal crying out for 2000 metres – he has drawn well for Duncan Miller and will get the right run, but a senior rider and a rise in distance will assist next time. All Class and Found And Kept (6) last runs were OK and they will strip fitter.
VERDICT Tricky race, so play wide. Have something small on (4) Battle Emblem, (7) Savage Wolf and (8) Revy Jay for a winning result. (1) Cohort is next in line. Include (9) All Class and (6) Found And Kept in multiples, with (11) Interange and (3) Tearinupthecountry.
QUADDIE FOURTH LEG
Race 8 – Thankyou WA For Flood Damage Support In NE Qld Handicap [62-74] [3YO+] 1400m 7:07pm [EST] Another competitive race to finish the day. There will be a genuine speed set by Wire Tapper (13), with Peppi's Pride (12),
Pearler (4) and Stramos (8) handy. Pressure only fair. I really like Colour Correct (3) as a horse. He will make it through to stakes grade this season without a doubt. He has been massive at his two runs back from a spell. He has been taken along slowly by astute horseman Ross Price – only seven starts for two wins and five placings for the exciting five-year-old. His last win at the midweeks was phenomenal. He was tardy to begin, got back the rails before being extricated to the outside, wide on turning and unleashed with a quality turn of foot. That was against a slow tempo, so to reel off a 33.14 600m final sectional was sensational. Gets back again but with champion jockey Paul Harvey on board, I am confident of success. Top Gun (10) was another who was impressive at the midweeks. Sat three wide with cover before unleashing a powerful late burst to score. Tried as a middle -istance horse in three-year-old year, but does look like he will eventually make a quality sprinter-miler. He will look the winner at some stage and is worth following during his preparation. 7YO Stramos has been very good at his two runs back and toughed it out well after racing three wide without cover last time. Drawn to box seat and is very honest. Pearler has drawn awkwardly, but is racing well and is extremely honest. He will be thereabouts again.
VERDICT Bet confidently on (3) Colour Correct. (10) Top Gun is the hardest to beat. (8) Stramos gets a nice run and will be competitive. (4) Pearler needs to overcome a wide gate. Include (13) Wire Tapper, the leader, and (6) Bundy Jack, (7) Dante Zonte, (1) Hermosa Corona, (9) Undertake A Dane, (11) Destroid and (2) Ten Aces in multiples.
BEST BETS Race 4 – No. 9 Race 5 – No. 5 Race 6 – No. 3 Race 8 – No. 3
VALUE BETS Race 1 –No. 10 e/w Race 7 – No. 4 e/w
QUADDIE (50C UNIT) 5/1,2,3,6,7,8,9/1,3,4,6,7,8,9,11/3,10 ($56) 5/1,3,6,7/1,4,7,8/3,10 ($16) 5/3/1,4,7,8/3 ($2)
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