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Institute of Design and Construction ​this is the time to buy and wait for the final up leg in the silver market which could be the strongest and most dramatic ever experienced submitted by Guillermo Barba veerabhadra's global financial intelligence is pleased to present this exclusive interview with David Morgan a world-known expert on the silver market and author of the Morgan report thanks David for accepting this interview here in Acapulco Birla Barbra GB save the major bull market in precious metals seems to have ended in 2011 what happened David Morgan diem before the peak we had a major breakout from a long channel formation around the nineteen US dollars level in fact I traded this almost perfectly I made a video for our website members subscribers to get and wants to break above nineteen took place so at that break oh we were long leveraged or not I was leveraged the silver market rose to about twenty six and began to stall out so I decided to take a profit around twenty six because it was oscillating near that range right after I took that profit the Federal Reserve announced qe2 and everybody who really knows what the silver markets about means jumped on silver I'll give credit where it's due and that goes to Professor Roy castrum from silver the Restless metal once he wrote the golden constant the next question was how does silver react during times of inflation during times of deflation during times of currency wars what does it do so he wrote silver the Restless metal he determined that that silver is very much the best asset during inflation therefore once qe2 was announced everyone who knew what that meant said I'm getting into the silver market because inflation is coming upon the qe2 announcement we went back into silver at 26 level the same place we had exited our trading position once that announcement was made silver kept going up and up and up and then I got a little I wouldn't say scared but concerned that a lot of people too many people were getting in above 30 so many people thought silver could only go to 100 I was warning people on my public interviews that once silver hit the 30 to 35 range if you have to buy silver please just buy part of what you want to own don't buy the entire position this is dangerous territory we completed our trade very near the top and this information was presented to our website members by our alert system there were several things that told me it was a top for one the sentiment was become extremely bullish there wasn't anybody who wasn't bullish on silver second the amount of subscriptions we were getting was over the top so I knew from that amount of input into the business that it was getting way over extended things can only go straight up for so long based on that my experience and knowing that it was possibly a double top even though it was a nominal $50 $50 in 2011 is far less valuable than $50 in 1980 but that's not the way the Chartists look at it so I called the table around 48 I may have been lucky to call the table so time will tell David Smith and I have already written a third book called second chance how to make and keep big money from the coming gold in silver shockwave which talks about how to take a profit not get too greedy and cautions that it's an amateurs attitude to expect to be able to call the exact top GB flighted e silver has been going up from 16 to 18 US dollars but last year there was a strong rally which finally had a retracement what's your prediction for 2017 DM I'm looking for about a 30% move barring a Black Swan type of event unless there's something really bad in the economic condition for instance an acceleration of war in the Middle East or something unthinkable with China perhaps something in the financial markets if there's a fail to deliver however barring any of those things we had about a forty percent increased last year 2016 so for 2017 expect another forty percent move to put us to maybe $20 or $22 I don't think we'll get much more than in the dollar 20s and u.s. dollar terms this year unless something really big happens and obviously the market could then take off rapidly GB in general do you think that President Donald Trump is going to be good or bad for precious metals DM essentially good he's going to set lots of inflationary policies into place and again silver is the most heavily related asset to inflation it'll sneak in and when it first starts people will believe a little inflation is good it's not - people will feel better more money is flowing people may begin to think and America is great again well not everyone at some point it will start to sink in that everything costs more at the restaurants at grocery stores gasoline is back over three dollars and 50 cents a gallon my insurance costs are going up and once all that starts to become apparent to them it will be known may be inflation isn't such a good thing and then people will ask what can I do and then you'll see a big move into the precious metals that could happen is early six months from now but I doubt it I think it will take a year a year and a half so 2018 is going to be the year that they like to match to the silver price GB Trump has promised several policies like can do bad tax reductions deregulations etc that could end strengthening the USD some analysts including me things that a new stocks market bubble is being inflated and that when that bubble pops the USD could inflate even more because most people perceive the dollar to be a safe Adam isn't the possibility of a stronger dollar a new risk for silver and gold


DM yes I think you make a strong argument I'll take your side on it I wouldn't argue against it what I would say is that direct correlation between the dollar and the gold and silver price 100% of the time when we have times of extreme financial stress money seeks safety and stability and there is nothing more stable than gold it doesn't change what changes is the price in the perception of what it means and I think in the scenario that you outlined that you'll see people move to goals even at a higher dollar price once that momentum starts its velocity of money and perception of what's happening at that time that will dry the gold price GB in your opinion what would be a buying opportunity level for silver DM let me answer that in two ways one if you don't own it you must it's a must own so if you don't own it you should buy about half the position you require I'd say anything below $20 is a good long-term buy if you're an investor not a traitor if silver happens to draw under $15 then I would complete my purchases if on the other hand silver moves above 20 then you would need to buy at a higher price the best method is two dollar cost averaging this is available for free just Google ten rules of silver investing by David Morgan and you can study the outline GB what will be the main drivers for the price of silver in the foreseeable future DM both industrial and primarily monetary demand industry keeps finding more uses for silver and in addition more people will wake up to the silver story as time goes on so the demand side will be a one-two punch both industrial and monetary demand increasing at the same time although industry actually has a greater demand presently than investment demand this will change in the future and monetary demand will increase more rapidly than industrial demand GB in your latest article David you wrote that real assets are at historic lows against financial assets what does this mean is this good or bad news for commodities investors in general and precious metals investors in particular at this point time subject to change the commodities markets are really not that strong even though commodities are what we need not what we want we need all these agricultural commodities however there's a contraction within the global economy which means there is still some pressure on base metals for example that could be ending but I do not see it at this point in time on the other hand the top-tier of all the commodities is money both gold and silver so right now we're going to see less of a rush into the base metals and the commodities sector and we you'll see that the precious metals have the most emphasis gb what's your vision on the USD I mean do you think that the American currency is doomed as a safe heaven and that the world's reserve currency DM I started to have that opinion which I still hold early on in the 2000s when I began writing for the public domain on the Internet my basic premise says history on our side which is that all fiat currencies are destined to fail that doesn't mean it goes to absolute zero rather it means that it's not used in transactions or not trusted or accepted so maybe someone prefers to use Bitcoin to make a settlement rather than the USD or the Chinese yen or perhaps it'll be the SDR so I think longer-term the dollar is doomed the US dollar has a positive interest rate but about 30 percent of the other world's debt markets are yielding negative interest thus the US dollar is stronger than these other currencies and it can maintain its relationship longer as the world's reserve currency this is because if you can get only a negative interest rate in the euro whereas you can get a positive interest rate in the dollar there's going to be more emphasis to move into the dollar GB that said what's in your opinion the best ways to invest in silver physical bullion coins mine stocks ETFs DM I've always been consistent here I think the best way is to start with physical silver first for most people bullion coins are best they're smaller denominations and give you a lot more flexibility after that if you really want to make money you must invest in some paper precious metals which means the resource sector by becoming a stakeholder myself and many other have made far more money in the mining resource markets which is primarily mining stocks for example in 2016 you could have bought first Majestic at four dollars and fourteen cents at the bottom and sold it at nineteen dollars at the top and made five times your money yet we all know we did not see a five hundred percent movement in silver bullion however we did see a five hundred percent move in first Majestics silver NY se listed company and we caught most of that the point is that if you have secured a physical metals position and you want to balance your portfolio you must add some resource stocks to really maximize your returns gb are we still in a deficit in terms of silver production diem one of the most misunderstood things about silver is that there is a silver shortage and the facts are very simple between 1990 and 2006 we were in a silver deficit which means we used more silver than we produced we had about 2 billion ounces of investment grade silver in commercial by reform from 1990 to 2006 a period of 16 years demand ate about 1.5 billion ounces of silver which means the above-ground supply was at 500 meters ounces common which was in 2006 from 2006 until the present day we have been rebuilding inventories of silver and never back to about 2 billion ounces counting both commercial bars and coins so when people say that we're in a silver deficit what it means is that there's a deficit between what is mine when what is demanded from monetary and industrial sources on a yearly basis but what they don't tell you or but perhaps people don't understand is that if you add and recycled silver which is around 160 meters ounces a year silver inventories are actually increasing not decreasing some of it ends up in landfill but not all of it a lot of silver is recycled so if you add in all sources of silver it's bigger than all demand which means it's building up the supply we've now built


it back to the 1990 levels of about to be announces GB is it possible that prices can go higher even when silver is not in a deficit DM yes the price of anything in a true free market is based upon demand if the demand exceeds supply at a given point in time upward pricing pressure is exerted if silver had to be in deficit in order to justify owning it then by the same token you would never buy gold either because gold inventories are always increasing having a deficit surely makes it more attractive but below physical demand overall supply took place in 2006 yet the price peak five years later in 2011 when inventories had been building for five years in other words some investors put too much emphasis on the shortage story GB how could a Mexican investor invest and silver in a good way DM I think the Libertad is the best way to do it for Mexican people but you would be better sourced to answer that question than I would but that would be my first choice physical and probably the silver Libertad since it's well known in the country gb what's your opinion about Hugo Salinas proposal to monetize the libertage silver rounds DM well I love it when he first wrote about Eve and I became aware of it Salinas proposal was supported by 24 out of 24 states in Mexico dot every one of the governor's was for this idea but once the bankers saw this proposal they were immediately against it so the people the governors of the states the legislators are for it but it has not happened yet because the central bank opposes it tell us about second-chance your latest book is there a second chance in precious metals diem absolutely I really believe there is a second chance a lot of people think they've missed a move and let's face it as of today they have missed the move silver moved from $19 to $48 as described earlier from the time I found at the website silver was under $5 u.s. and has been up tenfold now prices have come back to a level where even the best silver miners are barely making a profit this is the time to buy and wait for the final up leg in the silver market which could be the strongest and most dramatic ever experienced in fact almost all of our research indicates that the precious metals over the next several years will o perform both stocks and bonds GB how can investor keep in touch with you David DM the best way is to get on a free email list which is at the Morgan report comm and the other way is to look at our Twitter feed which is of silver Groot 22 and our youtube channel which is silver guru so those three ways are probably the best GB thank you David Monroe Community College.

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