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DRIVING DEMAND FOR ULTRABROADBAND NETWORKS: PROFITS, POLICY, AND PRIVACY

Michael R. Nelson Visiting Professor, Internet Studies Communication, Culture and Technology Program Georgetown University MNELSON@POBOX.COM

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DRIVING DEMAND FOR ULTRABROADBAND NETWORKS: PROFITS, POLICY, AND PRIVACY

Michael R. Nelson Visiting Professor, Internet Studies Communication, Culture and Technology Program Georgetown University Twitter: MikeNelson

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DRIVING DEMAND FOR ULTRABROADBAND NETWORKS: PROFITS, POLICY, AND PRIVACY

Michael R. Nelson Research Associate CSC Leading Edge Forum MNELSON@POBOX.COM MNELSON@LEADINGEDGEFORUM.COM

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My Background  B.S., geology, Caltech

 Ph.D., geophysics, MIT  1988 -- Congressional Science Fellow  4 years as Senator Gore’s science advisor

 4 years as IT policy guru at White House  1998-1999 -- Technologist at FCC  9+ years as IBM’s Director, Internet Tech.  Teaching at Georgetown since January, 2008  Part of Obama campaign’s tech policy team KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011


A Different Approach  Focus on culture and perception, not    

economics and regulation Focus on users, not providers Avoid focusing on multi-megabit user applications Look at machine-to-machine applications as well as what people are doing online Consider privacy, transparency, and trust KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011


FIRST, SOME CONTEXT


So What’s Next? We’ll see at least as much change in the next ten years as we have seen in the last twenty

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011


So What’s Next? We’ll see at least as much change in the next ten years as we have seen in the last twenty Maybe TWICE as much

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011


So What’s Next? We’ll see at least as much change in the next ten years as we have seen in the last twenty Maybe TWICE as much PROVIDED we don’t screw things up!!

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011


•Hardware


•Hardware


•Hardware


•Hardware


•Software

•Hardware


•People

•Software

•Hardware


•Organizations

•People

•Software

•Hardware


•Organizations

•People

•Software

•Hardware


.

•Organizations

•People

•Software


•Organizations

•People

•Software


•Organizations

•People


Phase One – Stand Alone Computer

App.

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

Data

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Phase Two – The Web Web sites Data Data Data Data Browser

App.

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

Data

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PC


Phase Three – The Cloud

Data App.

Data

Data

App.

App.

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

Data

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The Cloud + The Internet of Things

Data App.

Data

Data

App.

App.

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

Data

24 June 2011


The Cloud + The Internet of Things

Data App.

Data

Data

App.

App.

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

Data

24 June 2011


The Cloud + The Internet of Things

Data App.

Data

Data

App.

App.

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

Data

24 June 2011


What the Cloud means to you  “Innovate with impunity” – Business Week  “There’s no penalty for guessing wrong.” (Tony Scott, CIO, Microsoft)

 “Ready, fire, aim.”  “Prototype, prototype, prototype”  More data than you’ll know what to do with

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011


Dealing with YOUR data

Gordon Bell, Microsoft MyLifeBits Lifetime digital diary

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

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KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011


Ongoing LEF Research Confidentiality, Privacy, and Transparency in the Age of Wikileaks  Imperative for Transparency  Open government  Innovation ecosystems  Increasing buzz; Fostering trust  Recruiting, Retention, and Morale  Leveraging your data > new services

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011


The New Equation 100 Data

Sharing

10

Control

1 1990 KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

2000 24 June 2011

2010


Towards a Transparent Society?  1999 book by David Brin  Future scenario  Webcams everywhere  Everyone knows everything

about everyone  Terabytes/person

 Alternative to Orwell’s 1984?

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011


Trust and transparency Trust tension

(Vendors) Identity

(Customers) Privacy

0%

Amount of Disclosure of PII

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100%


Trust and transparency Trust tension (cont)

Privacy

0%

Identity Personalization

Amount of Disclosure of PII

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

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100%


Trust and transparency Trust tension (cont) Identity Personalization Privacy

0%

More Profits Less Fraud

Amount of Disclosure of PII

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011

100%


Trust and transparency Disclosure about systems and processes

Redefining the debate

Privacy

0%

Personalization

Amount of Disclosure of PII

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011

100%


Trust and transparency Disclosure about systems and processes

Redefining the debate Everyone! Transparency

Privacy

0%

Personalization

Amount of Disclosure of PII

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011

100%


•Policy

•Organizations

•People

•Software

•Hardware


Policies for Transparency Foster a trusted Cloud • TechAmerica report • Encourage encryption Promote transparency in online services Promote government transparency (FOIA)

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011


We Have 3 or 4 Years  If we make the right choices:  The Internet continues to grow  Bandwidth explodes  Wireless everywhere  10x, 100x more applications  Internet of Things > Invisible Computing

KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011


We Have 3 or 4 Years  If we make the right choices:  The Internet continues to grow  Bandwidth explodes  Wireless everywhere  10x, 100x more applications  Internet of Things > Invisible Computing

 If we blow it:  No transparency, no trust >> fewer new apps  Innovation shuts down KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011


Conclusions  The Internet Revolution is less than 20%

complete  The Internet Revolution will be as disruptive as the printing press, but:  Much faster  Totally global  More unpredictable

 When in doubt, empower the user! KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011


Conclusions  The Internet Revolution is less than 20%

complete  The Internet Revolution will be as disruptive as the printing press, but:  Much faster  Totally global  More unpredictable

 When in doubt, empower the user!  And ASSURE the user! KATP-CITI UBB symposium Korea

24 June 2011

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PROFITS, POLICY, AND PRIVACY Michael R. Nelson Visiting Professor, Internet Studies Communication, Culture and Technology Program Georgetown...

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