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Angola Infrastructure Report Q3 2011 Published on July 2011

Report Summary BMI View: New data for Angola's construction industry illustrates both the rapid pace of growth in the industry since the civil war, as well as the high levels of inflation. With both expected to moderate over the forecast period, we are anticipating growth to continue ' although at a much lower pace. Angola's construction industry has been an outperformer in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in recent years, with double digit real growth rates experienced. This must be placed in the context of a number of factors: relatively small industry size in value terms, a sudden injection of oil wealth, reconstruction following the civil war and high inflation. Growth should continue on a high trajectory, with 2011 growth rebounding strongly following a contraction in 2009 and minimal growth in 2010. Base effects should therefore propel real growth back to double digits, with 15.9% year-on-year (y-o-y) anticipated. Beyond 2011, the construction sector should continue to grow at a robust rate, although slightly reduced from previous highs, with annual average growth of 8.3% y-o-y between 2011 and 2015. Key factors driving our optimistic outlook are: - Continued investment into reconstruction following the extensive civil war (1975-2002). Not only was infrastructure devastated, but hardly any new investment took place over those decades. The country is now facing a severe infrastructure deficit, with investment essential to realising economic growth potential. - Angola's oil sector is benefiting from heightened prices following the Arab Spring. This will drive demand for continued investment in the sector, including support infrastructure. It will also allow the government more fiscal freedom. With infrastructure one of the government's key priorities, we expect inflated oil revenues to be funnelled into crucial infrastructure projects. - Housing investment is taking centre stage and is a focus of government expenditure. A number of projects ' for the construction of tens of thousands of homes across the country ' have been announced, with most due to start construction over the nest 12-18 months. - The government is keen to use public private partnerships (PPPs) to open up private sector investment into the infrastructure sector, and transfer risk to the private sector. These are expected to be procured in 2012. With a number of technically proficient construction companies already present in the country we expect significant interest; however, raising financing will be the main concern. Despite this optimism, there are downside risks. While, the high inflation experienced over previous years has moderated recently, shortages in building materials and qualified labour are still present, and this could drive construction industry prices up once again, eroding real growth potential. In addition, the lack of payment of construction industry bills could deter companies from bidding for projects; however, news that the government is keeping to a repayment schedule will boost confidence in the industry.

Table of Content Executive Summary 5 SWOT Analysis 7 Angola Infrastructure SWOT 7 Market Overview 8 Building Materials . 10 Global Materials 10 Africa Overview . 15

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>> Get this Report Now by email! Industry Forecast Scenario . 20 Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 21 Transport Infrastructure . 24 Transport Infrastructure Overview 24 Major Projects Table ' Transport 26 Table: Major Infrastructure Projects ' Transport 26 Energy And Utilities Infrastructure . 27 Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Overview 27 Major Projects Table ' Energy And Utilities 29 Table: Major Infrastructure Projects ' Energy & Utilities . 29 Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure 30 Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure Overview 30 Housing 30 Major Projects Table ' Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure . 31 Table: Major Infrastructure Projects ' Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure 31 Business Environment . 32 Angola Business Environment 32 Rewards 32 Risks . 32 Regional Overview . 33 Africa Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings 33 Table: Regional Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings. 34 Company Monitor 39 Odebrecht (Angola) 39 Mota Engil Group . 41 Global Overview 43 Methodology 48 Industry Forecasts . 48 Construction Industry . 49 Data Methodology 49 New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors 49 Construction . 50 Capital Investment 51 Construction Sector Employment 52 Infrastructure Business Environment Rating . 53 Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators . 54

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Angola Infrastructure Report Q3 2011